EB/046 Anglia Route Study Long Term Planning Process Summary Document March 2016 2 Anglia Route Study: Summary Document March 2016 The Railway in Anglia The railway in Anglia plays a vital role in the region’s economy, providing links between communities and employment, industry and markets, and conveying nationally important freight flows from ports where container traffic arrives in the UK. The rail industry has delivered more trains, reduced delays and improved safety, at the same time as improved efficiency and value over the last 20 years. Over the next 30 years more and more people are expected to travel by train, and more freight traffic is forecast to come off the road and onto the railway. This presents significant challenges which are explored and options to address them presented in the Anglia Route Study. Anglia Route Study: Summary Document 3 March 2016 Planning for Growth The Anglia Route Study identifies key corridors and highlights expected increases in passenger and freight flows, proposing options to meet this demand he Anglia Route Study examines The Route Study forms part of a suite of Toptions to improve the railway in Studies for the UK rail network, which East Anglia, setting out a long term represent a crucial component of the strategy to meet growing passenger and railway’s Long Term Planning Process freight demand on the railway from 2019 (LTPP). Looking ahead to 2043 ensures and beyond. that those requirements prioritised for the next ten years are consistent with The Route Study sets out a vision for the longer-term developments. next 10 to 30 years of a much busier A COLLABORATIVE PROCESS railway, with investment enabling faster, The choices set out in the Route Study more frequent and more reliable have been developed together with industry partners to deliver a railway that journeys. It presents choices for funders offers value to taxpayers, users and to meet this future demand. funders. Outside London, the Anglia region has The Anglia Route Study Draft for the fastest growing employment in Consultation was published in November England and needs a rail service to 2014 and the consultation ran until support this economic growth. The February 2015. Over 190 responses were benefits of these potential investments received and have been used to review, will flow far beyond the railway, leading update and complete further analysis to to: support the final strategy for Anglia. • economic growth • reduced environmental impact • regeneration of communities 4 Anglia Route Study: Summary Document March 2016 Anglia Route The Anglia Route comprises 1,426 track miles covering the whole of East Anglia and routes into and around London The Great Eastern Main Line runs The Orbital Routes include the North between London Liverpool Street and London Line (NLL) and Gospel Oak to Norwich and carries key commuter flows Barking line (GOB), providing a major link into London, a fast-growing long distance between key arterial routes to and from flow connecting world leading centres for the capital. It carries a busy commuter biosciences, engineering and renewable service and provides connections for energy, as well as a significant amount of freight to other routes across London. freight. The Essex Thameside route runs from The Cross country corridor via Ely London Fenchurch Street to supports freight between the Port of Shoeburyness and carries a mixture of Felixstowe and other regions such as the commuter and leisure traffic along with Midlands, Yorkshire and Scotland container traffic to and from the ports at alongside busy inter-regional passenger Tilbury and London Gateway. services. Sheringham The West Anglia Main Line runs between Cromer London Liverpool Street and Kings Lynn and carries busy commuter and leisure Kings Lynn traffic from Stansted Airport and Great Cambridge into London Liverpool Street. Norwich Yarmouth It has the potential for significant housing and employment growth. Lowestoft Ely Thetford Bury St Edmunds Cambridge Sudbury Ipswich Felixstowe Manningtree Harwich Town Stansted Braintree Colchester Marks Walton-on-the-Naze Airport Tey Hertford East Witham Clacton-on-Sea Chelmsford Southminster Chingford Sheneld Southend Victoria Richmond Shoeburyness London Liverpool Street London Fenchurch Street Anglia Route Study: Summary Document 5 March 2016 Priority flows and growth The forecast growth in passenger and freight demand is significant across all main service groups in the Anglia region n terms of peak-level demand, the Freight growth across Anglia to 2043 I pattern for the Anglia route is largely 8000 driven by commuting habits to and from 7000 London. As a result, additional growth will be driven by employment growth 6000 rather than people transferring to rail 5000 from other modes of transport. 4000 The forecast growth in freight over the 3000 next 30 years is significant across the km Tonne Net Million region, particularly in container traffic 2000 Other which is conveyed on the main routes 1000 Container both via London and via Ely to other 0 parts of the country. 2012 2024 2034 2044 Passenger crowding in 2043 without investment Norwich to improve the rail service (average across high-peak hour, not representing individual trains) Kings Lynn Peterborough Ely Seats busy - up to 85% taken Bury St. Cambridge Edmunds Seats full - 85% to 100% taken Ipswich Felixstowe 0 to 40% standing space utilised Stansted Airport 40% to 80% standing space utilised Hertford East Colchester Over 80% standing space utilised Marks Tey Eneld Town Chelmsford Chingford Sheneld Southend Gospel Victoria Oak Barking Shoeburyness Stratford Richmond London Liverpool Street Grays London Fenchurch Street 6 Anglia Route Study: Summary Document March 2016 Choices for funders Investment is required in Anglia to meet forecast growth in both passenger and freight numbers here is the clear potential in Anglia Tfor further growth and expansion which would be significantly supported and enhanced by improvements to the railway. We have therefore set out a number of investment opportunities for our funders. Sheringham Level Crossings (corridor wide) 11 Kings Lynn 4 Doubling Signalling Trowse Bridge Norwich improvements 9 GEML Level Crossings Ely area capacity 5 improvements 7 Ely Thetford Haughley Junction Ely - Soham partial 10 Doubling doubling 8 Bury Cambridge St Edmunds Felixstowe Branch 6 Capacity Enhancement Ipswich West Anglia Train Loop north of Lengthening 12 Felixstowe 3 Witham Stansted Colchester Airport Signalling Witham 2 improvements Journey Time Improvements 13 Chelmsford Preparatory works for a 1 Liverpool Street major intervention such as 14 Station Capacity Crossrail 2 on West Anglia Shoeburyness Signalling London improvements 15 Essex Thameside 17 Train lengthening Freight regulating points 16 Anglia Route Study: Summary Document 7 March 2016 Great Eastern Main Line West Anglia Main Line To deliver more and faster trains To enable housing growth and economic development through 1. Improvements at London Liverpool more and faster trains Street station including more passenger space and additional 12. Longer trains on peak services platform(s) 13. Line speed improvements 2. Improvements to signalling to allow to support faster journeys more trains to run between 14. Preparatory works for a major Chelmsford and Stratford (through intervention such as Crossrail 2 Digital Railway) on West Anglia 3. Passing loop north of Witham 4. Doubling of Trowse Swing Bridge Orbital Routes Sheringham 5. Level crossing closures or improved (NLL & GOB) Level Crossings safety mitigations To deliver more freight and 11 passenger trains (corridor wide) Kings Lynn Doubling 4 15. Improvements to signalling Signalling Trowse Bridge Norwich Cross country corridor via Ely to allow more trains to run improvements 9 To deliver more freight trains and 16. Regulating points enabling freight better connectivity to wait for a path without GEML Level Crossings detaining passenger services Ely area capacity 5 6. Felixstowe Branch capacity enhancements improvements 7 Ely Thetford Haughley Junction 7. Ely area improvements, including Essex Thameside signalling improvements to allow Ely - Soham partial 10 Doubling more trains to run, Ely North Junction To deliver more seats in peak hours doubling 8 Bury and level crossings Cambridge St Edmunds Felixstowe Branch 6 Capacity Enhancement 8. Partial doubling of the Ely to Soham 17. Longer trains on peak services single line Ipswich Train lengthening comprises both the West Anglia Train Loop north of 9. Improvements to signalling to allow medium and long term strategy on this corridor. Should the realised rate of Lengthening 12 Felixstowe 3 more trains to run at Ely and Bury St Witham Edmunds growth out-perform the forecasts in the Stansted Colchester Signalling medium term, it is still likely to fall within Airport 10. Haughley Junction doubling the longer term demand forecasts. The Witham 2 improvements Journey Time Improvements 11. Level crossing closures or improved strategy will therefore still cater to this 13 Chelmsford safety mitigations speedier passenger increase, but may Preparatory works for a 1 Liverpool Street require earlier implementation. major intervention such as 14 Station Capacity Crossrail 2 on West Anglia Shoeburyness Signalling London improvements 15 Essex Thameside 17 Train lengthening Longer Term Freight regulating 16 An intervention such as Crossrail 2 is On the Great Eastern Main Line further points required to meet demand and improve enhancements to support peak growth