Botswana: Trans-Kgalagadi Road Project
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AFRICAN DEVELOPMENT BANK GROUP OPERATIONS EVALUATION DEPARTMENT (OPEV) Botswana: Trans-Kgalagadi Road Project PROJECT PERFORMANCE EVALUATION REPORT (PPER) PROJECT AND PROGRAM EVALUATION DIVISION (OPEV.1) May 2011 ii TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 TRANS-KGALAGADI ROAD PROJECT .............................................................................................. 12 1.1 Country and Sector Context ...................................................................................................... 12 1.2 Project Formulation ................................................................................................................. 14 1.3 Objectives and Scope at Appraisal (Logical Framework) ............................................................. 14 1.4 Financing Arrangements – Bank and Others ............................................................................... 15 1.5 Evaluation Methodology and Approach ..................................................................................... 15 1.6 Key Performance Indicators and Availability of Baseline Data .................................................... 16 2 IMPLEMENTATION PERFORMANCE ................................................................................................ 16 2.1 Procurement and Contractors .................................................................................................... 16 2.2 Loan Effectiveness, Start-Up and Implementation ...................................................................... 16 2.3 Adherence to Project Time and Costs, Disbursements and Financing Arrangements ...................... 17 2.4 Project Management, Reporting, Monitoring and Evaluation of Achievements ............................. 17 3 PERFORMANCE EVALUATION AND RATINGS .............................................................................. 18 3.1 Relevance of Goals and Objectives and Quality at Entry Assessment ........................................... 18 3.2 Achievement of Objectives and Outputs (“Efficacy”).................................................................. 19 3.3 Efficiency ............................................................................................................................... 22 3.4 Institutional Development Impact .............................................................................................. 23 3.5 Other Development Impact ....................................................................................................... 23 3.6 Sustainability ........................................................................................................................... 24 3.7 Aggregate Performance ............................................................................................................ 28 3.1 Borrower Performance ............................................................................................................. 28 3.2 Bank Group Performance ......................................................................................................... 28 3.3 Factors affecting Implementation Performance and Outcome ...................................................... 28 4 CONCLUSIONS, LESSONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS ............................................................... 29 iii APPENDICES No. of Pages A: EVALUATION CRITERIA - RETROSPECTIVE B: BORROWER PERFORMANCE C: BANK PERFORMANCE EVALUATION D: IMPLEMENTATION PERFORMANCE RATING E: FACTORS AFFECTING IMPLEMENTATION PERFORMANCE AND OUTCOME F: INTERVENTION LOGIC G: RETROSPECTIVE PROJECT MATRIX H: CALCULATION OF ECONOMIC INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN I: ROADS DEPARTMENT PROFESSIONAL STAFF J: PERIODIC MAINTENANCE COSTS ON PROJECT ROAD K: SADC TRADE FIGURES L: SUMMARY SOCIO-ECONOMIC ASSESSMENT ------------------------------------------------ This report was prepared by a team of consultants (Aurecon, Republic of South Africa) under the coordination of Ms. Maria PATEGUANA (Young Professional, OPEV.1) and under the supervision of Mr. M.H. MANAÏ, Division Manager, OPEV.1. Any questions related to this document should be forwarded to Mr. MANAI, Ext. 2416. 1 CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS Appraisal (May 1991) 1 UA = Pula 2.65770 PCR (February 2005) 1 UA = Pula 6.77580 PPER (June 2010 1 UA = Pula 10.3600 WEIGHTS AND MEASURES 1.00 metre (m) = 3.281 ft. 1.00 kilometre (km) = 0.621 mile 1.00 square kilometre (km 2) = 0.386 square mile (mi2) 1.00 hectare (ha) = 2.471 acres 1.00 kilogram (kg) = 2.205 lbs. FISCAL YEAR 1 April – 31 March ------------------------------------------------ This report was prepared by a team of consultants (Aurecon, Republic of South Africa) under the coordination of Ms. Maria PATEGUANA (Young Professional, OPEV.1) and under the supervision of Mr. M.H. MANAÏ, Division Manager, OPEV.1. Any questions related to this document should be forwarded to Mr. MANAI, Ext. 2416. 2 ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS AfDB = African Development Bank ADF = African Development Fund ADT = Average Daily Traffic BADEA = Arab Bank for Development of Africa BCSO = Botswana Central Statistics Office BOCONGO = Botswana Council of NGOs CTO = Central Transport Organisation DEA = Department of Environmental Affairs EA = Executing Agency EIA = Environment Impact Assessment EIRR = Economic Internal Rate of Return EMP = Environment Management Plan ESIA = Environment and Social Impact Assessment GDP = Gross Domestic Product GOB = Government of Botswana KFAED = Kuwait Fund for Arab Economic Development MFDP = Ministry of Finance and Development Planning MIST = Ministry of Infrastructure, Science and Technology MoWTC = Ministry of Works, Transport and Communication MoU = Memorandum of Understanding NACA = National AIDS Coordination NDF/ NIB = Norwegian Development Fund NDP9 = Ninth National Development Plan NORAD = Norwegian Agency for Development Cooperation OECF-Japan = Overseas Economic Co-operation Fund PAR = Project Appraisal Report PCR = Project Completion Report PPER = Project Performance Evaluation Report RD = Roads Department REC = Regional Economic Cooperation RUC = Road User Charges SADC = Southern Africa Development Community SIDA = Swedish International Development Cooperation Agency TKC = Trans-Kgalagadi Corridor TKCMC = Trans-Kgalagadi Corridor Management Committee TKR = Trans-Kgalagadi Road USD = United States Dollars UA = Unit of Account VDC = Village Development Committee VKT = Vehicle Kilometres Travelled VOC = Vehicle Operating Costs VPD = Vehicles per Day WMA = Wildlife Management Area 3 BASIC PROJECT DATA 1. Country : Botswana 2. Project : Trans-Kgalagadi Project Road 3. Loan Number : ADB - 2000191000007 ADF – 2100150000120 4. Borrower : Government of Botswana 5. Beneficiary : Government of Botswana 6. Executing Agency : Ministry of Works, Transport and Communications (Roads Department) A. Key Dates Appraisal Actual 1. Loan Approval Date 25 November 1991 2. Loan Signature Date 13 May 1992 3. Loan Effectiveness Date 03 September 1993 4. Effective Date of First Disbursement: October 1991 September 1994 (ADF) September 1995 (ADF) 5. Effective Date of Last Disbursement: December 1998 November 2004 (ADF) (ADB) July 1998 (ADF) B. Financing Plan (UA equivalents) 1. Financing Plan (UA million equivalents) UA Million Source of Appraisal Actual Finance FE LC Total % FE LC Total % ADB 18.50 --- 18.50 49.0 13.38 --- 13.38 48.0 ADF 10.59 --- 10.59 28.0 8.12 --- 8.12 29.0 GOB --- 8.63 8.63 23.0 --- 6.27 6.27 23.0 Total 29.09 8.63 37.72 100.0 21.50 6.27 27.77 100.0 4 C. Performance Indicators 1. Cost Under-run : 26.4% 2. Time Over-run Slippage on Effectiveness : 9 Months Slippage on Completion Date o Technical Assistance and Training: 7 Months o Environmental Protection : 17 Months o Road Upgrading : 19 Months Slippage on Last Disbursement : 70 Months (ADF), Nil (AFDB) No of Extensions of Grant Validity Period: 2 (ADF) 3. Project Implementation Status : Completed D. Missions and Type of Missions Type of Mission Number of Number of Period Composition Man Missions Persons Days 1. Identification 0 0 N/A N/A N/A 2. Preparation 0 0 N/A N/A N/A 3. Appraisal 1 3 05/1991 Transport Engineer, 42 Transport Economist and Environmentalist 4. Supervision 1 1 08/1993 Transport Economist 7 1 2 11/1994 Transport Engineer and 14 Transport Economist 1 1 06/1995 Transport Engineer 13 1 2 08/1996 Transport Engineer and 14 Transport Economist 1 2 09/1997 Transport Engineer and 14 Transport Economist 1 2 03/1998 Transport Engineer and 14 Transport Economist 1 1 12/1999 Transport Engineer 4 1 2 11/2000 Transport Engineer and 7 Transport Economist 5 Type of Mission Number of Number of Period Composition Man Missions Persons Days 1 2 02/2001 Transport Engineer and 7 Transport Economist 5. PCR 1 2 02/2005 Transport Engineer and 16 Transport Economist 6. PPER 1 6 09/2010 Evaluation Officer, 10 Consultant Team (Transport Economist, Environmentalist, Socio- Economic Specialist, Project Administrator and Project Director) E. Disbursements (UA Million) At Appraisal Actual Year ADB ADF ADB ADF Amount % Amount % Amount % Amount % 1993 3.14 17.0 1.72 16.2 --- --- --- --- 1994 7.77 59.0 3.93 53.4 --- --- 0.38 4.7 1995 5.55 89.0 3.01 81.8 1.16 8.6 1.40 21.9 1996 2.04 100.0 1.47 95.7 5.62 50.7 2.32 50.4 1997 --- --- 0.34 98.9 3.37 75.8 2.17 77.1 1998 --- --- 0.05 99.3 3.32 100.0 1.42 94.6 1999 --- --- 0.07 100.0 --- --- 0.12 96.1 2000 --- --- --- --- --- --- 0.02 96.3 2001 --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 2002 --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 2003 --- --- --- --- --- --- 0.10 98.3 2004 --- --- --- --- --- --- 0.14 100.0 Total 18.50 10.59 13.38 8.12 Loan Balance