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Mexico Oil & Gas Report INCLUDES BMI's FORECASTS Q4 2011 www.businessmonitor.com MEXICO OIL & GAS REPORT INCLUDES BMI'S FORECASTS ISSN 1748-4111 Published by Business Monitor International Ltd. MEXICO OIL & GAS REPORT Q4 2011 INCLUDES 10-YEAR FORECASTS TO 2020 Part of BMI’s Industry Survey & Forecasts Series Published by: Business Monitor International Copy deadline: October 2011 Business Monitor International © 2011 Business Monitor International. Limited All rights reserved. 85 Queen Victoria Street London All information contained in this publication EC4V 4AB is copyrighted in the name of Business UK Monitor International, and as such no part of Tel: +44 (0) 20 7248 0468 this publication may be reproduced, Fax: +44 (0) 20 7248 0467 repackaged, redistributed, resold in whole or Email: [email protected] in any part, or used in any form or by any Web: means graphic, electronic or mechanical, http://www.businessmonitor.com including photocopying, recording, taping, or by information storage or retrieval, or by any other means, without the express written consent of the publisher. DISCLAIMER All information contained in this publication has been researched and compiled from sources believed to be accurate and reliable at the time of publishing. However, in view of the natural scope for human and/or mechanical error, either at source or during production, Business Monitor International accepts no liability whatsoever for any loss or damage resulting from errors, inaccuracies or omissions affecting any part of the publication. All information is provided without warranty, and Business Monitor International makes no representation of warranty of any kind as to the accuracy or completeness of any information hereto contained. Mexico Oil & Gas Report Q4 2011 © Business Monitor International Ltd Page 2 Mexico Oil & Gas Report Q4 2011 CONTENTS Executive Summary ........................................................................................................... 7 SWOT Analysis .................................................................................................................. 9 Mexico Political SWOT.......................................................................................................................................................................................... 9 Mexico Economic SWOT ..................................................................................................................................................................................... 10 Mexico Business Environment SWOT .................................................................................................................................................................. 11 Mexico Energy Market Overview .................................................................................... 12 Regional Energy Market Overview ................................................................................. 16 Oil Supply And Demand ............................................................................................................................................................................................ 16 Table: Latin America Oil Consumption (000b/d) ................................................................................................................................................. 19 Table: Latin America Oil Production (000b/d) .................................................................................................................................................... 20 Table: Latin America Oil Refining Capacity (000b/d) ......................................................................................................................................... 21 Gas Supply And Demand .......................................................................................................................................................................................... 22 Table: Latin America Gas Consumption (bcm) .................................................................................................................................................... 23 Table: Latin America Gas Production (bcm) ....................................................................................................................................................... 23 Liquefied Natural Gas............................................................................................................................................................................................... 24 Table: Latin America LNG Exports/(Imports) (bcm) ........................................................................................................................................... 24 Business Environment Ratings ...................................................................................... 25 Latin America Region ............................................................................................................................................................................................... 25 Composite Scores................................................................................................................................................................................................. 25 Table: Regional Composite Business Environment Rating .................................................................................................................................. 26 Upstream Scores .................................................................................................................................................................................................. 27 Table: Regional Upstream Business Environment Rating.................................................................................................................................... 27 Downstream Scores ............................................................................................................................................................................................. 28 Table: Regional Downstream Business Environment Rating ............................................................................................................................... 28 Business Environment .................................................................................................... 29 Legal Framework................................................................................................................................................................................................. 29 Infrastructure ....................................................................................................................................................................................................... 30 Labour Force ....................................................................................................................................................................................................... 32 Foreign Investment Policy ................................................................................................................................................................................... 32 Tax Regime .......................................................................................................................................................................................................... 33 Security Risk ........................................................................................................................................................................................................ 34 Industry Forecast Scenario ............................................................................................. 36 Oil And Gas Reserves ............................................................................................................................................................................................... 36 Oil Supply And Demand ............................................................................................................................................................................................ 37 Gas Supply And Demand .......................................................................................................................................................................................... 38 LNG .......................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 40 Refining And Oil Products Trade .............................................................................................................................................................................. 40 Revenues/Import Costs.............................................................................................................................................................................................. 41 Table: Mexico Oil And Gas – Historical Data And Forecasts ............................................................................................................................. 41 Key Risks To BMI’s Forecast Scenario ..................................................................................................................................................................... 43 Oil and Gas Infrastructure ..............................................................................................
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