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Anglia Route Study Long Term Planning Process Summary Document March 2016 2 Anglia Route Study: Summary Document March 2016 The Railway in Anglia

The railway in Anglia plays a vital role in the region’s economy, providing links between communities and employment, industry and markets, and conveying nationally important freight flows from ports where container traffic arrives in the UK.

The rail industry has delivered more trains, reduced delays and improved safety, at the same time as improved efficiency and value over the last 20 years.

Over the next 30 years more and more people are expected to travel by train, and more freight traffic is forecast to come off the road and onto the railway. This presents significant challenges which are explored and options to address them presented in the Anglia Route Study. Anglia Route Study: Summary Document 3 March 2016

Planning for Growth The Anglia Route Study identifies key corridors and highlights expected increases in passenger and freight flows, proposing options to meet this demand

he Anglia Route Study examines The Route Study forms part of a suite of Toptions to improve the railway in Studies for the UK rail network, which , setting out a long term represent a crucial component of the strategy to meet growing passenger and railway’s Long Term Planning Process freight demand on the railway from 2019 (LTPP). Looking ahead to 2043 ensures and beyond. that those requirements prioritised for the next ten years are consistent with The Route Study sets out a vision for the longer-term developments. next 10 to 30 years of a much busier A COLLABORATIVE PROCESS railway, with investment enabling faster, The choices set out in the Route Study more frequent and more reliable have been developed together with industry partners to deliver a railway that journeys. It presents choices for funders offers value to taxpayers, users and to meet this future demand. funders. Outside , the Anglia region has The Anglia Route Study Draft for the fastest growing employment in Consultation was published in November England and needs a rail service to 2014 and the consultation ran until support this economic growth. The February 2015. Over 190 responses were benefits of these potential investments received and have been used to review, will flow far beyond the railway, leading update and complete further analysis to to: support the final strategy for Anglia. • economic growth • reduced environmental impact • regeneration of communities 4 Anglia Route Study: Summary Document March 2016

Anglia Route

The Anglia Route comprises 1,426 miles covering the whole of East Anglia and routes into and around London

The runs The Orbital Routes include the North between London Liverpool Street and London Line (NLL) and Gospel Oak to and carries key commuter flows Barking line (GOB), providing a major link into London, a fast-growing long distance between key arterial routes to and from flow connecting world leading centres for the capital. It carries a busy commuter biosciences, engineering and renewable service and provides connections for energy, as well as a significant amount of freight to other routes across London. freight.

The Thameside route runs from The Cross country corridor via Ely London Fenchurch Street to supports freight between the Port of Shoeburyness and carries a mixture of Felixstowe and other regions such as the commuter and leisure traffic along with Midlands, and Scotland container traffic to and from the ports at alongside busy inter-regional passenger Tilbury and London Gateway. services.

Sheringham The runs between Cromer London Liverpool Street and Kings Lynn and carries busy commuter and leisure Kings Lynn traffic from Stansted Airport and Great into London Liverpool Street. Norwich Yarmouth It has the potential for significant housing and employment growth. Lowestoft

Ely Thetford

Bury St Edmunds

Cambridge

Sudbury

Felixstowe Manningtree Town Stansted Braintree Marks Walton-on-the-Naze Airport Tey East Clacton-on-Sea Southminster

Chingford Shen eld Southend Victoria

Richmond Shoeburyness London Liverpool Street London Fenchurch Street Anglia Route Study: Summary Document 5 March 2016

Priority flows and growth

The forecast growth in passenger and freight demand is significant across all main service groups in the Anglia region

n terms of peak-level demand, the Freight growth across Anglia to 2043 I pattern for the Anglia route is largely 8000 driven by commuting habits to and from 7000 London. As a result, additional growth will be driven by employment growth 6000 rather than people transferring to rail 5000 from other modes of transport. 4000 The forecast growth in freight over the 3000 next 30 years is significant across the km Tonne Net Million region, particularly in container traffic 2000 Other which is conveyed on the main routes 1000 Container both via London and via Ely to other 0 parts of the country. 2012 2024 2034 2044

Passenger crowding in 2043 without investment Norwich to improve the rail service (average across high-peak hour, not representing individual trains) Kings Lynn

Peterborough Ely

Seats busy - up to 85% taken Bury St. Cambridge Edmunds Seats full - 85% to 100% taken Ipswich Felixstowe

0 to 40% standing space utilised Stansted Airport 40% to 80% standing space utilised Hertford East Colchester Over 80% standing space utilised

En eld Town Chelmsford

Chingford

Shen eld

Southend Gospel Victoria Oak Barking

Shoeburyness

Stratford Richmond London Liverpool Street Grays

London Fenchurch Street 6 Anglia Route Study: Summary Document March 2016

Choices for funders

Investment is required in Anglia to meet forecast growth in both passenger and freight numbers

here is the clear potential in Anglia Tfor further growth and expansion which would be significantly supported and enhanced by improvements to the railway. We have therefore set out a number of investment opportunities for our funders. Sheringham Level Crossings (corridor wide) 11 Kings Lynn 4 Doubling Signalling Bridge Norwich improvements 9

GEML Level Crossings Ely area capacity 5 improvements 7 Ely Thetford Haughley Junction Ely - Soham partial 10 Doubling doubling 8 Bury Cambridge St Edmunds Felixstowe Branch 6 Capacity Enhancement Ipswich West Anglia Train Loop north of Lengthening 12 Felixstowe 3 Witham Stansted Colchester Airport Signalling Witham 2 improvements Journey Time Improvements 13 Chelmsford Preparatory works for a 1 Liverpool Street major intervention such as 14 Station Capacity 2 on West Anglia Shoeburyness Signalling London improvements 15 Essex Thameside 17 Train lengthening Freight regulating points 16 Anglia Route Study: Summary Document 7 March 2016

Great Eastern Main Line West Anglia Main Line To deliver more and faster trains To enable housing growth and economic development through 1. Improvements at London Liverpool more and faster trains Street station including more passenger space and additional 12. Longer trains on peak services platform(s) 13. Line speed improvements 2. Improvements to signalling to allow to support faster journeys more trains to run between 14. Preparatory works for a major Chelmsford and Stratford (through intervention such as Digital Railway) on West Anglia 3. Passing loop north of Witham

4. Doubling of Trowse Swing Bridge Orbital Routes Sheringham 5. Level crossing closures or improved (NLL & GOB) Level Crossings safety mitigations To deliver more freight and 11 passenger trains (corridor wide) Kings Lynn Doubling 4 15. Improvements to signalling Signalling Norwich Cross country corridor via Ely to allow more trains to run improvements 9 To deliver more freight trains and 16. Regulating points enabling freight better connectivity to wait for a path without GEML Level Crossings detaining passenger services Ely area capacity 5 6. Felixstowe Branch capacity enhancements improvements 7 Ely Thetford Haughley Junction 7. Ely area improvements, including Essex Thameside signalling improvements to allow Ely - Soham partial 10 Doubling more trains to run, Ely North Junction To deliver more seats in peak hours doubling 8 Bury and level crossings Cambridge St Edmunds Felixstowe Branch 6 Capacity Enhancement 8. Partial doubling of the Ely to Soham 17. Longer trains on peak services single line Ipswich Train lengthening comprises both the West Anglia Train Loop north of 9. Improvements to signalling to allow medium and long term strategy on this corridor. Should the realised rate of Lengthening 12 Felixstowe 3 more trains to run at Ely and Bury St Witham Edmunds growth out-perform the forecasts in the Stansted Colchester Signalling medium term, it is still likely to fall within Airport 10. Haughley Junction doubling the longer term demand forecasts. The Witham 2 improvements Journey Time Improvements 11. Level crossing closures or improved strategy will therefore still cater to this 13 Chelmsford safety mitigations speedier passenger increase, but may Preparatory works for a 1 Liverpool Street require earlier implementation. major intervention such as 14 Station Capacity Crossrail 2 on West Anglia Shoeburyness Signalling London improvements 15 Essex Thameside 17 Train lengthening Longer Term Freight regulating 16 An intervention such as Crossrail 2 is On the Great Eastern Main Line further points required to meet demand and improve enhancements to support peak growth the frequency of services on the West will be required. Anglia Main Line to support further economic growth on the corridor and support improved cross-London capacity. 8 Anglia Route Study: Summary Document March 2016

Planning for the Future

Improving Safety Digital Railway There are over 800 level crossings on the Investing in technology will help us Anglia Route. improve the way that we manage the railway. In order to run more trains, the risk of either people or vehicles interacting with A more resilient railway The Digital Railway programme is being trains will likely increase. The most developed by and rail effective way of reducing level crossing The resilience of the railway to extreme industry partners to accelerate the risk is to remove the crossing completely. weather events is a considerable part of introduction and roll out of new Network Rail’s future plans for a safer technologies across the network. Network Rail is working on a rolling and more reliable network. programme to reduce level crossing risk. The Anglia Route Study has identified Each public level crossing closure is The railway was severely affected by the where new technology can support more examined on its merits and in the context winter storms of 2013/2014. These trains and faster journeys. There are clear of the surrounding network of rights of events have brought into sharp focus the opportunities on the Great Eastern Main way and where required, alternative vulnerability of parts of the railway to Line and Cross country corridor via Ely access routes provided. changes in climate and the increase of where the European Train Control System extreme weather events. The Anglia (ETCS), combined with changes to the Route has developed a Weather network, can be used to improve the train Resilience and Climate Change service, providing vital new capacity on Adaptation Plan (WRCCA) which sets out the lines. a management plan. We are working on the potential early There are a number of proposed deployment of Digital Railway interventions that need investment to technology on the Norwich - Yarmouth increase the resilience of the railway. - Lowestoft (NYL) lines, which could bring These need to be considered in benefits to passengers in terms of conjunction with any proposed performance. enhancement options, so that the foundations for a robust network are in place to meet the needs of all rail users. Anglia Route Study: Summary Document 9 March 2016

Focus on Journey Time Faster journeys are very important for rail customers - there are clear aspirations to see reductions in journey times on the Great Eastern Main Line and for Stansted - London services

uicker journeys are made difficult by times again is limited by the slower improvements for Stansted services Qthe mix of trains utilising the same passenger services on the route which through the ability to route fast and slow tracks. The Great Eastern Main Line and stop at inner stations between Bishops services on different tracks. In the shorter West Anglia Main Line (Stansted route) Stortford, Hale and Liverpool term, faster journeys can be achieved both support semi-fast services which call Street. More tracks on this route will allow through combined changes to the type at the majority of stations, freight which for service increases on the West Anglia of trains, service pattern and increasing generally travels at between 60 and Main Line and also provide journey time the line speed at a number of locations. 75mph and fast services which call at only limited points on the route. With no opportunities for services to overtake, the fastest service is constrained by the slowest train using the route. The strategy for faster journeys therefore comprises a combination of changes to the type of trains in use (the speed and acceleration of the train), the infrastructure and the timetable. Increasing the line speed capability alone will not achieve faster journeys when slower trains (calling at more stations) are still using the same track. A combined approach Line speed improvements have been investigated on both the Stansted route and Great Eastern Main Line. These would require complex changes to many parts of the railway, such as signalling, electrification, level crossings, bridges and track. The Great Eastern Main Line comprises two tracks north of and therefore improvements to journey times will require alterations to the track layout to increase track capacity for more trains and new overtaking facilities so that faster services can overtake the slower traffic. The West Anglia Main Line currently comprises two tracks and therefore improving Stansted service journey 10 Anglia Route Study: Summary Document March 2016

Anglia Route Study

Acknowledgements

The development of the Anglia Route Anglia Main Line Taskforce for continuing Study has been made possible through to promote improvements to rail and for close collaboration with funders, contributing valuable analysis and customers and stakeholders. Over 190 information on the benefits which consultation responses were received and improved rail services can contribute to we would like to thank everyone for their the economy. contribution to the final document. Network Rail will continue to work closely We would also like to thank the Great with both taskforces and stakeholders. Eastern Main Line Taskforce and West

Next Steps

This Route Study and the Long Term Planning Process more generally form a key input into the industry’s ongoing Autumn 2018 April 2019 discussions with funders concerning the OFFICE OF RAIL AND ROAD START OF future outputs, investment choices and FINAL DETERMINATION CONTROL PERIOD 6 funding requirements for the railway.

Early 2018

NETWORK RAIL STRATEGIC

BUSINESS PLAN

October 2016 March 2016 NEW EAST ANGLIA PUBLICATION OF FRANCHISE COMMENCES ANGLIA ROUTE STUDY November 2016

LONDON OVERGROUND 2

CONCESSION COMMENCES

There is a lot of detailed analysis in the Anglia Route Study that underpins the summary we have presented here; the full document is available at: www.networkrail.co.uk/long-term-planning-process/Anglia-route-study/