PROCEEDINGS MTM-III - OPENING AND INTRODUCTION
OPENING AND INTRODUCTION
A.R. van Bennekom
Institute for Inland Water Management and Waste Water Treatment RIZA, P.O. Box 17, 8200 AA Lelystad, The Netherlands
Mr Chairman, ladies and gentlemen, Welcome to the third international workshop Monitoring Tailor-Made. The subject of our workshop is information for sustainable water management. Sustainable water management is a matter of balancing. There are many stakeholders that share the same water resources and decision makers have to find a balance between all these interests. To support good decisions, that integrate between all interests, water management policy needs good, integrated information. Decisions have to balance ecological, economic and sociological factors that influence the quality and quantity of the water, and consequently the required information should integrate these disciplines. In this workshop we will be discussing what kind of information water management policy needs to be able to make decisions, and how such information can be obtained.
WATER CRISIS
Good information is becoming ever more important. There is a water crisis today. But the crisis is not about having too little water to satisfy our needs. It is a crisis of managing water so badly that billions of people, and the environment, suffer badly (Cosgrove and Rijsberman 2000). Managing water in a sustainable way requires good information.
The problem as described by the Prince of Orange is that we have too little, too much or too polluted water. At the second World Water Forum, this is extensively discussed, and it was concluded in the Ministerial Declaration of The Hague on Water Security in the 21st Century that an integrated water resources management is needed, accounting for social, economic and environmental factors and integrating surface water, groundwater and the ecosystems through which they flow. We will not discuss the water crisis here, but it underlines the importance of our work; without suitable and solid information about these social, economic and environmental factors and without knowledge of the status of surface waters, their linking to groundwaters and their relation to the surrounding ecosystems, sustainable water management is not possible.
In this workshop we will discuss how we can come to integrated information, how we should deal with transboundary issues, how we can make policy makers and scientists communicate and how we can make scientists from different disciplines communicate and come to an integration of techniques. I will discuss these items one by one and to the end, I will come to covering idea of this all: Tailor-Made Monitoring.
INTEGRATED WATER ASSESSMENT
There is not really a shortage of data. Of course there are regions in the world that can be described as data-poor. But it is not a matter of having too little data. Usually there is data on water quality and quantity, there is data on ecology, economics and sociology, but the issue is that we can not combine these data into useful information. Data are collected for a specific reason and are less suitable for use in an other context. Therefore, we must find an approach to collect data that can be integrated into suitable information for water management. This implies integration of different scientific disciplines in the domains of the natural sciences and socio- economic sciences. Can we link biological data to industrial production data and is it possible to combine data about recreation with chemical data? Such are the questions we are facing. Integrated water assessment is also concerned with integrating information on groundwater and surface water systems. Both systems have different properties, but they are both part of the same hydrological cycle and influence each other. It was concluded from the workshop Monitoring Tailor-Made II that the same concepts in monitoring strategies are applicable for groundwater and surface water. The differences are mostly related to differences in physical characteristics (Van Luin and Ottens 1997). The same goes for the ecosystems surrounding water bodies. Water management cannot deal with these systems separately. This also requires an integrated approach; on a spatial scale.
10 PROCEEDINGS MTM-III - OPENING AND INTRODUCTION
TRANSBOUNDARY ISSUES
Then there is the matter that water bodies require an integrated approach crossing borders. Water bodies, being groundwaters or surface waters, do not stop at administrative borders. Management of a water body therefore requires a transboundary approach. Countries sharing a water body must tune their water management. This necessitates co-operation between different countries and harmonisation of different approaches towards the balancing of socio-economic and ecological values, as I discussed earlier. Such a process is full of pitfalls. It requires mutual trust, much communication and, not in the least, patience.
Water management is largely regulated through legal systems. These legal systems put obligations on the collection of information. But such obligations tend to be inflexible and do not account for specific local situations. And across the border, there is another legal system, having other requirements. We should ask ourselves if we can use information to influence developments in policy and legislation, and maybe use it to come to a harmonised system between countries.
POLICY MAKERS AND SCIENTISTS
One of the big problems we are facing in producing information is that information producers, like scientists, often do not speak the same ‘language’ as information users, like policy makers and the public (Helsel 1997). Information users tend to oversimplify and have unrealistic expectations, whereas information producers fail to address the management needs (MacDonald 1994). So one of the issues is to bring these professional groups together and have them approaching water management in an integrated way. The step of specification of information needs is a crucial one in this respect. And at the other end of the information cycle the step of information utilisation is just as essential. These are issues that need more and more fundamental discussion.
TECHNOLOGICAL PROGRESS
This is the age of information. Technology provides us with numerous possibilities to unlock information in a way that was never though possible before. But are we using these possibilities, and can we use technology to support water management? We use databases to store the data, we use sophisticated software to analyse data, we use models to make prediction and analyse water management, and we use GIS to make surveyable maps. But integration of all these techniques is seldom done. How can we integrate such techniques. And can we find examples of integration of techniques that really worked?
MONITORING TAILOR-MADE
This brings us to the workshops Monitoring Tailor-Made. The previous, succesfull, workshops were in 1994 and 1996. In these workshops we discussed tailor-made monitoring. But after these two workshops do we know what tailor-made monitoring is? The theory says that tailor- made monitoring is providing the right information to support management decisions. Tailor- made information is effective: the information product is tailored to the questions, and efficient: the information is provided at a reasonable and affordable price (Adriaanse 1997). But that is theory. In practice, tailor-made monitoring is not fully developed. The 1994 workshop Monitoring Tailor-Made I concluded that a better fit should be found between the information produced and the water management needs (Adriaanse et al. 1995). A better fit yes, but how? In the 1996 workshop Monitoring Tailor-Made II this notion was developed into the conclusion that a lack of methodologies to deal with the upper ‘information’ parts of the monitoring cycle is hindering the linking of information to policy. A stronger participation of policy makers and public, and involvement of other than the traditional disciplines were recommended to improve monitoring information (Van Luin and Ottens 1997).
This is where we left four years ago. And now many of you are here again to discuss the progress we made since 1996. And many new people are here, also from disciplines that are new to this workshop, to add your experience. Monitoring Tailor-Made II made special effort to involve groundwater professionals. You seem to have settled, as you are well represented again.
11 PROCEEDINGS MTM-III - OPENING AND INTRODUCTION
Now Monitoring Tailor-Made III made an effort to involve professionals from the socio- economic sciences I hope this will prove to be lasting as well.
The workshop Monitoring Tailor-Made is intended to provide a stage for the exchange of knowledge and experiences in integrating across scientific disciplines, professional groups, and administrative borders. I hope you all will use this opportunity to discuss and learn. I wish you interesting, fruitful and, not in the least, very enjoyable days here in Nunspeet.
REFERENCES
Adriaanse, M., J. Van de Kraats, P.G. Stoks, and R.C. Ward (eds.) (1995) Conclusions Pages 345 - 346 in Proceedings of the international workshop Monitoring Tailor-made. Beekbergen, The Netherlands. Adriaanse, M. (1997) Tailor-made guidelines: a contradiction in terms? Pages 391 - 399 in: J.J. Ottens, F.A.M. Claessen, P.G. Stoks, J.G. Timmerman and R.C. Ward (eds.) Proceedings of the international workshop Monitoring Tailor-Made II. Nunspeet, The Netherlands. Cosgrove, W.J. and F.R. Rijsberman (2000) World water vision; making water everybody’s business. Earthscan Publications Ltd, London, UK. Helsel, D.R. (1997) The value of water quality information for national environmental policy. Pages 47 - 52 in: J.J. Ottens, F.A.M. Claessen, P.G. Stoks, J.G. Timmerman, and R.C. Ward (eds.) Proceedings of the international workshop Monitoring Tailor-made - II. Nunspeet, The Netherlands. MacDonald, L.H. (1994) Developing a monitoring project. Journal of soil and water conservation, May - June 1994, p. 221 - 227. Van Luin, A.B. and J.J. Ottens. (1997) Conclusions and recommendations. Pages 401 - 403 in: J.J. Ottens, F.A.M. Claessen, P.G. Stoks, J.G. Timmerman, and R.C. Ward (eds.) Proceedings of the international workshop Monitoring Tailor-made - II. Nunspeet, The Netherlands.
12 PROCEEDINGS MTM-III - METHODS FOR INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT
METHODS FOR INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT
Poul Harremoës1 and R. Kerry Turner2
1 Department of Environmental Science and Engineering Technical University of Denmark 2800 Kgs. Lyngby, Denmark 2 CSERGE, School of Environmental Sciences University of East Anglia Norwich, UK
Integrated assessment is an approach, which seeks to involve all disciplines in policy-relevant assessment. The process aims to encompass environmental science, technology and policy problems. The aim is to establish an overview of the environmental issue in question which attempts to avoid the mistakes of the past associated with narrow, one-sided or uni-dimensional approaches. There are a number of methods available for such assessments. However, they are also subject to a number of limitations, difficulties and dilemmas. Integrated methods are inherently complicated and the tradition is that only experts are involved. New more inclusionary procedures have to be devised in order to involve all stakeholders. They have to be involved in the framing of the issue and in the value judgements associated with the approach.The dilemmas cannot be solved by integrated approaches, but they can be mitigated via proper identification, analysis and evaluation of the gains and loses involved. In structuring the analysis the existence of ignorance has to be accounted for and communicated to the managers and the political decision makers. The ignorance/uncertainty aspects can be partially accommodated for via an intensification of feasible monitoring and research so as to minimise the risks of unpleasant surprises.
Key Words: uncertainty, risk, surprise, inclusionary decision making
INTRODUCTION
The need for integrated approaches is manifested by mistakes and surprises that have dogged the policy formulation and enablement process of the past. The regulatory agencies and the policy makers found to their dismay that the effects of and responses to policy implementation were not always as anticipated. There may have many reasons for this (e.g. ignorance in the first place) but it is beyond doubt that lack of integrated analysis has given rise to many potentially avoidable surprises. Such surprises may occur in cases where it turns out that the instrument chosen for implementation was insufficient, because aspects, other than those considered by the disciplines involved, far outweighed the cause-effect relationship. Similarly, integration was lacking in cases where the effects of the implementation of decisions were as anticipated, but undesirable and often cross-sectoral side effects were encountered as unpleasant surprises.
INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT (IA)
Integrated assessment, while still an emerging methodology, now has a standard terminology and enjoys a reasonable degree of consensus in terms of an understanding of what it is, (EFIEA 1998). It is generally agreed that there are two components i.e. that the assessment is integrated over a range of relevant disciplines; and that it serves to provide information suitable for decision making. It is equally implied that integrated assessment seeks to account for all aspects within the identified reference frame of the issue in question. In the short term, the assessment is based on the existing scientific knowledge. In the longer run, monitoring and research may become an important element in the process of providing adequate information for future assessment and decision making.
IA requires a toolkit that enables analysts to combine knowledge from a number of disciplines, but it also demands the interpretation and communication of this knowledge for a variety of audiences so that the maximum number of stakeholders are given the opportunity to better understand complex phenomena and policy response options. Value-laden assumptions underpinning analysis and policy need to be made as transparent as possible and not shrouded in technicalities. IA practitioners are agreed that incorporating policymakers and other stakeholders into the early design of assessments and testing protocols greatly facilitates this
13 PROCEEDINGS MTM-III - METHODS FOR INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT requirement. Valuation of costs and benefits in this process is more than the assignment of monetary values and includes multi-criteria evaluation methods and techniques in order to identify meaningful and practicable trade-offs (Turner, 2000; Brown, Tompkins and Adger, 2001).
This more holistic assessment strategy will encompass core objectives such as: risk reduction, achieved through the use of expert-based analysis to better understand complexity, albeit with the caveat that zero risk/complete protection positions are rarely if ever feasible; uncertainty mitigation, achieved through analysis and precautionary measures to maintain and enhance the resilience of natural and social systems; this management paradigm explicitly recognises the connections between human choice and environmental functioning and tries to ensure that as diverse a set of ecological functions as possible is protected to retain flexibility and reduce vulnerability to surprise; enhancement of social inclusion and fairness, to manage the ambiguities present in socio- cultural attitudes, values and individual and group psychological effects. Thereby increasing accountability and trust.
Four broad overlapping procedural stages can be distinguished in an IA decision support system: scoping and problem auditing stage (utilising the "DPISR" framework (Turner et al. 1998) identification and selection of appropriate decision-making calculi-research methods and models data collection and monitoring, with the aid of an evolving set of indicators evaluation of project, policy or programme options.
SOCIO-ECONOMIC DRIVERS Urbanisation and transport/trade, agricultural intensification/land-use change, Tourism and recreation demand, Fisheries and aquaculture,
MARKET, POLICY AND INFORMATION ‘FAILURES’ CLIMATE CHANGE AND ENVIRONMENTAL PRESSURES NATURAL PROCESSES Land conversions and reclamation, VARIABILITY dredging, aggregates and oil and gas extraction, waste disposal in coastal waters, water abstraction, drainage network and estuarine and coastline engineering works, dams, barriers and barrages, congestion. POLICY RESPONSE ENVIRONMENTAL ‘STATE’ OPTIONS CHANGES Changes in nutrient, sediment water fluxes across catchment and coastal zones, loss of habitats and biological diversity, visual intrusion, groundwater change/salt STAKEHOLDERS: water intrusion, GAINS/LOSSES eutrophication/water
IMPACTS The changes in processes and functions of ecosystems lead to consequential impacts on human welfare via productivity, health, amenity and existence value
Source: Adapted from Turner, Lorenzoni et al. (1998)
Figure 1: DP-S-I-R Framework: e.g. Continuous Feedback Process Catchment-Coastal Zone Continuum.
14 PROCEEDINGS MTM-III - METHODS FOR INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT
THE "DPSIR" APPROACH
In The European Environmental Agency the basic problem of the pollution of the environment is fitted to a formal structure called the DPSIR-approach to integrated environmental assessment, (European Environment Agency, 1998). The structure is a formalisation of the interplay (a co-evolutionary process) between the society and the environment with respect to Driving forces, by which Pressures are exerted on the environment. The Status of the environment is the basis for evaluating the Impacts due to the Pressures. That leads to Responses by society to the impacts, which requires identification of objectives and choice of tools by which to curb the pressures. From pressures to impacts is in fact the cause-effect relationship, based on physical, chemical and biological mechanisms describing the relationship between pressures and impacts. This environmental cause-effect relationship involves the natural sciences, while the driving forces’ human welfare impacts and the responses involve the political, judicial and the social sciences (see Figure 1). The role of social sciences is as important as the role of the natural sciences - a fact, frequently ignored, because there has been a general presumption in favour of natural sciences as exact, factual science (frequently an incorrect assumption), compared to the more ambiguous social sciences.
THE PLAYERS IN INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT
The players in integrated assessment are: The scientists. The fundamental role of the scientist is to know, describe and formulate the mechanisms of the cause-effect relationships, whether natural, technical or social. The managers. The role of the manager is to help identify and structure the issues in question, co-ordinate the whole process, communicate the approach and results, and implement the decisions made. The policy makers. The agents to which the assessment is communicated in order to inform decision making. If they are clever, they also demand a significant role in identification and framing of the issue. The stakeholders. Individuals and groups that have a vested interest in the whole issue.
The application of integrated assessments is most meaningful in relation to complicated environmental issues in society involving many institutions and many interests. Frequently, the roles of the players are confusing and intertwined. The interface between the stakeholders and integrated assessment (and similarly with the disciplines of technical and chemical risk assessment) can be especially controversial. The tradition is that assessments are made in quite an elitist forum of experts with fairly narrow communication lines to the managers and the policy makers. This approach has generated controversy, because it is prone to an actual or perceived lack of accountability; typically being overly influenced by industrial lobbying, and more recently NGO's counter-lobbying. The most important new requirement for integrated assessment as a discipline in its own right, is to institutionalise a much more open, transparent and accountable approach to assessment and decision making in the environmental field.
COMPONENTS OF INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT
Integrated assessment consists of a number of identifiable stages: