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Encuesta Pre-Electoral Enero 2021: Nuevas Ideas Se Consolida Como Primera Fuerza, Arena Sube Y Gana Baja En Intención De Voto… El FMLN En Cuidados Intensivos

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Encuesta Pre-Electoral Enero 2021: Nuevas Ideas Se Consolida Como Primera Fuerza, Arena Sube Y Gana Baja En Intención De Voto… El FMLN En Cuidados Intensivos Encuesta pre-electoral enero 2021: Nuevas Ideas se consolida como primera fuerza, Arena sube y Gana baja en intención de voto… el FMLN en cuidados intensivos Ficha técnica Tipo de estudio: Cuantitativo. Técnica de registro: Cuestionario individual pre-estructurado. Tipo de entrevista: Visita a hogar. Informante: Personas mayores e iguales a 18 años con DUI vigente y residente en el municipio. Trabajo de campo: Del 13 al 17 de enero de 2021. Entrevistas efectivas: 1,536 boletas efectivas a nivel nacional. Muestreo: Sistemático probabilístico con ajación proporcional a la población, con un nivel de conanza 95 %, error muestral ± 2.5 Made with 1. ¿Está usted decido en ir a votar para las próximas elecciones de Alcaldes, diputados y Parlacen? NC /NS 0.60% No estoy seguro 8.70% No 3.50% Si 87.20% Made with 2. A partir de este año y para las próximas elecciones, ¿ha cambiado usted de preferencia política? NC /NS 2.90% Sí he cambiado 45.75% No he cambiado 51.35% Made with 3. Si su respuesta anterior fue “SÍ HE CAMBIADO”, ¿a qué se debe el cambio? 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 47.2% 35.6% 5.4% 8% 3.8% El partido me ha defraudado Los candidatos no me convencen Por la campaña electoral Otra razón NC /NS Made with 4. De las alternativas que le leeré, ¿Cuál se acerca más al porqué de su intención de voto? Porque está en contra de la corrupción Porque está a favor de Nuevas Ideas Por las propuestas (del partido Porque está en 37.3% 17.5% o candidatos) contra de los 16.3% partidos tradicionales (Arena, FMLN, etc) 8.2% Porque he recibido ayuda durante la pandemia 16.5% NS/NR 4.2% Made with 5. Para la elección de diputados de febrero, ¿prefiere votar por bandera o por rostro? 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 43.9% 31.5% 13.8% 8.6% 2.2% Bandera Rostro Ambos (bandera y rostro) Me es indiferente NS/NR Made with 6. Si las elecciones fueran el próximo domingo, ¿por qué partido político votaría para alcalde? FMLN 5.3% Gana 5.3% Nuestro Tiempo 0.3% PDC 0.8% PCN 1.8% CD 0.4% Nuevas Ideas 59.9% Vamos 0.7% Arena 11.8% No iré a votar 4.9% Anularé el voto 3.1% NS/NR 5.7% 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 Made with 7. Si las elecciones fueran el próximo domingo, ¿Por qué partido político votaría para diputados? FMLN 2.2% Gana 3.1% Nuestro Tiempo 0.4% PDC 0.6% PCN 1.3% CD 0.2% Nuevas Ideas 64.7% Vamos 0.6% Arena 7.1% Democracia Salvadoreña 0.3% Independiente 2.5% No iré a votar 3.5% Anularé el voto 3.3% Voto cruzado 4.6% NS /NR 5.6% 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Made with 8. Si para el 28 de febrero, día de las votaciones, el nivel de contagio de casos por COVID-19 se mantiene como está en este momento o (aumenta), ¿qué haría usted? 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 20.1% 73% 6.8% 0.1% Preero no ir a votar Iría a votar con medidas de bioseguridad No estoy seguro NS /NR Made with 9. ¿Confía usted en el Tribunal Supremo Electoral? Sí, algo 43.60% No confío 37.40% Sí, mucho 15.30% NS /NR 3.70% Made with 10. A continuación, le diré el nombre de un partido político y me responde si usted podría votar por ese partido político o si por ningún motivo votaría por este partido político o si es indiferente. 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 % % % % 3 9 % . 7 6 . 4 6 5 . 5 5 % % % % % % % % % % % % % % 4 % % % % % % % % % 3 5 % % % 8 % 5 0 3 1 2 8 % 9 4 5 % % 0 % 5 . 6 6 6 . 5 5 5 5 5 5 . 6 6 4 2 6 8 3 . 1 7 1 0 . 1 . 1 5 6 4 4 8 . 3 9 7 5 . 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 8 1 8 6 6 8 8 1 8 6 1 8 7 6 1 7 7 2 8 8 0 8 Arena PCN PDC FMLN Vamos Nuevas Ideas CD Gana Nuestro Tiempo Sí podría votar por el partido Por ningún motivo votaria por ese partido Indiferente NS/NR Made with 11. En los últimos 12 meses, ¿Qué tipo de ayuda ha recibido usted o su núcleo familiar de parte del gobierno central y/o municipal? 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 2.3% 0 95.4% 45.6% 40.8% 1.2% 1.1% Canastas solidarias $300 Ayuda de la alcaldía Subsidio para empresarios/comerciantes Otro tipo de ayuda NS /NR Made with 12. ¿Cuántas canastas recibió? 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 1% 0 10.4% 49.3% 39.3% 1 2 3 4 Made with 13. Le voy a leer algunas afirmaciones, agradecería me indique si está de acuerdo, en desacuerdo o si desconoce o no prefiere opinar, respecto a las mismas: De acuerdo Desacuerdo NC /NS Apruebo el matrimonio igualitario 13.0% 82.5% 4.6% Apruebo la pena de muerte 28.6% 65.7% 5.7% Apruebo el aborto en causales terapéuticas 14.8% 82.7% 2.5% Apruebo la lectura de la biblia en la escuela 92.3% 6.8% 0.8% Quisiera irme a Estados Unidos 38.9% 59.9% 1.2% En El Salvador HAY oportunidades para los jóvenes 60.1% 36.5% 3.5% Hay políticos honestos 46.9% 46.6% 6.4% Soy una persona religiosa o creyente 90.0% 8.5% 1.6% Los Acuerdos de Paz de 1992 fueron importantes 76.1% 17.3% 6.6% Si estudio más tendré más oportunidades 85.9% 12.3% 1.8% Me siento frustrado con el rumbo del país 42.6% 54.0% 3.5% Estoy optimista con los cambios futuros 83.7% 12.6% 3.8% La pandemia nos cambió la vida para siempre 69.5% 28.6% 1.9% Este ha sido el mejor gobierno que hemos tenido 84.9% 11.5% 3.6% Las Fuerzas Armadas son indispensables 88.4% 8.9% 2.7% Made with 14. En la escala de 1 a 10, donde 1 es muy de izquierda y 10 es muy de derecha. ¿cómo definiría su posición ideológica? 6.07 En promedio Izquierda Derecha Tendencia a la derecha Made with 15. ¿Cómo califica la labor del alcalde actual en su Municipio, en una escala de 1 a 10, en donde 1 es malo y 10 Excelente? 5.08 Made with 16. ¿Cómo califica la labor de los Diputados de su departamento, en una escala de 1 a 10, en donde 1 es malo y 10 Excelente? 3.80 Made with 17. A un año y medio de gobierno, en la escala de 1 a 10, donde 1 es muy malo y 10 excelente ¿Qué nota le pondría al Presidente Nayib Bukele por el manejo de la Pandemia? 8.87 Made with.
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