Presentation to 495/Metrowest Partnership
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Presentation to 495/Metrowest Partnership September 28, 2011; 8:30AM Agenda Introductions Study Purpose/Background Service Alternatives Pilot Program –Boston to Foxborough Central Massachusetts via Framingham Secondary Improved Providence Event Service Findings Discussion The I‐495/Southwest Region Population Growth 12% (1990–2000) 5% (2000–2010) Employment Growth 62% (1980‐2008) Roadway congestion results in long travel times MBTA commuter rail services approaching capacity today and projected to exceed by 2030 Seating Capacity: o Franklin Line: 79% ‐ 83% o Providence Line: 91% ‐ 98% Parking Utilization: o Franklin Line 96% o Exceeding capacity at Forge Park/I‐495, Walpole and Endicott Study Purpose Evaluate feasibility of expanding rail transit in southwest region of I‐495 corridor Utilize existing public transit services or infrastructure that may be underutilized in the region (i.e., MBTA trackage rights routes; stations) Consider lower cost options to test feasibility of service without making significant financial commitment (i.e., utilize existing rights‐of‐way; existing equipment; and parking) Recommend improvements that will also benefit existing rail services (i.e. freight operations, event services) I‐495/Southwest Study Area Existing Conditions Framingham Secondary 21.4 miles from Framingham (Worcester Line) to Mansfield (Northeast Corridor) CSX owns, maintains and dispatches; MBTA has trackage rights o 3 freight trains/day Framingham to Walpole o 2 freight trains/day Walpole to Foxborough o < 1 freight train/day Foxborough to Mansfield o Special Event passenger rail service from Boston and Providence to Foxborough Station Infrastructure: o Single track; No signal system (“dark territory”); 25 public and 8 private grade crossings; MAS is 10MPH; Foxborough Station is ADA accessible Potential Service Alternatives Developed with MassDOT, MBTA, and 495/Metrowest Partnership Goals Alleviate capacity issues on the MBTA system Advance MassDOT “GreenDOT” policy to reduce GHG emissions, promote healthy transportation options; and support smart growth development Assist with future long‐term economic development plans and support public/private partnership opportunities in the I‐ 495/Southwest corridor Study Alternatives Pilot Program –Boston to Foxborough Expanded I‐495/Southwest Regional Service Options Pilot Program –Boston to Foxborough Reviewed 2010 Foxborough Commuter Rail Feasibility Study Conducted Limited Infrastructure Condition Assessment Analyzed Operational Feasibility Identified Costs Reviewed Ridership and Revenue Potential Operating Plan Goals Provide: Minimum of 3 peak period trains in peak direction (AM & PM) and some off‐peak service Weekday service only, no weekends Use existing infrastructure and equipment, where possible, but upgrade to 40 mph between Walpole and Foxborough Minimize impact to Franklin Line schedule Avoid Northeast Corridor Utilize Fairmount Line trains Operating Plan Options Option 1 ‐ Utilize Existing Equipment Only 9 roundtrips each weekday (3 peak period) Fairmount Line schedule impacts (varying from 15 to 30 minutes ) • Option 2 –Requires One New Trainset 10 roundtrips each weekday (4 peak period) Lessens impact on Fairmount Line trains Average travel times –52 to 54 minutes AM Peak Inbound PM Peak Outbound Total Depart Arrive Depart Arrive Round Option Foxborough South Station South Station Foxborough Trips 5:32 AM 6:30 AM 5:25 PM 6:23 PM 1 6:37 AM 7:35 AM 6:30 PM 7:28 PM 9 8:27 AM 9:10 AM 7:45 PM 8:43 PM 5:27 AM 6:28 AM 5:00 PM 5:43 PM 6:07 AM 7:05 AM 5:55 PM 6:53 PM 2 10 6:37 AM 7:35 AM 6:30 PM 7:28 PM 8:27 AM 9:10 AM 7:45 PM 8:43 PM Infrastructure Needs Track Drainage Signals Grade crossings New mainline track at Foxborough Station One new trainset (one locomotive and six coaches) Cost Estimates Work already underway or planned includes track and drainage work, upgrades to Walpole Interlocking Remaining work includes signals, grade crossing systems and Foxborough Station track/layover Range of Order‐of‐Magnitude Capital Cost Estimate for infrastructure improvements: $5.9M ‐ $10.6M Additional $20M to acquire new trainset, if needed O&M Costs for vehicles: approximately $1.7M/year for Option 1 and $3.7M/year for Option 2 Ridership & Revenue Assessment Reviewed CTPS ridership analysis from 2010 study Estimated 990 boardings at Foxborough Station Free parking provided initially Foxborough Station –Zone 5 fare Weekday and weekend service Travel time –58 minutes to Boston Revenue: $2.3M annually systemwide Ridership & Revenue Assessment (cont’d) No-Build Revenue with Annual Revenue In consultation with MBTA, Revenue* Pilot Program Increase established Fare 6 fare for Foxborough Station $19,721,420 $21,589,536 $1,868,116 Utilizing CTPS ridership forecasts, projected potential revenue compared to No‐ Build MBTA Fare Recovery Ratio for Station Revenue Annual Fare Ratio commuter rail is 49.6% Increase O&M Cost Recovery Pilot $1,868,116 $1.7M 109% If parking fees were applied, Program – Option 1 anticipate that ridership Pilot $1,868,116 $3.6M 52% Program – would decrease by 20% for $2 Option 2 fee and 45% for $4 fee. Schedule for Implementation Expanded I‐495/Southwest Regional Service Options Central Massachusetts Expanded Passenger Rail Service Event Service Full‐Time Commuter Rail Improved Providence Event Service Central Massachusetts Service Communities include, but not limited to,: Worcester, Shrewsbury, Westborough, Hopkinton, Southborough, Ashland and Framingham Worcester is 2nd largest city in MA, 180k + residents Strong population base along the MBTA’s Worcester Line Region experiences highway congestion Potential for development in the I‐495/Southwest region Ticket sales in Foxborough indicate demand potential for thousands of people for event service(s) Central Massachusetts Event Service Shorter‐term option for passenger rail service Estimated Travel times 28 minutes from Framingham to Foxborough 1 hour 15 minutes from Worcester to Foxborough Infrastructure improvements for 40mph from Framingham to Foxborough include track, drainage, grade crossings (no signals or equipment) Estimated capital costs: approximately $17.4M Welcome option to long travel times, increasing fuel costs, and $40 for parking at events Additional analysis still needed, but feasible option Central Massachusetts Full‐Time Service Longer‐term alternative to introduce regional commuter rail service along Framingham to Mansfield corridor Upgrades for 60mph MAS would be required, as well as numerous other infrastructure improvements such as stations, drainage, grade crossings, signal systems, layover, etc., which would be a significant investment Travel times could be 22 minutes from Framingham to Foxborough and 7 minutes from Foxborough to Mansfield Additional analysis and full operating plan recommended as next steps Improved Providence Event Service Existing event service: Strong demand, sells out regularly 1 train from Providence to Foxborough 10mph speed limitations on Framingham Secondary Travel time from Providence to Foxborough is 1 hour (from Mansfield to Foxborough is 28 minutes) Infrastructure improvements could: Increase speeds to 40mph Reduce travel times by approximately 20 minutes Providence Event Service – Infrastructure Improvements would include: track, drainage, grade crossings, and Foxborough Station track and platform modifications Estimated order‐of‐magnitude capital cost for improvements ranges from $14.6M to $16.8M Discussion.