Vol. 3 Issue 2 December 2015 Detection of potential areas of changing climatic conditions at a regional scale until 2100 for Saxony, Germany Rico Kronenberg Dresden University of Technology, Department of Hydrosciences, 01069 Dresden, Berg Street 66, Room P 205, Saxony, Germany; Bauman Moscow State Technical University, 105005 Moscow, Baumanskaya 2-ya Street 5, Russia, e-mail:
[email protected] Johannes Franke Saxon State Agency for Environment, Agriculture and Geology, 01326 Dresden Pillnitz, August-Böckstiegel Street 1, Saxony, Germany, e-mail:
[email protected] Christian Bernhofer Dresden University of Technology, Chair of Meteorology, 01737 Tharandt, Pienner Street 23, Room 108, Saxony, Germany, e-mail:
[email protected] Philipp Körner Dresden University of Technology, Chair of Meteorology, 01737 Tharandt, Pienner Street 23, Room 105, Saxony, German, e-mail:
[email protected] Abstract: Two different approaches are applied for the investigation of possible changes within the climate regime – as an important component of vulnerability – on a regional scale for Saxony, Germany. Therefore data were applied from the output of the statistical climate models WETTrEG2010 and WErEX-V for a projected period until 2100. In the first step, rain gauge-based precipitation regions with similar statistics have been classified. The results show that stable regions are mainly located in the Ore Mountains, while regions of higher uncertainty in terms of a climate signal exist particularly between the lowlands and mountains. In the second step, station-based data on precipitation, temperature and climatic water balance were interpolated by the regionalisation service raklida. Model runs which lay closest to the observed data for the period 1968 to 2007 were identified.