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Home , Air Malta, Ryanair, Vueling

6 May 2021

1 Headlines Traffic Situation Daily flights (including overflights) . 11,219 flights (35% of 2019 levels) on Wed 5 May 2021, increase (+3%) over 2 weeks. Traffic over the last 7 days is . Excluding the Easter effect, traffic vs 2019 is stable since January.

. Huge impact of new lockdown in on traffic in Turkey (-26% over 2 weeks), Turkish Compared to airports (Grand (-15%), Sabiha (-53%)) as well as Turkish (-22%) and Pegasus (-59%) equivalent days in 2019 . Increase for (+28%) mainly driven by light aircraft operators, and as 65% well as domestic flows and flows with Germany, France and Netherlands. . Domestic traffic vs 2019: (-66%), US (-31%), China (+0%), Middle-East (-45%). . Full vaccination is progressing: Israel, Monaco, , UK, Serbia and Hungary are above 25 fully vaccinated people (per 100 people), while most other States are around 9.

2 2 Top 10 Busiest Airports 7-day average Dep/Arr flights on 29 April-5 May, compared to 2019

Average per rolling week Average per rolling week Top 10 Airports (29/04-5/5) (29/04-5/5) vs 2019 Market Segments 520 -65% Amsterdam 512 -65% IGA Airport 503 -57% /Charles-De-Gaulle 478 -66% Madrid/Barajas 429 -64% /Heathrow 340 -75% 263 -74% Athens 260 -58% Munich 237 -80% Istanbul/Sabiha Gokcen 231 -61%

Traffic Flow Economics Fuel price On 5 May, the intra-European traffic flow was (30 April 2021)

8,444 + 3% -66% Cents/gallon167 over past Compared flights compared to 2 weeks to 2019 Source: IATA/Platts 165 cents/gallon on 23 Apr 21

3 Overall traffic situation at network

11,219 flights on Wednesday 5 May. Slight increase (+3%) with +324 flights over 2 weeks (from Wed 21 April). Slight decrease (-1%) with -84 flights over 1 week (from Wed 28 April). 35% of 2019 traffic levels.

SUPPORTING EUROPEAN 4 Current situation and scenarios

Traffic at -65% on 7-day average vs 2019, slightly below the latest traffic scenarios for May published on 28 January 2021.

When excluding the Easter period, where traffic reached a maximum at network level, the traffic is now back to the same level as in January.

SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 5 Aircraft operators (Daily flights)

Top 10 is the busiest airlines despite a decrease over 2 Rank Top 10 Aircraft Operators on Wed 05-05-2021 weeks (-22%), driven by domestic evolution flows, mainly due to new lockdown. over 2 ∆ over 2 % over 2 Aircraft Operator Flights % vs 2019 weeks weeks weeks Positive change in the ranking over 2  Turkish Airlines 493  -139 -22%  -62% weeks for , Ryanair and    398 +24 +6% -63% .  Wideroe 350  +3 +1%  -10%  Lufthansa 327  +55 +20%  -80% Highest increase for Ryanair (+71%)  KLM 318  +23 +8%  -66% driven by domestic flows in Spain  DHL Express 298  -2 -1%  +12% and , as well as flows between  Ryanair 290  +120 +71%  -88% Northern and Southern countries.  SAS 185  -2 -1%  -82%  173  +1 +1%  -70% High increase for Lufthansa (+20%)  Qatar Airways 159  -6 -4%  -29% mainly due to many flows, notably with Romania. Highest decreases for Turkish Airlines (-22%).

SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 6 Aircraft operators (Daily flights) Top 40 – Latest operations

Highest increase for Ryanair, Vueling (Spain-Spain and France-Spain), Lufthansa and (many flows). Highest decreases for Turkish Airlines and Pegasus. Ryanair 7th, Wizz Air 13th, 17th and easyJet 28th. Traffic levels ranging from -100% ( Airl.) to -10% (Wideroe) compared to 2019. SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 7 Aircraft operators

Latest news Turkish Airlines reports a “mild” net loss of $72 million in European airlines Q1 2021 (lower salary costs and strong cargo operations). reports a pre-tax loss of £659 million for launches its summer schedule with a planned 2020; total revenue fell from £2.9 billion to £868 million, operation to 20 cities reflecting the easing of travel including £319 million of cargo revenue (+49% from 2019). restrictions in Malta for vaccinated tourists. Alitalia CEO hopeful that the new national carrier ITA will Worldwide airlines be in a position to launch services by 1 July. EC Competition Commissioner states she believes a ‘workable reports operating two services to Bahrein solution’ can be found. transporting 300,000/100,000 doses of vaccine from easyJet resuming some services from to the rest China/Russia. of the UK following the easing of travel restrictions. JAL Group March domestic passenger numbers down 21% announces that it will equip all its 777F year-on-year, international down 82%. March 2020 was aircraft with a new surface coating technology 57%/74% down on March 2019. (‘AeroSHARK’), which is projected to reduce drag by more Qatar Airways Cargo sends three 777F aircraft from Doha than 1%. to Bengaluru, Mumbai and Delhi, carrying 300 tonnes of places orders for five 787-9s and five medical aid. A350-900s; forecasts lower cash drain in Q2 2021 (€200 raises $1.5 billion through the sale and million per month). leaseback of seven A350s and four 787s. Ryanair plans a new base in Riga, with two aircraft and 16 interim board receive a ‘solvent new routes, starting in October. business’ from the business rescue practitioners. SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 8 States (Daily Departure/Arrival flights)

Top 10 Highest increases over 2 weeks: • Spain (+28%) mainly driven by light Rank aircraft operators, Ryanair and Vueling. evolution Top 10 States on Wed 05-05-2021 Domestic flows as well as flows with over 2 ∆ over 2 % over 2 State Flights (Dep/Arr) % vs 2019 Germany, France and Netherlands. weeks weeks weeks  Germany 1927  -48 -2%  -69% • France (+8%) driven by Air France,  France 1660  +130 +8%  -58% Vueling and light aircraft operators.  Spain 1506  +327 +28%  -68% Domestic flows and flows with Spain.  United Kingdom 1162  +38 +3%  -82% • Italy (+13%) mainly driven by light  Italy 1043  +124 +13%  -73% aircraft operators, Ryanair and Wizz  Turkey 857  -301 -26%  -68%  Norway 823  +17 +2%  -52% Air. Domestic flows.  Netherlands 612  +6 +1%  -67% • Greece (+26%) mainly driven by Sky  Belgium 417  +44 +12%  -60% Express, Olympic and .  Greece 416  +87 +26%  -68% Domestic flows . Highest decreases over 2 weeks for: • Turkey (-3%) mainly due to Turkish Airlines and Pegasus. Domestic flows and flows with Russia.

SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 9 States (Daily Departure/Arrival flights) Latest traffic situation

Highest increases for Spain (+28%), France (+8%), Italy (+13%) and Greece (+26%). Highest decreases for Turkey (-26% over 2 weeks). Traffic levels ranging from -86% () to -5% (Armenia) compared to 2019. SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 10 States & Industry

Japan considering vaccine passports to ease international travel. Sweden planning to charge additional take off/landing fees for more polluting aircraft. Turkey reports foreign visitor arrival numbers for March: overall 59% down on 2019 but Russian visitors were 58% on 2019. UK CAA states that it has issued more than 630 fines since February to airlines carrying passengers without the right documents (fines start at £2,000); states that the High Court has supported its view that the Ryanair pilots’ strike in 2018 did not constitute extraordinary circumstances and that passengers were protected.

Airbus and Lufthansa Technik offer a reversible cargo-in-cabin solution for the A330 with as the first customer. reported 125 deliveries and 39 new orders in Q1 2021 but cancellations resulted in net orders of -61; net loss was €362 million. reports an operating loss of $83 million and a net loss of $561 million for Q1; completes transition of 787 final assembly to South Carolina; expects delivery of first 777X in late 2023; confirms it is halting 737 MAX deliveries as a result of the electrical grounding issue. reported a net loss of $96 million for Q1 and deliveries of9 commercial jets and13 executive jets.

SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 11 Traffic flows (Daily Departure/Arrival flights)

The main traffic flow is the intra-Europe flow with 8,444 flights on Wednesday 5 May, which is increasing (+3%) over 2 weeks. Intra-Europe flights are at -66% compared to 2019 while intercontinental flows are at -61%. REGION 21-04-2021 05-05-2021 % vs. 2019 Intra-Europe 8 161 8 444 +3% -66% Europe<->Asia/Pacific 440 392 -11% -47% Europe<->Mid-Atlantic 71 73 +3% -49% Europe<->Middle-East 546 566 +4% -53% Europe<->North Atlantic 477 469 -2% -63% Europe<->North- 239 222 -7% -72% Europe<->Other Europe 272 300 +10% -73% Europe<->South-Atlantic 58 68 +17% -61% Europe<->Southern Africa 166 157 -5% -44% Non Intra-Europe 2 269 2 247 -1% -61%

SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 12 Country pairs (Daily Departure/Arrival flights) Top 10

9 of the top 10 flows are Rank domestic. evolution Top 10 Country-Pair on Wed 05-05-2021 over 2 ∆ over 2 % over 2 Highest increases in flights over Country-Pair Dep/Arr Flights % vs 2019 weeks week week 2 weeks for domestic flows in  France <-> France 740  +56 +8%  -6% • Spain (+29%) mainly due to light  Spain <-> Spain 721  +163 +29%  -43% aircraft, Vueling and Ryanair.  Norway <-> Norway 651  -15 -2%  -34%  Italy <-> Italy 443  +66 +18%  -50% • Italy (+18%) thanks to light  Germany <-> Germany 407  -151 -27%  -64% aircraft and Ryanair.  United Kingdom <-> United Kingdo 393  +38 +11%  -66% • France (+8%) due to light aircraft  Greece <-> Greece 239  +48 +25%  -30% and Air France.  Turkey <-> Turkey 194  -287 -60%  -78%  Germany <-> Spain 162  +50 +45%  -73% Highest decrease for domestic  Sweden <-> Sweden 151  -16 -10%  -70% flows in: • Turkey (-60%) mainly due to Turkish Airlines and Pegasus. Impact of the new lockdown.

SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 13 Country pairs (Daily Departure/Arrival flights) Latest traffic situation

The busiest non-domestic flows were: • Germany-Spain (162 flights, -45% over 2 weeks). • France-Germany (115, -9%) • France-Spain (112, +38%). • UK-US (109, -4%). • Germany-UK (99,+0%). • Germany-Italy (97, +7%). • Germany-US (94, +3%).

SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 14 Outside Europe

USA Bookings are improving on rising vaccination rates and easing travel restrictions, but some higher-quality traffic will lag—so revenue and financial recovery will lag. On 4 May, US passenger departures were 32% below 2019 levels with domestic down 31% and international down 42%. The domestic US load factor has improved recently, averaging at 75% on 4 May vs 85% in same week of 2019. Volumes are recovering faster than fares, with airfares 29% below pre- pandemic levels.

SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 15 Outside Europe

Middle East China On 4 May, Intra-Middle-East traffic recorded around 1,533 On 3 May, domestic traffic recorded 11,912 flights (+0% daily flights (-45% compared to Feb 2020). compared to January 2020 levels). International traffic from and to Middle-East recorded 1,333 International flights and overflights are still suppressed, they flights (-56% compared to Feb 2020). were stable on previous weeks with 1,281 and 491 flights respectively (-68% and -69% vs 1 Jan 2020). Overflights have remained stable around 274 flights over the recent weeks (-36% compared to Feb 2019). Hong Kong-Singapore air travel bubble scheduled to commence on 26 May.

SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 16 Airports (Daily Departure/Arrival flights) Top 10 and latest news Positive developments for the Rank top 10 airports. evolution Top 10 Airports on Wed 05-05-2021 over 2 ∆ over 2 % over 2 Highest increases for: Airport Dep/Arr Flights % vs 2019 weeks weeks weeks • Barcelona (+45%) mainly due  Paris/Charles-De-Gaulle 485  +19 +4%  -64% to Vueling and Ryanair as well  Amsterdam 481  +13 +3%  -68% as domestic flows.  Frankfurt 468  +28 +6%  -69%  IGA Istanbul Airport 447  -81 -15%  -60% • Athens (+29%) mainly due to SkyExpress, Olympic and  Madrid/Barajas 436  +39 +10%  -65% Aegean as well as domestic  London/Heathrow 326  -1 -0%  -76% flows.  Athens 291  +65 +29%  -54%  Barcelona 269  +84 +45%  -74% Largest decrease for IGA  /Halle 237  -1 -0%  -3% Istanbul Airport (-15%) mainly  /Bonn 233  +17 +8%  -49% due to Turkish Airlines as well as domestic flows. Impact of the new lockdown.

SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 17 Airports (Daily Departure/Arrival flights) Latest operations

Largest increases for Barcelona (+45%), Athens (+29%), Orly (+35%) and Malaga (+52%). Largest decreases for Sabiha (-53%), IGA Istanbul (-15%) and Ankara (-50%). Traffic levels ranging from -96% (Gatwick) to -54% (Athens) compared to 2019.

SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 18 Airports Latest news

Atlanta Airport reports 4.6 million passengers in March, 0.1% up on March 2020. reports a pre-tax £307 million loss in Q1, with only1.7 million passengers, down 91% compared to Q1 2019; 86 slots allocated to , for operations to Edinburgh and Aberdeen. announces the topping out of two new hotels – a £45 million project which started in January 2020 and with the hotels scheduled to open in early 2022. Rimini Airport – ENAV introduces RNP satellite-based approach procedures which will increase capacity during, for example, poor weather. Tijuana Airport April passenger numbers 7.1% up on 2019 (domestic +15.5%, international – 10.7%).

SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION Market Segments

The evolution of the segments is now almost getting back to pre- Easter trends. On 5 May 2021, compared to 2019: All-cargo is the only segment above 2019 levels with +15%.. Biz Aviation decreased to -15%. Charter decreased to -29%. Traditional remained very stable, declining by -69%. After a minor blip over Easter, Low-Cost remains the most affected segment decreasing by -85% vs 2019.

SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 20 Vaccination updates

By 3 May, Israel, Monaco, Malta, UK, Serbia and Hungary have reported that more than 25 people (per 100 people) were fully vaccinated (i.e. have received 2 doses of the main vaccines). Most of other Member States of EUROCONTROL are around 9 fully vaccinated people (per 100 people).

Graphs are showing data for the 41 Member and 2 Comprehensive Agreement States of EUROCONTROL.

SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 21 Economics

Jet fuel prices have started to rise since last Autumn, from around 100 cts/gal in October 2021 to 170 cts/gal early March and have stabilized since then, amounting to 167 cts/gal on 30 April 2021.

The jet fuel prices are now 20 cents per gallon below pre-COVID levels.

SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 22 To further assist you in your analysis, EUROCONTROL provides the following additional information on a daily basis (daily updates at approximately 7:00 CET for the first item and 12:00 CET for the second) and every Friday for the last item:

1. EUROCONTROL Daily Traffic Variation dashboard: www.eurocontrol.int/Economics/DailyTrafficVariation (or via the COVID-19 button on the top of our homepage www.eurocontrol.int) • This dashboard provides traffic for Day+1 for all European States; for the largest airports; for each Area Control Centre (ACC); and for the largest airline operators.

2. COVID Related-NOTAMS with Network Impact (i.e. summary of airspace restrictions): https://www.public.nm.eurocontrol.int/PUBPORTAL/gateway/spec/index.html • The Network Operations Portal (NOP) under “Latest News” is updated daily with a summary table of the most significant COVID-19 NOTAMs applicable at 12.00 UTC.

3. NOP Recovery Plan. https://www.public.nm.eurocontrol.int/PUBPORTAL/gateway/spec/index.html • This report, updated every Friday, is a special version of the Network operation Plan supporting aviation response to the COVID-19 Crisis. It is developed in cooperation with the operational stakeholders ensuring a rolling outlook. © EUROCONTROL - May 2021 This document is published by EUROCONTROL for information purposes. It may be copied in whole or in part, provided that EUROCONTROL is mentioned as the source and it is not used for commercial purposes (i.e. for financial gain). The information in this document may not be modified without For more information please contact [email protected] prior written permission from EUROCONTROL. www.eurocontrol.int

SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 23