<<

Photograph © Debra Tan

Water Sector Challenges

30 March 2021

NOT FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION OR DISTRIBUTION © Risk, 2021, all rights reserved Thought leader on macro & micro water risks

SUBSCRIBE

NOT FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION OR DISTRIBUTION © China Water Risk, 2021, all rights reserved Background China’s environmental condition

NOT FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION OR DISTRIBUTION © China Water Risk, 2021, all rights reserved The economy runs on water but there is not enough …

WATER USED BY THE US TO “GROW” GDP TO US$50,000/PAX BATH-TUB WATER- NOMICS /DAY

= 21 Each bathtub = 200 litres TOTAL ANNUAL RENEWABLE RESOURCES EXPRESSED IN BATHTUBS OF WATER/ PAX/ DAY CHINA INDIA IRAN USA

28 20 24 131

China & India have no choice but forge a new paradigm of ‘business unusual’

NOT FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION OR DISTRIBUTION © China Water Risk, 2021, all rights reserved Different maps = same hotspot …

AVAILABILITY WATER STRESS 可用性 水资源压力

GROUNDWATER DEPLETION WATER 地下水枯竭 水污染

3 Red Lines / War on Pollution / Managing Mismatch / $$$ vs Environment

NOT FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION OR DISTRIBUTION © China Water Risk, 2021, all rights reserved China is drier than you think …

NORTH CHINA PLAIN (NCP)

>70%4 - 7 GROUNDWATER

347 million LIVE IN THE NCP 65% OF CHINA’S WHEAT 2,500m3 1,000m3 500m3 28% OF CHINA’S GDP

Water Poverty~45% ofMark China’s = <1,000m GDP from3 per the capita Dry per11 annum

NOT FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION OR DISTRIBUTION © China Water Risk, 2021, all rights reserved Limitted Resources but making stuff for everyone …

SHARE OF GLOBAL RESOURCES VS. SHARE OF GLOBAL PRODUCTION

Can China continue to be the for the rest of the world ?

NOT FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION OR DISTRIBUTION © China Water Risk, 2021, all rights reserved Actions by State Council since 2011…

Water Quotas & Allocation

Virtual water trade – Desalination domestic & foreign Water Reuse Change economic, 3 RED LINES crop & industry South-to-North mixes Diversion Projects Circular Economy Preserve watersheds & increase catchment areas

Reduce Pollution Improve Water Efficiencies Water Alternatives “Disruptions”

Beautiful China = rebalancing the economy & environment

NOT FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION OR DISTRIBUTION © China Water Risk, 2021, all rights reserved Dual control of water resources China’s water use cap Key area - YREB Water-nomics of the Yangtze River Economic Belt

NOT FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION OR DISTRIBUTION © China Water Risk, 2021, all rights reserved Picking hotspots - President Xi’s priority …

“The Yangtze River is China’s mother river & we must protect it…”

NOT FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION OR DISTRIBUTION © China Water Risk, 2021, all rights reserved Yangtze is too big to fail = protect at all cost …

Three Gorges Dam

Xi wants holistic development from mountains to the oceans

NOT FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION OR DISTRIBUTION © China Water Risk, 2021, all rights reserved Size matters ! People & GDP …

Greening the YREB = huge risks + opportunities

NOT FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION OR DISTRIBUTION © China Water Risk, 2021, all rights reserved YERB to China

Key focus area for President Xi

NOT© ChinaFOR WaterRELEASE, Risk, 2019,PUBLICATION all rights reservedOR DISTRIBUTION © China Water Risk, 2021, all rights reserved A “glo-cal” industrial heartland …

Opportunity to transform the global supply chain to clean & circular

NOT FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION OR DISTRIBUTION © China Water Risk, 2021, all rights reserved Highlights from different angles Various water-nomics indicators

NOT FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION OR DISTRIBUTION © China Water Risk, 2021, all rights reserved Water stress: developed and highly water stressed…

NOT FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION OR DISTRIBUTION © China Water Risk, 2021, all rights reserved Efficiency: water-nomics performances vary…

NOT FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION OR DISTRIBUTION © China Water Risk, 2021, all rights reserved Choose the right industry mix …

Jiangxi: Per RMB10,000 IVA Wastewater vs Water Use Wastewater per RMB10,000 IVA (tonne) 140 Manufacture of Provincial average Chemical Fibers = 100.5 tonne 120 Manufacture of Paper and Paper Products 5 Least Favorite Industries: 100 59% of industrial water use

80 & 51% of industrial wastewater Processing of Non- Ferrous Metal Ores but only 7% of total industrial Smelting and Pressing 60 Mining & of Ferrous Metals Washing of Coal 40 Mining & Processing of Petroleum, Processing Coking, Processing of Nuclear Fuel 20 of Ferrous Provincial average Metal Ores = 9.8 tonne

0 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 Water Use per RMB10,000 IVA (tonne) Source: China Water Risk based on Jiangxi Statistical Yearbook 2016

NOT FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION OR DISTRIBUTION © China Water Risk, 2021, all rights reserved Caps: most are safe…

NOT FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION OR DISTRIBUTION © China Water Risk, 2021, all rights reserved Trend: Chongqing highlighted…

NOT FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION OR DISTRIBUTION © China Water Risk, 2021, all rights reserved Waternomic targets + trillions of yuan…

Multiple innovative policies implemented to protect the YREB

NOT FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION OR DISTRIBUTION © China Water Risk, 2021, all rights reserved The new normal …

Thanks

PHOTOGRAPHY © Debra Tan Disclaimer

Information provided has been obtained from, or is based upon, sources believed to be reliable but has not been independently verified and no guarantee, representation or warranty is made as to its accuracy or completeness. Information contained in this document is current as of the date specified above and is subject to change without notice. Information contained in this document relating to investments, valuations, unrealised data, and projections is indicative only, and has been based on unaudited, internal data and assumptions which have not been independently verified or audited and are subject to material corrections, verifications and amendments.

This information is not intended to constitute a comprehensive statement of any matter, and it should not be relied upon as such. None of China Water Risk , its sponsors, affiliates, officers or agents provide any warranty or representation in respect of information in this document.

This document is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer, or solicitation of an offer, to buy or to make any investment.

This document, is strictly confidential. This document, graphics and illustrations must not be copied, in whole or in part or redistributed without written consent. (© China Water Risk, 2019, all rights reserved).