NATO's Role in Nuclear Non-Proliferation and Arms Control
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Europe Responds to the Crisis of Multilateral Arms Control
Yes, we can? Europe responds to the crisis of multilateral arms control GLOBAL SECURITY POLICY BRIEF Oliver Meier November 2020 The European Leadership Network (ELN) is an independent, non-partisan, pan-European network of nearly 200 past, present and future European leaders working to provide practical real-world solutions to political and security challenges. About the author Dr Oliver Meier is senior researcher at the Institute for Peace Research and Security Policy at the University of Hamburg (IFSH). Published by the European Leadership Network, November 2020 European Leadership Network (ELN) 8 St James’s Square London, UK, SE1Y 4JU @theELN europeanleadershipnetwork.org Published under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 © The ELN 2020 The opinions articulated in this report represent the views of the author, and do not necessarily reflect the position of the European Leadership Network or any of its members. The ELN’s aim is to encourage debates that will help develop Europe’s capacity to address pressing foreign, defence, and security challenges. Over the last four years, Europeans “Over the last four have been facing the fundamental years, Europeans challenge of Russia and the United have been facing States turning away from, or even the fundamental against, arms control. challenge of Russia and the United By definition, Europeans can have little States turning away from, or even against impact on the progress of bilateral arms, control.” Russia-U.S. arms control. In facing the crisis of multilateral arms control On foreign and security policies, regimes, however, Europe has begun to including arms control, the next US find its voice in countering great power administration is unlikely to simply recalcitrance. -
Small Arms Transfer Control Measures and the Arms Trade Treaty
A Project of the Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies, Geneva Small Arms Transfer Control Measures and the Arms Trade Treaty A Small Arms Survey Review (2007–10) Small Arms Transfer Control Measures and the Arms Trade Treaty A Small Arms Survey Review (2007–10) About the Small Arms Survey The Small Arms Survey is an independent research project located at the Graduate Institute of International and Develop- ment Studies in Geneva, Switzerland. It serves as the principal source of public information on all aspects of small arms and armed violence and as a resource centre for governments, policy-makers, researchers, and activists. The project has an international staff with expertise in security studies, political science, law, economics, development studies, sociology, and criminology, and collaborates with a network of partners in more than 50 countries. Small Arms Survey Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies 47 Avenue Blanc 1202 Geneva Switzerland t +41 22 908 5777 f +41 22 732 2738 e [email protected] w www.smallarmssurvey.org Cover photograph: Alexandre Meneghini/AP Small Arms Transfer Control Measures and the Arms Trade Treaty A Small Arms Survey Review (2007–10) Back to Basics: Transfer Controls in Global Perspective (from Small Arms Survey 2007: Guns and the City, Chapter 4: pp. 116–43) .............................................................................................. 5 Arsenals Adrift: Arms and Ammunition Diversion (from Small Arms Survey 2008: Risk and Resilience, Chapter 2: pp. 41–75) ............................................................................................. 33 Who’s Buying? End-user Certification (from Small Arms Survey 2008: Risk and Resilience, Chapter 5: pp. 154–81) .......................................................................................... 67 Devils in Diversity: Export Controls for Military Small Arms (from Small Arms Survey 2009: Shadows of War, Chapter 2: pp. -
Arms Control and Lethal Autonomy the Past Points Toward the Future
ARMS CONTROL AND LETHAL AUTONOMY THE PAST POINTS TOWARD THE FUTURE In the coming years, lethal autonomous weapons systems are likely to have a revolutionary impact on warfare. These weapons can attack targets based on artificial intelligence, without direct control by humans. Fear of their potential for unintended consequences has led to calls for a ban on autonomous weapons. What should the U.S. expect of such arms control negotiations? What role can the U.S. play in talks when autonomous weapons are at the core of the Third Offset plan to modernize U.S. national security? CNA addresses these questions by analyzing the record of six previous international arms control agreements. These agreements imposed bans or limitations on conventional weapons such as chemical weapons, cluster bombs, blinding lasers, incendiary bombs and land mines, among others. Participation in past agreements suggests that if an international ban on autonomous lethal weapons is negotiated, states such as North Korea, Syria and Iran may not commit to uphold it. North Korea is not a signatory to any of the six agreements. Iran and Syria signed only one of them. Such holdouts suggest that if a restriction on lethal autonomous weapons is agreed to, the U.S. should still expect to encounter these weapons on the future battlefield and should prepare accordingly to defend against them. Contrary to the common perception that the U.S. is more likely to participate in arms control than Russia or China, precedent indicates that the three major powers are prone to take the same decision on whether or not to sign an agreement. -
2018 Sartorius Christopher Ma
UNIVERSITY OF OKLAHOMA GRADUATE COLLEGE WARNING INTELLIGENCE IN NUCLEAR CRISIS MANAGEMENT: AVOIDING CATASTROPHIC MISCALCULATION A DISSERTATION SUBMITTED TO THE GRADUATE FACULTY in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY By CHRISTOPHER M. SARTORIUS Norman, OK 2018 WARNING INTELLIGENCE IN NUCLEAR CRISIS MANAGMENT: AVOIDING CATASTROPHIC MISCALCULATION A DISSERTATION APPROVED FOR THE DEPARTMENT OF POLITICAL SCIENCE BY ___________________________ Dr. Ronald K. Gaddie, Chair ___________________________ Dr. Colin M. Barry ___________________________ Dr. Deven E. Carlson ___________________________ Dr. Jorge L. Mendoza ___________________________ Dr. Shad B. Satterthwaite © Copyright by CHRISTOPHER M. SARTORIUS 2018 All Rights Reserved. This dissertation is dedicated to my family and all intelligence professionals, military and civilian, past and present, who have dedicated their lives to protecting our great nation and our allies. Acknowledgements Working on this doctoral dissertation has been both a joy and a challenge. This work would not have been possible without the support and encouragement of countless individuals. At the most personal level, I would like to thank my wife, Fulvia, for her support over the past three years of this doctoral program and for her care and love over the past 25 years. I wish to thank my son, Konrad, for providing inspiration, much needed breaks in my work routine, and for sharing lunch together at the OU cafeteria followed by our fun table tennis matches. I also would like to thank my parents, Tim and Wanda Sartorius, for instilling in me the value of a great education. I would also like to thank Dr. Shad Satterthwaite, always friendly, open, and upbeat for enthusiastically encouraging me to pursue a doctoral degree at OU and Dr. -
Antinuclear Politics, Atomic Culture, and Reagan Era Foreign Policy
Selling the Second Cold War: Antinuclear Cultural Activism and Reagan Era Foreign Policy A dissertation presented to the faculty of the College of Arts and Sciences of Ohio University In partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree Doctor of Philosophy William M. Knoblauch March 2012 © 2012 William M. Knoblauch. All Rights Reserved. 2 This dissertation titled Selling the Second Cold War: Antinuclear Cultural Activism and Reagan Era Foreign Policy by WILLIAM M. KNOBLAUCH has been approved for the Department of History and the College of Arts and Sciences by __________________________________ Chester J. Pach Associate Professor of History __________________________________ Howard Dewald Dean, College of Arts and Sciences 3 ABSTRACT KNOBLAUCH, WILLIAM M., Ph.D., March 2012, History Selling the Second Cold War: Antinuclear Cultural Activism and Reagan Era Foreign Policy Director of Dissertation: Chester J. Pach This dissertation examines how 1980s antinuclear activists utilized popular culture to criticize the Reagan administration’s arms buildup. The 1970s and the era of détente marked a decade-long nadir for American antinuclear activism. Ronald Reagan’s rise to the presidency in 1981 helped to usher in the “Second Cold War,” a period of reignited Cold War animosities that rekindled atomic anxiety. As the arms race escalated, antinuclear activism surged. Alongside grassroots movements, such as the nuclear freeze campaign, a unique group of antinuclear activists—including publishers, authors, directors, musicians, scientists, and celebrities—challenged Reagan’s military buildup in American mass media and popular culture. These activists included Fate of the Earth author Jonathan Schell, Day After director Nicholas Meyer, and “nuclear winter” scientific-spokesperson Carl Sagan. -
Managing Nuclear Proliferation in the Middle East
04-3869-5 CH04 10/28/08 9:30 AM Page 93 BRUCE RIEDEL GARY SAMORE 4 Managing Nuclear Proliferation in the Middle East CURRENT U.S. EFFORTS to stop Iran’s nuclear program have failed. For- tunately, however, because of technical limits, Iran appears to be two to three years away from building an enrichment facility capable of pro- ducing sufficient weapons-grade uranium quickly enough to support a credible nuclear weapons option. As a consequence, the incoming U.S. administration will likely have some breathing space to develop a new diplomatic approach to prevent Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapons capability. Part of this new approach should involve direct and uncon- ditional talks between the United States and Iran on a range of bilateral issues, as well as formal nuclear negotiations between Iran and the EU-3 plus 3 (France, Germany, and the United Kingdom, plus China, Russia, and the United States). To make these negotiations effective, the new administration should seek agreement among the EU-3 plus 3 to support stronger political and economic sanctions if Iran rejects an offer to resolve the nuclear issue and improve bilateral relations with the United States. Faced with more attractive inducements and the prospect of more serious sanctions, the Iranian regime might be persuaded to limit its nuclear activities below the threshold of a nuclear breakout capability. If this new diplomatic effort fails to stop Iran from achieving comple- tion of a nuclear breakout capability (that is, the ability to produce sig- 93 04-3869-5 CH04 10/28/08 9:30 AM Page 94 94 BRUCE RIEDEL and GARY SAMORE nificant amounts of weapons-grade uranium), the United States will face a difficult choice: It could accept Iran as a nuclear-capable state with a breakout option and try to build firebreaks to prevent Iran from actually producing such material (and building nuclear weapons). -
Friend Or Ally? a Question for New Zealand
.......... , ---~ MeN AIR PAPERS NUMBER T\\ ELVE FRIEND OR ALLY? A QUESTION FOR NEW ZEALAND By EWAN JAMIESON THE INSTI FUTE FOR NATIONAL SI'R-~TEGIC STUDIES ! I :. ' 71. " " :~..? ~i ~ '" ,.Y:: ;,i:,.i:".. :..,-~.~......... ,,i-:i:~: .~,.:iI- " yT.. -.~ .. ' , " : , , ~'~." ~ ,?/ .... ',~.'.'.~ ..~'. ~. ~ ,. " ~:S~(::!?- ~,i~ '. ? ~ .5" .~.: -~:!~ ~:,:i.. :.~ ".: :~" ;: ~:~"~',~ ~" '" i .'.i::.. , i ::: .',~ :: .... ,- " . ".:' i:!i"~;~ :~;:'! .,"L': ;..~'~ ',.,~'i:..~,~'"~,~: ;":,:.;;, ','" ;.: i',: ''~ .~,,- ~.:.~i ~ . '~'">.'.. :: "" ,-'. ~:.." ;';, :.~';';-;~.,.";'."" .7 ,'~'!~':"~ '?'""" "~ ': " '.-."i.:2: i!;,'i ,~.~,~I~out ;popular: ~fo.rmatwn~ .o~~'t,he~,,:. "~.. " ,m/e..a~ tg:,the~6w.erw!~chi~no.wtetl~e.~gi..~e~ ;~i:~.::! ~ :: :~...i.. 5~', '+~ :: ..., .,. "'" .... " ",'.. : ~'. ,;. ". ~.~.~'.:~.'-? "-'< :! :.'~ : :,. '~ ', ;'~ : :~;.':':/.:- "i ; - :~:~!II::::,:IL:.~JmaiegMad}~)~:ib;:, ,?T,-. B~;'...-::', .:., ,.:~ .~ 'z • ,. :~.'..." , ,~,:, "~, v : ", :, -:.-'": ., ,5 ~..:. :~i,~' ',: ""... - )" . ,;'~'.i "/:~'-!"'-.i' z ~ ".. "', " 51"c, ' ~. ;'~.'.i:.-. ::,,;~:',... ~. " • " ' '. ' ".' ,This :iis .aipul~ ~'i~gtin~e ..fdi;:Na~i~real..Sfi'~te~ie.'Studi'~ ~It ;is, :not.i! -, - .... +~l~ase,~ad.~ p,g, ,,.- .~, . • ,,. .... .;. ...~,. ...... ,._ ,,. .~ .... ~;-, :'-. ,,~7 ~ ' .~.: .... .,~,~.:U7 ,L,: :.~: .! ~ :..!:.i.i.:~i :. : ':'::: : ',,-..-'i? -~ .i~ .;,.~.,;: ~v~i- ;. ~, ~;. ' ~ ,::~%~.:~.. : ..., .... .... -, ........ ....... 1'-.~ ~:-~...%, ;, .i-,i; .:.~,:- . eommenaati6'r~:~xpregseff:or ;ii~iplie'd.:;~ifl~in.:iat~ -:: -
Conyentlonal Forces and Arms Limitation in Europe
UNIDIR/88/22/Rev2 UNIDIR United Nations Institute for Disarmament Research Geneva — ^ UNITED NATIONS < BIPASXIIENI f o r DISABUftMSNI AJVAULS befbsbhce L in m ^ f Conyentlonal forces and arms limitation in Europe Report by the French Institute for International Relations (IFRI) prepared under the direction of Pierre Lellouche and Jirome Paolini UNITED NATIONS New York, 1989 NOTE The designations employed and the presentation of the material in this publication dp not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Secretariat of the United Nations concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area, or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. ♦ * * The views expressed in this paper are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the United Nations Secretariat. UNIDIR/88/22/Rev.2 UNITED NATIONS PUBLICATION Sales No. GV.E.89.0.6 ISBN 92-9045-036-3 02400P i i i ^ ^ UNITED HATKHIS OlPARiaiENI FOR DISAMMMSNI AFFAIB8 ^ BEBKEUCE LUSAiOC^ PREFACE ^ ...... In paragraphs 81 and 82 of the Final Document of the Tenth Special Session of the General As- sembly, the most comprehensive consensus statement on disarmament formulated to date by the international community , it was considered that "Together with negotiations on nuclear disarma- ment measures, the limitation and gradual reduction of armed fcnrces and conventional weapons should be resolutely pursued within the framework of progress towards general and complete disar- mament". States with larger military arsenals were especially urged to pursue such endeavours and Europe was specifically singled out as a priority region of the globe where agreement on mutual reductions and limitations of military potential could greatly contribute to the enhancement of international peace and security. -
French Vs. Australian Nuclear Policies: Convergences, Divergences and Avenues for Cooperation
French vs. Australian nuclear policies: convergences, divergences and avenues for cooperation Recherches & Documents N°19/2020 Eloise N. Watson December 2020 www.frstrategie.org French vs. Australian nuclear policies: convergences, divergences and avenues for cooperation SUMMARY FRENCH VS. AUSTRALIAN NUCLEAR POLICIES: CONVERGENCES, DIVERGENCES AND AVENUES FOR COOPERATION .......................................................................................................................... 1 INTRODUCTION ................................................................................................................................... 1 1. STANCE ON NUCLEAR DETERRENCE .......................................................................................... 2 1.1. The Australian position ........................................................................................2 1.1.1. Nuclear weapons acquisition: a fleeting flirtation ................................................2 1.1.2. Nuclear option shelved; ‘extended nuclear deterrence’ prioritised ......................3 1.1.3. Continued reinforcement of extended nuclear deterrence in the post-Cold War era .....................................................................................................................4 1.2. The French position .............................................................................................4 1.2.1. The original strategic rationale: guarantee security, diplomatic standing and independence ....................................................................................................4 -
Arms Control in Europe: in Europe: Arms Control and Threats Trends Regimes, Edited by Tommi Koivula and Katariina Simonen Edited by Tommi Koivula And
National Defence University Series 1: Research Publications No. 16 Arms Control in Europe: Regimes, Trends and Threats Arms Control in Europe: Regimes, Trends and Threats Edited by Tommi Koivula and Katariina Simonen Arms control issues, especially regarding nuclear weapons, have Arms Control in Europe: been a marginal theme on the European security agenda after the end of the Cold War. One can even talk about the erosion of arms Regimes, Trends and Threats control expertise in several European countries. At the same time, nuclear weapons are actively back in States’ defence policies, while groundbreaking technological advances such as artificial Edited by Tommi Koivula and Katariina Simonen intelligence, unmanned and autonomous weapons systems and other innovations have come to influence our contemporary se- curity environment. This book is written in response to these alarming developments. Its purpose is to reconstruct expertise and raise awareness on arms control and nuclear weapons in Europe. It is a timely collection of essays by eminent experts in different fields of arms control. T. Koivula & K. Simonen (eds.) National Defence University PO Box 7, 00861 HELSINKI Puh. +358 299 800 www.mpkk.fi ISBN 978-951-25-2950-6 (pbk.) ISBN 978-951-25-2951-3 (pdf) ISSN 2342-9992 (print) ISSN 2343-0001 (web) Series 1, No. 16 The Finnish Defence Forces MAANPUOLUSTUSKORKEAKOULU JULKAISUSARJA 1: TUTKIMUKSIA NRO 16 NATIONAL DEFENCE UNIVERSITY SERIES 1: RESEARCH PUBLICATIONS NO. 16 ARMS CONTROL IN EUROPE: REGIMES, TRENDS AND THREATS Edited by Tommi Koivula and Katariina Simonen NATIONAL DEFENCE UNIVERSITY HELSINKI 2017 Tommi Koivula & Katariina Simonen (eds.) Arms Control in Europe: Regimes, Trends and Threats Maanpuolustuskorkeakoulu Julkaisusarja 1: Tutkimuksia nro 16 National Defence University Series 1: Research Publications No. -
75 Stat.] Public Law 87-297-Sept. 26, 1961 631
75 STAT.] PUBLIC LAW 87-297-SEPT. 26, 1961 631 Public Law 87-297 AN ACT September 26, 1961 TH R 91 181 To establish a United States Arms Control and Disaruiament Agency. '•'•'' Be it enacted hy the Seiiate mid House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, TITLE I—SHORT TITLE, PURPOSE, AND DEFINITIONS SHORT TITI^E SECTION 1. This Act may be cited as the "Arms Control and Dis- Di^^a^^,^°AcT'^ armament Act". PURPOSE SEC. 2. An ultimate goal of the United States is a world which is free from the scourge of w^ar and the dangers and burdens of armaments; in which the use of force has been subordinated to the rule of law; and in which international adjustments to a changing world are achieved peacefully. It is the purpose of this Act to provide impetus toward this goal by creating a new agency of peace to deal with the problem of reduction and control of armaments looking toward ultimate world disarmament. Arms control and disarmament policy, being an important aspect of foreign policy, must be consistent with national security policy as a whole. The formulation and implementation of United States arms control and disarmament policy in a manner which will promote the national security can best be insured by a central organization charged by statute with primary responsibility for this field. This organiza tion must have such a position within the Government that it can provide the President, the Secretary of State, other officials of the executive branch, and the Congress with recommendations concerning United States arms control and disarmament policy, and can assess the effect of these recommendations upon our foreign policies, our national security policies, and our economy. -
International Media and U.S. Foreign Policy by Kevin J, Mcnamara
Review Essays International Media and U.S. Foreign Policy by Kevin J, McNamara Lights, Camera, War Is Media Technology Driving Internutional Politics? By Johanna Neuman. (New York: St. Martin’s Press, 1996. 327 pp. $23.95.) Negotiating in the Public Eye: Y&eimpact of the Ptes on the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Force Negotiations. By Marc A. Genest. (Stanford, Calif.: Stanford University Press, 1995. 189 pp. $32.50.) ~n~~o~l News and Fon?z&zCoals. By Stephen Hess. (Washington, D.C.: The Brookings Institution, l!?%. 209 pp. $26.95.) i%e Cuptiw Press:Fomi@ Policy Crisesand the First Amendment. By Ted Galen Carpenter. (Washington, D.C.: Cato Institute, 1995.315 pp. $14.95,paper.) News media, especially television, appear to be assuming an ever larger role in vital affairs of state. For example, the first major ~te~atio~l crisis following the cold war saw endless jostling by Washington and Baghdad to score propaganda points during the months leading up to Operation Desert Storm, which led Newsuxek to declare that “TV has once again become the water in which world events swim.“l CNN’s live coverage of the Persian Gulf War led some diplomats to declare that the lifeblood of the ~plomatic trade--the cable traf%c between embassies and foreign ministries-was mostly dead. “It’s useless for us to report what is happening,” one unidentified European diplomat remarked, “when everyone in our capital sees it all on television. By the time you’ve coded your cable, they know as much as you do.r’2 In addition, some of the bloodiest battles that heralded the collapse of communism during the 198‘+1991 period were fought over television facilities.