File Asia Water-Nomics
Asia Water-nomics: More GDP with Less Water & Pollution
Wednesday 29 August 14:00-15:30 CHINA WATER RISK is an initiative dedicated to addressing business and environmental risk arising from the country’s urgent water crisis.
We aim to foster efficient and responsible use of China’s water resources by engaging the global investment and business communities, civil society and individuals in understanding and managing China’s water risk.
ACT NOW, visit us at www.chinawaterrisk.org
NOT FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION OR DISTRIBUTION © China Water Risk, 2018, all rights reserved Water-nomics & Trade-offs
2015 2016
August January June September
NOT FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION OR DISTRIBUTION © China Water Risk, 2018, all rights reserved G20 Water-nomics …
1
2
5 4 6
3
NOT FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION OR DISTRIBUTION © China Water Risk, 2018, all rights reserved G20 Water-nomics …
NOT FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION OR DISTRIBUTION © China Water Risk, 2018, all rights reserved Use other people’s water …
NOT FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION OR DISTRIBUTION © China Water Risk, 2018, all rights reserved Asia’s real liquidity crunch…
Asia’s future = business unusual / Local risks = global disruption
NOT FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION OR DISTRIBUTION © China Water Risk, 2018, all rights reserved Rivers are important for Asia Case Study: the Yangtze River
Drinking water safety Floods
Ecosystem degradation Eutrophication
Pollution
The need for basin-wide strategy to manage water & economy
Photos © Feng Hu NOT FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION OR DISTRIBUTION © China Water Risk, 2018, all rights reserved Yangtze River Economic Belt (YREB)
584 million (2014)
RMB28 trillion (2014 GDP)
Source: China Water Risk based on National Statistical Bureau of China Base map data are from Data Center for Resources and Environmental Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences
NOT FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION OR DISTRIBUTION © China Water Risk, 2018, all rights reserved YREB’s strategic importance to China
Source: China Water Risk based on National Statistical Bureau of China Photo © Feng Hu NOT FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION OR DISTRIBUTION © China Water Risk, 2018, all rights reserved Development varies across sub-basins
2014 & 2016 GDP Per Capita (Unit: RMB) Yangtze River Economic Belt (YREB) Regions vs National Average
120,000
100,000 95,458
81,055 80,000 Latvia
60,000 53,935 45,594 46,629 39,253 39,336 40,000 33,525 2014 2016 Bulgaria
20,000 Serbia
0 YangtzeY RRiverD Delta Middle Reaches Upper Reaches National Average (YRD) Source: China Water Risk based on National Statistical Bureau of China
NOT FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION OR DISTRIBUTION © China Water Risk, 2018, all rights reserved Water-nomics performance also varies …
2014 YREB Regions: Per RMB10,000 GDP Water Use and Wastewater Discharge
Water Use Per RMB 10,000 GDP (m3) Middle Reaches 140 National Average =11.3 tonne
120
UPGRADE National Average 100 =95.8 m3
Yangtze RiverYRD Delta (YRD) 80
Upper Reaches 60
PROTECT & 40 UPGRADE
20 ADVANCE
0 8 9 10 11 12 13 Wastewater Discharge Per Source: China Water Risk based on National Statistical Bureau of China RMB10,000 GDP (tonne)
NOT FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION OR DISTRIBUTION © China Water Risk, 2018, all rights reserved Greater differences across provinces
The worst performer
NOT FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION OR DISTRIBUTION © China Water Risk, 2018, all rights reserved Choose the right industry mix …
Jiangxi: Per RMB10,000 IVA Wastewater vs Water Use Wastewater per RMB10,000 IVA (tonne) 140 Manufacture of Provincial average Chemical Fibers = 100.5 tonne 120 Manufacture of Paper and Paper Products 5 Least Favorite Industries: 100 59% of industrial water use
80 Mining & 51% of industrial wastewater Processing of Non- Ferrous Metal Ores but only 7% of total industrial Smelting and Pressing 60 Mining & of Ferrous Metals Washing of Coal 40 Mining & Processing of Petroleum, Processing Coking, Processing of Nuclear Fuel 20 of Ferrous Provincial average Metal Ores = 9.8 tonne
0 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 Water Use per RMB10,000 IVA (tonne) Source: China Water Risk based on Jiangxi Statistical Yearbook 2016
NOT FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION OR DISTRIBUTION © China Water Risk, 2018, all rights reserved There’s always room for improvement
Yellow River Shandong
Jiangsu
Base map data are from Data Center for Resources and Environmental Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences NOT FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION OR DISTRIBUTION © China Water Risk, 2018, all rights reserved China’s multiple stratagems ...
Water Quotas & Allocation Permits trading & eco-compensation Desalination Change economic mix Water Reuse & upgrade industries 3 RED LINES Circular South-to-North Economy Diversion Projects
Virtual water trade – Preserve watersheds & domestic & foreign define ecological protection redline zones
War on Pollution Improve Water Efficiencies Government Legislation Reform
RMB 6 trillion war chest to hold the 3 Red Lines on Water by 2020
NOT FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION OR DISTRIBUTION © China Water Risk, 2018, all rights reserved New website & new report
NEW WEBSITE & NEW DESIGN!
Stay tuned for CWR’s September newsletter!
NOT FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION OR DISTRIBUTION © China Water Risk, 2018, all rights reserved Decisions today for water tomorrow
2017 reports & publications
NOT FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION OR DISTRIBUTION © China Water Risk, 2018, all rights reserved Disclaimer
Information provided has been obtained from, or is based upon, sources believed to be reliable but has not been independently verified and no guarantee, representation or warranty is made as to its accuracy or completeness. Information contained in this document is current as of the date specified above and is subject to change without notice. Information contained in this document relating to investments, valuations, unrealised data, and projections is indicative only, and has been based on unaudited, internal data and assumptions which have not been independently verified or audited and are subject to material corrections, verifications and amendments.
This information is not intended to constitute a comprehensive statement of any matter, and it should not be relied upon as such. None of China Water Risk , its sponsors, affiliates, officers or agents provide any warranty or representation in respect of information in this document.
This document is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer, or solicitation of an offer, to buy or to make any investment.
This document, is strictly confidential. This document, graphics and illustrations must not be copied, in whole or in part or redistributed without written consent. (© China Water Risk, 2018, all rights reserved).