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The State of Europe Disruption, Disorder and Division: Crunch Time for Europe

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The State of Europe Disruption, Disorder and Division: Crunch Time for Europe WINTER 2016 THE STATE OF EUROPE DISRUPTION, DISORDER AND DIVISION: CRUNCH TIME FOR EUROPE REPORT In partnership with With the support of WINTER 2016 THE STATE OF EUROPE DISRUPTION, DISORDER AND DIVISION: CRUNCH TIME FOR EUROPE REPORT This report reflects the roundtable rapporteur’s understanding of the views expressed by participants. These views are not necessarily those of the organisations that participants represent, nor of Friends of Europe, its Board of Trustees, members or partners. Reproduction in whole or in part is permitted, provided that full credit is given to Friends of Europe and that any such reproduction, whether in whole or in part, is not sold unless incorporated in other works. Rapporteurs: Paul Ames and Sebastian Moffett Publisher: Geert Cami Director: Nathalie Furrer Events Manager: Laetitia Garcia Moreno Programme Managers: Jean-Yves Stenuick and Clotilde Sipp Project Assistant: Nina Hasratyan Photographers: Philippe Molitor and François de Ribaucourt Design: Ilaria Dozio and Elza Lőw © Friends of Europe - December 2016 This report is printed on responsibly produced paper TABLE OF CONTENTS About Friends of Europe 7 Executive summary 10 Annual roundtable seeks way ahead for Europe in crisis 10 Disruption, disorder and division: Crunch time for Europe 14 Time to get tough on populism 15 A communications fightback 21 Tough on the causes of populism: Inspiring hope in the economy 25 Bridging societal gaps 31 Within communities: a question of trust 35 Reaching out to build a better EU 41 Generation Brexit 47 Optimism from the outside 54 Recommendations for a rethink 59 The President’s Gala Dinner 64 Revitalising growth in Europe 65 ANNEX I – Programme 70 ANNEX II – List of participants and observers 76 List of participants 77 List of observers 86 The State of Europe 2016 | Winter 2016 7 ABOUT FRIENDS OF EUROPE www.friendsofeurope.org /friendsofeurope.foe @friendsofeurope Friends of Europe is a leading think tank that connects people, stimulates debate and triggers change to create a more inclusive, sustainable and forward-looking Europe. CONNECT Friends of Europe is an independent think tank with a difference – we believe innovation is a mindset, behaviour and action. We aim to be catalysts for change and believe that real solutions come from transforming mindsets through the confrontation of ideas and the breaking down of silos between politicians, businesses and civil society. Believing that change is achieved through inclusive policies and action, we reach out to and work with a wide network of policymakers, international organisations, civil society representatives, business leaders, academics, the media and citizens across Europe and beyond. We have no national or party political bias and ensure that all viewpoints are represented in our activities and publications. 8 Friends of Europe DEBATE We foster open, insightful and provocative debates to stimulate fresh ideas and creative thinking. Our portfolio of events and reports means that Friends of Europe contributes ideas and leads the debate on a wide range of EU-related issues, including: Energy and Climate | Health and Wellbeing | Asia, Africa and Emerging Economies | Peace, Security and Defence | International Development | Education and Skills | Migration and Integration | New Economic Models | Citizens’ Europe. Our European Young Leaders (EYL40) programme connects Europe’s most promising talents, and our Board of Trustees brings together the knowledge and experience of European leaders who include presidents, prime ministers, European commissioners and presidents of the European Parliament. The Development Policy Forum (DPF), the Asia programme and the Europe-China Forum build bridges to foster global partnerships. Europe’s World, our policy journal, is the only pan-European publication which offers a unique insight into the views of leading policymakers and opinion-makers on European and global challenges. Our online platform Debating Europe encourages citizen- led debates with policymakers. In less than five years, it has built up a two-million-strong community of citizens across Europe and over 240,000 social media followers who put their questions to high-profile decision- makers. The State of Europe 2016 | Winter 2016 9 CHANGE We offer Europe’s citizens an opportunity to take an active transformational role in shaping their environment. We use ground-breaking online brainstorms to bring different stakeholder groups together from all over the world and constantly innovate in how we convene and shape discussions. Through our debates, conferences, working groups, reports and recommendations we provide bold and ambitious but practical solutions for a more inclusive, sustainable and forward-looking Europe. FRIENDS OF EUROPE IN FIGURES: • 5000+ senior participants and speakers • 60 events, 50 publications and over 200 op-eds every year • 2m unique visitors to its websites • 330,000-strong Facebook and Twitter community • 80,000+ database of contacts including senior decision-makers from the EU, national governments and international institutions, NGOs, think tanks, universities, business and the media READ OUR STORIFY OF #STATEOFEU As well as lively debates in the room, the State of Europe high-level roundtable generated thousands of interactions and engagements online, on Twitter, Facebook and Instagram. You can read the story of the event as told on social media by reading our Storify summary, which brings together comments from participants and others, as well as photographs and links to media coverage. Go to bit.ly/SoEStorify2016 10 Friends of Europe EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ANNUAL ROUNDTABLE SEEKS WAY AHEAD FOR EUROPE IN CRISIS Britain’s referendum vote to leave the European Union has delivered a profound shock to the continent. The looming departure of one of the EU’s strongest economic, diplomatic and military powers has raised doubts about the very survival of a Union already divided over management of the eurozone, the economy and the refugee crisis. Europe’s political certainties are questioned by the rise of populist forces both within and without – the external challenges including Russian belligerence, Middle Eastern turmoil, a truculent Turkey and Trumpism in the United States. To address this toxic mix, Friends of Europe’s annual high-level roundtable gathered more than 200 influential figures. Their aim was to seek ways for Europe to move forward from the current morass. They looked at how to end infighting, so the remaining 27 EU member states can confront Europe’s raft of problems and present a united position on Brexit. Topics in the sessions ranged from Europe’s role in a fast-changing world, to finding the right economic models, to the impact of migration. However, the urgency of confronting the new wave of nationalist, protectionist and populist politics dominated much of the debate. A key thread emerged on need to tackle both the immediate threats posed by populism and the root causes of voter discontent that have allowed populists The State of Europe 2016 | Winter 2016 11 to thrive. The first, delegates argued, involves building on Europe’s strengths, forging greater resolve among the defenders of Europe’s democracy and using pro- active communications to recapture the initiative from ‘post-truth’ politicians who present simple, populist ‘solutions’. The second requires longer-term action to spur growth in the European economy while avoiding social tensions between the winners and losers of technological advances and open markets. Social inclusion must be a priority. Migration – including intra-EU labour movement – must be managed to avoid rifts between incoming and native communities. Crisis breeds opportunity: the current shocks to the system can be used to spur reforms that make the EU more transparent and accountable. Mainstream politicians need to re-connect with citizens – in particular young people. And Europe needs to build on its strengths as a motor of innovation, a driving force in the fight against global warming and the world’s biggest provider of development assistance. 12 Friends of Europe The State of Europe 2016 | Winter 2016 13 14 Friends of Europe DISRUPTION, DISORDER AND DIVISION: CRUNCH TIME FOR EUROPE TIME TO GET TOUGH ON POPULISM - 15 A COMMUNICATIONS FIGHTBACK - 21 TOUGH ON THE CAUSES OF POPULISM: INSPIRING HOPE IN THE ECONOMY - 25 BRIDGING SOCIETAL GAPS - 31 WITHIN COMMUNITIES: A QUESTION OF TRUST - 35 REACHING OUT TO BUILD A BETTER EU - 41 GENERATION BREXIT - 47 OPTIMISM FROM THE OUTSIDE - 54 RECOMMENDATIONS FOR A RETHINK - 59 The State of Europe 2016 | Winter 2016 15 TIME TO GET TOUGH ON POPULISM “We have an enemy. Our enemies are the people who “We have an enemy. want to destroy Europe,” said Etienne Davignon, Our enemies are the President of Friends of Europe, Belgian Minister of people who want to State and former European Commission Vice President. “For God’s sake, let’s stop being politically correct. The destroy Europe.” populist parties have said they want to destroy the Etienne Davignon, Union,” he added. “We have to do something about it President of Friends of Europe, Belgian Minister of State and former and we are not doing it.” European Commission Vice President 16 Friends of Europe “The mainstream is silent Davignon’s words were echoed throughout the debate. and does not confront Several speakers lamented the meek response from the margins, the flanks of the political centre in the face of a surge in support European politics.” for populists. “The mainstream is silent and does not confront the margins, the flanks of European politics,” Jaap de Hoop Scheffer, warned Jaap de Hoop Scheffer, President of the Dutch President of the Dutch Advisory Council on International Affairs, former Advisory Council on International Affairs, former NATO NATO Secretary General and Trustee Secretary General and Trustee of Friends of Europe. “As of Friends of Europe long as that is the case, I think we’re in trouble.” In response, Europe’s leaders need to stop squabbling. They should go on the offensive to promote the benefits of integration, reach out to citizens and take a more pro- active stance in confronting populist propaganda.
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