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Drivers of Deforestation, Identification of Threatened Forests and Forest Co- Benefits Other Than Carbon from REDD+ Implementation in Zambia

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Drivers of Deforestation, Identification of Threatened Forests and Forest Co- Benefits Other Than Carbon from REDD+ Implementation in Zambia Drivers of deforestation, identication of threatened forests and forest co-benets other than carbon from REDD+ implementation in Zambia Republic of Zambia Ministry of Lands, Natural Resources and Environmental Protection Authors: Bernard M. Chomba [email protected] Obster Tembo [email protected] Katumwa Mutandi [email protected] Abraham Makano [email protected] Stephen C. Mtongo [email protected] Contributing Author Mrs Ing’utu Simasiku Kazinga Citation: Chomba, B.M., Tembo, O., Mutandi, K., Mtongo,C.S., & Makano, A. 2012. Drivers of deforestation, identification of threatened forests and forest co- benefits other than carbon from REDD+ implementation in Zambia. A consultancy report prepared for the Forestry Department and the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations under the national UN-REDD Programme: Ministry of Lands, Natural Resources and Environmental Protection. Lusaka, Zambia. Disclaimer: The designations employed and the presentation of material in this information product do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) concerning the legal or development status of any country, territory, city or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. The mention of specific companies or products of manufacturers, whether or not these have been patented, does not imply that these have been endorsed or recommended by FAO in preference to others of a similar nature that are not mentioned. The views expressed in this information product are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views or policies of FAO. © FAO, 2014 FAO encourages the use, reproduction and dissemination of material in this information product. Except where otherwise indicated, material may be copied, downloaded and printed for private study, research and teaching purposes, or for use in non-commercial products or services, provided that appropriate acknowledgement of FAO as the source and copyright holder is given and that FAO’s endorsement of users’ views, products or services is not implied in any way. All requests for translation and adaptation rights, and for resale and other commercial use rights should be made via www.fao.org/contact-us/ licence-request or addressed to [email protected]. FAO information products are available on the FAO website (www.fao.org/publications) and can be purchased through [email protected]. ii Detailed and spatially explicit analysis of the drivers of deforestation, identication of threatened forests and forest co-benets other than carbon from REDD+ implementation in Zambia May 2013 CONTENTS Acknowledgements iii Acronyms vi Glossary vii Executive summary viii Introduction 1 General background ..........................................................................................................................................................................................1 The problem ...................................................................................................................................................................................................................1 Purpose of the study .........................................................................................................................................................................................1 Vegetation types and forest resources of Zambia .................................................................................................................................2 Vegetation types of Zambia ...................................................................................................................................................................................2 Forest resources in Zambia .....................................................................................................................................................................................3 Study areas 5 Approach and methodology 8 Methods for collecting non-spatial data ..................................................................................................................................................8 Literature review (i.e. desktop study) ..................................................................................................................................................................8 Participatory learning ...............................................................................................................................................................................................8 Resource mapping ......................................................................................................................................................................................................9 Consultations ...............................................................................................................................................................................................................9 Ranking the drivers of deforestation by community members............................................................................................................ 10 Methods for collecting spatial data ..........................................................................................................................................................10 Preparation of Landsat satellite data ............................................................................................................................................................. 10 Forest/non-forest cover map production ...................................................................................................................................................... 10 Forest/non-forest cover map validation ........................................................................................................................................................ 10 Generation of statistics, forest cover change analysis and prediction..............................................................................................11 Determination of strength and importance of the drivers of deforestation ..................................................................................11 Land-use and carbon-stock change modelling ...........................................................................................................................................11 Study findings, analysis and discussions 12 Spatially explicit simulation of the drivers of deforestation ..........................................................................................................12 Kapiri Mposhi District ............................................................................................................................................................................................12 Nakonde District ......................................................................................................................................................................................................15 Isoka District ..............................................................................................................................................................................................................16 Kabompo District .....................................................................................................................................................................................................20 Sesheke District ........................................................................................................................................................................................................23 Prediction of future forest cover .......................................................................................................................................................................25 Extrapolation of spatial data results ...............................................................................................................................................................25 Non-spatial analysis of the drivers of deforestation and forest degradation .........................................................................26 Identification and ranking of the drivers of deforestation ....................................................................................................................26 Proximate drivers .....................................................................................................................................................................................................26 Case study: Sesheke and Kapiri Mposhi Districts .....................................................................................................................................34 Underlying Drivers ...................................................................................................................................................................................................35 Case studies ..............................................................................................................................................................................................................38 Case study ...................................................................................................................................................................................................................39
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