Project Synopsis
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Final Draft Transportation Master Plan Update Study Rapid Transit and Transit Priority Development Report Submitted to City of Ottawa by IBI Group in association with Morrison Hershfield September 2013 Table of Contents 1. Introduction .......................................................................................... 1 1.1 Objectives ............................................................................................................ 1 1.2 Approach ............................................................................................................. 2 2. Policy Guidance and Context .............................................................. 3 2.1 Transit Facility Types ......................................................................................... 3 2.2 Implications of Time Savings ............................................................................ 7 2.2.1 Mode Choice and Land Use ................................................................................. 7 2.2.2 Operating Costs .................................................................................................... 8 3. Modelling the Transit Network ............................................................ 9 3.1 Land Use .............................................................................................................. 9 3.2 Operating Speed ............................................................................................... 10 3.3 Service Headway ............................................................................................... 11 3.4 Routes ................................................................................................................ 11 4. Developing the 2031 RTTP Network Concept .................................. 13 4.1 Corridors from the 2008 TMP ........................................................................... 13 4.2 LRT Extension to Orléans ................................................................................ 15 4.3 North-South Rapid Transit ............................................................................... 20 4.4 Western LRT ...................................................................................................... 25 4.5 LRT Extension to Bayshore ............................................................................. 27 4.6 Interprovincial Rapid Transit ........................................................................... 28 4.7 The 2031 RTTP Network Concept .................................................................... 30 5. Assessing the 2031 Network Concept .............................................. 37 5.1 Overall Performance ......................................................................................... 37 5.2 Rapid Transit Corridors .................................................................................... 38 5.2.1 Ridership ............................................................................................................. 39 5.2.2 Land Use ............................................................................................................. 42 SEPTEMBER 2013 I IBI GROUP/MH FINAL DRAFT - RAPID TRANSIT AND TRANSIT PRIORITY DEVELOPMENT REPORT Table of Contents (cont’d) 5.2.3 Capital Costs ....................................................................................................... 42 5.2.4 Aggregate Performance ...................................................................................... 47 5.3 Transit Priority Corridors ................................................................................. 50 5.3.1 Ridership ............................................................................................................. 50 5.3.2 Land Use ............................................................................................................. 52 5.3.3 Traffic Congestion ............................................................................................... 52 5.3.4 Ease of Implementation ...................................................................................... 55 5.3.5 Aggregate Performance ...................................................................................... 55 5.3.6 Capital Costs ....................................................................................................... 58 6. The Affordable Network ..................................................................... 62 6.1 Affordability Envelope ...................................................................................... 62 6.2 Network Development ...................................................................................... 62 6.3 Lifecycle Costs .................................................................................................. 68 6.3.1 Operating and Maintenance Costs and Savings ................................................ 69 6.3.2 Rehabilitation Costs ............................................................................................ 69 7. Conclusions and Recommendations................................................ 70 List of Figures Figure 1.1 – Transit Network Development Process ................................................................. 2 Figure 2.1 – Type and Degree of Impacts by Facility Type ...................................................... 7 Figure 2.2 – Capital and Operating Cost Implications of Delay ................................................ 8 Figure 3.1 – Population and Employment Estimates by Market—2008 TMP vs. 2031 TMP ...................................................................................................................... 9 Figure 4.1 –Transit Network from 2008 TMP .......................................................................... 14 Figure 4.2 – Orléans Rapid Transit Alternatives ..................................................................... 17 Figure 4.3 – Refined North-South Rapid Transit Alternatives ................................................. 23 Figure 4.4 – Preferred Western LRT Alignment ...................................................................... 26 Figure 4.5 – Recommended Regional Transit Network (post-2031) ....................................... 29 Figure 4.6 – Rapid Transit and Transit Priority Network – 2031 Network Concept ................ 31 Figure 5.1 – Land Use Densities Along Rapid Transit Corridors ............................................ 43 Figure 5.2 – Rapid Transit Network—Combined Scores ........................................................ 49 Figure 5.3 – Projected Average Transit Ridership by Transit Priority Corridor ....................... 51 Figure 5.4 – Future Land Use Activity by Transit Priority Corridor .......................................... 53 Figure 5.5 – Transit Priority Corridors: Congestion Index (Updates pending) ........................ 54 Figure 5.6 – Transit Priority Corridors: Combined Scores ...................................................... 57 Figure 6.1 – Affordable Transit Network.................................................................................. 63 IBI GROUP/MH FINAL DRAFT - RAPID TRANSIT AND TRANSIT PRIORITY DEVELOPMENT REPORT Table of Contents (cont’d) List of Tables Table 2.1 – Transit Facility Planning Guidelines ....................................................................... 5 Table 2.2 – Transit Facility Examples ....................................................................................... 6 Table 3.1 – Transit Travel Time Functions for Various Facility Types .................................... 10 Table 3.2 – Modelled Headways by Transit Line .................................................................... 11 Table 4.1 – Orléans Rapid Transit Scenario Comparison ...................................................... 18 Table 4.2 – Refined Orléans Rapid Transit Scenarios ............................................................ 19 Table 4.3 – North-South Rapid Transit Alternatives ................................................................ 21 Table 4.4 – Refined North-South Rapid Transit Scenarios ..................................................... 24 Table 4.5 – 2031 Network Concept: Rapid Transit Elements ................................................. 32 Table 4.6 –2031 Network Concept: Transit Priority Elements ................................................ 33 Table 5.1 – TMP Network Improvement Impacts .................................................................... 37 Table 5.2 –AM Peak Period Ridership Estimates for Rapid Transit Corridors: 2031 Network Concept ................................................................................................ 40 Table 5.3 – Summary of Unit Prices for Rapid Transit Projects .............................................. 44 Table 5.4 – Rapid Transit Capital Cost Summary ................................................................... 46 Table 5.5 – Assessment Framework for Rapid Transit Corridors ........................................... 48 Table 5.6 – Assessment Framework for Transit Priority Corridors ......................................... 56 Table 5.7 – Infrastructure Assumptions by Facility Type ........................................................ 58 Table 5.8 – Transit Priority Capital Cost Summary ................................................................. 59 Table 6.1 – Affordability Envelope by Project Element ........................................................... 62 Table 6.2