stbshmnts ervices Cultural services Games of chance Recreational and sporting s Restaurants, cafes etc Accommodation services Hairdressing salons & personal grooming e COICOPS CODE 9.4.1 9.4.2 9.4.3 11.1.1 11.2 12.1.1 North East 242 438 185 1698 216 136 South East 258 420 169 1651 229 139 South West 373 536 192 2146 333 182 West 326 495 184 1954 292 162 CAZ 116 162 51 691 101 51

Inner 694 1,074 368 4,457 603 334 Outer London 896 1,383 557 5,329 811 475 1,590 2,456 925 9,786 1,414 809

237

APPENDIX 8 - RESULTS FROM STAGE 2A (BASE SCENARIO)

Turnover estimates – base scenario

A8.1 The following tables summarise expenditure on comparison goods for 2006-2031. The 2031 figures are based on the ‘Baseline’ scenario. This assumes that there will be no further development in London, but that population, workforce and expenditure will grow according to GLA/Experian forecasts

A8.2 The tables list the classification of each centre (International, Metropolitan, Major, District). ‘Additional’ has been used to describe retail centres where no classification is available: these include retail warehouse parks, out-of-town shopping malls, neighbourhood centres and convenience superstores.

238

Table 3: Modelled comparison goods expenditure for town centres (2006 – 2031) Base scenario. Modelled Expenditure (£m) Centre Name Classification Borough Floorspace (m²) 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 Barking & Dagenham Major Barking and Dagenham 20,446 88 104 124 157 198 258 Chadwell Heath District Barking and Dagenham 5,275 14 17 19 24 29 37 Dagenham & Heathway District Barking and Dagenham 10,382 35 41 48 60 75 97 Residual Residual Barking and Dagenham 33,594 61 71 84 104 131 169 Edgware Major Barnet 22,143 92 108 131 162 201 256 Brent Street District Barnet 2,705 20 24 29 36 45 56 District Barnet 9,051 37 44 53 65 81 103 Chipping Barnet District Barnet 13,489 83 98 118 146 182 229 Church End, Finchley District Barnet 7,934 60 70 84 104 127 158 /The Hyde District Barnet 5,959 15 20 25 30 39 54 East Finchley District Barnet 4,204 16 18 21 26 31 38 Golders Green District Barnet 5,747 20 24 29 36 44 55 Hendon central District Barnet 11,715 31 37 45 55 69 87 Mill Hill District Barnet 8,706 22 26 32 39 49 62 New Barnet District Barnet 10,558 23 27 32 40 49 62 North Finchley District Barnet 24,813 46 54 65 80 97 121 Temple Fortune District Barnet 8,815 32 38 46 57 70 87 Whetstone District Barnet 6,494 21 24 29 36 44 55 Residual Residual Barnet 172,887 495 580 701 865 1070 1354 Bexleyheath Major Bexley 48,831 247 287 342 424 527 666 Crayford District Bexley 6,504 42 50 60 74 93 117 District Bexley 7,700 20 23 27 34 43 55 Sidcup District Bexley 9,474 37 43 50 62 76 96 Welling District Bexley 19,563 55 62 73 90 112 143

239

Modelled Expenditure (£m) Centre Name Classification Borough Floorspace (m²) 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 Residual Residual Bexley 8,864 21 24 29 36 44 55 Kilburn Major Brent 20,230 76 90 108 133 164 206 Major Brent 16,388 26 31 37 45 57 73 District Brent 30,638 72 85 102 126 155 194 Ealing Road District Brent 2,290 11 13 15 18 22 29 District Brent 10,972 30 35 41 50 62 79 Kenton District Brent 4,055 16 19 21 26 32 40 Kingsbury District Brent 6,862 36 42 49 60 74 95 District Brent 2,573 17 19 22 26 34 46 Preston Road District Brent 2,155 8 9 10 13 16 20 District Brent 8,482 18 21 25 30 37 47 Green District Brent 7,437 17 20 23 29 35 43 Residual Residual Brent 48,656 211 247 294 360 447 567 Bromley Metropolitan Bromley 108,222 444 515 607 749 924 1,163 Major Bromley 28,462 83 95 112 138 171 218 Beckenham District Bromley 8,848 34 39 45 55 67 83 Crystal Palace District Bromley 3,491 16 18 21 26 31 39 Penge District Bromley 12,250 28 31 36 44 54 67 Petts Wood District Bromley 7,238 21 24 27 33 41 51 West Wickham District Bromley 10,025 52 59 68 83 102 128 Residual Residual Bromley 40,737 110 128 149 185 230 294 Camden Town Major Camden 27,037 287 345 418 522 651 831 Hampstead District Camden 8,459 48 55 67 82 100 123 Kentish Town District Camden 7,432 52 60 70 87 107 135 Swiss Cottage/Finchley Road District Camden 12,172 41 48 58 71 87 108 West Hampstead District Camden 3,024 18 20 25 31 37 45

240

Modelled Expenditure (£m) Centre Name Classification Borough Floorspace (m²) 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 Residual Residual Camden 31,478 96 116 141 179 223 285 Cheapside CAZ Frontage City of London 8,995 46 56 68 86 108 139 Fleet Street CAZ Frontage City of London 4,790 24 29 35 44 56 71 Leadenhall Market CAZ Frontage City of London 9,120 35 43 53 68 85 109 Liverpool Street CAZ Frontage City of London 23,143 187 224 272 342 429 549 Moorgate CAZ Frontage City of London 27,433 228 272 329 413 516 659 Residual Residual City of London 67,645 420 503 607 767 958 1222 Croydon Metropolitan Croydon 180,531 636 738 862 1,053 1,289 1,612 Addiscombe District Croydon 3,490 18 21 24 29 36 44 Coulsdon District Croydon 6,396 18 21 26 32 39 49 Norbury District Croydon 14,669 32 37 42 51 64 82 Purley District Croydon 6,148 14 16 19 23 29 36 South Norwood District Croydon 5,166 12 13 15 19 22 28 Thornton Heath District Croydon 12,672 28 32 37 45 55 69 Upper Norwood District Croydon 4,617 15 17 20 24 30 37 Residual Residual Croydon 122,487 491 568 663 810 995 1250 Ealing Metropolitan Ealing 39,576 239 277 326 400 486 605 Southall Major Ealing 23,572 76 88 105 129 163 213 Acton District Ealing 8,696 28 32 38 47 56 69 Greenford District Ealing 7,952 22 25 29 36 45 59 Hanwell District Ealing 3,902 7 8 9 11 14 19 Residual Residual Ealing 56,576 135 155 179 219 272 349 Enfield Town Major Enfield 30,888 178 206 244 301 375 476 Angel Edmonton District Enfield 9,569 13 15 17 21 26 33 Edmonton Green District Enfield 11,800 14 16 18 22 27 35 Palmers Green District Enfield 10,263 29 33 38 47 57 71

241

Modelled Expenditure (£m) Centre Name Classification Borough Floorspace (m²) 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 Southgate District Enfield 8,141 24 28 33 40 48 60 Residual Residual Enfield 80,469 192 222 263 322 400 511 Eltham Major Greenwich 27,198 109 126 149 184 230 293 Woolwich Major Greenwich 30,385 187 220 263 326 411 532 Greenwich West District Greenwich 6,713 28 34 42 53 65 81 Plumstead District Greenwich 2,644 7 8 9 11 14 18 Thamesmead District Greenwich 6,308 25 29 34 41 52 70 Residual Residual Greenwich 58,522 148 176 212 266 331 422 Dalston Major Hackney 25,567 73 86 102 126 157 200 Finsbury Park District Hackney 12,353 28 32 38 47 58 73 Mare Street District Hackney 12,464 38 46 54 68 84 107 Stoke Newington District Hackney 7,457 35 40 47 58 73 94 Residual Residual Hackney 19,338 78 93 110 137 171 218 Fulham Major Hammersmith and Fulham 5,831 85 103 125 156 193 242 Hammersmith Major Hammersmith and Fulham 26,345 150 175 207 255 309 381 Shepherds Bush District Hammersmith and Fulham 14,095 97 113 133 164 200 249 Residual Residual Hammersmith and Fulham 24,564 91 106 125 152 183 224 Wood Green Metropolitan Haringey 76,828 299 347 406 499 613 769 Crouch End District Haringey 11,165 34 39 45 55 66 82 Green Lanes District Haringey 4,928 14 17 20 24 30 38 Muswell Hill District Haringey 10,084 50 57 67 82 98 119 Tottenham District Haringey 5,751 33 38 44 55 69 89 West Green Road District Haringey 3,682 18 20 23 29 36 46 Residual Residual Haringey 26,186 119 137 160 197 246 316 Harrow Metropolitan Harrow 69,401 308 355 418 511 625 782 North Harrow District Harrow 1,887 9 11 12 15 18 23

242

Modelled Expenditure (£m) Centre Name Classification Borough Floorspace (m²) 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 Pinner District Harrow 5,354 14 16 18 22 27 33 Rayners Lane District Harrow 5,801 14 16 18 22 27 34 South Harrow District Harrow 7,714 27 31 35 43 53 68 Stanmore District Harrow 2,925 14 16 19 24 29 36 Wealdstone District Harrow 10,144 27 31 36 44 54 66 Residual Residual Harrow 12,508 27 30 35 43 52 65 Romford Metropolitan Havering 103,730 355 417 494 611 753 943 Collier Row District Havering 4,393 20 24 28 34 42 53 Elm Park District Havering 1,858 4 5 5 6 8 10 Harold Hill District Havering 3,345 9 11 13 16 20 25 Hornchurch District Havering 11,710 40 46 54 66 81 100 Rainham District Havering 5,969 10 12 15 18 23 29 Upminster District Havering 12,867 53 61 73 90 110 138 Residual Residual Havering 58,821 123 143 171 210 258 323 Uxbridge Metropolitan Hillingdon 74,811 331 381 451 552 676 843 Eastcote District Hillingdon 6,019 19 22 25 31 37 47 Hayes District Hillingdon 12,246 45 52 61 75 93 118 Northwood District Hillingdon 2,965 15 18 21 26 31 39 Ruislip District Hillingdon 11,213 44 50 59 71 87 109 Yiewsley/West Drayton District Hillingdon 6,823 25 29 34 42 51 63 Residual Residual Hillingdon 91,872 245 281 331 406 501 633 Hounslow Metropolitan Hounslow 68,602 269 315 373 458 569 725 Chiswick Major Hounslow 22,286 165 193 228 280 338 416 Brentford District Hounslow 4,386 19 22 26 31 38 48 Feltham High Street District Hounslow 13,871 41 48 57 69 87 112 Residual Residual Hounslow 29,991 56 66 76 95 116 150

243

Modelled Expenditure (£m) Centre Name Classification Borough Floorspace (m²) 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 Angel Major Islington 31,321 186 220 262 327 406 513 Nags Head Major Islington 27,746 107 125 147 182 226 286 Archway District Islington 7,100 29 33 39 48 58 72 Residual Residual Islington 12,496 58 67 79 97 120 151 Kensington High Street Major Kensington and Chelsea 54,373 257 309 375 467 573 713 Kings Road East Major Kensington and Chelsea 80,045 338 420 519 653 817 1,044 Fulham Road (east) District Kensington and Chelsea 15,974 117 140 169 210 258 323 Earls Court Road District Kensington and Chelsea 14,645 26 30 35 44 52 64 Fulham Road (west) District Kensington and Chelsea 16,577 59 70 84 104 127 159 Kings Road (west) District Kensington and Chelsea 15,616 56 69 84 106 132 167 Notting Hill Gate District Kensington and Chelsea 9,751 42 52 64 80 101 128 Portobello Road District Kensington and Chelsea 23,549 127 151 180 224 278 352 South Kensington District Kensington and Chelsea 5,874 42 49 58 72 87 108 Residual Residual Kensington and Chelsea 31,929 145 170 203 253 311 388 Kingston Metropolitan Kingston upon Thames 169,489 646 754 901 1,113 1,370 1,715 New Malden District Kingston upon Thames 12,862 31 36 42 52 65 82 Surbiton District Kingston upon Thames 6,881 20 23 27 34 42 53 Tolworth District Kingston upon Thames 7,605 22 26 31 38 47 60 Residual Residual Kingston upon Thames 22,481 45 52 61 76 94 120 Brixton Major Lambeth 30,810 86 101 119 148 185 236 Streatham Major Lambeth 19,864 65 75 88 108 133 168 Clapham High Street District Lambeth 8,964 45 52 61 76 93 118 Stockwell District Lambeth 12,708 14 16 19 23 28 36 Tulse Hill District Lambeth 3,530 7 8 9 11 13 16 West Norwood District Lambeth 6,901 8 9 11 13 16 20 Lower Marsh CAZ Frontage Lambeth 10,721 42 51 62 79 99 125

244

Modelled Expenditure (£m) Centre Name Classification Borough Floorspace (m²) 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 Residual Residual Lambeth 19,583 38 44 51 65 81 104 Catford Major Lewisham 9,056 49 57 66 82 101 129 Lewisham Major Lewisham 49,788 248 290 344 427 524 658 Lee Green District Lewisham 2,345 11 12 14 18 22 28 Blackheath District Lewisham 1,827 3 3 4 5 6 7 Deptford District Lewisham 9,331 23 28 33 42 51 62 Downham District Lewisham 4,646 5 5 6 7 10 13 Forest Hill District Lewisham 3,685 22 25 29 36 44 55 New Cross District Lewisham 16,927 29 35 42 52 63 78 Sydenham District Lewisham 8,765 22 25 29 36 44 56 Residual Residual Lewisham 23,958 54 64 76 94 116 150 Wimbledon Major Merton 47,799 240 276 325 398 487 606 Mitcham District Merton 5,463 30 35 40 49 60 76 Morden District Merton 5,741 27 31 36 45 55 70 Residual Residual Merton 44,869 121 139 162 199 244 304 East Ham Major Newham 20,728 101 119 142 179 226 293 Stratford Major Newham 22,514 129 158 196 245 305 388 Canning Town District Newham 12,196 19 25 31 41 52 69 East Beckton District Newham 12,489 24 30 36 46 60 80 Forest Gate District Newham 11,205 34 41 49 61 76 97 Upton Park District Newham 22,184 67 80 95 119 149 193 Residual Residual Newham 56,763 148 177 213 268 342 446 Ilford Metropolitan Redbridge 127,546 365 432 513 637 793 1,010 Barkingside District Redbridge 8,389 39 46 54 67 83 106 Gants Hill District Redbridge 5,701 31 36 43 52 65 82 South Woodford District Redbridge 10,739 29 34 40 49 60 75

245

Modelled Expenditure (£m) Centre Name Classification Borough Floorspace (m²) 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 Wanstead District Redbridge 5,027 15 17 21 25 31 38 Residual Residual Redbridge 36,845 99 116 137 170 211 266 Richmond Major Richmond upon Thames 38,027 196 229 271 333 408 510 East Sheen District Richmond upon Thames 10,203 51 59 70 85 104 129 Teddington District Richmond upon Thames 9,648 30 35 42 51 63 80 Twickenham District Richmond upon Thames 13,110 39 47 56 69 85 108 Whitton District Richmond Upon Thames 5,236 10 11 13 16 20 27 Residual Residual Richmond upon Thames 39,341 120 139 165 201 248 312 Peckham Major Southwark 27,640 92 110 133 168 207 263 Camberwell District Southwark 6,425 33 39 47 59 73 94 Dulwich - Lordship Lane District Southwark 5,741 18 21 25 31 38 46 Elephant and Castle District Southwark 4,184 20 24 29 37 46 60 Surrey Quays District Southwark 18,532 71 89 111 142 177 223 Walworth Road District Southwark 21,349 99 117 142 179 225 291 Borough High Street CAZ Frontage Southwark 17,885 108 133 164 208 260 333 Residual Residual Southwark 40,553 142 171 208 265 330 423 Sutton Metropolitan Sutton 95,782 325 376 443 544 666 830 Cheam District Sutton 6,128 13 15 18 22 27 33 North Cheam District Sutton 5,682 26 30 35 43 53 67 Rosehill District Sutton 2,087 13 15 17 21 26 34 Wallington District Sutton 7,169 18 21 25 30 37 47 Worcester Park District Sutton 10,035 22 25 30 37 46 58 Residual Residual Sutton 6,930 31 34 40 49 59 74 Canary Wharf Major Tower Hamlets 36,300 272 338 417 531 663 847 Bethnal Green District Tower Hamlets 7,387 40 49 59 75 93 120 Chrisp Street District Tower Hamlets 11,008 24 30 37 48 60 77

246

Modelled Expenditure (£m) Centre Name Classification Borough Floorspace (m²) 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 Crossharbour District Tower Hamlets 5,741 5 5 6 7 10 13 Poplar District Tower Hamlets 4,799 28 36 44 57 72 93 Roman Road (east) District Tower Hamlets 12,404 31 38 47 59 73 94 Watney Market District Tower Hamlets 12,698 87 106 130 166 209 269 Whitechapel District Tower Hamlets 5,136 32 40 49 63 79 102 Residual Residual Tower Hamlets 38,433 152 188 231 291 369 476 Walthamstow Major Waltham Forest 40,083 263 307 361 443 547 696 Bakers Arms District Waltham Forest 14,784 29 34 39 48 59 74 Leyton - High Road Leyton District Waltham Forest 3,642 13 16 19 23 28 35 Leytonstone District Waltham Forest 16,886 46 55 66 81 99 124 North Chingford District Waltham Forest 8,527 24 29 34 42 52 67 South Chingford District Waltham Forest 9,053 23 27 32 39 48 61 Wood Street District Waltham Forest 3,735 12 14 16 20 24 30 Residual Residual Waltham Forest 12,088 24 29 36 44 54 69 Major 34,377 159 184 218 269 330 414 Major Wandsworth 28,100 152 177 209 257 314 391 Tooting Major Wandsworth 33,000 187 215 252 309 378 472 Wandsworth Major Wandsworth 21,969 84 98 115 142 174 217 Balham District Wandsworth 9,598 28 32 38 46 56 69 Residual Residual Wandsworth 31,340 89 102 119 148 182 229 Knightsbridge International Westminster 148,518 842 1,009 1,224 1,523 1,894 2,396 West End International Westminster 858,396 4,179 5,102 6,265 7,847 9,818 12,495 Queensway/Westbourne Grove Major Westminster 24,700 154 181 216 267 329 412 Edgware Road/Church Street District Westminster 9,283 68 80 95 118 146 183 Harrow Road District Westminster 4,081 26 31 36 44 55 70 Praed Street/Paddington District Westminster 10,888 45 53 63 78 96 121

247

Modelled Expenditure (£m) Centre Name Classification Borough Floorspace (m²) 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 St John's Wood District Westminster 4,373 27 31 38 46 57 72 Edgware Road South CAZ Frontage Westminster 1,719 5 6 8 9 12 16 Marylebone High Street CAZ Frontage Westminster 20,007 149 174 207 257 316 395 Victoria Street CAZ Frontage Westminster 37,362 248 290 345 429 529 668 Warwick Way/Tachbrook St CAZ Frontage Westminster 8,214 32 37 45 56 70 90 Residual Residual Westminster 34,161 94 108 127 157 201 257

248

APPENDIX 9 - PIPELINE DEVELOPMENTS

List of pipeline developments

7.18 The scale and timelines for the major retail developments and redevelopments that are proposed for London over the coming years have been assessed by the GLA and consultants and evaluated by the boroughs in terms of accuracy. The information has been gathered from the public domain, directly from the boroughs, and estimated/modelled in developments for which actual data is not forthcoming. Using the model, Experian then estimated the extent to which the new developments will affect consumer patterns and expenditure flows throughout London. Understanding the nature and scale of these developments will help formulate a picture of how London’s retailing landscape will evolve over the next decade and beyond.

7.19 The following major retail developments are either committed, approved or proposed to commence in the short to medium term:

249

Table 4: List of Pipeline developments by Borough

Additional Comparison Year of Borough Site Name Status Planning Ref No. Floorspace Completion (m2)

Barking and Dagenham Fresh Wharf Estate, Fresh Wharf Road 7,440 FY2007 Pending decision - Barking and Dagenham Town Square, Phase 2, Clockhouse Avenue 3,604 Under construction Under construction 06/01249/REM Barking and Dagenham Lidl - site of Robin Hood Public House, Longbridge Road 1,113 Not started Not Started 06/01230/FUL Barking and Dagenham Fishing Smack , Abbey Road 202 Pending Not Started 07/00136/FUL Barnet Brent Cross Cricklewood 60,776 - Application - Barnet 612-614, Finchley Road 2,166 FY2008 Not started C02948AM/02 Barnet Former Courts Unit, Staples Corner Retail Park, 200, Edgware Road 2,142 FY2009 Not started C03021DF/06 Barnet Grahame Park Estate, Lanacre Avenue 1,870 FY2009 Not started W01731JS/04 Barnet Staples Corner Retail Park, Edgware Road 1,012 FY2008 Not started C09777CB03 Barnet Unit C1 Brent Cross Shopping Centre, Prince Charles Drive 854 FY2007 Not started W00560ML/06 Bexley B & Q Plc Sidcup, Sidcup-By-Pass 30,261 Not started Not started 06/05574/OUTM Bexley BT Crayford TSVC, 1, Roman Way 3,595 Not started Not started 06/03405/OUTM Bexley Upper Wickham Lane 1,026 FY2008 Not started 0202574F Bexley Site Of Erith Small Business Centre & Former Odeon Building, Erith High Street 981 Unknown Under construction - Bexley In the area of Tavy Bridge, Tavy Bridge 906 Not started Not started 04/03641/OUTEA Bexley J Sainsbury, Stadium Way 267 Not started Not started 06/11504/FULM Bexley Embassy Court & 102, Welling High Street 237 Not started Not started 06/02680/FULM Brent , 399 Edgware Road 14,677 Unknown Permission 06/1652 Brent Central Square, Station Grove 8,176 01/06/2008 Under Construction 681239 Brent Land Next To Wembley Stadium Station, South Way 5,980 FY2007 Not started -

250

Additional Comparison Year of Borough Site Name Status Planning Ref No. Floorspace Completion (m2)

Brent 1-11 & 20-41, Central Square 2,976 Unknown Under construction - Brent Land Surrounding Wembley Stadium, Engineers Way 2,944 FY2009 Not started - Brent Land Surrounding Wembley Stadium, Plot W04, Empire Way 2,734 FY2009 Not started - Brent 1a,1b,1c,2a,2b,3-9inc, & 18 Wembley Retail Park, Engineers Way 1,992 FY2009 Not started - Brent Allied, 3, Burnt Oak Broadway 1,732 FY2010 Not started - Brent Marvelfairs House, 255, Ealing Road 1,600 FY2008 Not started - Brent Asda Superstore, Forty Lane 1,115 Unknown Not started - Bromley Bromley Town Centre 38,000 - Part of Bromley AAP - Bromley Land At Nugent Industrial Park, Cray Avenue 11,318 FY2009 Not started - Bromley 25-33 , 67-71, High Street 8,218 FY2008 Not started - Bromley Multistorey Car Park, Earls Way 6,404 FY2010 Not started - Bromley Extension, High Street 3,790 01/04/2008 Under Construction - Camden Kings Cross Railway Lands, York Way 24,800 FY2009 Not started - Camden The Stables Market, Stanley Sidings, Chalk Farm Road 3,496 FY2007 Under construction - Camden 227-233, Tottenham Court Road 2,314 Unknown Under construction - Camden 21-31, New Oxford Street 2,000 Unknown Under construction - Camden Safeway Store, Chalk Farm Road 1,764 FY2007 Not started - Camden 121-126, High Holborn 1,748 Unknown Under construction - Camden 146-162, Kilburn High Road 1,564 FY2010 Not started - Camden The , Finchley Road 1,488 FY2007 Under construction - Camden 44-48, Birchington Road 1,283 Unknown Not started - Camden Land Adjacent To Stables Market (Site/Building D), Chalk Farm Road 965 FY2008 Not started - Camden 37-63, Fortune Green Road 858 Unknown Under construction -

251

Additional Comparison Year of Borough Site Name Status Planning Ref No. Floorspace Completion (m2)

Camden 64-70, Camden High Street 843 FY2008 Not started - City of London , 9-36 Cheapside, Bread Street, 85 Watling Street 12,793 01/09/2010 Under Construction - City of London 15-22, Cornhill 6,264 Unknown Under construction - City of London Walbrook Square, Bucklesbury House 4,900 Unknown Permission - City of London 22 - 24, Bishopsgate 3,187 FY2009 Not started - City of London Bow Bells House, 9, Bread Street 1,011 Unknown Under construction - City of London Regina House, 1-5, Queen Street 872 FY2009 Not started - City of London 39, Cornhill 800 FY2007 Not started - City of London Land Bounded By, Mark Lane 0 Unknown Under construction - City of London 2 Southampton Buildings, 311-318, High Holborn 0 Unknown Under construction - City of London Condor House, 10, St Paul's Churchyard 0 Unknown Under construction - Croydon , Park Street 36,707 01/07/2011 Permission 00/2350/P Croydon 500, Purley Way 10,730 FY2007 Not started - Croydon Bishop's Court At The Whitgift, George Street 8,390 01/09/2008 Permission 03/03064/P Croydon Purley Way, 226 Purley Way 1,520 Unknown Permission - Croydon Shopping Centre, North End 119 Unknown Permission 06/04744/P Ealing Arcadia Centre, The Broadway 16,360 Unknown Application P/2007/4246 Ealing (No.2), And Adjoining Sites Of, Alexandria Road 3,956 Unknown Under construction - Ealing Daniel Department Store-96, Uxbridge Road 2,845 Unknown Under construction - Ealing Brentside Works And, 1-2, Brent Crescent 2,515 FY2007 Not started - Ealing Phase 2, Part Of South Acton Estate, Bollo Bridge Road 1,992 FY2009 Not started - Ealing 309, Ruislip Road East 1,122 Unknown Under construction - Ealing 7-11, New Broadway 853 FY2010 Not started -

252

Additional Comparison Year of Borough Site Name Status Planning Ref No. Floorspace Completion (m2)

Ealing The Former " Victory" Public House, King Street 831 Unknown Under construction - Ealing Waitrose (No.2), And Adjoining Sites Of, Alexandria Road 0 Unknown Under construction - Enfield Edmonton Grn Shopping Centre & Adjacent, The Broadway 17,472 Unknown Under construction - Enfield Edmonton Green Shopping Centre, Market Square 11,000 01/12/2008 Under Construction - Enfield 109-111, Cecil Road 2,566 Unknown Under construction - Enfield Ravenside Retail Park, Ravenside Close 1,999 Unknown Not Started - Enfield Land At & Adjoining Units 12-17, North Side, Market Square 1,370 FY2007 Not started - Enfield 198-232, Great Cambridge Road 1,200 FY2009 Not started - Greenwich Woolwich Town Regeneration Site, Hare Street 22,297 01/04/2011 Application 07/2335/O Greenwich Woolwich Town Centre, Love Lane 12,000 2010 Construction started 06/1750 Greenwich Greenwich Reach, Creek Road 3,000 01/01/2005 Construction started 05/1386 Greenwich Tripcock Point, Thamesmead 1,442 Unknown Not started - Greenwich Lidl, 135 - 143, Eltham High Street 801 FY2009 Construction started - Greenwich The Royal Arsenal/Warren, Warren Lane 495 Unknown Not started 05/2363/O Hackney Car Park, Rear Kingsland Shopping Centre, Kingsland High Street 3,040 FY2008 Not started - Hackney Eagle House Land Bounded By, 159-189, City Road 1,017 FY2009 Not started - Hackney Land South Of, Dalston Lane 880 FY2009 Not started - Hackney Dalston Junction Interchange, Site R/O 514 - 600, Kingsland Road 880 FY2009 Not started - Hammersmith and FulhamLand adjacent to Hammersmith Town Hall (1.33ha) 0 - Pre-application - Hammersmith and FulhamWestfield London, Wood Lane 121,046 14/11/2008 Opened 2008 2000/1642/P Hammersmith and Fulham207 King Street 3,444 - Application 2008/00485/FUL Hammersmith and Fulham51 Townmead Road (Sainsburys) 902 - Not started 2003/03090/FUL Hammersmith and FulhamJanet Adegoke Leisure Centre, 56 Bloemfontein Road 874 - Application 2007/04690/FUL

253

Additional Comparison Year of Borough Site Name Status Planning Ref No. Floorspace Completion (m2)

Hammersmith and FulhamLand West Of West London Line, North And East Of, Shepherds Bush Place 800 Unknown Under construction - Haringey Retail Park, Broad Lane 15,863 Unknown Under construction - Haringey The Mall Shopping City Wood Green, High Street 8,000 Unknown Permission HGY/2007/0500 Haringey GLS 4,400 - Not Started HGY/2006/1177 Haringey Wards Corner 3,034 - Application HGY/2008/0303 Harrow Safeway Superstore, 299, Uxbridge Road 590 FY2008 Not started - Harrow , 177, Station Road 428 FY2009 Not started - Havering Land On The North Side Of The, Market Place 10,479 Unknown Under construction - Havering 22-24, Station Road 2,336 FY2001 Not started - Havering Store, Hornchurch Road 1,590 FY2009 Not started - Havering 10, Southend Arterial Road 1,200 FY2009 Not started - Havering 51-53, Station Road 1,140 FY2009 Not started - Havering 44-52, Market Place 1,138 FY2009 Not started - Havering 22-24, Station Road 1,120 FY2010 Not started - Havering Tesco's, 300, Hornchurch Road 1,094 Unknown Under construction - Havering Carpetright, Gallows Corner, Southend Arterial Road 912 FY2008 Not started - Hillingdon Sainsbury's Land At Lombardy Retail Park, Coldharbour Lane 9,056 FY2009 Not started - Hillingdon 664, Victoria Road 1,437 FY2008 Not started - Hillingdon Land At 92 - 104, High Street 1,023 FY2009 Not started - Hillingdon Former Hayes & Harlington Station Goods Yard 83-103, Station Road 843 Unknown Under construction - Hillingdon Sainsbury Store And Land Adjacent To, Long Drive 764 FY2009 Not started - Hillingdon Sainsbury Supermarket, York Road 605 FY2010 Not started - Hounslow Blenheim Centre, Key Site One (Phase 2), High Street 13,266 Unknown Application P/2007/3413

254

Additional Comparison Year of Borough Site Name Status Planning Ref No. Floorspace Completion (m2)

Hounslow Brentford Town Centre (Land south of the High Street), High Street 6,600 Unknown Pre-application - Hounslow Wallis House, Great West Road 1,115 FY2009 Under construction - Hounslow 193-199, High Street 1,070 Unknown Under construction - Hounslow Tesco, Dukes Green 928 - Permission - Hounslow Ivybridge Retail Park, Twickenham 654 30/11/2007 Permission P/2007/3223 Islington 183-205, Old Street 1,772 FY2010 Not started - Islington North Incl. Nos. 79, 101 & 103 & South Incl. Nos. 2-42, Queensland Road 1,528 FY2008 Not started - Islington Ashburton Grove, Ashburton Grove 1,504 Unknown Under construction - Islington 10-14, White Lion Street 1,460 FY2009 Not started - Islington 394-416, St John Street 1,164 Unknown Under construction - Islington King's Cross House, 200, Pentonville Road 1,094 Unknown Under construction - Islington 394-416, St John Street 0 Unknown Under construction - Kensington and Chelsea 37-53, Kensington High Street 2,760 Unknown Under construction - Kensington and Chelsea Lots Road Power Station And Chelsea Creek, Lots Road 958 FY2010 Not started - Kingston upon Thames Shopping Centre, Eden Walk 50,000 Unknown Pre-Application - Kingston upon Thames 31-35, Blagdon Road 0 FY1997 Pre-Application - Kingston upon Thames 25-29, Blagdon Road 0 FY2000 Pre-Application - Lambeth Shell Centre, 2-8, York Road 8,000 FY2009 Not started 01/02543/FUL Lambeth St George Wharf (Effra Site), Wandsworth Road 2,149 FY2010 Under construction 03/01501/FUL Lambeth Elizabeth House, 39, York Road 1,746 FY2009 Not started 04/02704/FUL Lambeth 214-238, Norwood Road 1,058 Unknown Under construction 03/03488/FUL Lambeth Land At St George Wharf, Wandsworth Road 814 Unknown Under construction 05/00781/FUL Lewisham Sydenham Gas Works, Phase 2, Bell Green 12,586 FY2008 Not started -

255

Additional Comparison Year of Borough Site Name Status Planning Ref No. Floorspace Completion (m2)

Lewisham Lewisham Gateway 9,600 04/09/2009 Permission - Lewisham Thurston Road Industrial Estate, Jerrard Street 6,771 FY2009 Not started - Lewisham Tesco Store, Conington Road, Conington Road 6,000 - Pre app - Lewisham Convoys Wharf, Prince Street 5,126 - Application - Lewisham Tesco Store, Catford Shopping Centre, Rushey Green 3,330 - Pre app - Lewisham Bell Green Gasworks Site Phase 3, Southend Lane 1,247 FY2008 Not started DC/05/58884 Lewisham Loampit Vale (East and West Elmira Street), Loampit Vale 1,200 - Pre app - Lewisham Site Of Hither Green Hospital, Hither Green Lane 813 Unknown Under construction - Lewisham Former Bell Green Gasworks Site, Southend Lane 0 Unknown Permission DC/05/58884 Merton Shannon Corner Retail Park, Burlington Road 10,844 Unknown Permission 04/P1400 Merton Broadway House, 112 - 134, The Broadway & 2-14 Stanley Road, Wimbledon, 990 - Permission 05/P0709 Merton Plough Lane Retail Park, Plough Lane, Wimbeldon 921 - Permission 07/P0606 Newham Stratford City, Stratford Rail Lands 112,000 01/01/2011 Under construction P/03/0607 & P/O3/0659 Newham Stratford Town Centre 40,000 - Unknown - Newham Standard Industrial Estate, Factory Road 6,400 FY2007 Under construction - Newham Emerald Shopping Centre, Forest Gate 5,488 Lapsed consent Application 2001/0029 Full Newham Beckton Gas Works, Windsor Terrace 4,560 FY2009 Not started - Newham Gallion Reach Retail Park (Units 28-30), Armada Way 4,031 FY2008 Not started - Newham 232 - 236, Green Street 3,200 Unknown Under construction - Newham Land North Side Of Royal Albert Dock, Royal Albert Dock Spine Road 1,600 Unknown Under construction - Newham Land Bounded By, Shirley Street 880 Unknown Under construction - Redbridge Sainsburys Store, 33,, Roden Street 2,684 FY2008 Not started - Redbridge Peachey House, 39, Ilford Hill 1,826 FY2010 Under construction -

256

Additional Comparison Year of Borough Site Name Status Planning Ref No. Floorspace Completion (m2)

Redbridge Pioneer Market And 1-5, Winston Way 1,822 Unknown Under construction - Redbridge 253-269, High Road 1,000 FY2009 Under construction - Southwark Elephant & Castle, New Kent Road 48,030 Unknown Not started - Southwark London Bridge Station, Bounded By, 64-84, Tooley Street 12,800 FY2008 Not started - Southwark Cantium Retail Park, Old Kent Road 5,421 Unknown Permission - Southwark 1, Blackfriars Road 1,934 FY2009 Not started - Southwark 'Bankside 1,2,3', Southwark Street 1,426 Unknown Under construction - Southwark Surrey Quays Shopping Centre, Redriff Road 1,400 FY2009 Under Construction - Southwark Butterfly Walk Shopping Centre, Denmark Hill 1,299 Unknown Under construction - Southwark 44-47, Hopton Street 1,200 FY2008 Not started - Southwark 151-173, Tooley Street 801 FY2008 Under construction - Southwark Newington Industrial Estate, Crampton Street 800 FY2009 Under construction - Sutton Hackbridge 1,250 2011 Core Strategy Proposal - Sutton Victoria House, 338, London Road 832 FY2009 Not started A2005/55183 Tower Hamlets Heron Quays (Parcels Hq 2-5), West India Dock 5,600 Unknown Under construction - Tower Hamlets Trumans Brewery, 91, Brick Lane 2,800 FY2010 Not started - Tower Hamlets Reuters, Paul Julius Close 2,032 FY2010 Not started - Tower Hamlets Land At Shed 35 North Quay, Aspen Way 1,999 Unknown Not started - Tower Hamlets Hertsmere House, 2, Hertsmere Road 1,797 FY2009 Not started - Tower Hamlets The London Arena, 36, Limeharbour 1,282 Unknown Under construction - Tower Hamlets Rodwell House, 100-106, Middlesex Street 1,266 Unknown Under construction - Tower Hamlets Sainsbury Foodstore, 1, Cambridge Heath Road 1,257 FY2009 Not started - Tower Hamlets 22-28, Marsh Wall 1,060 Unknown Not started -

257

Additional Comparison Year of Borough Site Name Status Planning Ref No. Floorspace Completion (m2)

Tower Hamlets The Horner Site, Rear Of 51 To 63, Brushfield Street 1,016 Unknown Under construction - Tower Hamlets East Of Poplar Business Park And South West Of Junction, Prestons Road 867 Unknown Under construction - Tower Hamlets Indescon Court, 20, Millharbour 815 FY2007 Not started - Waltham Forest Arcade Site, High Street 6,835 01/03/2010 Pre-Application - Waltham Forest 1-23 The Arcade & Service Yard, 261-267, High Street 4,372 FY2008 Pre-Application - Waltham Forest Leyton Mills Retail Park, Marshall Road 654 Unknown Permission 2007/0608 Wandsworth The Power Station, Battersea Park Road 30,000 01/12/2010 Application - Wandsworth Southside, Wandsworth High Street 14,400 Unknown Application 2007/1346 Wandsworth Battersea Reach, York Road 9,600 Unknown Under construction - Wandsworth Garage & Land To The East Of & Including, 17-35, Battersea Bridge Road 2,350 FY2008 Not started - Wandsworth 72-78, Garratt Lane 1,206 FY2009 Not started - Wandsworth 951-959, Garratt Lane 916 FY2010 Not started - Westminster North of Victoria Station 16,756 - Application - Westminster 224-244, Regent Street 10,817 Unknown Under construction - Westminster 53- 63, New Bond Street 10,252 FY2010 Not started - Westminster Site At Park House, 116, Park Street 8,886 FY2009 Not started - Westminster Former Courts Unit, 300 Edgware Road 3,747 Unknown Permission C03021DF/06 Westminster 37-67, Baker Street 3,589 Unknown Under construction - Westminster 315, Oxford Street 1,982 Unknown Under construction - Westminster 83-97, Regent Street 1,948 Unknown Under construction - Westminster 219, Oxford Street 1,817 Unknown Under construction - Westminster 70, Brompton Road 1,817 Unknown Under construction - Westminster 19, Baker Street 1,690 FY2009 Not started -

258

Additional Comparison Year of Borough Site Name Status Planning Ref No. Floorspace Completion (m2)

Westminster Development Site At Abford House And, 333, Vauxhall Bridge Road 1,628 Unknown Under construction - Westminster 47 - 50, New Bond Street 1,487 Unknown Under construction - Westminster Bowater House, 68, Knightsbridge 1,158 Unknown Under construction - Westminster 23, North Wharf Road 1,104 Unknown Under construction - Westminster 178-202, Great Portland Street 1,011 Unknown Under construction - Westminster 9-12, Barrett Street 949 Unknown Under construction - Westminster 103, New Bond Street 855 FY2009 Not started - Westminster 48, Mortimer Street 827 Unknown Under construction - Westminster 7-13, Mercer Street 822 FY2009 Not started -

259

APPENDIX 10 - RESULTS FROM STAGE 2B (FUTURE SCENARIOS)

Gross Total Comparison Goods Floorspace Requirements

1.27 The projections of retail turnover for 5 year increments between 2006 and 2031 have been converted into actual need for additional retail space based on a range of key assumptions regarding:

• The sales density of new floorspace • The rate that sales densities increase (productivity growth)

1.28 We find that the need for new floorspace is very sensitive to assumptions made about retail space productivity growth (i.e. the sustainable rate of increase of sales densities of both existing and new space) and to assumptions about sales densities for new space.

1.29 The following series of tables indicate the gross total comparison goods floorspace requirements at a town centre level for 5 year increments between 2006 and 2031.

260

Table 5: Gross total comparison goods floorspace requirements by town centre (2011 - 2031) using 1.5% productivity growth

Comparison Goods Floorspace Requirements (m²) Centre Name Category Borough 1.5% Productivity Growth 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 Barking & Dagenham Major Barking and Dagenham 2,062 4,447 8,687 13,820 20,841 Chadwell Heath District Barking and Dagenham 340 701 1,352 2,149 3,241 Dagenham & Heathway District Barking and Dagenham 771 1,757 3,653 5,991 9,138 Residual Residual Barking and Dagenham 1,477 3,242 6,501 10,522 16,017 Edgware Major Barnet 2,124 5,012 9,039 13,909 20,348 Brent Street District Barnet 268 687 1,192 1,760 2,509 Burnt Oak District Barnet 870 2,005 3,603 5,618 8,362 Chipping Barnet District Barnet 1,261 3,000 5,510 8,431 12,147 Church End, Finchley District Barnet 677 1,691 3,094 4,577 6,512 Colindale/The Hyde District Barnet 925 1,865 2,713 4,179 6,415 East Finchley District Barnet 282 734 1,403 1,987 2,788 Golders Green District Barnet 557 1,471 2,554 3,695 5,181 Hendon central District Barnet 891 2,218 3,880 5,852 8,458 Mill Hill District Barnet 618 1,480 2,683 4,144 6,066 New Barnet District Barnet 570 1,363 2,528 3,903 5,704 North Finchley District Barnet 1,090 2,734 5,082 7,559 10,825 Temple Fortune District Barnet 803 2,068 3,672 5,395 7,636 Whetstone District Barnet 488 1,174 2,220 3,382 4,917 Residual Residual Barnet 11,097 30,036 55,791 86,226 127,321 Bexleyheath Major Bexley 3,900 9,473 18,335 28,636 42,139 Crayford District Bexley 597 1,418 2,682 4,088 5,908

261

Comparison Goods Floorspace Requirements (m²) Centre Name Category Borough 1.5% Productivity Growth 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 Erith District Bexley 417 1,033 2,087 3,408 5,215 Sidcup District Bexley 655 1,592 3,189 4,968 7,351 Welling District Bexley 1,029 2,596 5,294 8,579 12,996 Residual Residual Bexley 371 921 1,856 2,899 4,299 Kilburn Major Brent 1,953 4,387 7,983 12,098 17,541 Wembley Major Brent 763 1,676 3,078 4,948 7,586 Cricklewood District Brent 1,873 4,512 8,182 12,286 17,622 Ealing Road District Brent 173 364 712 1,193 1,894 Harlesden District Brent 614 1,366 2,587 4,040 6,115 Kenton District Brent 236 556 1,134 1,824 2,808 Kingsbury District Brent 587 1,279 2,347 3,760 5,786 Neasden District Brent 128 248 601 1,255 2,186 Preston Road District Brent 167 348 653 1,054 1,648 Wembley Park District Brent 373 826 1,597 2,554 3,937 Willesden Green District Brent 369 876 1,636 2,407 3,418 Residual Residual Brent 3,938 9,156 17,277 27,041 40,172 Bromley Metropolitan Bromley 8,322 19,535 38,044 9,297 37,518 Orpington Major Bromley 1,715 4,121 8,202 13,357 20,247 Beckenham District Bromley 502 1,162 2,477 3,873 5,826 Crystal Palace District Bromley 190 433 946 1,509 2,303 Penge District Bromley 445 1,023 2,196 3,459 5,201 Petts Wood District Bromley 293 720 1,587 2,657 4,125 West Wickham District Bromley 511 1,233 2,657 4,458 6,951 Residual Residual Bromley 2,243 5,350 10,595 17,117 25,923 Camden Town Major Camden 3,157 6,983 12,393 18,692 27,118

262

Comparison Goods Floorspace Requirements (m²) Centre Name Category Borough 1.5% Productivity Growth 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 Hampstead District Camden 654 1,701 3,164 4,641 6,561 Kentish Town District Camden 523 1,272 2,557 4,003 6,002 Swiss Cottage/Finchley Road District Camden 947 2,432 4,492 6,646 9,391 West Hampstead District Camden 246 654 1,186 1,668 2,254 Residual Residual Camden 2,541 5,633 10,143 15,238 21,912 Cheapside CAZ Frontage City of London 1,078 2,391 4,387 6,580 9,518 Fleet Street CAZ Frontage City of London 535 1,218 2,278 3,421 4,930 Leadenhall Market CAZ Frontage City of London 1,304 2,809 4,963 7,327 10,485 Liverpool Street CAZ Frontage City of London 2,625 5,777 10,687 16,174 23,619 Moorgate CAZ Frontage City of London 2,966 6,562 12,245 18,580 27,135 Residual Residual City of London 7,123 15,914 29,723 44,910 65,137 Croydon Metropolitan Croydon 13,702 30,195 58,434 44,304 87,993 Addiscombe District Croydon 236 497 994 1,543 2,299 Coulsdon District Croydon 454 1,049 1,969 3,051 4,402 Norbury District Croydon 593 1,250 2,526 4,216 6,649 Purley District Croydon 327 747 1,421 2,223 3,234 South Norwood District Croydon 205 429 898 1,413 2,130 Thornton Heath District Croydon 570 1,134 2,239 3,620 5,565 Upper Norwood District Croydon 231 514 1,108 1,763 2,699 Residual Residual Croydon 8,456 18,939 36,847 48,324 77,015 Ealing Metropolitan Ealing 3,091 7,083 13,525 20,462 29,991 Southall Major Ealing 1,626 3,940 7,453 12,352 19,452 Acton District Ealing 596 1,284 2,423 3,566 5,098 Greenford District Ealing 371 886 1,791 3,113 5,011 Hanwell District Ealing 121 285 568 988 1,619

263

Comparison Goods Floorspace Requirements (m²) Centre Name Category Borough 1.5% Productivity Growth 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 Residual Residual Ealing 2,192 4,981 9,922 16,227 25,194 Enfield Town Major Enfield 2,450 5,760 11,068 17,592 26,197 Angel Edmonton District Enfield 231 531 1,108 1,833 2,843 Edmonton Green District Enfield 310 705 1,481 2,448 3,806 Palmers Green District Enfield 515 1,207 2,502 3,938 5,871 Southgate District Enfield 476 1,137 2,259 3,410 4,913 Residual Residual Enfield 4,345 9,982 19,294 30,895 46,719 Eltham Major Greenwich 2,026 4,880 9,606 15,310 23,138 Woolwich Major Greenwich 2,777 6,370 11,879 19,071 29,046 Greenwich West District Greenwich 772 1,770 3,223 4,572 6,357 Plumstead District Greenwich 119 276 549 998 1,650 Thamesmead District Greenwich 457 1,060 2,015 3,585 5,905 Residual Residual Greenwich 4,167 9,574 17,765 26,900 39,237 Dalston Major Hackney 1,898 4,086 7,829 12,200 18,283 Finsbury Park District Hackney 579 1,256 2,594 4,121 6,261 Mare Street District Hackney 982 2,123 3,977 6,113 9,123 Stoke Newington District Hackney 558 1,204 2,469 4,059 6,318 Residual Residual Hackney 1,432 3,110 6,015 9,338 13,817 Fulham Major Hammersmith and Fulham 763 1,639 2,833 4,130 5,835 Hammersmith Major Hammersmith and Fulham 2,207 5,011 9,456 14,000 20,030 Shepherds Bush District Hammersmith and Fulham 1,092 2,490 4,827 7,349 10,737 Residual Residual Hammersmith and Fulham 1,423 3,322 6,614 9,674 13,623 Wood Green Metropolitan Haringey 5,675 4,820 25,555 31,814 50,931 Crouch End District Haringey 653 1,462 3,022 4,495 6,528 Green Lanes District Haringey 351 729 1,412 2,247 3,390

264

Comparison Goods Floorspace Requirements (m²) Centre Name Category Borough 1.5% Productivity Growth 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 Muswell Hill District Haringey 657 1,621 3,212 4,585 6,454 Tottenham District Haringey 412 890 1,820 3,105 4,933 West Green Road District Haringey 263 552 1,158 1,903 2,907 Residual Residual Haringey 1,862 4,062 8,196 13,507 21,008 Harrow Metropolitan Harrow 4,875 11,271 22,264 34,730 51,500 North Harrow District Harrow 97 249 517 809 1,208 Pinner District Harrow 237 600 1,209 1,874 2,756 Rayners Lane District Harrow 204 533 1,108 1,801 2,751 South Harrow District Harrow 351 899 1,934 3,315 5,253 Stanmore District Harrow 222 523 999 1,536 2,240 Wealdstone District Harrow 500 1,226 2,409 3,648 5,260 Residual Residual Harrow 464 1,170 2,359 3,629 5,291 Romford Metropolitan Havering 9,327 20,841 27,514 48,079 74,757 Collier Row District Havering 358 784 1,516 2,368 3,512 Elm Park District Havering 51 126 296 500 776 Harold Hill District Havering 215 504 974 1,510 2,217 Hornchurch District Havering 807 1,889 3,782 5,861 8,579 Rainham District Havering 254 604 1,155 1,845 2,764 Upminster District Havering 1,031 2,439 4,683 7,155 10,344 Residual Residual Havering 3,061 7,001 13,328 20,362 29,485 Uxbridge Metropolitan Hillingdon 5,187 12,562 24,553 38,140 56,135 Eastcote District Hillingdon 256 692 1,483 2,443 3,738 Hayes District Hillingdon 860 2,120 4,100 6,597 10,037 Ickenham District Hillingdon 158 439 893 1,400 2,089 Northwood District Hillingdon 215 523 1,008 1,541 2,221

265

Comparison Goods Floorspace Requirements (m²) Centre Name Category Borough 1.5% Productivity Growth 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 Ruislip District Hillingdon 599 1,605 3,285 5,240 7,870 Yiewsley/West Drayton District Hillingdon 458 1,134 2,208 3,371 4,926 Residual Residual Hillingdon 4,091 10,364 20,145 32,017 48,120 Hounslow Metropolitan Hounslow 5,878 13,356 24,775 24,878 44,675 Chiswick Major Hounslow 1,831 4,153 7,845 11,597 16,592 Brentford District Hounslow 372 798 1,510 2,339 3,486 Feltham High Street District Hounslow 995 2,248 4,121 6,695 10,170 Residual Residual Hounslow 1,007 2,098 3,914 6,392 9,933 Angel Major Islington 3,039 6,639 12,740 19,447 28,344 Nags Head Major Islington 2,246 5,053 9,910 15,464 23,166 Archway District Islington 493 1,180 2,348 3,500 5,144 Residual Residual Islington 976 2,079 4,206 6,578 9,864 Kensington High Street Major Kensington and Chelsea 4,065 12,023 22,999 34,445 49,015 Kings Road East Major Kensington and Chelsea 12,903 27,038 45,084 65,742 93,111 Earls Court Road District Kensington and Chelsea 420 961 1,883 2,666 3,653 Fulham Road (east) District Kensington and Chelsea 1,873 4,084 7,215 10,552 14,913 Fulham Road (west) District Kensington and Chelsea 1,577 3,400 6,072 8,815 12,388 Kings Road (west) District Kensington and Chelsea 2,184 4,616 7,714 11,220 15,875 Notting Hill Gate District Kensington and Chelsea 1,561 3,255 5,437 7,959 11,229 Portobello Road District Kensington and Chelsea 2,585 5,639 10,136 15,333 22,168 South Kensington District Kensington and Chelsea 455 1,079 2,084 3,028 4,247 Residual Residual Kensington and Chelsea 2,949 6,578 12,123 18,126 26,045 Kingston Metropolitan Kingston upon Thames 14,232 34,343 64,189 47,503 90,768 New Malden District Kingston upon Thames 652 1,615 3,078 4,844 7,168 Surbiton District Kingston upon Thames 482 1,164 2,159 3,293 4,801

266

Comparison Goods Floorspace Requirements (m²) Centre Name Category Borough 1.5% Productivity Growth 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 Tolworth District Kingston upon Thames 508 1,235 2,311 3,619 5,374 Residual Residual Kingston upon Thames 963 2,386 4,515 7,038 10,394 Brixton Major Lambeth 1,945 4,454 8,653 13,535 20,331 Streatham Major Lambeth 1,349 2,992 5,843 9,160 13,716 Clapham High Street District Lambeth 654 1,554 3,107 4,797 7,072 Stockwell District Lambeth 228 554 1,131 1,757 2,621 Tulse Hill District Lambeth 84 208 450 689 1,047 West Norwood District Lambeth 130 321 675 1,029 1,545 Lower Marsh CAZ Frontage Lambeth 1,276 2,869 5,273 7,802 11,107 Residual Residual Lambeth 695 1,687 3,566 5,734 8,800 Catford Major Lewisham 673 1,528 3,049 4,835 7,349 Lewisham Major Lewisham 4,190 9,591 18,570 4,415 17,240 Blackheath District Lewisham 33 103 213 340 526 Deptford District Lewisham 648 1,499 2,781 3,831 5,173 Downham District Lewisham 78 182 388 754 1,346 Forest Hill District Lewisham 238 549 1,150 1,806 2,724 Lee Green District Lewisham 157 385 794 1,280 1,982 New Cross District Lewisham 777 1,798 3,404 4,831 6,691 Sydenham District Lewisham 346 810 1,749 2,884 4,499 Residual Residual Lewisham 1,117 2,582 5,153 8,285 12,768 Wimbledon Major Merton 3,300 7,988 15,734 24,224 35,521 Mitcham District Merton 326 751 1,566 2,596 4,032 Morden District Merton 342 822 1,696 2,785 4,290 Residual Residual Merton 1,686 4,066 8,237 12,938 19,253 East Ham Major Newham 2,060 4,473 8,684 13,795 20,938

267

Comparison Goods Floorspace Requirements (m²) Centre Name Category Borough 1.5% Productivity Growth 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 Stratford Major Newham 16,598 36,518 64,147 -17,474 24,357 Canning Town District Newham 959 1,912 3,273 4,762 6,847 East Beckton District Newham 816 1,696 3,246 5,294 8,157 Forest Gate District Newham 836 1,844 3,472 5,273 7,803 Upton Park District Newham 1,808 3,727 7,222 11,367 17,361 Residual Residual Newham 4,083 8,943 17,264 27,488 41,564 Ilford Metropolitan Redbridge 9,956 16,342 35,481 58,036 88,657 Barkingside District Redbridge 762 1,663 3,096 4,865 7,265 Gants Hill District Redbridge 504 1,091 2,043 3,184 4,741 South Woodford District Redbridge 706 1,561 2,920 4,354 6,371 Wanstead District Redbridge 340 768 1,393 2,008 2,850 Residual Residual Redbridge 2,367 5,062 9,592 15,028 22,450 Richmond Major Richmond upon Thames 3,184 7,351 13,785 20,962 30,437 East Sheen District Richmond upon Thames 762 1,730 3,363 5,138 7,495 Teddington District Richmond upon Thames 652 1,528 2,904 4,515 6,686 Twickenham District Richmond upon Thames 1,126 2,482 4,439 6,702 9,733 Whitton District Richmond Upon Thames 209 465 880 1,525 2,457 Residual Residual Richmond Upon Thames 2,194 5,007 9,481 14,938 22,359 Peckham Major Southwark 2,575 5,933 11,244 16,585 23,792 Camberwell District Southwark 593 1,398 2,745 4,188 6,210 Dulwich - Lordship Lane District Southwark 396 951 1,898 2,629 3,581 Elephant and Castle District Southwark 5,184 11,909 22,719 -13,305 3,110 Surrey Quays District Southwark 2,809 6,244 10,958 15,431 21,247 Walworth Road District Southwark 2,139 5,009 9,631 14,778 21,999 Borough High Street CAZ Frontage Southwark 2,458 5,369 9,552 14,011 20,003

268

Comparison Goods Floorspace Requirements (m²) Centre Name Category Borough 1.5% Productivity Growth 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 Residual Residual Southwark 3,120 7,169 13,413 20,014 28,945 Sutton Metropolitan Sutton 6,918 16,395 32,124 49,320 71,990 Cheam District Sutton 282 677 1,315 1,970 2,812 North Cheam District Sutton 403 981 1,925 3,074 4,619 Rosehill District Sutton 126 297 614 1,010 1,562 Wallington District Sutton 364 862 1,718 2,713 4,015 Worcester Park District Sutton 439 1,091 2,127 3,409 5,127 Residual Residual Sutton 322 740 1,500 2,409 3,637 Canary Wharf Major Tower Hamlets 5,420 11,404 19,992 13,514 25,603 Bethnal Green District Tower Hamlets 978 2,060 3,618 5,413 7,919 Chrisp Street District Tower Hamlets 978 2,034 3,448 5,011 7,162 Crossharbour District Tower Hamlets 0 0 0 0 0 Poplar District Tower Hamlets 874 1,814 3,122 4,498 6,387 Roman Road (east) District Tower Hamlets 1,094 2,293 3,905 5,726 8,334 Watney Market District Tower Hamlets 1,728 3,696 6,628 9,917 14,403 Whitechapel District Tower Hamlets 782 1,661 2,907 4,290 6,151 Residual Residual Tower Hamlets 4,062 8,581 15,229 23,013 33,781 Walthamstow Major Waltham Forest 3,284 7,172 13,770 21,690 32,927 Bakers Arms District Waltham Forest 653 1,400 2,666 4,066 6,088 Leyton - High Road Leyton District Waltham Forest 289 621 1,117 1,626 2,371 Leytonstone District Waltham Forest 1,202 2,682 4,829 7,143 10,325 North Chingford District Waltham Forest 606 1,394 2,613 4,090 6,131 South Chingford District Waltham Forest 487 1,095 2,132 3,476 5,416 Wood Street District Waltham Forest 244 525 1,003 1,528 2,301 Residual Residual Waltham Forest 715 1,506 2,702 4,013 5,866

269

Comparison Goods Floorspace Requirements (m²) Centre Name Category Borough 1.5% Productivity Growth 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 Clapham Junction Major Wandsworth 2,699 6,332 12,221 18,745 27,572 Putney Major Wandsworth 2,209 5,171 9,923 15,037 21,799 Tooting Major Wandsworth 2,257 5,350 10,643 16,609 24,553 Wandsworth Major Wandsworth 1,748 4,106 7,865 11,917 17,274 Balham District Wandsworth 470 1,120 2,270 3,419 4,893 Residual Residual Wandsworth 3,952 9,222 17,872 27,544 40,874 Knightsbridge International Westminster 13,951 35,101 64,107 97,548 141,123 West End International Westminster 62,116 135,291 306,711 504,894 762,815 Queensway/Westbourne Grove Major Westminster 2,332 5,255 9,738 14,664 21,129 Edgware Road/Church Street District Westminster 878 2,008 3,709 5,605 8,042 Harrow Road District Westminster 275 625 1,283 2,103 3,249 Praed Street/Paddington District Westminster 1,038 2,375 4,408 6,636 9,487 St John's Wood District Westminster 323 837 1,592 2,431 3,523 Edgware Road South CAZ Frontage Westminster 244 539 802 1,223 1,839 Marylebone High Street CAZ Frontage Westminster 1,669 3,863 7,467 11,371 16,449 Victoria Street CAZ Frontage Westminster 3,115 7,373 14,243 21,761 31,906 Warwick Way/Tachbrook St CAZ Frontage Westminster 702 1,682 3,274 5,145 7,753 Residual Residual Westminster 1,457 3,511 7,047 11,523 17,818

270

Table 6: Gross total comparison goods floorspace requirements by town centre (2011 - 2031) using 2.2% productivity growth

Comparison Goods Floorspace Requirements (m²) Centre Name Category Borough 2.2% Productivity Growth 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 Barking & Dagenham Major Barking and Dagenham 1,302 2,793 5,833 9,420 14,323 Chadwell Heath District Barking and Dagenham 192 386 824 1,354 2,091 Dagenham & Heathway District Barking and Dagenham 395 951 2,278 3,888 6,057 Residual Residual Barking and Dagenham 835 1,863 4,149 6,922 10,724 Edgware Major Barnet 1,305 3,208 5,985 9,279 13,640 Brent Street District Barnet 167 462 810 1,186 1,686 Burnt Oak District Barnet 535 1,271 2,363 3,734 5,613 Chipping Barnet District Barnet 763 1,905 3,649 5,616 8,100 Church End, Finchley District Barnet 386 1,052 2,014 2,970 4,231 Colindale/The Hyde District Barnet 744 1,446 2,013 3,072 4,701 East Finchley District Barnet 130 406 854 1,192 1,684 Golders Green District Barnet 344 992 1,741 2,483 3,456 Hendon central District Barnet 557 1,474 2,620 3,946 5,704 Mill Hill District Barnet 378 950 1,784 2,778 4,083 New Barnet District Barnet 324 827 1,624 2,540 3,744 North Finchley District Barnet 593 1,647 3,249 4,837 6,964 Temple Fortune District Barnet 478 1,345 2,449 3,570 5,039 Whetstone District Barnet 268 696 1,413 2,175 3,191 Residual Residual Barnet 5,726 18,218 35,834 56,152 83,866 Bexleyheath Major Bexley 2,119 5,600 11,755 18,687 27,777 Crayford District Bexley 357 892 1,782 2,728 3,948

271

Comparison Goods Floorspace Requirements (m²) Centre Name Category Borough 2.2% Productivity Growth 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 Erith District Bexley 203 571 1,302 2,209 3,456 Sidcup District Bexley 312 857 1,949 3,113 4,695 Welling District Bexley 450 1,354 3,198 5,409 8,402 Residual Residual Bexley 179 506 1,152 1,842 2,778 Kilburn Major Brent 1,204 2,752 5,219 7,947 11,578 Wembley Major Brent 457 1,014 1,964 3,248 5,080 Cricklewood District Brent 1,111 2,838 5,354 8,051 11,574 Ealing Road District Brent 90 188 417 746 1,233 Harlesden District Brent 341 779 1,601 2,561 3,969 Kenton District Brent 91 250 626 1,069 1,725 Kingsbury District Brent 336 738 1,445 2,396 3,789 Neasden District Brent 37 61 290 763 1,435 Preston Road District Brent 92 190 390 657 1,066 Wembley Park District Brent 188 434 942 1,573 2,513 Willesden Green District Brent 205 521 1,038 1,523 2,173 Residual Residual Brent 2,201 5,394 10,935 17,471 26,335 Bromley Metropolitan Bromley 4,385 11,049 23,717 37,790 6,615 Orpington Major Bromley 816 2,194 4,960 8,445 13,121 Beckenham District Bromley 186 497 1,368 2,239 3,510 Crystal Palace District Bromley 66 172 511 867 1,388 Penge District Bromley 163 431 1,208 2,002 3,134 Petts Wood District Bromley 80 274 845 1,546 2,528 West Wickham District Bromley 155 485 1,415 2,598 4,271 Residual Residual Bromley 1,107 2,909 6,480 10,884 16,873 Camden Town Major Camden 2,137 4,724 8,531 12,819 18,568

272

Comparison Goods Floorspace Requirements (m²) Centre Name Category Borough 2.2% Productivity Growth 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 Hampstead District Camden 346 1,027 2,026 2,959 4,190 Kentish Town District Camden 254 693 1,578 2,534 3,882 Swiss Cottage/Finchley Road District Camden 516 1,487 2,897 4,278 6,047 West Hampstead District Camden 136 410 774 1,065 1,421 Residual Residual Camden 1,726 3,824 7,033 10,507 15,042 Cheapside CAZ Frontage City of London 737 1,634 3,076 4,580 6,595 Fleet Street CAZ Frontage City of London 355 819 1,585 2,366 3,395 Leadenhall Market CAZ Frontage City of London 960 2,034 3,608 5,248 7,429 Liverpool Street CAZ Frontage City of London 1,755 3,856 7,373 11,124 16,237 Moorgate CAZ Frontage City of London 1,939 4,304 8,358 12,671 18,520 Residual Residual City of London 4,690 10,547 20,452 30,807 44,611 Croydon Metropolitan Croydon 7,141 16,198 35,026 56,162 38,222 Addiscombe District Croydon 110 232 554 896 1,385 Coulsdon District Croydon 262 632 1,264 1,987 2,881 Norbury District Croydon 277 584 1,419 2,549 4,215 Purley District Croydon 181 432 891 1,425 2,093 South Norwood District Croydon 85 179 483 802 1,266 Thornton Heath District Croydon 291 548 1,266 2,167 3,472 Upper Norwood District Croydon 87 212 605 1,019 1,636 Residual Residual Croydon 4,330 10,128 22,100 26,238 45,336 Ealing Metropolitan Ealing 1,650 3,984 8,323 12,752 19,008 Southall Major Ealing 863 2,286 4,669 8,073 13,071 Acton District Ealing 341 738 1,507 2,218 3,199 Greenford District Ealing 161 438 1,041 1,960 3,295 Hanwell District Ealing 60 154 348 645 1,098

273

Comparison Goods Floorspace Requirements (m²) Centre Name Category Borough 2.2% Productivity Growth 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 Residual Residual Ealing 1,053 2,554 5,859 10,091 16,233 Enfield Town Major Enfield 1,323 3,326 6,958 11,366 17,185 Angel Edmonton District Enfield 94 242 625 1,106 1,791 Edmonton Green District Enfield 127 319 836 1,478 2,400 Palmers Green District Enfield 211 562 1,424 2,341 3,603 Southgate District Enfield 223 597 1,353 2,074 3,034 Residual Residual Enfield 2,316 5,622 11,951 19,778 30,555 Eltham Major Greenwich 1,039 2,749 6,001 9,851 15,191 Woolwich Major Greenwich 1,657 3,929 7,739 12,720 19,663 Greenwich West District Greenwich 519 1,206 2,250 3,122 4,294 Plumstead District Greenwich 50 131 308 624 1,087 Thamesmead District Greenwich 228 571 1,199 2,314 3,977 Residual Residual Greenwich 2,651 6,233 12,036 18,216 26,614 Dalston Major Hackney 1,137 2,445 5,042 7,985 12,142 Finsbury Park District Hackney 295 653 1,572 2,586 4,036 Mare Street District Hackney 605 1,307 2,591 4,023 6,078 Stoke Newington District Hackney 288 629 1,497 2,580 4,144 Residual Residual Hackney 883 1,918 3,973 6,234 9,294 Fulham Major Hammersmith and Fulham 540 1,143 1,985 2,850 3,994 Hammersmith Major Hammersmith and Fulham 1,242 2,928 5,949 8,819 12,708 Shepherds Bush District Hammersmith and Fulham 579 1,388 2,973 4,595 6,817 Residual Residual Hammersmith and Fulham 707 1,787 4,026 5,891 8,350 Wood Green Metropolitan Haringey 2,888 -1,135 15,526 16,834 29,499 Crouch End District Haringey 298 710 1,760 2,651 3,940 Green Lanes District Haringey 200 408 871 1,431 2,206

274

Comparison Goods Floorspace Requirements (m²) Centre Name Category Borough 2.2% Productivity Growth 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 Muswell Hill District Haringey 294 844 1,909 2,701 3,843 Tottenham District Haringey 204 449 1,079 1,968 3,246 West Green Road District Haringey 130 271 684 1,186 1,866 Residual Residual Haringey 948 2,115 4,920 8,531 13,707 Harrow Metropolitan Harrow 2,366 5,884 13,243 21,302 32,345 North Harrow District Harrow 30 107 281 462 719 Pinner District Harrow 93 292 696 1,116 1,685 Rayners Lane District Harrow 63 233 609 1,058 1,688 South Harrow District Harrow 91 352 1,027 1,948 3,268 Stanmore District Harrow 116 294 614 963 1,425 Wealdstone District Harrow 225 637 1,424 2,198 3,223 Residual Residual Harrow 183 572 1,360 2,156 3,218 Romford Metropolitan Havering 5,508 12,567 13,520 27,091 44,745 Collier Row District Havering 198 441 937 1,500 2,264 Elm Park District Havering 8 38 149 282 464 Harold Hill District Havering 114 285 605 958 1,427 Hornchurch District Havering 384 986 2,265 3,604 5,376 Rainham District Havering 143 363 746 1,219 1,849 Upminster District Havering 561 1,423 2,964 4,583 6,680 Residual Residual Havering 1,725 4,110 8,446 13,056 19,066 Uxbridge Metropolitan Hillingdon 2,485 6,718 14,760 23,556 35,367 Eastcote District Hillingdon 63 284 803 1,428 2,287 Hayes District Hillingdon 418 1,167 2,501 4,179 6,522 Ickenham District Hillingdon 49 206 505 826 1,275 Northwood District Hillingdon 107 291 619 962 1,402

275

Comparison Goods Floorspace Requirements (m²) Centre Name Category Borough 2.2% Productivity Growth 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 Ruislip District Hillingdon 200 754 1,865 3,127 4,857 Yiewsley/West Drayton District Hillingdon 212 606 1,323 2,062 3,072 Residual Residual Hillingdon 1,882 5,604 12,166 20,030 30,845 Hounslow Metropolitan Hounslow 3,362 7,912 15,628 11,032 24,528 Chiswick Major Hounslow 1,016 2,397 4,893 7,246 10,455 Brentford District Hounslow 212 454 933 1,476 2,243 Feltham High Street District Hounslow 584 1,356 2,622 4,399 6,799 Residual Residual Hounslow 597 1,219 2,441 4,138 6,605 Angel Major Islington 1,879 4,117 8,424 12,927 18,925 Nags Head Major Islington 1,233 2,874 6,221 9,915 15,129 Archway District Islington 237 631 1,422 2,139 3,211 Residual Residual Islington 523 1,114 2,575 4,136 6,342 Kensington High Street Major Kensington and Chelsea 1,998 7,430 15,149 22,684 32,257 Kings Road East Major Kensington and Chelsea 9,763 19,926 32,826 47,019 65,775 Earls Court Road District Kensington and Chelsea 219 529 1,156 1,611 2,201 Fulham Road (east) District Kensington and Chelsea 1,270 2,751 4,944 7,145 10,037 Fulham Road (west) District Kensington and Chelsea 1,047 2,237 4,095 5,870 8,204 Kings Road (west) District Kensington and Chelsea 1,641 3,387 5,598 7,996 11,176 Notting Hill Gate District Kensington and Chelsea 1,179 2,391 3,949 5,684 7,917 Portobello Road District Kensington and Chelsea 1,702 3,701 6,837 10,339 14,951 South Kensington District Kensington and Chelsea 241 617 1,304 1,885 2,649 Residual Residual Kensington and Chelsea 1,847 4,166 8,022 11,977 17,237 Kingston Metropolitan Kingston upon Thames 8,025 20,804 41,298 63,213 41,788 New Malden District Kingston upon Thames 341 939 1,937 3,121 4,684 Surbiton District Kingston upon Thames 280 722 1,411 2,166 3,178

276

Comparison Goods Floorspace Requirements (m²) Centre Name Category Borough 2.2% Productivity Growth 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 Tolworth District Kingston upon Thames 286 750 1,491 2,375 3,568 Residual Residual Kingston upon Thames 517 1,415 2,875 4,563 6,822 Brixton Major Lambeth 1,112 2,651 5,582 8,882 13,539 Streatham Major Lambeth 713 1,633 3,559 5,740 8,793 Clapham High Street District Lambeth 329 855 1,924 3,030 4,541 Stockwell District Lambeth 107 295 693 1,102 1,679 Tulse Hill District Lambeth 30 92 255 402 638 West Norwood District Lambeth 54 159 401 624 966 Lower Marsh CAZ Frontage Lambeth 871 1,967 3,706 5,423 7,661 Residual Residual Lambeth 326 898 2,217 3,685 5,798 Catford Major Lewisham 344 825 1,863 3,051 4,759 Lewisham Major Lewisham 2,366 5,647 11,874 17,997 2,937 Blackheath District Lewisham 16 64 145 234 366 Deptford District Lewisham 420 994 1,910 2,555 3,392 Downham District Lewisham 32 84 223 490 928 Forest Hill District Lewisham 105 268 676 1,101 1,712 Lee Green District Lewisham 72 204 487 815 1,299 New Cross District Lewisham 485 1,156 2,299 3,199 4,392 Sydenham District Lewisham 127 349 977 1,725 2,820 Residual Residual Lewisham 596 1,459 3,246 5,382 8,491 Wimbledon Major Merton 1,574 4,283 9,510 14,974 22,367 Mitcham District Merton 130 338 877 1,561 2,533 Morden District Merton 136 387 968 1,690 2,706 Residual Residual Merton 724 2,014 4,803 7,833 11,980 East Ham Major Newham 1,290 2,799 5,803 9,361 14,361

277

Comparison Goods Floorspace Requirements (m²) Centre Name Category Borough 2.2% Productivity Growth 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 Stratford Major Newham 11,493 25,158 44,687 65,111 93,594 Canning Town District Newham 773 1,485 2,510 3,569 5,052 East Beckton District Newham 574 1,161 2,304 3,797 5,865 Forest Gate District Newham 522 1,160 2,303 3,509 5,236 Upton Park District Newham 1,147 2,299 4,774 7,626 11,816 Residual Residual Newham 2,643 5,789 11,799 19,009 28,919 Ilford Metropolitan Redbridge 6,106 8,006 21,313 36,564 57,429 Barkingside District Redbridge 453 995 1,971 3,163 4,794 Gants Hill District Redbridge 295 640 1,285 2,043 3,092 South Woodford District Redbridge 408 918 1,838 2,751 4,083 Wanstead District Redbridge 204 474 898 1,280 1,822 Residual Residual Redbridge 1,386 2,958 6,045 9,677 14,701 Richmond Major Richmond upon Thames 1,792 4,337 8,709 13,386 19,628 East Sheen District Richmond upon Thames 391 937 2,034 3,168 4,701 Teddington District Richmond upon Thames 355 885 1,821 2,889 4,344 Twickenham District Richmond upon Thames 729 1,612 2,964 4,477 6,519 Whitton District Richmond Upon Thames 114 262 540 996 1,660 Residual Residual Richmond Upon Thames 1,207 2,878 5,904 9,546 14,561 Peckham Major Southwark 1,654 3,900 7,726 11,287 16,142 Camberwell District Southwark 356 878 1,847 2,825 4,215 Dulwich - Lordship Lane District Southwark 228 584 1,264 1,705 2,294 Elephant and Castle District Southwark 3,245 7,650 15,379 23,560 34,824 Surrey Quays District Southwark 2,088 4,598 8,070 11,069 14,967 Walworth Road District Southwark 1,345 3,259 6,596 10,138 15,155 Borough High Street CAZ Frontage Southwark 1,771 3,825 6,865 9,915 14,022

278

Comparison Goods Floorspace Requirements (m²) Centre Name Category Borough 2.2% Productivity Growth 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 Residual Residual Southwark 2,082 4,861 9,399 13,902 20,021 Sutton Metropolitan Sutton 3,468 8,981 19,649 30,756 45,591 Cheam District Sutton 146 385 821 1,239 1,780 North Cheam District Sutton 198 539 1,180 1,950 2,993 Rosehill District Sutton 52 139 350 612 986 Wallington District Sutton 172 451 1,027 1,679 2,540 Worcester Park District Sutton 213 602 1,305 2,167 3,329 Residual Residual Sutton 142 359 865 1,459 2,275 Canary Wharf Major Tower Hamlets 4,011 8,236 14,477 20,584 13,391 Chrisp Street District Tower Hamlets 746 1,510 2,536 3,614 5,105 Bethnal Green District Tower Hamlets 696 1,432 2,540 3,769 5,503 Crossharbour District Tower Hamlets 0 0 0 0 0 Poplar District Tower Hamlets 683 1,375 2,346 3,304 4,621 Roman Road (east) District Tower Hamlets 803 1,641 2,786 4,026 5,831 Watney Market District Tower Hamlets 1,241 2,607 4,735 7,013 10,125 Whitechapel District Tower Hamlets 582 1,210 2,119 3,080 4,369 Residual Residual Tower Hamlets 2,955 6,104 10,926 16,370 23,914 Walthamstow Major Waltham Forest 1,819 4,033 8,495 13,756 21,401 Bakers Arms District Waltham Forest 362 778 1,625 2,522 3,871 Leyton - High Road Leyton District Waltham Forest 173 371 701 1,015 1,501 Leytonstone District Waltham Forest 750 1,694 3,162 4,660 6,770 North Chingford District Waltham Forest 351 840 1,677 2,673 4,067 South Chingford District Waltham Forest 248 584 1,277 2,183 3,520 Wood Street District Waltham Forest 130 283 600 931 1,445 Residual Residual Waltham Forest 477 986 1,819 2,686 3,943

279

Comparison Goods Floorspace Requirements (m²) Centre Name Category Borough 2.2% Productivity Growth 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 Clapham Junction Major Wandsworth 1,447 3,628 7,656 11,922 17,792 Putney Major Wandsworth 1,186 2,961 6,198 9,497 13,921 Tooting Major Wandsworth 1,066 2,803 6,368 10,237 15,467 Wandsworth Major Wandsworth 947 2,375 4,942 7,565 11,078 Balham District Wandsworth 212 570 1,346 2,060 2,989 Residual Residual Wandsworth 2,099 5,229 11,139 17,474 26,390 Knightsbridge International Westminster 8,362 22,708 42,988 65,564 94,927 West End International Westminster 31,021 65,521 187,022 322,521 497,915 Queensway/Westbourne Grove Major Westminster 1,419 3,265 6,364 9,609 13,894 Edgware Road/Church Street District Westminster 535 1,258 2,436 3,693 5,307 Harrow Road District Westminster 128 312 757 1,309 2,091 Praed Street/Paddington District Westminster 635 1,494 2,909 4,385 6,270 St John's Wood District Westminster 165 491 1,007 1,557 2,276 Edgware Road South CAZ Frontage Westminster 194 421 602 907 1,353 Marylebone High Street CAZ Frontage Westminster 937 2,277 4,776 7,341 10,694 Victoria Street CAZ Frontage Westminster 1,748 4,402 9,188 14,168 20,970 Warwick Way/Tachbrook St CAZ Frontage Westminster 401 1,024 2,149 3,430 5,232 Residual Residual Westminster 725 1,937 4,381 7,449 11,816

280

Table 7: Gross total comparison goods floorspace requirements by town centre (2011 - 2031) using 2.8% productivity growth Comparison Goods Floorspace Requirements (m²) Centre Name Category Borough 2.8% Productivity Growth 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 Barking & Dagenham Major Barking and Dagenham 674 1,472 3,624 6,120 9,590 Chadwell Heath District Barking and Dagenham 69 134 415 758 1,257 Dagenham & Heathway District Barking and Dagenham 84 306 1,214 2,312 3,819 Residual Residual Barking and Dagenham 306 763 2,328 4,222 6,880 Edgware Major Barnet 628 1,767 3,620 5,807 8,768 Brent Street District Barnet 84 282 515 756 1,088 Burnt Oak District Barnet 259 684 1,404 2,321 3,617 Chipping Barnet District Barnet 352 1,030 2,209 3,505 5,161 Church End, Finchley District Barnet 146 541 1,178 1,766 2,575 Colindale/The Hyde District Barnet 594 1,111 1,470 2,242 3,457 East Finchley District Barnet 5 144 429 596 882 Golders Green District Barnet 169 609 1,112 1,574 2,203 Hendon central District Barnet 282 879 1,644 2,517 3,704 Mill Hill District Barnet 180 527 1,088 1,754 2,643 New Barnet District Barnet 121 398 923 1,519 2,322 North Finchley District Barnet 183 779 1,830 2,797 4,160 Temple Fortune District Barnet 210 767 1,502 2,202 3,153 Whetstone District Barnet 87 314 789 1,270 1,937 Residual Residual Barnet 1,290 8,766 20,389 33,605 52,310 Bexleyheath Major Bexley 650 2,506 6,663 11,228 17,348 Crayford District Bexley 159 471 1,086 1,708 2,525 Erith District Bexley 26 201 695 1,311 2,179

281

Comparison Goods Floorspace Requirements (m²) Centre Name Category Borough 2.8% Productivity Growth 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 Sidcup District Bexley 30 270 988 1,722 2,766 Welling District Bexley -27 361 1,575 3,032 5,066 Residual Residual Bexley 20 174 606 1,049 1,674 Kilburn Major Brent 585 1,446 3,080 4,834 7,248 Wembley Major Brent 204 485 1,102 1,973 3,259 Cricklewood District Brent 482 1,501 3,164 4,875 7,181 Ealing Road District Brent 21 47 190 410 754 Harlesden District Brent 115 310 838 1,453 2,412 Kenton District Brent -29 5 232 503 938 Kingsbury District Brent 128 306 747 1,373 2,339 Neasden District Brent -38 -89 50 394 889 Preston Road District Brent 31 63 185 359 643 Wembley Park District Brent 36 120 435 837 1,478 Willesden Green District Brent 70 237 575 861 1,268 Residual Residual Brent 768 2,388 6,026 10,297 16,288 Bromley Metropolitan Bromley 1,137 4,268 12,626 21,659 34,182 Orpington Major Bromley 74 654 2,451 4,762 7,946 Beckenham District Bromley -75 -34 509 1,014 1,827 Crystal Palace District Bromley -37 -36 175 385 724 Penge District Bromley -69 -42 443 909 1,633 Petts Wood District Bromley -95 -83 270 713 1,368 West Wickham District Bromley -139 -113 453 1,204 2,325 Residual Residual Bromley 168 958 3,295 6,213 10,300 Camden Town Major Camden 1,296 2,918 5,541 8,416 12,360 Hampstead District Camden 93 487 1,144 1,697 2,468

282

Comparison Goods Floorspace Requirements (m²) Centre Name Category Borough 2.8% Productivity Growth 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 Kentish Town District Camden 32 231 821 1,433 2,341 Swiss Cottage/Finchley Road District Camden 161 732 1,661 2,502 3,618 West Hampstead District Camden 45 214 455 614 816 Residual Residual Camden 1,053 2,380 4,626 6,960 10,052 Cheapside CAZ Frontage City of London 457 1,030 2,061 3,080 4,473 Fleet Street CAZ Frontage City of London 206 500 1,049 1,576 2,281 Leadenhall Market CAZ Frontage City of London 677 1,414 2,559 3,688 5,211 Liverpool Street CAZ Frontage City of London 1,037 2,321 4,808 7,339 10,876 Moorgate CAZ Frontage City of London 1,092 2,500 5,349 8,240 12,264 Residual Residual City of London 2,682 6,257 13,279 20,232 29,701 Croydon Metropolitan Croydon 1,727 5,013 16,906 30,013 2,079 Addiscombe District Croydon 6 20 214 412 721 Coulsdon District Croydon 103 299 718 1,190 1,776 Norbury District Croydon 16 53 563 1,298 2,447 Purley District Croydon 61 181 480 826 1,265 South Norwood District Croydon -14 -21 162 345 639 Thornton Heath District Croydon 60 79 513 1,078 1,952 Upper Norwood District Croydon -32 -29 215 461 865 Residual Residual Croydon 926 3,089 10,684 9,678 22,330 Ealing Metropolitan Ealing 461 1,507 4,297 6,971 11,033 Southall Major Ealing 233 964 2,514 4,865 8,437 Acton District Ealing 132 302 798 1,207 1,820 Greenford District Ealing -13 80 461 1,096 2,048 Hanwell District Ealing 10 50 177 388 719 Residual Residual Ealing 110 615 2,714 5,490 9,726

283

Comparison Goods Floorspace Requirements (m²) Centre Name Category Borough 2.8% Productivity Growth 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 Enfield Town Major Enfield 394 1,381 3,777 6,698 10,641 Angel Edmonton District Enfield -19 11 251 562 1,027 Edmonton Green District Enfield -23 11 337 750 1,378 Palmers Green District Enfield -40 47 590 1,144 1,955 Southgate District Enfield 15 166 651 1,073 1,669 Residual Residual Enfield 644 2,135 6,266 11,443 18,817 Eltham Major Greenwich 224 1,046 3,210 5,758 9,420 Woolwich Major Greenwich 732 1,978 4,534 7,958 12,850 Greenwich West District Greenwich 311 756 1,497 2,036 2,795 Plumstead District Greenwich -6 15 121 344 679 Thamesmead District Greenwich 40 180 568 1,362 2,577 Residual Residual Greenwich 1,400 3,563 7,601 11,704 17,447 Dalston Major Hackney 510 1,133 2,885 4,825 7,682 Finsbury Park District Hackney 61 170 782 1,435 2,420 Mare Street District Hackney 295 655 1,519 2,455 3,867 Stoke Newington District Hackney 64 170 744 1,471 2,565 Residual Residual Hackney 429 966 2,392 3,906 6,010 Fulham Major Hammersmith and Fulham 356 747 1,328 1,891 2,656 Hammersmith Major Hammersmith and Fulham 446 1,264 3,234 4,934 7,392 Shepherds Bush District Hammersmith and Fulham 156 508 1,538 2,530 3,970 Residual Residual Hammersmith and Fulham 115 562 2,027 3,054 4,520 Wood Green Metropolitan Haringey 589 -5,893 7,763 5,603 13,935 Crouch End District Haringey 5 109 783 1,268 2,061 Green Lanes District Haringey 76 151 453 819 1,347 Muswell Hill District Haringey -6 222 901 1,288 1,947

284

Comparison Goods Floorspace Requirements (m²) Centre Name Category Borough 2.8% Productivity Growth 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 Tottenham District Haringey 32 97 505 1,115 2,021 West Green Road District Haringey 20 46 317 648 1,111 Residual Residual Haringey 191 559 2,385 4,800 8,405 Harrow Metropolitan Harrow 296 1,579 6,259 11,234 18,435 North Harrow District Harrow -25 -6 99 203 364 Pinner District Harrow -26 47 299 547 907 Rayners Lane District Harrow -54 -7 223 501 916 South Harrow District Harrow -123 -84 325 924 1,826 Stanmore District Harrow 28 111 317 534 832 Wealdstone District Harrow -2 166 662 1,110 1,743 Residual Residual Harrow -48 94 587 1,051 1,713 Romford Metropolitan Havering 2,357 5,955 2,687 11,354 22,951 Collier Row District Havering 65 166 489 849 1,358 Elm Park District Havering -27 -32 36 118 238 Harold Hill District Havering 30 111 320 545 854 Hornchurch District Havering 35 264 1,090 1,912 3,050 Rainham District Havering 51 170 428 750 1,185 Upminster District Havering 174 610 1,633 2,655 4,019 Residual Residual Havering 623 1,799 4,665 7,578 11,497 Uxbridge Metropolitan Hillingdon 255 2,048 7,180 12,622 20,285 Eastcote District Hillingdon -97 -43 277 667 1,232 Hayes District Hillingdon 53 406 1,263 2,367 3,970 Ickenham District Hillingdon -41 20 205 396 684 Northwood District Hillingdon 19 106 318 528 808 Ruislip District Hillingdon -130 73 765 1,543 2,670

285

Comparison Goods Floorspace Requirements (m²) Centre Name Category Borough 2.8% Productivity Growth 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 Yiewsley/West Drayton District Hillingdon 9 184 638 1,081 1,725 Residual Residual Hillingdon 58 1,798 5,990 11,044 18,299 Hounslow Metropolitan Hounslow 1,286 3,562 8,548 650 9,898 Chiswick Major Hounslow 344 994 2,608 3,983 5,997 Brentford District Hounslow 79 179 486 828 1,341 Feltham High Street District Hounslow 245 643 1,462 2,677 4,351 Residual Residual Hounslow 259 515 1,297 2,450 4,186 Angel Major Islington 921 2,102 5,083 8,038 12,085 Nags Head Major Islington 397 1,133 3,366 5,754 9,292 Archway District Islington 25 191 706 1,118 1,807 Residual Residual Islington 148 344 1,313 2,304 3,785 Kensington High Street Major Kensington and Chelsea 292 3,759 9,073 13,866 20,088 Kings Road East Major Kensington and Chelsea 7,173 14,242 23,338 32,981 45,923 Earls Court Road District Kensington and Chelsea 53 184 592 821 1,147 Fulham Road (east) District Kensington and Chelsea 772 1,687 3,185 4,591 6,496 Fulham Road (west) District Kensington and Chelsea 610 1,307 2,564 3,662 5,166 Kings Road (west) District Kensington and Chelsea 1,193 2,404 3,960 5,578 7,764 Notting Hill Gate District Kensington and Chelsea 864 1,701 2,797 3,979 5,512 Portobello Road District Kensington and Chelsea 974 2,151 4,282 6,595 9,710 South Kensington District Kensington and Chelsea 65 248 701 1,028 1,489 Residual Residual Kensington and Chelsea 934 2,237 4,848 7,368 10,841 Kingston Metropolitan Kingston upon Thames 2,905 9,985 23,580 37,504 6,218 New Malden District Kingston upon Thames 84 398 1,054 1,830 2,880 Surbiton District Kingston upon Thames 114 370 832 1,321 1,999 Tolworth District Kingston upon Thames 103 363 856 1,443 2,257

286

Comparison Goods Floorspace Requirements (m²) Centre Name Category Borough 2.8% Productivity Growth 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 Residual Residual Kingston upon Thames 150 639 1,604 2,708 4,227 Brixton Major Lambeth 426 1,210 3,205 5,394 8,606 Streatham Major Lambeth 188 547 1,791 3,176 5,217 Clapham High Street District Lambeth 61 297 1,009 1,705 2,702 Stockwell District Lambeth 7 88 353 611 995 Tulse Hill District Lambeth -16 -1 104 187 341 West Norwood District Lambeth -9 29 189 321 545 Lower Marsh CAZ Frontage Lambeth 537 1,245 2,493 3,639 5,159 Residual Residual Lambeth 22 265 1,170 2,149 3,616 Catford Major Lewisham 73 264 946 1,714 2,878 Lewisham Major Lewisham 862 2,495 6,691 10,508 16,121 Blackheath District Lewisham 1 33 92 155 250 Deptford District Lewisham 232 590 1,236 1,598 2,099 Downham District Lewisham -7 5 94 292 624 Forest Hill District Lewisham -4 43 310 572 978 Lee Green District Lewisham 3 59 249 465 803 New Cross District Lewisham 244 643 1,444 1,976 2,722 Sydenham District Lewisham -53 -20 379 857 1,601 Residual Residual Lewisham 167 562 1,770 3,204 5,387 Wimbledon Major Merton 150 1,322 4,693 8,039 12,815 Mitcham District Merton -31 9 344 785 1,444 Morden District Merton -33 38 404 869 1,556 Residual Residual Merton -70 377 2,145 4,006 6,701 East Ham Major Newham 655 1,461 3,573 6,037 9,584 Stratford Major Newham 7,282 16,080 29,623 43,056 62,540

287

Comparison Goods Floorspace Requirements (m²) Centre Name Category Borough 2.8% Productivity Growth 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 Canning Town District Newham 621 1,143 1,918 2,675 3,748 East Beckton District Newham 374 733 1,576 2,674 4,200 Forest Gate District Newham 263 613 1,399 2,187 3,372 Upton Park District Newham 602 1,158 2,879 4,821 7,789 Residual Residual Newham 1,457 3,269 7,569 12,653 19,738 Ilford Metropolitan Redbridge 2,931 1,345 10,346 20,465 34,751 Barkingside District Redbridge 198 462 1,100 1,887 2,999 Gants Hill District Redbridge 122 279 698 1,187 1,895 South Woodford District Redbridge 162 404 1,001 1,550 2,421 Wanstead District Redbridge 93 239 515 734 1,075 Residual Residual Redbridge 578 1,274 3,296 5,667 9,075 Richmond Major Richmond upon Thames 643 1,928 4,781 7,706 11,779 East Sheen District Richmond upon Thames 86 304 1,005 1,691 2,672 Teddington District Richmond upon Thames 110 372 983 1,669 2,644 Twickenham District Richmond upon Thames 402 916 1,822 2,809 4,186 Whitton District Richmond Upon Thames 36 100 277 600 1,082 Residual Residual Richmond Upon Thames 391 1,179 3,136 5,504 8,896 Peckham Major Southwark 895 2,276 5,003 7,315 10,587 Camberwell District Southwark 161 463 1,151 1,803 2,767 Dulwich - Lordship Lane District Southwark 90 291 773 1,011 1,359 Elephant and Castle District Southwark 1,645 4,246 9,697 15,188 22,974 Surrey Quays District Southwark 1,494 3,283 5,833 7,799 10,406 Walworth Road District Southwark 691 1,859 4,247 6,660 10,186 Borough High Street CAZ Frontage Southwark 1,204 2,590 4,784 6,843 9,678 Residual Residual Southwark 1,227 3,016 6,290 9,320 13,542

288

Comparison Goods Floorspace Requirements (m²) Centre Name Category Borough 2.8% Productivity Growth 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 Sutton Metropolitan Sutton 621 3,056 9,992 16,838 26,421 Cheam District Sutton 35 151 439 691 1,031 North Cheam District Sutton 28 185 603 1,107 1,812 Rosehill District Sutton -10 12 145 314 568 Wallington District Sutton 13 122 492 905 1,468 Worcester Park District Sutton 26 212 669 1,235 2,023 Residual Residual Sutton -4 56 372 747 1,286 Canary Wharf Major Tower Hamlets 2,848 5,703 10,209 14,300 4,523 Bethnal Green District Tower Hamlets 463 931 1,706 2,536 3,748 Chrisp Street District Tower Hamlets 556 1,090 1,829 2,566 3,611 Crossharbour District Tower Hamlets 0 0 0 0 0 Poplar District Tower Hamlets 524 1,024 1,746 2,408 3,339 Roman Road (east) District Tower Hamlets 563 1,120 1,920 2,750 4,014 Watney Market District Tower Hamlets 839 1,737 3,270 4,835 7,018 Whitechapel District Tower Hamlets 417 849 1,509 2,172 3,075 Residual Residual Tower Hamlets 2,042 4,125 7,590 11,388 16,751 Walthamstow Major Waltham Forest 610 1,525 4,411 7,808 13,030 Bakers Arms District Waltham Forest 122 281 819 1,364 2,260 Leyton - High Road Leyton District Waltham Forest 78 172 378 556 870 Leytonstone District Waltham Forest 376 904 1,871 2,798 4,189 North Chingford District Waltham Forest 141 398 952 1,611 2,568 South Chingford District Waltham Forest 51 176 615 1,213 2,143 Wood Street District Waltham Forest 37 89 287 484 824 Residual Residual Waltham Forest 281 571 1,136 1,692 2,546 Clapham Junction Major Wandsworth 413 1,467 4,123 6,807 10,689

289

Comparison Goods Floorspace Requirements (m²) Centre Name Category Borough 2.8% Productivity Growth 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 Putney Major Wandsworth 341 1,195 3,315 5,343 8,200 Tooting Major Wandsworth 83 767 3,058 5,460 8,869 Wandsworth Major Wandsworth 286 990 2,680 4,302 6,579 Balham District Wandsworth 0 130 631 1,041 1,607 Residual Residual Wandsworth 573 2,040 5,925 9,922 15,873 Knightsbridge International Westminster 3,751 12,803 26,640 41,584 61,380 West End International Westminster 5,366 9,764 94,373 185,784 305,545 Queensway/Westbourne Grove Major Westminster 666 1,675 3,753 5,818 8,640 Edgware Road/Church Street District Westminster 252 659 1,451 2,259 3,321 Harrow Road District Westminster 7 62 351 713 1,251 Praed Street/Paddington District Westminster 303 790 1,749 2,698 3,934 St John's Wood District Westminster 34 215 555 902 1,371 Edgware Road South CAZ Frontage Westminster 153 327 448 671 1,001 Marylebone High Street CAZ Frontage Westminster 333 1,010 2,692 4,320 6,514 Victoria Street CAZ Frontage Westminster 620 2,028 5,275 8,475 13,029 Warwick Way/Tachbrook St CAZ Frontage Westminster 152 499 1,278 2,143 3,402 Residual Residual Westminster 123 677 2,316 4,397 7,461

290

APPENDIX 11 – NET ADDITIONAL COMPARSION GOODS FLOORSPACE REQUIREMENTS BY BOROUGH

Table 8: Net Additional Comparison Goods Floorspace Requirements (2006-2011) – Timeline scenario, fixed productivity growth, assumes centre specific capacity for additional developments Productivity growth Sub-region Borough 1.50% 2.20% 2.80% North Barnet 6,820 3,632 1,073 Camden 2,788 1,768 927 Enfield 2,679 1,380 309 Hackney 1,608 931 374 Haringey 3,245 1,620 280 Islington 2,239 1,279 487 Westminster 18,049 7,166 726 Total 35,708 15,801 2,419 North East City Of London 5,061 3,359 1,955 Tower Hamlets 4,907 3,594 2,511 Newham 16,354 11,147 6,852 Waltham Forest 2,257 1,278 473 Redbridge 4,440 2,669 1,208 Havering 4,985 2,854 1,096 Barking and Dagenham 1,502 881 368 Total 36,363 23,611 13,091 South East Southwark 8,035 5,220 2,904 Lewisham 2,635 1,434 446 Greenwich 3,191 1,888 813 Bexley 2,317 1,218 313 Bromley 4,700 2,312 344 Total 20,568 11,900 4,749 South West Croydon 8,071 4,171 954 Lambeth 1,904 1,070 382 Merton 1,818 829 -7 Sutton 2,892 1,436 236 Kingston upon Thames 5,573 3,138 1,130 Richmond upon Thames 2,565 1,456 541 Wandsworth 5,236 2,753 707 Total 27,899 14,767 3,934 West Hammersmith and Fulham 1,365 739 227 Brent 3,583 2,041 770 Ealing 2,433 1,253 279 Harrow 2,284 1,046 41 Hillingdon 3,829 1,752 39 Hounslow 3,177 1,819 698 Kensington and Chelsea 10,173 6,836 4,091 Total 26,709 15,400 6,074 London Total 143,172 76,352 23,274 CAZ 20,652 8,793 1,331

291

Table 9: Net Additional Comparison Goods Floorspace Requirements (2006-2016) – Timeline scenario, fixed productivity growth, assumes centre specific capacity for additional developments Productivity growth Sub-region Borough 1.50% 2.20% 2.80% North Barnet 27,424 16,801 8,336 Camden 9,685 6,312 3,616 Enfield 9,326 5,143 1,801 Hackney 5,203 3,021 1,281 Haringey 4,454 565 3,226 Islington 7,434 4,332 1,853 Westminster 62,180 25,206 3,296 Total 120,342 54,306 10,464 North East City Of London 16,828 11,194 6,693 Tower Hamlets 15,464 11,053 7,529 Newham 54,055 36,744 22,919 Waltham Forest 7,395 4,243 1,731 Redbridge 10,071 4,611 774 Havering 16,927 10,013 4,488 Barking and Dagenham 4,932 2,920 1,313 Total 113,714 71,827 38,383 South East Southwark 27,483 18,153 10,716 Lewisham 9,130 5,244 2,141 Greenwich 11,122 6,858 3,451 Bexley 8,476 4,902 2,047 Bromley 16,644 8,965 2,829 Total 71,804 43,518 20,914 South West Croydon 26,769 14,293 4,323 Lambeth 6,556 3,849 1,686 Merton 6,572 3,399 865 Sutton 10,310 5,621 1,874 Kingston upon Thames 20,214 12,245 5,878 Richmond upon Thames 8,787 5,188 2,311 Wandsworth 18,398 10,374 3,964 Total 97,052 54,653 20,773 West Hammersmith and Fulham 4,681 2,657 1,047 Brent 12,330 7,321 3,318 Ealing 8,457 4,657 1,621 Harrow 7,908 3,935 779 Hillingdon 14,028 7,319 1,975 Hounslow 10,745 6,343 2,825 Kensington and Chelsea 35,712 24,491 15,525 Total 93,268 56,309 26,773

London Total 483,252 264,326 95,113 CAZ 70,669 30,470 5,399

292

Table 10: Net Additional Comparison Goods Floorspace Requirements (2006-2021) – Timeline scenario, fixed productivity growth, assumes centre specific capacity for additional developments Productivity growth Sub-region Borough 1.50% 2.20% 2.80% North Barnet 67,657 43,701 25,169 Camden 23,451 15,786 9,852 Enfield 24,280 14,895 7,629 Hackney 13,614 8,666 4,838 Haringey 29,265 17,607 8,583 Islington 19,388 12,360 6,919 Westminster 217,422 121,125 51,673 Total 389,589 227,402 106,322 North East City Of London 41,802 28,824 18,780 Tower Hamlets 36,426 26,201 18,287 Newham 128,042 88,502 57,895 Waltham Forest 18,724 11,654 6,184 Redbridge 30,315 17,520 7,833 Havering 28,845 14,050 3,704 Barking and Dagenham 13,068 8,477 4,922 Total 269,489 174,138 100,556 South East Southwark 69,047 47,512 30,858 Lewisham 23,921 15,127 8,321 Greenwich 27,957 18,285 10,799 Bexley 22,112 14,024 7,764 Bromley 44,012 26,773 13,430 Total 184,237 119,946 70,180 South West Croydon 69,303 41,476 19,936 Lambeth 17,090 10,948 6,193 Merton 17,491 10,398 4,907 Sutton 26,984 16,467 8,325 Kingston upon Thames 50,396 32,431 18,524 Richmond upon Thames 21,947 13,865 7,610 Wandsworth 47,575 29,539 15,580 Total 249,347 154,221 80,589 West Hammersmith and Fulham 12,005 7,454 3,937 Brent 30,647 19,405 10,703 Ealing 21,770 13,271 6,691 Harrow 21,241 12,374 5,514 Hillingdon 37,006 22,012 10,410 Hounslow 26,637 16,774 9,139 Kensington and Chelsea 84,220 58,572 38,717 Total 232,056 148,830 84,406

London Total 1,313,743 812,217 426,736 CAZ 239,912 136,765 61,630

293

Table 11: Net Additional Comparison Goods Floorspace Requirements (2006-2026) – Timeline scenario, fixed productivity growth, assumes centre specific capacity for additional developments

Productivity growth Sub-region Borough 1.50% 2.20% 2.80% North Barnet 130,141 85,019 51,197 Camden 43,862 29,431 18,612 Enfield 48,406 30,706 17,435 Hackney 26,814 17,446 10,422 Haringey 44,971 23,673 8,407 Islington 37,367 24,162 14,260 Westminster 474,697 285,641 148,145 Total 801,622 490,437 261,173 North East City Of London 79,032 54,325 35,800 Tower Hamlets 45,627 47,936 33,256 Newham 22,995 163,267 107,195 Waltham Forest 36,437 23,173 13,230 Redbridge 63,064 38,693 20,565 Havering 63,839 35,286 14,646 Barking and Dagenham 26,280 17,477 10,877 Total 327,811 346,758 211,242 South East Southwark 47,914 88,937 58,282 Lewisham 15,697 29,369 17,027 Greenwich 54,770 36,373 22,582 Bexley 43,374 28,098 16,645 Bromley 24,205 54,761 30,486 Total 175,032 233,866 142,836 South West Croydon 59,356 68,565 30,279 Lambeth 33,042 21,476 12,804 Merton 34,166 20,961 11,061 Sutton 52,047 32,458 17,771 Kingston upon Thames 31,192 62,305 37,053 Richmond upon Thames 42,401 27,235 15,865 Wandsworth 91,459 57,794 32,556 Total 321,453 288,075 154,916 West Hammersmith and Fulham 22,329 13,929 7,636 Brent 59,681 38,513 22,642 Ealing 43,326 27,327 15,332 Harrow 41,699 25,221 12,869 Hillingdon 72,967 44,961 23,967 Hounslow 32,190 14,891 3,582 Kensington and Chelsea 155,786 107,266 70,890 Total 422,645 266,427 149,462

London Total 2,038,548 1,611,506 904,313 CAZ 517,254 315,416 168,053

294

Table 12: Net Additional Comparison Goods Floorspace Requirements (2006-2031) – Timeline scenario, fixed productivity growth, assumes centre specific capacity for additional developments Productivity growth Sub-region Borough 1.50% 2.20% 2.80% North Barnet 191,142 126,041 78,770 Camden 63,005 42,244 27,167 Enfield 72,753 47,151 28,560 Hackney 40,422 26,756 16,833 Haringey 73,076 42,139 20,048 Islington 55,283 36,221 22,379 Westminster 743,191 465,360 266,523 Total 1,234,948 781,358 454,608 North East City Of London 114,858 78,830 52,667 Tower Hamlets 75,021 46,837 26,849 Newham 97,557 236,571 157,551 Waltham Forest 54,927 35,702 21,741 Redbridge 97,387 61,922 36,250 Havering 100,340 59,083 29,590 Barking and Dagenham 39,806 26,850 17,441 Total 578,164 497,122 306,388 South East Southwark 100,376 129,473 86,161 Lewisham 35,076 14,285 26,927 Greenwich 81,952 55,047 35,509 Bexley 64,156 42,097 26,078 Bromley 60,842 21,486 49,734 Total 334,062 232,036 220,789 South West Croydon 120,414 52,223 10,403 Lambeth 49,058 32,311 20,150 Merton 50,681 31,842 18,161 Sutton 76,244 48,345 28,084 Kingston upon Thames 68,724 27,021 3,775 Richmond upon Thames 62,477 40,665 24,826 Wandsworth 134,676 86,473 51,472 Total 543,940 295,522 122,315 West Hammersmith and Fulham 32,009 20,154 11,548 Brent 88,673 58,076 35,856 Ealing 66,055 42,800 25,912 Harrow 62,021 38,557 21,518 Hillingdon 108,784 68,703 39,599 Hounslow 57,557 31,351 13,210 Kensington and Chelsea 221,644 151,606 100,747 Total 630,980 405,958 242,633

London Total 3,317,515 2,197,931 1,322,127 CAZ 804,816 508,418 273,886

295

APPENDIX 12 – NET ADDITIONAL COMPARISON GOODS FLOORSPACE REQUIREMENTS BY TOWN CENTRE

Table 13: Net additional comparison goods floorspace requirements by town centre (2011 - 2031) using 1.5% growth Comparison Goods Floorspace Requirements (m²) Centre Name Category Borough 1.5% Productivity Growth 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 Barking & Dagenham Major Barking and Dagenham 666 2,161 5,622 11,181 16,849 Chadwell Heath District Barking and Dagenham 110 341 875 1,739 2,620 Dagenham & Heathway District Barking and Dagenham 249 854 2,364 4,847 7,388 Residual Residual Barking and Dagenham 477 1,576 4,207 8,513 12,949 Edgware Major Barnet 643 2,389 5,826 11,270 16,537 Brent Street District Barnet 81 327 768 1,426 2,039 Burnt Oak District Barnet 263 956 2,322 4,552 6,796 Chipping Barnet District Barnet 382 1,430 3,552 6,831 9,872 Church End, Finchley District Barnet 205 806 1,994 3,709 5,292 Colindale/The Hyde District Barnet 280 889 1,749 3,386 5,214 East Finchley District Barnet 85 350 904 1,610 2,266 Golders Green District Barnet 169 701 1,646 2,994 4,211 Hendon central District Barnet 270 1,057 2,501 4,742 6,874 Mill Hill District Barnet 187 705 1,729 3,358 4,930 New Barnet District Barnet 173 650 1,629 3,163 4,636 North Finchley District Barnet 330 1,303 3,276 6,125 8,798 Temple Fortune District Barnet 243 986 2,367 4,371 6,206 Whetstone District Barnet 148 560 1,431 2,740 3,996 Residual Residual Barnet 3,361 14,316 35,960 69,867 103,477 Bexleyheath Major Bexley 1,296 4,714 12,123 23,623 34,701 Crayford District Bexley 198 706 1,773 3,372 4,865

296