Putin's Next Six-Year Term
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INTERNATIONAL ELECTION OBSERVATION MISSION Russian Federation – Presidential Election, 18 March 2018
INTERNATIONAL ELECTION OBSERVATION MISSION Russian Federation – Presidential Election, 18 March 2018 STATEMENT OF PRELIMINARY FINDINGS AND CONCLUSIONS PRELIMINARY CONCLUSIONS The 18 March presidential election took place in an overly controlled legal and political environment marked by continued pressure on critical voices, while the Central Election Commission (CEC) administered the election efficiently and openly. After intense efforts to promote turnout, citizens voted in significant numbers, yet restrictions on the fundamental freedoms of assembly, association and expression, as well as on candidate registration, have limited the space for political engagement and resulted in a lack of genuine competition. While candidates could generally campaign freely, the extensive and uncritical coverage of the incumbent as president in most media resulted in an uneven playing field. Overall, election day was conducted in an orderly manner despite shortcomings related to vote secrecy and transparency of counting. Eight candidates, one woman and seven men, stood in this election, including the incumbent president, as self-nominated, and others fielded by political parties. Positively, recent amendments significantly reduced the number of supporting signatures required for candidate registration. Seventeen prospective candidates were rejected by the CEC, and six of them challenged the CEC decisions unsuccessfully in the Supreme Court. Remaining legal restrictions on candidates rights are contrary to OSCE commitments and other international standards, and limit the inclusiveness of the candidate registration process. Most candidates publicly expressed their certainty that the incumbent president would prevail in the election. With many of the candidates themselves stating that they did not expect to win, the election lacked genuine competition. Thus, efforts to increase the turnout predominated over the campaign of the contestants. -
Paul De La Morinerie MGIMO's French Connection He Relationship Between France and Russia Has “Tsomething Unique
#2/2018 The Trianon Dialogue in Versailles Aleksandar Vučić “Serbia is a genuine friend of the Russian people” MGIMO – Patrick Sciences Po Pouyanné 25 years “We need a renaissance of Excellence of courage in our leaders” Paul de La Morinerie MGIMO's French connection he relationship between France and Russia has “Tsomething unique. It arises from the attraction and mutual recognition of two peoples enamored of absolute, beauty and truth” Jacques Chirac CONTENTS A number of anniversaries 34 26 were celebrated at MGIMO: School of International Relations has turned 75, School of International Economy – 60, Journalism School – 50 101 12 MGIMO’s exchange agreement with Sciences Po 128 and Business School of Konstantin Palace is the state residence of Nancy opened doors for the Russian President just outside St. international students to 210 Petersburg. It is often referred to as Russia and France ‘Russian Versailles’. And it is no coincidence that V. Putin chose this venue for negotiations with his French counterpart 206 Anton Tokovinin (left) is in charge of MGIMO’s Proxenos Chorus. In 1948, a most high-profile Boris Belozerov is a member of diplomatic scandal took place two clubs – of the popular Russian between USSR and USA, which TV game show “What? Where? resulted in the consulates being When?” and of “World Energy 202 closed down 52 Policy” club START History and Modernity of the State Early in 2020, the current MGIMO VIP SERBIA Dialogue, which has emerged from a of Israel. The Ambassador of Israel Development Strategy will expire, meeting -
Small Business Collective Action and Its Effects on Administrative Modernization in Putin’S Russia from “Grabbing Hand” to “Helping Hand”?
LONDON SCHOOL OF ECONOMICS AND POLITICAL SCIENCE Small Business Collective Action and Its Effects on Administrative Modernization in Putin’s Russia From “Grabbing Hand” to “Helping Hand”? Brian Aitchison A thesis submitted to the Department of Government of the London School of Economics for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in Political Science, London, May 2014 1 Declaration I certify that the thesis I have presented for examination for the MPhil/PhD degree of the London School of Economics and Political Science is solely my own work other than where I have clearly indicated that it is the work of others (in which case the extent of any work carried out jointly by me and any other person is clearly identified in it). The copyright of this thesis rests with the author. Quotation from it is permitted, provided that full acknowledgement is made. This thesis may not be reproduced without my prior written consent. I warrant that this authorization does not, to the best of my belief, infringe the rights of any third party. I declare that my thesis consists of 64,203 words. A note on transliteration: this dissertation employs the “BGN/PCGN” transliteration system of the United States Board of Geographic Names (BGN) and the Permanent Committee on Geographical Names (PCGN) of the British government. 2 Abstract Throughout the 1990s and 2000s, epidemic corruption hindered Russia's economic performance. At the grassroots level, low-level administrative agents preyed on small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), exploiting Russia's ever-changing and loophole-ridden legal codes to extort rents from these relatively powerless firms who lacked the political connections necessary to protect themselves from these predations. -
Seven Economic Challenges for Russia
Seven economic challenges for Russia Breaking out of stagnation? IN-DEPTH ANALYSIS EPRS | European Parliamentary Research Service Author: Martin Russell Members' Research Service PE 625.138 – July 2018 EN This publication describes the current condition of the Russian economy, which has suffered recently from external shocks, such asa collapse in oil prices and Western sanctions. However, it argues that poor economic performance has more to do with long-term internal problems, including a lack of competitive markets, low levels of investment, an absence of innovation and excessive dependence on natural resources. Finally, it discusses President Putin's promises of economic reforms to tackle such issues, and evaluates the probability of major change. AUTHOR Martin Russell, External Policies Unit, Members' Research Service This paper has been drawn up by the Members' Research Service, within the Directorate-General for Parliamentary Research Services (EPRS) of the Secretariat of the European Parliament. To contact the authors, please email: [email protected] LINGUISTIC VERSIONS Original: EN Translations: DE, FR Manuscript completed in July 2018. DISCLAIMER AND COPYRIGHT This document is prepared for, and addressed to, the Members and staff of the European Parliament as background material to assist them in their parliamentary work. The content of the document is the sole responsibility of its author(s) and any opinions expressed herein should not be taken to represent an official position of the Parliament. Reproduction and translation for non-commercial purposes are authorised, provided the source is acknowledged and the European Parliament is given prior notice and sent a copy. Brussels © European Union, 2018. Photo credits: © logoboom / Fotolia. -
RUSSIA & CAUCASUS March 2018
RUSSIA & CAUCASUS March 2018 No News, Bad News Russian presidential elections are approaching. They do not present any surprise since there is no real competition. The outgoing President Putin has the certainty of being elected and as a result of the change in the Constitution that led to the 6-year presidential term already in force during the previous election, he will remain in office until 2024. With four presidential mandates (2000-2004 / 2004-2008 / 2012-2018 / 2018-2024) and one as Prime Minister 2008-2012, the Putin era is expected to reach a record length of quarter of century. If he will be tempted to get elected president for life like his Chinese colleague Xi Jinping, another constitutional change will be needed. With a parliament, already controlled through 75% of the seats by United Russia’s faithful deputies (339 out of 450), and an opposition of 105 deputies, more formal than substantial, it will not be difficult to pass such an amendment. The topic has not yet emerged, but the timing of the Chinese constitutional change that taking place during the same month makes us reflect. In the Russian political debate, open criticism to Putin is absent and no issues that might overshadow the President are raised. All seemingly alternative candidates, even on television, in advertising and on social networks, understand that it is not rewarding to criticize a leader who has a 70% popularity in the polls and they will have to settle for percentages that can reach 3% in the best case. All the attention is therefore concentrated not on issues, not on politics, but on voting turnout. -
Eurasian Economic Integration: Origins, Patterns, and Outlooks 42 Tatyana Valovaya 3
Eurasian intEgration YEarbook annual publication of the Eurasian Development bank Eurasian Integration Yearbook Annual publication of the Eurasian Development Bank УДК 338 ББК 65.9 Е 91 Eurasian Integration Yearbook 2012. – Almaty, 2012. – p. 360 ISBN 978-601-7151-30-0 Annual publication of the Eurasian Development Bank Edited by Evgeny Vinokurov The Eurasian Development Bank is an international financial institution established to promote economic growth and integration processes in Eurasia. The Bank was founded by the intergovernmental agreement signed in January 2006 by the Russian Federation and the Republic of Kazakhstan. Tajikistan, Belarus, Armenia and Kyrgyzstan joined the Bank in 2009- 2011. Electric power, transportation infrastructure and high-tech and innovative industries are key areas for Bank’s financial activity. In line with its charter, the Bank views information and research support for integration in Eurasia as a priority of its analytical work. ISBN 978-601-7151-30-0 УДК 338 ББК 65.9 © Eurasian Development Bank, 2012 Eurasian Development Bank Address: 220, Dostyk ave., Almaty, 050051, Republic of Kazakhstan, Telephone: +7 (727) 244 40 44, Fax: +7 (727) 244 65 70, 291 42 63 E-mail: [email protected] http://www.eabr.org Coordinator: Gulnaz Imamniyazova, EDB Design, layout, and printing: RUAN Publishing Company The EDB’s special acknowledgements go to Tatyana Ossennikova, Ekaterina Kopylova, Hannah Dyson and Jonathan Elliot Stephany Droop for translating and editing materials for the Yearbook in English. No part of this publication may be reprinted or reproduced or utilised in any form, including reprinting and recording of any kind, without due reference to this publication. -
Elena Thesis 15 03 2013
Alma Mater Studiorum – Università di Bologna DOTTORATO DI RICERCA IN DIRITTO DELL’ECONOMIA E DELLE RELAZIONI INDUSTRIALI: INDIRIZZO “DIRITTO ED ECONOMIA – LAW AND ECONOMICS” Ciclo 24 Settore Concorsuale di afferenza: 12/E2 diritto comparato Settore Scientifico disciplinare: IUS/21 diritto pubblico comparato TITOLO TESI “BIRTH, DEVELOPMENT AND PROGRESSIVE INSTITUTIONALIZATION OF THE OMBUDSMAN IN THE RUSSIAN LEGAL AND POLITICAL SYSTEM” Presentata da: Elena OSIPOVA Coordinatore Dottorato Relatore Prof. Riccardo LEONCINI Prof. Silvia NICODEMO Prof. Nicola DE LISO Esame finale anno 2013 Contents Introduction ........................................................................................................ 4 Chapter 1. Constitutional Framework of the Russian Federation .............. 11 1.1. Rights and their guarantees in the constitutional framework of the Russian Federation .................................................................................................... 12 1.2. The role of international instruments for human rights protection ................. 17 1.3. The complimentary function of the Ombudsman to other mechanisms for the protection and promotion of human rights ............................... 20 1.4. Legislation on Ombudsman in the subjects of the Russian Federation… .............................................................................................................. 22 Chapter 2. The ombudsman institution: historical origins and development ............................................................................................................... -
Economic & Political Outlook 2018
ECONOMIC & POLITICAL OUTLOOK 2018 RUSSIA BEFORE AND AFTER PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS Vadim Grishin G-GLOBAL February 28, 2018 USRBC| U.S. – Russia Business Council Russian Presidential Candidates Approval Rating, %, 2018 69.9 70 69.5 60 50 Approval Rating, %, 2018 January 40 30 Approval Rating, %, 20 2018 February 7.2 7.5 10 5.9 5.3 0.91.4 1.2 0.9 0 0.4 0.3 0.3 0 0.1 0 Source: VCIOM PAVEL GRUDININ • A change in economic strategy • A return to economic sovereignty in Russia • A return to credit use in the economy • Further industrialization and modernization of the economy • Price controls for basic products and essential goods, along with utility tariffs • A return to free education and medical care • A return to soviet style democracy and “people's representation” VLADIMIR ZHIRINOVSKY • No one will be unemployed, homeless or hungry • Passports will be issued to all ethnic Russians, including those abroad • Advocates rapid development of the road networks and trains that travel 400 km/h • Wants to deliver a powerful blow to crime and create military courts; cancel moratorium on death penalty • Remove the President’s Residence from the Kremlin • Would not allow more than 10% of negative information to be broadcast • Would abolish the Federal Council • Wants to limit the number of immigrants coming to Russia GRIGORY YAVLINSKY - Stop the aggressive confrontations and the war against Ukraine - Accept and implement strictly plans for a phased withdrawal of Russian troops from Syria - Normalize diplomatic, economic and military relations with the -
The 2018 Presidential Election in Russia
The 2018 Presidential Election in Russia POLICY BRIEF / APRIL 2018 AUTHOR: VSEVOLOD VERESHCHAHIN The 2018 Presidential Election in Russia Policy Brief – Vsevolod Vereshchahin, April 2018 Lately, the elections in Russia have the ruling regime were registered. So, ceased to be taken seriously as the octet of candidates running for the elections. Vladimir Putin, the world- presidency was consisted of: famous leader of Russia, was Vladimir Putin, who was nominated for predictably re-elected for his fourth the presidency for the fourth time. term in the office. Thus, Putin received Critics drew attention to the fact that a mandate to run the country until Putin's nomination even for a third 2024, which makes his mandate the term contradicts the constitution, but second longest in terms of its duration the CEC interpreted the article in such a in modern Russian history, after Stalin. way that no one can run for the presidency more than twice in a row. Thus, Putin´s candidacy was not According to the Chairman of the considered as a problem because Constitutional Court of the Russian Dmitrij Medvedev was ruling the Federation Zorkin, the most accurate country from 2008 to 2012. Vladimir name for Russian form of government Putin´s program was the Message to the is a mixed presidential-parliamentary Federal Assembly, delivered on March republic. In the Russian reality this 1, 2018, which had a great (but not only positive) response in the society. means that the president has very broad According to official figures, during the powers and is fully the head of election he scored 76.69% of the vote. -
PDF | Russian Presidential Election: Clear Outcome
15 March 2018 Russian Presidential Election: Clear outcome, Snap unclear economic effects Russians head to the polls this weekend to choose their next President for 2018-2024. There is no intrigue over the winner, but the PM chair, composition of the cabinet and its ability to push through Putin's recently announced priorities remain unclear Source: shutterstock Vladimir Putin set to win This Sunday, 18th of March, Russians will cast their votes for the next President for 2018-2024. According to the latest reports of the Russian Public Opinion Research Center (VCIOM), sentiment has been rather sticky and stable ahead of the vote. The overwhelming majority of voters (69%) support the incumbent president, Vladimir Putin, “if the elections take place this weekend”. Other candidates seem to be “out of the race” with Pavel Grudinin (a businessman, The Communist Party candidate) and Vladimir Zhirinovsky (Liberal Democrats) gaining 7% and 5% of the votes, respectively. Ksenia Sobchak (daughter of ex-Putin boss in Saint-Petersburg, a candidate of opposition Civil Initiative party) has 2% of the vote. Grigory Yavlinsky (Yabloko party), Sergei Baburin (Russian All People Union), Boris Titov (Growth Party) and Maxim Suraykin (Communists of Russia) are all outsiders with 1% or less. Forecasts based on the poll and expected turnout rate (63-66%) assign 69-73% to Putin, 10-14% to Grudinin, 8-12% to Zhirinovsky, 2-3% to Sobchak and 1-2% to others. VCIOM opinion poll (5-9 March) Turnout is key Despite a predictable outcome, one of the key concerns for officials is voter turnout, with the local authorities (especially in major cities), media and even various state and non-state companies putting in a lot of effort to “attract people to vote”. -
Analytical Report Censorship and Manipulation: How the Media Affected the Outcome of the Presidential Election in Russia
The Movement for the Defense of Voters’ Rights "Golos" golosinfo.org Moscow, April 9, 2018 Analytical report Censorship and manipulation: How the media affected the outcome of the presidential election in Russia Respect for equality of candidates’ rights in the mass media during the 2018 presidential election in Russia The movement “Golos” conducted a media monitoring program to analyze the situation in the media regarding observing constitutionally protected election principles during the presidential election campaign in the Russian Federation. From 22 January till 18 March 2018, “Golos” carried out weekly monitoring of five central TV channels.1 The movement analyzed election-relevant content of news reports of the Channel One, Russia 1, NTV, Ren-TV, and Channel Five. For many Russians, television is one of the main sources of information. During the election campaign, it has a decisive influence on the opinion of most voters about the elections and the candidates.2 Within the framework of the monitoring program, “Golos” conducted a quantitative analysis of media mentions each candidate received based on the data from the “Medialogy” system. The system analyzes 40,805 sources, including 11 federal TV channels, 36 radio stations, 528 magazines, 540 news agencies, 1,974 newspapers, 34,905 online media sources, and 2,574 blogs; it covers all regions of Russia. The database is updated daily. The observation period using the "Medialogy" system covered the official time of the election campaign (18 December 2017 – 18 March 2018). “Golos” expresses its gratitude to the team of volunteers who for two months analyzed the news releases of the central television channels, and to regional long-term observers of “Golos” whose information is also used in this report. -
Analytical Digest Russian
No. 217 26 March 2018 russian analytical digest www.css.ethz.ch/en/publications/rad.html www.laender-analysen.de RUSSIAN PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS ■■ANALYSIS The Fight for Turnout: Growing Personalism in the Russian Presidential Elections of 2018 2 By Margarita Zavadskaya, Aleksanteri Institute, University of Helsinki & European University at St. Petersburg ■■ANALYSIS Putin Wins! Engineering an Election without Surprises 5 By Eugene Huskey, Stetson University ■■DOCUMENTATION Election Report by the “Golos” Movement 8 EPDE Protests Against Classification As “Undesirable Organization” in Russia 10 ■■STATISTICS Coverage of Candidates in the Russian Presidential Elections 2018 by Various Russian TV Channels 11 ■■DOCUMENTATION Results of the Presidential Elections 2018 12 Institute for European, Research Centre Center for Center for German Association for Russian, and Eurasian Studies for East European Studies Security Studies Eastern European Studies East European Studies The George Washington University University of Bremen ETH Zurich University of Zurich RUSSIAN ANALYTICAL DIGEST No. 217, 26 March 2018 2 ANALYSIS The Fight for Turnout: Growing Personalism in the Russian Presidential Elections of 2018 By Margarita Zavadskaya, Aleksanteri Institute, University of Helsinki & European University at St. Petersburg Abstract The role of presidential elections in sustaining authoritarianism differs from legislative elections because they are closely intertwined with the personalism associated with presidential power. The Russian political regime is moving toward a consolidated personalist authoritarianism where presidential elections signal the leader’s strength and divide the opposition by increasing voter turnout. Why Hold Elections? Elections support autocracies in a variety of ways: In “Fiddler on the Roof,” the well-known musical based decreasing the uncertainty that is endemic in all non- on the works of Sholem Aleichem, Tevye the milkman democratic regimes, coopting the elites, and dividing suddenly questions his wife Golda after several years of the opposition.