Transportation Master Plan and Feasibility Study of Urban Transport Projects in Greater Cairo Region in the Arab Republic of Egypt
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Higher Committee for Japan International Cooperation Agency Greater Cairo Transportation Planning (JICA) Government of the Arab Republic of Egypt Transportation Master Plan and Feasibility Study of Urban Transport Projects in Greater Cairo Region in the Arab Republic of Egypt PHASE I FINAL REPORT Volume III: Transport Master Plan November 2002 Pacific Consultants International (PCI) The following foreign exchange rates are applied in this study. USD $1.00 = 4.58 Egyptian Pound (LE) (As of August 2002) PREFACE In response to a request from the Government of the Arab Republic of Egypt, the Government of Japan decided to conduct the Study for the Transportation Master Plan and Feasibility Study of Urban Transport Projects in Greater Cairo Region in the Arab Republic of Egypt and entrusted the Study to the Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA). JICA selected and dispatched a study team headed by Dr. Katsuhide Nagayama of Pacific Consultants International to the Arab Republic of Egypt between March 2001 and September 2002. In addition, JICA set up an Advisory Committee headed by Professor Noboru Harata of Tokyo University between March 2001 and October 2002, which examined the Study from Specialist and technical point of view. The Study Team held discussions with the officials concerned of the Government of the Arab Republic of Egypt and conducted field surveys at the study area. Upon returning to Japan, the Study Team conducted further studies and prepared this report. I hope that this report will contribute to development in the Arab Republic of Egypt, and to the enhancement of friendly relationship between our two countries. Finally, I wish to express my sincere appreciation to the officials concerned of the Government of the Arab Republic of Egypt for their close cooperation extended to the Study Team. November 2002 Takao Kawakami President Japan International Cooperation Agency November 2002 Mr. Takao Kawakami President Japan International Cooperation Agency Tokyo, Japan Letter of Transmittal Dear Sir, We are pleased to formally submit herewith the Final Report of “Transportation Master Plan and Feasibility Study of Urban Transport Project in Greater Cairo Region in the Arab Republic of Egypt.” This report compiles the results of the Study which was undertaken in the Arab Republic of Egypt from March 2001 through September 2002 by the Study Team organized by Pacific Consultants International under the contract with the JICA. This report compiles Transport Master Plan based upon identification of present condition in order to contribute to the sustainable development in Greater Cairo Region. We would like to express our sincere gratitude and appreciation to all the officials of your agency and the JICA advisory Committee. We also would like to send our great appreciation to all those extended their kind assistance and cooperation to the Study Team, in particular, Ministry of Transport and Egyptian National Institute of Egypt as the counterpart agency. We beg to acknowledge our sincere gratitude to Dr. Ibrahim El Dimeery, the ex- Minister of Transport, for his devoted initiation of the Study as well as H.E. Eng. Hamdy Al Shayeb, the Minister of Transport, for his strong support to our activities. We hope that the report will be able to contribute significantly to development in the Arab Republic of Egypt. Very truly yours, Dr. Katsuhide Nagayama Team Leader, The Study Team for the Transportation Master Plan and Feasibility Study of Urban Transport Project in Greater Cairo Region in the Arab Republic of Egypt CREATS INTERIM REPORT Volume III: Transport Master Plan TABLE OF CONTENTS PREFACE LETTER OF TRANSMITTAL STUDY AREA MAP CREATS-TRANSPORT MASTER PLAN 2022 TABLE OF CONTENTS LIST OF TABLES LIST OF FIGURES LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS CREATS PARTICIPANTS Page CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION 1.1 Background ------------------------------------------------------------- 1-1 1.2 Study Scope and Objectives------------------------------------------ 1-1 1.3 The Participatory Planning Process --------------------------------- 1-2 1.4 Reporting Approach --------------------------------------------------- 1-3 1.5 Structure of Volume III of the Interim Report --------------------- 1-6 CHAPTER 2: URBANIZATION STRUCTURE AND SOCIO-ECONOMIC FRAMEWORK 2.1 Existing Issues, Opportunities and Constraints ------------------ 2-1 2.2 Urban Structure ------------------------------------------------------- 2-3 2.3 Current Socio-Economic Situation---------------------------------- 2-17 2.4 Future Socio-Economic Framework -------------------------------- 2-61 CHAPTER 3: THE TRANSPORT MODEL 3.1 Existing Issues, Opportunities and Constraints ------------------ 3-1 3.2 Network Development and Representation ------------------------ 3-5 3.3 Trip Generation ------------------------------------------------------- 3-14 3.4 Person Trip Distribution --------------------------------------------- 3-30 3.5 The Mode Choice Model --------------------------------------------- 3-39 3.6 Development of Other Trip Tables-Commercial, External Vehicle and Walk ------------------------------------------------------ 3-44 3.7 Base Year Assignment and Calibration----------------------------- 3-56 3.8 Disaggregate Modal Choice Model Analysis ---------------------- 3-62 3.9 Indicative Future Year Results--------------------------------------- 3-83 3.10 Recommendations ----------------------------------------------------- 3-89 CHAPTER 4: PUBLIC TRANSPORT SYSTEM 4.1 Existing Issues, Opportunities and Constraints ------------------ 4-3 - i - 4.2 Service Structuring --------------------------------------------------- 4-6 4.3 Financial Sustainability ---------------------------------------------- 4-17 4.4 Transport and the Urban Poor---------------------------------------- 4-50 4.5 Ownership -------------------------------------------------------------- 4-60 4.6 Initial Screening of Public Transport Scenarios ------------------- 4-73 4.7 Refinement of the Public Transport Scenarios -------------------- 4-130 4.8 Recommendations ----------------------------------------------------- 4-159 CHAPTER 5: URBAN ROAD SYSTEM 5.1 Existing Issues, Opportunities and Constraints ------------------ 5-1 5.2 Urban Road Hierarchy Structuring -------------------------------- 5-4 5.3 Future Road System Planning -------------------------------------- 5-21 5.4 Evaluation of Alternative Year 2022 Road Systems ------------ 5-34 5.5 Recommendations ---------------------------------------------------- 5-52 CHAPTER 6: CARGO TRANSPORT 6.1 Existing Issues, Opportunities and Constraints ------------------ 6-1 6.2 Present Truck Volumes and Flows ---------------------------------- 6-10 6.4 Future Cargo Transport in GCR ------------------------------------- 6-26 6.5 Recommendations ---------------------------------------------------- 6-60 CHAPTER 7: INTERMODAL TRANSPORT 7.1 Existing Issues, Opportunities and Constraints-------------------- 7-1 7.2 Why Intermodal Transport? ------------------------------------------ 7-6 7.3 Intermodal Public Transport in the GCR --------------------------- 7-7 7.4 Intermodal Cargo Transport in the GCR --------------------------- 7-38 7.5 Recommendations ----------------------------------------------------- 7-64 CHAPTER 8: TARGET AREAS TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT 8.1 Existing Issues, Opportunities and Constraints-------------------- 8-1 8.2 Approach and Methodology------------------------------------------ 8-4 8.3 Short-term Plan for Immediate Actions ---------------------------- 8-4 8.4 Medium and Long Term Plan -------------------------------------- 8-47 8.5 Recommendations ----------------------------------------------------- 8-58 CHAPTER 9: ORGANIZATIONAL AND INSTITUTIONAL MATTERS 9.1 Existing Issues, Opportunities and Constraints ------------------ 9-1 9.2 Administrative and Planning Boundaries in the Study Area ---- 9-2 9.3 Organizations Related to Urban Transport------------------------- 9-4 9.4 Functions and Responsibilities of the Current Transport Organizations in the Study Area ----------------------------------- 9-9 9.5 Other Institutional and Organizational Subjects------------------- 9-15 9.6 The Recommended Organization Setup ---------------------------- 9-23 9.7 Some Institutional Related Subjects -------------------------------- 9-32 9.8 Transport Finance Institutions -------------------------------------- 9-34 9.9 Institutional Strengthening and Expertise Building--------------- 9-37 9.10 Recommendations ---------------------------------------------------- 9-42 - ii - CHAPTER 10: HUMAN RESOURCES DEVELOPMENT IN TRAFFIC SAFETY 10.1 Existing Issues, Constraints and Opportunities ------------------ 10-1 10.2 The Traffic Safety Program Demonstrator ------------------------- 10-12 10.3 Structuring for Sustainability----------------------------------------- 10-19 10.4 The Traffic Safety Program ------------------------------------------ 10-23 10.5 Supporting Measures -------------------------------------------------- 10-29 10.6 Conclusions------------------------------------------------------------- 10-32 10.7 Recommendations ----------------------------------------------------- 10-35 CHAPTER 11: THE INTEGRATED TRANSPORT MASTER PLAN 11.1 Introduction ----------------------------------------------------------- 11-1 11.2 Vision, Policies and Strategies ------------------------------------- 11-1 11.3 Master Plan Formation Procedure --------------------------------- 11-5 11.4 CREATS Master Plan Scenarios ----------------------------------- 11-8 11.5 Master Plan Improvement Options --------------------------------