Early Warning and Response Directorate DRMFSS, MoA

Early Warning and Response Analysis

May 2013

This bulletin is prepared by the Early Warning and Response Directorate to coordinate and disseminate early warning and food security information.

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Released on May 14, 2013

2 Early Warning and Response Analysis, May 2013

Contents

Acronyms ...... 3

Early Warning and Response Summary for May 2013 ...... 4

Weather Conditions...... 5

Agriculture ...... 6

Food Markets ...... 6

Nutrition ...... 8

Response ...... 11

Appendix ...... 12

Early Warning and Response Directorate, MoA 3 Early Warning and Response Analysis, May 2013

ACRONYMS:

CPI: Consumer Price Index

CSA: Central Statistical Agency

DRMFSS: Disaster Risk Management and Food Security Sector:

EGTE: Ethiopian Grain Trade Enterprise

EHNRI: Ethiopian Health and Nutrition Research Institute

ENCU: Emergency Nutrition Coordination Unit

FAO: Food and Agriculture Organization

FMOH: Federal Ministry of Health

GAM: Global Acute Malnutrition

HRF: Humanitarian Response Fund

IMC: International Medical Corps

MAM: Moderate Acute Malnutrition

NMA: National Meteorological Agency

OTP: Outpatient Therapeutic Program

PLW: Pregnant and Lactating Women

SAM: Severe Acute Malnutrition

TFU: Therapeutic Feeding Unit

TSF: Targeted Supplementary Food

TSFP: Targeted Supplementary Feeding Program

WFP: World Food Programme

Early Warning and Response Directorate, MoA 4 Early Warning and Response Analysis, May 2013

EARLY WARNING AND RESPONSE SUMMARY

 As per the NMA forecast during the upcoming month, the strength of rain producing systems will continue in a similar manner. As a result, better rainfall amount and distribution is anticipated over most parts of the southern half of the country.

 Farmers are advised to exploit the expected good opportunity and continue the ongoing

agricultural activities appropriately in the areas where normal to above normal rainfall is expected (SNNPR, western and southern Oromiya).

 Moreover the expected normal to above normal rainfall over pastoral and agro pastoral areas of the country would favor the availability of pasture and drinking water in these

areas.

 There will be a chance of below normal rainfall over eastern Amhara and Tigray including some areas of Afar. Therefore proper water harvesting techniques should be practiced in order to use the expected limited moisture efficiently.

 The Food and Non-Alcoholic beverages CPI stabilized between March and April 2013. This is contrary to seasonal expectations as represented by the 5 year average which predict a rising trend over the same period. As has been the case throughout the year, price levels remain elevated when compared to the 5 year average

 The Cereal and Bread CPI increased moderately between March and April 2013. This is in line with seasonal expectations as represented by the 5 year average, though slightly stronger than predicted (1.8% compared with 1.2%). As has been the case throughout the year, price levels remain elevated when compared to the 5 year average.

 The Cereal and Bread CPI in majority of regions showed a moderate increase between March and April 2013. Exceptions to this include Benishangul Gumuz -4.6% and Gambella 8.7%. Attention should be given to the increasing price of cereals in in light of upward trends over the last few months, high yearly cereal price inflation and poor planting performance in the Southern zone for Belg crops.

 TFP admissions trend at national level increased slightly by 3 percent in March. The actual increase is confounded by CHD screening conducted in February in Amhara and Oromiya regions.

 TFP admissions increased by 67 percent in March in SNNPR associated with CHD screening and late TSF response.

 Hotspot priority one woredas increased by 27 percent from 89 in February to 113 in April. Overall hotspot priority 1 to 3 woredas increased by 4.3 percent from 327 to 341 during the same period.

 Timely and comprehensive (good coverage) and combination nutrition responses is critical for preventing and avoiding an unusual increase in acute malnutrition in hotspot woredas between April and June.

Early Warning and Response Directorate, MoA

5 Early Warning and Response Analysis, May 2013

WEATHER CONDITIONS

April 2013 weather conditions

Map 1: Rainfall distribution in mm for the month of Map 2: Percent of normal rainfall distribution for April 2013 April 2013

Source: NMA Source: NMA

During the month of April 2013, pocket areas of As indicated in map 2, most parts of Somali southwestern SNNPR and pocket areas of region, southern Afar, central and southeastern southern highlands of southern Oromiya Amhara, central, eastern and southern Oromiya, experienced falls greater than 300 mm. The northeastern Tigray, most parts of SNNPR and Southern half of SNNPR and parts of eastern Gambella experienced normal to above normal and southern Oromiya experienced falls ranging rainfall during the month under review. Below to from 200 – 300mm. Most parts of the northern much below normal rainfall has been observed for half of SNNPR, parts of southern Somali, parts the rest of the country. of southern and eastern Oromiya received falls ranging from 100 – 200 mm. The Southern half of Gambella, most parts of Somali, central Oromiya, and southern Afar, a few areas of central and southeastern Amhara exhibited falls ranging from 50 - 100mm. The Northern half of Gambela, parts of western and northern Oromiya, central and eastern Amhara, parts of eastern Tigray, northern Somali and parts of central and western Afar received falls from 25 - 50mm. Parts of western Oromiya, parts of western Amhara, central Tigray and the northern half of Afar received 5 - 25 mm of

rainfall. There was little or no rainfall over most parts of Benishangul Gumuz, western Amhara Map 3: Number of Rainy day days for the month of and western Tigray. April 2013 Source: NMA

Early Warning and Response Directorate, MoA 6 Early Warning and Response Analysis, May 2013

Pocket areas of the southern highlands of expected normal to above normal rainfall over Oromiya received falls in more than 25 rainy pastoral and agro pastoral areas of the country days. Parts of southern Oromia and a few areas of would favor the availability of pasture and southern SNNPR received falls in 20 – 25 rainy drinking water over these areas. There will be a days. Most parts of SNNPR, southwestern margin chance of below normal rainfall over eastern of Somali, parts of central and southern Oromiya Amhara and Tigray including some areas of received 15 – 20 rainy days. Parts of western, Afar. Therefore proper water harvesting northern and eastern parts of SNNPR, parts of techniques should be practiced in order to use eastern Oromiya and most parts of southern the expected limited moisture efficiently. Somali received falls in 10 – 15 days. Southeastern Gambela, parts of central and AGRICULTURE eastern Oromiya, the western half of Amhara, southern Tigray and parts of northeastern Tigray, Belg crop planting is under good progress in the southern and western margin of Afar, parts of almost all Belg growing areas of the country as northern, central and southeastern Somali received compared to the planned area coverage. falls in 5 - 10 rainy days. Hence, the observed good distribution of rainfall could have a positive In Oromia region, planting as a percentage of impact on season’s agricultural activities like planned planting is estimated at 88.7% in West sowing and land preparation of long cycle crops Hararghe, 79.1% in Arsi, 83% in Bale, 46.1% in like maize and sorghum. North Wollo, 41.4% in South Wollo, 48.3% in North Showa and 0.5% in Oromia zone. Weather outlook and possible impact for the coming month/May 1-31, 2013 In Tigray crop stand is very weak in Belg growing Southern zone of Tigray. Meher land Normally during the month May there is a preparation is ongoing. gradual decrease of moisture towards the second half of the month particularly over the In SNNPR Belg crops are performing well, in northern half of the Belg growing areas of the most parts of the region, Belg crops are in country. On the contrary, in relation to the planting-growth stage. Maize is at flowering gradual strength of Kiremt rain giving systems stage in Bench Maji, Gedeo and Kafa. there is a possibility of significant increase in moisture condition over southwestern and FOOD MARKETS western . As per the NMA forecast during the upcoming month, the strength of rain National Level producing system will continue in a similar The Food and Non-Alcoholic beverages CPI manner. As the result, better rainfall amount and stabilized between March and April 2013. This distribution is anticipated over most parts of the is contrary to seasonal expectations as southern half of the country. represented by the 5 year average which predict Generally, during the coming May 2013 normal a rising trend over the same period. As has been to above normal rainfall is expected over the case throughout the year, price levels remain SNNPR and western and southern Oromiya. elevated when compared to the 5 year average. Near normal rainfall is expected over western Amhara, central and eastern Oromiya and most parts of Somali. Thus farmers are advised to exploit the expected good opportunity and continue the ongoing agricultural activities appropriately in these areas. Moreover the

Early Warning and Response Directorate, MoA 7 Early Warning and Response Analysis, May 2013

include Benishangul Gumuz -4.6% and Gambella 8.7%.

The cereal and bread CPI in majority of regions showed an increase of less than 10% between April 2012 and April 2013. Exceptions to this include Gambella and Benishangul Gumuz which exhibited strong falls of -8.5% and - 12.5% respectively. Further the cereal and bread CPI for Tigray region increased by 19.9%. Given the sharp upward trend in the cereal and bread CPI in Tigray region over the coming month and the poor expected performance of the Belg season in some parts of Tigray, close monitoring of prices in this region is necessary (Source: CSA see appendix for graph). Source: CSA Nominal Wholesale Prices in Large Urban The Cereal and Bread CPI increased moderately Markets between March and April 2013. This is inline with seasonal expectations as represented by the In Addis Ababa prices of major cereal 5 year average, though slightly stronger than commodities stabilized between March and predicted (1.8% compared with 1.2%). As has April 2013 with the exception of Mixed Teff been the case throughout the year, price levels which increased by 4.35%, this is contrary to remain elevated when compared to the 5 year seasonal expectations as represented by the 5 average. year average which predicts a fall in prices between March and April. In Mekele prices of major cereal commodities exhibited mixed trends between March and April 2013. Of particular interest are Wheat prices which increased by 3.68% contrary to seasonal expectations as represented by the 5 year average which predicts a fall in prices between March and April. Also of interest are Sorghum prices which fell by -2.99% contrary to seasonal expectations as represented by the 5 year average which predicts a rise in prices between March and April. In Bahir Dar prices of major cereal commodities exhibited upward trends between March and April 2013. While seasonal expectations as represented by the 5 year average predicted an increase in prices for most Source: CSA major cereals, Barley prices rose sharply by Regional 5.59% when the 5 year average predicted stabilization. Further although the price of The Cereal and Bread CPI in majority of Mixed Teff stabilized over the same period, regions showed a moderate increase between price levels remained much above the 5 year March and April 2013. Exceptions to this

Early Warning and Response Directorate, MoA 8 Early Warning and Response Analysis, May 2013

average and prices in 2012. In Shashemene, finding and late TSF response and deterioration prices of major cereal commodities were mostly of food security situation in some of the stable between March and April 2013 with the woredas. SNNPR was the only region that exception of Barley which increased sharply by reported increased TFP admissions in March. 9.38% as predicted by the 5 year average. It is worth noting that although the price of Mixed The interpretation of new TFP admissions Teff remained roughly stable over the same trends at regional level in Amhara and Oromiya period, price levels remained much above the 5 in March is confounded by the CHD screening year average and those of 2012 (Data Source: conducted in February and therefore the EGTE and FAO). increase in March is likely to have been confounded by the CHD screening in NUTRITION February. This is because; increase in malnutrition is normally expected beginning 1: Nutrition situation: The emergency February to May coinciding with the peak nutrition situation in the country is monitored hunger gap. However, in some of the zones like through regular collection and analysis of East Hararghe in Oromiya region, the nutrition monthly admissions in therapeutic feeding situation continued to deteriorate in March programme (TFP), TSF monthly reports where TFP admissions increased by 38.6 submitted by WFP and NGOs, bi-annual/adhoc percent from 2,025 SAM cases in February to surveys conducted by partners in hotspot 2,806 in March with over 96 percent of the woredas and periodic revision of hotspot reports collected in both months. The increase woredas. The March/April nutrition situation was associated with continued deterioration in and responses in hotspot woredas is briefly food security and late emergency TSF responses described below. in which all the 19 woredas are classified as priority one. TFP admissions trends: TFP admissions in Tigray were Stable in TFP admissions increased slightly at national March. Somali and Afar admissions can not be level by 3 percent from 22,963 in February interpreted with certainty due to low reporting (90.4% reporting rate) to 23,645 SAM cases in rates between February and March. However, March with 88.8 percent reporting rate as deterioration of nutrition in Afar in March led to depicted in figure 3 below. The March TFP increased relief beneficiaries and admissions represent about 92 percent of the ENCU/DRMFSS mobilized six March projected caseload in January to June partners (GOAL, IR, MSF Spain, SCI, AMREF 2013. Overall, from January to March a total of and CARE) to strengthen nutrition responses in 67,072 SAM cases (42.2 percent of the the region. TSF responses were also approved projected January to June caseload, 159,090) by DRMFSS to be implemented in four were admitted in an average of 9261 TFP sites woredas by WFP in collaboration with the Afar per month across the country with regional early warning bureau. approximately 89 percent reporting rate. Moreover, updates from partners submitted to Regionally, TFP admissions trends varied the ENCU as part of monthly MANTF updates significantly. In SNNPR, admissions in TFP indicated mixed TFP admissions trends in their increased by about 67 percent from 4,835 in operational woredas in Oromiya, Amhara and February to 8975 in March with over 94 percent Somali regions. Out of the 45 woredas reporting rate (see Figure 2). The increase could supported by partners whose update was partly be linked with CHD screening associated received at ENCU, 14 depicted a decreasing with community mobilization and active case

Early Warning and Response Directorate, MoA 9 Early Warning and Response Analysis, May 2013

trend while the remaining 31 indicated an some of the priority two were upgraded to increasing trend. However the increase was priority one. Moreover, priority three woredas described by partners as normal and expected. also increased by 13.2 percent from 53 in January to 60 woredas in April. As expected TSF admissions: During the month of March, due to the evolving food security and nutrition TSF responses were implemented in at total of situation in the country, the increase in 28 woredas in four regions ( Afar, Oromiya, priority one is not surprising. Total hotspot Amhara and Somali region) reaching a total of woreda list increased slightly by 4.3 percent 10,438 TSF beneficiaries of which 56.6 percent from 327 to 341 in April 2013. were children below the age of five years. WFP TSF response for March in hotspot woredas was The revised hotspot woredas list is intended delayed due to long transport tendering process to guide all humanitarian stakeholders working in the regional early warning bureaus. NGOs in the areas of emergency nutrition and food TSF beneficiaries increased by 3.3 percent in security including the government in planning, March from 10,103 to 10,438 in February and prioritizing allocation of limited resources and March respectively despite a decrease in implementation and monitoring of woredas supported with TSF from 34 to 28 related nutrition responses. DRMFSS/ENCU during the same period. Overall, both WFP and is calling upon all nutrition cluster partners to NGOs managed a total of 95,137 moderately plan and implement emergency nutrition malnourished individuals between January and responses as well as timely funding from donors March (16.9% of the 564,000 projected in the to avoid an unnecessary increase in acute HRD) of which 53 percent were under-five malnutrition cases among under-five children children and the remainder were pregnant and between April and June,-the peak hunger gap. lactating women. WFP alone reached Distribution of hotspot woredas is displayed in 59.4percent of the total TSF beneficiaries. the attached hotspot map.

Hotspot revision Emergency nutrition surveys

The April 2013 revised hotspot woredas list During the month of April, ENCU of the was finalized and immediately approved by the DRMFSS received five preliminary survey DRMFSS on 17th April. The revision was reports and four of them were cleared after done in two phases. During the first phase the quality checking while one survey report for hotspot classification was done in each of the Shalla woreda of oromiya region is undergoing regions who submitted their respective versions quality checking process. The four surveys to the DRMFSS. Second phase classifications were for Gidan woreda of in were done by the federal team comprising of conducted by GOAL, Arero DRMFSS/ENCU, WFP and FEWS NET woreda in Borena zone of Oromiya region on 15th April. Consultations were made with conducted by Merlin, Dilla Zuria and Damote the regional early warning offices on the final Pulassa woredas of SNNPR conducted by Child versions of the hotspot list. Fund and IMC respectively. The survey results for Dila Zuria(GAM of 11.4% and SAM of In summary, the April hotspot version 0.7%) and Gidan(GAM of 9.9% and SAM of identified 113 priority one woredas, 169 0.5%) woredas were classified as ‘serious’ and priority two woredas and 60 priority three ‘poor’ respectively in the presence of woredas. Compared to the January/February aggravating factors. The nutrition situation in classifications, priority one increased by 27 Arero and Demote Pulassa woredas were percent from 89 to 113, while priority two classified as ‘normal’ nutrition with GAM decreased by 8.6 percent from 185 to 169 as

Early Warning and Response Directorate, MoA 10 Early Warning and Response Analysis, May 2013

below 5 percent in both cases. Crude and under- TFP services in hotpot woredas is explained by five mortality rates in all the four surveys were the ongoing expansion of the TFP programme normal as per national and Sphere standards. implemented by the FMOH since 2008 to date and supported by UNICEF and NGOs. TFP Actual survey implementations were also supplies (RUTF, F-75, F-100 and TFP routine completed in four woredas of Bulehora and drugs) were reported to be adequate by most of Odabultu woredas in oromiya region conducted the nutrition cluster partners for the March to by GOAL, Adadele and kebridehar woredas in April period. Sporadic shortage of some of the Somali region and Ginnir woreda in Oromiya supplies was reported by partners and region conducted by Merlin. Preliminary reports replenished by either UNICEF or partners in were expected to be submitted to ENCU mid localized woredas associated with increased May. SAM caseload.

Meanwhile the ENCU of the DRMFSS Partners (GOAL, SCI, and MSF Spain) reviewed and approved three standard commenced strengthening nutrition responses emergency surveys to be conducted by partners (TFP and TSF) in Afar region covering a total in hotspot woredas ( in Amhara by SCI, of 16 hotspot priority 1 and 2 woredas. Darolebu in Oromiya region by GOAL, and Meanwhile the regional RHB completed mass Hundene woreda in Harari region by GOAL). screening for priority 1 and 2 woredas for TSF The first two surveys are end line surveys response that will be implemented by WFP in intended to monitor the ongoing nutrition collaboration with regional early bureaus. emergency responses while the Hundene is emergency survey. These surveys are ongoing In addition, the ENCU coordinated reviews of in the respective woredas by partners in five OCHA/HRF emergency nutrition response collaboration with the respective regions, zones applications to be implemented in 11 hotspot and woreda early warning bureaus. priority one and two woredas in three regions ( Amhara 1:3 woredas; SNNPR 2:3 woredas and 2: Strengthening nutrition responses in Afar 2: 5 woredas). All the five proposals were hotspot woredas yet to be submitted to the HRF board for Following the revision of the hotspot woredas different reasons. in Mid April, the ENCU tracked coverage of Delayed TSF response associated with long emergency nutrition responses (three weeks transport tendering process was one of the after the release of hotspot woredas) in hotspot major challenges that hampered timely priority one and two woredas in the six regions implementation of TSF response in hotspot experiencing emergency nutrition situation. The woredas. This problem is likely to have six regions account for over 98 percent of significantly affected enrolment of moderately hotspot woredas in the country. Out of the 113 malnourished children, pregnant and lactating priority 1 woredas, 98.2 percent were covered women in TSF programme and thus why, the with OTP, 86.6 percent had TFU services while TSF coverage was still trailing at about 17 the TSF coverage stood at 78.8 percent. In the percent of the estimated caseload in the Jan-Jun case of priority two woredas, OTP coverage 2013 HRD. stood at 88.3 percent, TFU at 62 percent. TSF coverage in priority two woredas is 3: Outlook for April to June 2013 implemented depending on the need and its coverage is not a straight forward calculation Based on the March TFP admissions, evolving and therefore is not presented to avoid food security and planned emergency nutrition misinterpretation. The impressive coverage of responses between April and June the ENCU is

Early Warning and Response Directorate, MoA 11 Early Warning and Response Analysis, May 2013

projecting that TFP admissions will continue to humanitarian assistance will emerge. Unless increase as observed in previous years (2011- this group of people are supported with 2013. However, the rate of increase at national humanitarian assistance covering all vulnerable level is likely be above the 3 percent observed populations, the anticipated emergency nutrition in March and will continue to vary across the responses will have little impact in reducing the regions. In addition, the rate of increase will number of acute malnourished children continue to depend on the timeliness of the admitted in TFP and TSF programmes in the nutrition responses to be implemented by affected woredas. partners. Late responses especially with TSF and relief food in May/June may lead to sharp RESPONSE increase in malnutrition among under-fives, th something that is undesirable. As of the 8 May 2013, first round relief food dispatch status stood at 90%. It was complete or Since April to May was the peak admission nearly complete in most regions with the period in 2011-2012 coinciding with the exception of Oromia (92%), Somali (86%) and seasonal hunger gap, ENCU/DRMFSS is Tigray (82%). calling upon all humanitarian actors to act swiftly and respond in a timely manner with a The April PSNP dispatch status stood 27% combination of nutrition related responses completed. This consisted of 18% completion in (GFD, TSF, TFP and nutrition resilience related Oromia and 18% completion in Amhara. responses) to prevent an unusual increase in Please see the tables in the appendix for a more severely malnourished children in hotspot detailed breakdown of allocation and dispatch. woredas.

It is important to underline that as the food security situation evolves at woreda, zone and regional levels, new beneficiaries that need

Early Warning and Response Directorate, MoA 12 Early Warning and Response Analysis, May 2013

I RAINFALL ANALYSIS

I: DAKADAL RAINFALL ESTIMATE (mm)

April 1-10,2013 April 11-20,2013 April 21-30, 2013 Legend

Rainfall in

mm

Rainfall

Estimated Estimated

Rainfall in

mm

)

10

20

-

Rainfall (Average of of (Average Rainfall 1995

al al

Norm

Rainfall Diff.

in mm

Rainfall Versus Versus Rainfall

Normal

Estimated Estimated

Early Warning and Response Directorate, MoA 13 Early Warning and Response Analysis, May 2013

ESTIMATED CUMMLATIVE NORMAL CUMMLATIVE RAIN, CUMMLATIVE VERSUS NORMAL, RAINFALL, April, 2013 April April, 2013

Cumulative Rain Cumulative

Estimated

Early Warning and Response Directorate, MoA 14 Early Warning and Response Analysis, May 2013

II. Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) April 2013

April 1-10 April 11-20 April 21-30 Legend

in Fraction Fraction in Actual Actual

s (NDVI) s

Normal

-

in fraction in

VegetationGreennes

Vegetation Greenness

(NDVI) in fraction - [Compared to Normal]

Actual Versus Normal Versus Actual

Early Warning and Response Directorate, MoA 15 Early Warning and Response Analysis, May 2013

Regional Cereal and Bread CPI (Source: CSA)

Early Warning and Response Directorate, MoA 16 Early Warning and Response Analysis, May 2013

Early Warning and Response Directorate, MoA 17 Early Warning and Response Analysis, May 2013

Figure: 2 Number of new of TFP admissions and performance indictors in SNNPR, Jan-Mar 2013

Figure 3: Number and new TFP admissions and performance indicators in Ethiopia Jan-Mar 2013

Early Warning and Response Directorate, MoA 18 Early Warning and Response Analysis, May 2013

1st Round 2013 Relief food dispatch status made by DRMFSS, JEOP and WFP (H&Spokes), as of May 8, 2013 Allocated amount (MT) Dispatched amount (MT) Dispatch status (%) Region Benef DRMFSS JEOP WFP Total DRMFSS JEOP WFP Total DRMFSS JEOP WFP Total Afar 109,423 3,424 0 0 3,424 3,423 3,423 100 0 0 100 Amhara 167,608 2,209 896 0 3,105 2,122 921 3,043 96 103 0 98 B.Gumuz 20,877 387 0 0 387 368 368 95 0 0 95 Dire-Dawa 26,963 0 500 0 500 499 499 0 100 0 100 Gambella 44,500 824 0 0 824 824 824 100 0 0 100 Harari 8,130 151 0 0 151 151 151 100 0 0 100 Oromia 846,416 8,386 6,458 0 14,844 7,171 6,512 13,683 86 101 0 92 SNNPR 17,230 321 0 0 321 321 321 100 0 0 100 Somali 963,841 0 1,638 16,217 17,855 1,638 13,719 15,357 0 100 85 86 Tigray 283,399 2,684 2,566 0 5,250 2,597 1,686 4,283 97 66 0 82 Total 2,488,387 18,385 12,059 16,217 46,660 16,976 11,256 13,719 41,951 92 93 85 90

PSNP Allocation and dispatched food as of May 8, 2013 Jan allocation Feb allocation Mar allocation April allocation Allocated Dispatched Dispatch Allocated Dispatched Dispatch Allocated Dispatched Dispatch Allocated Dispatched Dispatch Region (mt) (mt) status(%) (mt) (mt) status(%) (mt) (mt) status(%) (mt) (mt) status(%) Oromia 7,278 7,273 100 7,278 6,842 94 7,278 5,155 71% 2,301 404 18 SNNP Tigray 320 320 100 320 320 100 320 320 100% Afar 7,083 7,065 100 7,083 7,083 100 7,083 5,589 79% Amhara 606 606 100 1,253 1,107 88 1,253 547 0% 1,253 223 18 Somali 9,445 9,445 100 9,445 9,318 99 9,445 4,826 51% Harari 0% Total 24,732 24,709 100 25,380 24,671 97 25,379 16,437 65% 3553 957 27

Early Warning and Response Directorate, MoA