Due Diligence and Valuation Report
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Due Diligence and Valuation Report Arrowhead Code: 94-01-04 Coverage initiated: 26 11 2015 Company: Environmental Clean Technologies This document: 29 09 2016 Limited i Fair share value bracket: AUD0.033 to AUD0.042 Ticker: ASX:ESI Share price on date: AUD0.019ii Headquarters: Victoria, Australia Analyst Team Managing Director: Ashley Moore Shruti Gupta Website: http://www.ectltd.com.au/ [email protected] allows for flexibility in expansion as needed, thus Market Data eliminating the need to commit to bulk capacity 52-Week Range: AUD 0.011 – AUD 0.029iii while setting up a plant. Average Daily Volume: 3,962,478 iv Market Cap. on date: AUD 52.0 MMv Key Technologies – Matmor The Matmor process produces primary iron Financial Forecast Data (in AUD) through the reduction of iron oxides. Similar to ‘17E ‘18E ‘19E ‘20E ‘21E ‘22E Coldry, Matmor has a simple design, and is cost- High profit/ (1.6) 4.4 2.3 1.7 1.9 2.1 effective. The process uses Coldry’s output (loss) MM instead of the more-expensive coking coal as a High EPS (0.06) 0.17 0.09 0.06 0.07 0.08 (AUD cents) reducing agent. Low profit/ (2.1) 3.6 1.5 1.0 1.3 1.4 Compared to the traditional blast furnace route to (loss) MM produce iron, Matmor benefits from lower cost of Low EPS (0.08) 0.14 0.06 0.04 0.05 0.05 (AUD cents) feedstock owing to usage of low-grade coal in the process. Further, Matmor could also process iron Fiscal Year (FY) 1st July – 30th June ore fines and various iron oxide feed that is not suitable for production through the conventional Summary blast furnace process. Environmental Clean Technologies Limited (ECT) Indian Integrated Project is an Australia-based firm which is focused on bringing its key technologies – Coldry and Matmor ECT is currently focusing on its Indian project technologies – to commercialization. with NLC and NMDC, involving application of both technologies. The company aims to capitalize on ECT holds 100% ownership of Intellectual the growing energy and infrastructure Property Rights to both Coldry and Matmor requirements in the region, coupled with the need technologies. for cost-effective production of power and iron. Key Technologies – Coldry ECT signed an agreement with NLC and NMDC Ltd on January 19, 2016. Thermax and M.N. Dastur The Coldry process produces high-grade coal will assist ECT in operational activities and equivalents by removing moisture content from support design works for Coldry and Matmor, low-grade coal such as lignite. The output is a respectively. stable product with high energy and low moisture content equivalent to black coal. The product On July 01, 2016, the company completed the could be easily stored and transported and has techno-economic feasibility (TEF) study, which lower carbon emissions. primarily focused on evaluating the technical and the economic performance of the proposed plant Compared to other technologies to densify brown including the financial metrics. This report coal, the uniqueness of the Coldry process lies in compared ECT’s integrated plant with traditional its lower processing costs due to application of steel producing technologies, and concluded that various features such as utilization of waste heat. Coldry-Matmor technologies are comparatively The modular nature of the technology further Environmental Clean Technologies – Arrowhead BID 1 ASX:ESI Due Diligence and Valuation Report See important disclosures on page 25 of this report. much more cost effective and less capital Valuation intensive. We believe that ECT’s portfolio of technologies The Tripartite Agreement proposes a joint funding makes it uniquely positioned to utilize low-grade for the construction of the combined Matmor Pilot coal (more abundant but less usable) in high- plant and Coldry demonstration plant. The capital margin, value-added applications. The cost of the demonstration plant is estimated technologies’ cost-effectiveness and simple between INR120–150 crore ($30M AUD). implementation would result in higher margins with low capital intensity. ECT is targeting to construct a full scale commercial plant, its construction is expected to The company’s target markets include countries start by 2019. Currently, the emphasis is on which are net importers of coking coal but have detailing a design program for the project, a pre- huge resources of low-grade coal which cannot be requisite for capital cost and project execution readily utilized for high-value applications. ECT assessments. plans to initially target mine and power stations owners; however the application of its technology The tripartite parties plan to complete the caters to a wide range of target customers. drafting and execution of commercial agreements along with supporting documents by January We believe that the company’s Indian Project will 2017. The agreements will outline important serve as the global launch pad for its aspects related to funding, key deadlines, technologies. If successful and operational, the planning and approvals terms, project ownership, number of installations could increase multifold. expansion plan and marketing strategies for the Our valuation estimates are based on risk- project. adjusted intrinsic value of Coldry and Matmor A part of the output of the Coldry plant will be plants in the Indian integrated project. Given due used for production through Matmor, while the diligence and valuation estimations based on remaining output is expected to be sold in the Discounted Cash Flows, we believe that local market. Environmental Clean Technologies’ fair share value lies between AUD 0.033 and AUD 0.042. Environmental Clean Technologies – Arrowhead BID 2 ASX:ESI Due Diligence and Valuation Report See important disclosures on page 25 of this report. Table of Contents Company Presentation ...................................................................................................... 4 News ................................................................................................................................. 7 Listing Information ........................................................................................................... 9 Contacts ............................................................................................................................ 9 Major Shareholders .......................................................................................................... 9 Management and Governance ......................................................................................... 10 Proprietary Technologies and Key Project ....................................................................... 11 Commodities and Markets Overview ............................................................................... 19 Value ............................................................................................................................... 22 Analyst certifications ...................................................................................................... 25 Valuation ......................................................................................................................... 26 Notes and References ..................................................................................................... 27 Environmental Clean Technologies – Arrowhead BID 3 ASX:ESI Due Diligence and Valuation Report See important disclosures on page 25 of this report. Company Presentation Listed on the Australian Stock Exchange (ASX: ESI), Environmental Clean Technologies (ECT) is working on developing leading-edge coal and iron-making technologies to convert lower quality products into high-end, value-added products. It focuses on two technologies, namely: I) Coldry: The Coldry process reduces moisture content of low-quality coal and enhances its energy content, resulting in a high quality output called Black Coal Equivalent (BCE). II) Matmor: Matmor is a process of producing high-quality iron using inexpensive and abundant brown coal and waste iron fines and slimes, rather than expensive coking coal and high grade iron hematite, in blast furnaces. The company is currently focusing on India, owing to the expected growth of coal/ iron demand driven by industrialization and urbanization in the region. It also plans to expand operations to countries like Australia, Germany, Poland, Indonesia, China, etc. at a later stage. ECT has been partnering with and engaging into strategic alliance with various EPC, financing, research and advisory parties to support the technological and commercial development of the processes. Financial Summary: As of June 2016, the company’s cash balance ($684k), coupled with the R&D incentive receivable ($1,674k), was ~AUD2.3MM. ECT received an R&D Tax incentive refund of AUD 1.6MM in FY2016 relating to the FY2015 receivable. On January 2016, ECT raised AUD 1.5MM through 75.3MM ordinary shares issued via the exercise of 166,667 ESIOA options at $0.009 each, 25,000 ESIOB options at $0.015 each and 75.1MM ordinary shares at $0.02 each. As of June 2016, ECT has 1,216.7MM ESIOA options in issue. Once exercised, ECT will gain a $10.9MM infusion of capital. In February 2016, ECT secured the loan facility with Brevet Capital, a US-based fund manager against the company’s accrued R&D incentives. In May 2016, the company withdrew AUD1.0MM against the loan facility. In August 2016, ECT extended the Brevet loan facility for the development of the project and to support its FY17 activities. It has been recognized with FY2017 R&D Finance facility. As