•Daily Operations Briefing Saturday, August 17, 2013 8:30 a.m. EDT
1 Significant Activity: Aug 16 – 17 Significant Events: Beaver Creek Fire, ID Tropical Activity: • Atlantic – Area 1 (Medium/40%); Tropical Storm Erin • Eastern Pacific – Area 1 (Low/10%) • Central Pacific – Tropical Storm Pewa; Area 2 (Low/10%); Area 3 (Low/0%) • Western Pacific – TD 12W & TD 13W (No threat to US territories) Significant Weather: • Heavy rain w/possible flash flooding – Gulf Coast/Southeast • Critical Fire Weather Areas: None • Red Flag Warnings: UT, NV & ID • Space Weather: No space weather storms observed/predicted Earthquake Activity: No significant activity Declaration Activity: • FMAG approved for Beaver Creek Fire, ID • Major Disaster Declaration request for the Karuk Tribe
2 Atlantic – Tropical Outlook
Updates at 2:00 am/pm and 8:00 am/pm EDT
3 Atlantic – Area 1
As of 8:00 a.m. EDT • Area of low pressure located 150 miles WNW of Campeche, Mexico • Moving generally to the WNW or NW • Remains poorly organized; associated shower/thunderstorm activity located well to the NNE of center • Environmental conditions could become more favorable for development • Probability of tropical cyclone development: • Next 48 hours: Medium chance (40%) • Next 5 days High chance (50%)
4 Atlantic – Tropical Storm Erin
As of 5:00 a.m. EDT • Located 790 miles WNW of the Cape Verde Islands • Moving WNW at 15 mph • General motion expected to continue with gradual decrease in forward speed next couple of days • Maximum sustained winds 40 mph with higher gusts • Little change in strength forecast next 48 hours • Tropical storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles • No coastal watches/warnings
5 Eastern Pacific – Tropical Outlook
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_epac.shtml This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and 11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be issued as conditions warrant.
6 Eastern Pacific – Area 1
As of 8:00 a.m. EDT • Area of low pressure located 550 miles SSW of the southern tip of Baja California • Producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms • Moving W at 10 mph • Slow development is possible during next several days • Probability of tropical cyclone development: • Next 48 hours: Low chance (10%) • Next 5 days: Low chance (10%)
7 Central Pacific – Tropical Outlook
http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/cphc/ This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and 11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be issued as conditions warrant.
8 Central Pacific – Area 3
As of 8:00 a.m. EDT • Surface trough located 350 miles SSW of South Point, Hawaii • Producing loosely organized showers and thunderstorms • Moving W near 15 mph • Environmental conditions not conducive for further development • Probability of Tropical Cyclone Development • Next 48 Hours: Low chance (near 0%)
9 Central Pacific – Area 2
As of 8:00 a.m. EDT • Area of low pressure located 960 miles SW of Honolulu, Hawaii • Moving W at 15 mph • Thunderstorms have maintained their intensity • Overall development inhibited by the circulation around TS Pewa • Environmental conditions marginally conducive for development • Probability of tropical cyclone development: • Next 48 Hours: Low chance (10%)
10 Central Pacific – Tropical Storm Pewa
As of 5:00 a.m. EDT • Located 1,365 miles WSW of Lihue, Hawaii • Moving WNW at 13 mph • Motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days • Maximum sustained winds near 50 mph, with higher gusts • Tropical storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles • Some strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days • May become a typhoon in the northwest Pacific later this weekend • No coastal watches/warnings
11 Western Pacific – Tropical Depression 12W
12 Western Pacific – Tropical Depression 13W
13 National Weather Forecast
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/noaa/noaad1.pdf
14 Active Watches/Warnings
http://www.nws.noaa.gov/largemap.php
15 Precipitation Forecast – 3 Day
Day 1
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/d13_fill.gi Day 2
Day 3
16 River Forecast – 7 Day
http://water.weather.gov/ahps/forecasts.php?current_color=flood¤t_type=all&fcst_type=fcst&conus_map=d_map
17 Convective Outlooks Days 1 – 3
Day 1 Day 2
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html
Day 3
18 Critical Fire Weather Areas Days 1 – 8
Day 1 Day 2
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy1.html
Day 3-8
19 Hazard Outlook: August 19 – 23
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats_ie.php
20 Space Weather
NOAA Scaleshttp://www.swpc.noaa.n/index.html Activity Past Next Current (Range: 1/minor to 5/extreme) 24 Hours 24 Hours
Space Weather Activity: None None None www.spaceweather.comhttp:// • Geomagnetic Storms None None None • Solar Radiation Storms None None None • Radio Blackouts None None None
HF Communication Impact Sunspot Activity
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/drap/global.html http://spaceweather.com/
23 U.S. Wildland Fire Preparedness Levels National Preparedness Level: 4 Description: Three or more Geographic Areas are experiencing incidents requiring Type 1 and 2 IMTs. Competition exists between Geographic Areas. Nationally, 60 percent of Type 1 and 2 IMTs and crews are committed.
PL 4 PL 3
PL 4 PL 2 PL 2 PL 5
PL 3 PL 2
PL 1 PL 1
PL 1 PL 5 As of August 17, 2013 PL 4 Minimal Extreme
25 National Fire Activity
August 17, 2013 • National Preparedness Level: 4 • Initial Attack Activity: Light (101 new fires) • New Large Fires: 2 • Large Fires Contained: 3
• Uncontained Large Fires: 34 http://activefiremaps.fs.fed.us/lg_fire2.php • Area Command Teams committed: 0 • NIMOs committed: 0 • Type 1 IMT(s) Committed: 8 • Type 2 IMT(s) Committed: 20
26 Beaver Creek Fire – Idaho
Fire % Est. Full Structures Lost / Fatalities / Location Acres burned FMAG Approved Name Contained Containment Threatened Injuries Beaver Blaine/Camas 64,236 6% TBD FEMA-5045-FM-ID 8 / 2,083 0 / 3 Creek counties
Situation • The lightning-caused fire started on Aug 7 on Federal, State and private land • Mandatory evacuations in effect for approx. 500 residents from threatened areas • Pre -evacuation notices for the communities of Hailey & Ketchum (combined pop. 840) and 8 additional subdivisions (population unknown) • Two shelters are open w/20 occupants (ARC; 5:00 a.m. EDT on Aug 17) Response • 698 personnel with Type 1 IMT assigned • Governor issued a Disaster Declaration for wildfire activity throughout the State • ID State EOC is partially activated at Phase I (day shift only) • Region X RRCC at Watch/Steady State; Bothell MOC is monitoring = Blaine/Camas counties
27 Wildfire Summary
Fire Name Acres % Contained Structures Structures Fatalities / FMAG # Est. Containment Evacuations Destroyed (County) burned date Threatened Injuries
Utah (1) Rockport 5 FEMA-5044-FM-UT 58% 0 43 (Final) 1,920 Mandatory 0/0 (Summit County) August 13, 2013 (+8) (-50) (+21) Idaho (2) Elk Complex FEMA-5043-FM-ID 125,033 50% Mandatory 1,059 81 0/0 (Elmore County) August 13, 2013 (+8,119) (+10) Beaver Creek FEMA-5045-FM-ID 64,236 6% Mandatory 2083 8 0/3 (Blaine/Camas counties) August 15, 2013
28 FMAG Requests and Declarations
Action (since last report) Total FMAG No. and State
Requests DENIED 0
Requests APPROVED 1 8/15/13 – FEMA-5045-FM; Idaho
Approved FMAG Data Denied Year + Cumulative Monthly FMAGs YTD MTD Average Acres Burned at time of requests 2013 24 6 8 255,547 8 2012 35 489,946 17
+Reflects the 3-year average for current month
29 Major Disaster Declaration Request – Karuk Tribe
August 16, 2013 • The Chairman requested a major disaster declaration California • For a Wildfire during the period July 29 to August 2, 2013 • Requesting: • PA, w/direct federal assistance, for the Karuk Tribal Lands • Hazard Mitigation for the Karuk Tribal Lands
= Karuk Tribe
30 Joint Preliminary Damage Assessments
State / Number of Counties Region Event IA/PA Start – End Location Requested Complete Severe Weather IV TN PA 1 0 8/19 - TBD August 8-9, 2013 Flooding VI AR PA 6 0 8/19 - TBD August 8-14, 2013
Severe Storms, Flooding & High Winds IA 18 0 8/15 – TBD VII MO August 2, 2013 & continuing PA 20 0 8/14 – TBD Severe Storms VII KS PA 62 0 8/19 - TBD July 22, 2013 & continuing Severe Storms IA 1 0 VIII SD 8/19 – TBD July 30, 2013 PA 1 0
33 Open Field Offices as of August 17, 2013
34 OFDC Cadre Member Status
Federal Coordinating Officer Deployed Detailed Available Not Available Total 24 2 10 1 37 Total Available Type 1 Type 2 Type 3 Type 4 12* 2 6 2 2 * All Type 1 FCOs are available unless deployed to a Level 1 event
Federal Disaster Recovery Coordinator
Deployed Available Pending Hire On Board Positions
7 2 1 9 10
As of: 08/9/2013
35 MCOV Fleet / Deployment Status
MCOV FLEET STATUS MCOV DISASTER SUPPORT DEPLOYMENTS
Units Available Deployed En Open Location PMC Unavailable DR-State OPCON Unit Prep Notes: Assigned FMC Committed Route Request MERS Maynard 3 1 0 0 2 0 0 0
MERS Frederick 8 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 MERS Thomasville 14 13 0 0 1 0 0 0 DC Ft Worth 20 18 0 0 2 0 0 0 MERS Denver 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 MERS Bothell 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 Sacramento 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL 55 50 0 0 5 TOTAL 0 0 0 0 Included in above totals, units 0 0 in route for turn-in.
Fully Mission Capable 50 Partially Mission Capable 0 Non-Mission Capable 5 Total Not Deployed 55 Data as of: 08/15/13 @ 1500 36 Active IA Disasters - Referral Status & Awards
# Max Grants = Applicants awarded maximum IHP ($31,900 as of FY 2013) Data as of: 08/15/13 @ 1500 37 IA Registration Statistics
IA Registrations and IHP Amounts as of August 15, 2013 @ 1500 Approved Total ONA DR/EM # - State Registrations Total HA Approved Total IHP Approved Applicants Approved 4117 - OK 15,162 3,524 $9,582,156 $4,323,297 $13,905,453 4122 - AK 351 241 $1,100,507 $1,437,866 $2,538,373 Totals 15,513 3,765 $10,682,663 $5,761,163 $16,443,826 24 hour change +45 +7 +$19,910 +$11,332 +$31,241
NPSC Call Data for August 14, 2013 Total Calls Answered (Help Line + Registration Intake) 2,652 Average time to answer call 12 seconds Maximum / Minimum time to answer a call 28 seconds / 09 seconds
38 Housing Inspection Statistics
Inspection Data as of August 15, 2013 @ 1500 Inspections Inspections Inspection % Turnaround Time DR # - State Inspectors Assigned Completed Complete (Days) 4117 - OK 6 8,191 8,096 98.84% 1.9 4122 - AK 1 371 349 94.07% 3.0 TOTAL 7 8,562 8,445 98.63% 2.0 24 hour change 0 +29 +26 -0.03% 0.0
39 FEMA Workforce Status Report
Committed To Available To Other Activities Workforce Type Total Deployed Operational Readiness Deploy or Exempt from Deployment
Reservist 6,341 3,650 (57%) 2,020 (32%) 671 (11%) Mission Capable
Cadre of On-Call Response 2,572 974 (38%) 1,589 (62%) 9 (0%) Mission Capable Employees (CORE)
Permanent Full Time (PFT) 5,003 1,968 (40%) 532 (10%) *2,503 (50%) Mission Capable
FEMA Corps 309 0 (0%) 161 (54%) 148 (46%) Mission Capable
DHS Surge Capacity Force 3,907 1,712 (40%) 0 (0%) ** 2,195 (60%) Awaiting DHS/FEMA Activation
Workforce Totals 18,132 8,304 (46%) 4,302 (24%) 5,526 (30%)
= <70% Deployed/Mission Capable = >80% Deployed = 70% - 79% Deployed/Partially Mission Capable = >80% Committed to Other Activities- Awaiting DHS/FEMA Activation *This number will continue to be refined as Directorates/Regions identify and solidify the number of personnel required to support “mission critical home station”, and Emergency Relocation Group personnel Data as of 8/16/13 **Deployable based on FEMA’s need for DHS activation
Employees may be committed to other activities or exempt from deployment based on: leave status, training, travel related issues, or personnel status as ERG or mission critical home station employee 40 IMAT Status National Teams Team Status Team Status Team Status
Blue/White East West Regional Teams Team Status Team Status Team Status
Region I Region V Region VIII ND/SD/SRST*
Region II Region VI-1 OK Region IX-1
Region III Region VI-2 AR Region IX-2
Region IV-1 Region VII KS Region X
Region IV-2 *SRST – Standing Rock Sioux Tribe
= Available/Mission Capable = Assigned/Deployed = Available/Partially Mission Capable = Not Mission Capable
42 Urban Search & Rescue
INCIDENT SUPPORT TEAMS (Red-White-Blue) – Monthly On Call Rotation
JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
WEST CENTRAL EAST Team Status Team Status Team Status CA-TF1 Available AZ-TF1 Available FL-TF1 Available CA-TF2 Available CO-TF1 Available FL-TF2 Available CA-TF3 Available IN-TF1 Available MA-TF1 Available CA-TF4 Available MO-TF1 Available MD-TF1 Available CA-TF5 Available NE-TF1 Available NY-TF1 Available Conditionally CA-TF6 Available NM-TF1 Non-operational PA-TF1 Available Conditionally CA-TF7 Available NV-TF1 VA-TF1 Available Available CA-TF8 Available TN-TF1 Available VA-TF2 Available WA-TF1 Available TX-TF1 Available OH-TF1 Available
UT-TF1 Available
= Available/Mission Capable = Assigned/Deployed = Available/Partially Mission Capable = Out-of-Service 43 RRCC / Regional Watch Center Status
Region RRCC Regional Watch Center I Watch/Steady State Maynard MOC (24/7) II Watch/Steady State 24/7 III Watch/Steady State 24/7 IV Watch/Steady State 24/7 V Watch/Steady State 24/7 VI Watch/Steady State Denton MOC (24/7) VII Watch/Steady State Enhanced Watch VIII Watch/Steady State Denver MOC (24/7) IX Watch/Steady State 24/7 X Watch/Steady State Bothell MOC (24/7)
44 National Team Status
Team/Status Current Location Remarks
National Watch Center Washington, DC Watch/Steady State
NRCC Washington, DC Not Activated
HLT Miami, FL Activated
DEST Washington, DC Not Activated
Mission Capable Partially Mission Capable Not Mission Capable
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