Journal of Clinical Medicine Article Estimation of the Actual Incidence of Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) in Emergent Hotspots: The Example of Hokkaido, Japan during February–March 2020 Andrei R. Akhmetzhanov 1,2 , Kenji Mizumoto 3,4 , Sung-Mok Jung 1,5 , Natalie M. Linton 1,5 , Ryosuke Omori 6 and Hiroshi Nishiura 1,5,7,* 1 Graduate School of Medicine, Hokkaido University, Kita 15 Jo Nishi 7 Chome, Kita-ku, Sapporo-shi, Hokkaido 060-8638, Japan;
[email protected] (A.R.A.);
[email protected] (S.-M.J.);
[email protected] (N.M.L.) 2 Global Health Program, Institute of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, College of Public Health, National Taiwan University, 17 Xu-Zhou Road, Taipei 10055, Taiwan 3 Graduate School of Advanced Integrated Studies in Human Survivability, Kyoto University, Yoshida-Nakaadachi-cho, Sakyo-ku, Kyoto 606-8501, Japan;
[email protected] 4 Hakubi Center for Advanced Research, Kyoto University, Yoshidahonmachi, Sakyo-ku, Kyoto 606-8306, Japan 5 School of Public Health, Kyoto University, Yoshidakonoe cho, Sakyo ku, Kyoto 606-8501, Japan 6 Research Center for Zoonosis Control, Hokkaido University, Kita 19 Jo Nishi 10 Chome, Kita-ku, Sapporo-shi, Hokkaido 001-0019, Japan;
[email protected] 7 Core Research for Evolutional Science and Technology (CREST), Japan Science and Technology Agency, Honcho 4-1-8, Kawaguchi, Saitama 332-0012, Japan * Correspondence:
[email protected]; Tel.: +81-75-753-4490 Citation: Akhmetzhanov, A.R.; Mizumoto, K.; Jung, S.-M.; Linton, Abstract: Following the first report of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Sapporo city, N.M.; Omori, R.; Nishiura, H.