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SCHOOL DISTRICT ENROLLMENT PLANNING SERVICES

Montgomery County Planning Commission Planning for Your School’s Future

School districts must continually plan for the future, and the Montgomery County Planning Commission would like to assist in this planning. Recent fluctuations in the housing market and economy have presented districts with new challenges as they face tough decisions concerning facilities and the needs of their present and future students. We offer enrollment projection services that can help you plan for the future.

Percent Change in Enrollment by School District, 2009 - 2018 Percent Change in Enrollment by School District, 2009-2018

29 Upper Moreland Upper Perkiomen 309 Hatboro-Horsham 476 Lower Moreland ®¶ß North Penn Souderton 611

663 Upper Dublin Abington ®¶ß276 Jenkintown Wissahicko§£202 n 73 Cheltenham Boyertown 73 Springfield

100 Perkiomen Valley Colonial Methacton Norristown Pottsgrove §£422 Spring-Ford

Schu ylkill Pottstown River Upper Merion76 Lower Merion 29 ®¶ß ®¶ß476 Total Enrollment Percent Change Ø Less Than -5 % -5 % to 0 % 0 % to 5 % 5 % to 10 % Greater Than 10%

Recent School District Reports

Abington School District Perkiomen Valley School District Cheltenham School District School District of Springfield Township Colonial School District Souderton Area School District Hatboro-Horsham School District Upper Dublin School District Lower Merion School District Upper Merion Area School District Lower Moreland Township School District Upper District North Penn School District Wissahickon School District Enrollment Projection Services The best decisions can only be made using the best data and analysis. MCPC excels at this and can provide an in-depth analysis of the trends in specific populations that will affect future enrollment needs for your district. Areas of concentration for enrollment projections include: X Population Characteristics—Age and Household Types X Housing Activity—Proposals, Construction, and Sales Patterns X Birth Patterns—By School Calendar Year X Other Specific Impacts on Future Enrollments—Including Impacts from Non-Public Schools, Multifamily Apartment Developments, Housing Sales Activity, Fertility Rates, and Migration

Housing Units Built by Type, Lower Merion School District, 2013-2017

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Front cover left to right: School Athletic Fields, Pottstown • Cole Manor Elementary School East Norriton • Comprehensive Report and Presentation

MCPC will produce a comprehensive report with recommended projections for district enrollments over the next ten years. The report will provide concise explanations of what is happening in the district’s communities and what it means for the future. We will utilize GIS mapping to provide locational context and neighborhood-level activity.

Each individual school within the district will be analyzed to help understand its needs and realities. MCPC’s unique position as a county agency, in conjunction with our continuing series of annual reports on housing and demographic changes, assures your study will be conducted using the most precise information available. As part of our professional services, we will present the study results to district board members and the public. MCPC also offers an update service, which revisits studies on an annual basis to identify shifting trends when they happen.

District wide Enrollment Projection Summary

Option A Option B Year Total Annual Total Annual Students Change Students Change 2016-17 (Actual) 8,382 8,382 2017-18 8,552 170 8,520 138 2018-19 8,731 179 8,659 139 2019-20 8,839 108 8,724 65 2020-21 9,037 198 8,874 150 2021-22 9,209 172 9,003 129 2022-23 9,345 136 9,096 93 2023-24 9,388 43 9,092 -4 2024-25 9,412 24 9,072 -20 2025-26 9,415 3 9,033 -39 2026-27 9,424 9 8,999 -34 Total Change 2016-2026 1,042 617 Contact: Daniel R. Farina Jr. Senior County Planner 610-278-3728 [email protected]

Expertise

As a leader of planning in Montgomery County, we are committed to helping our communities build sustainable futures. We achieve this through our comprehensive understanding of the county and the extensive expertise of our accomplished staff. MCPC keeps its finger on the pulse of Montgomery County by conducting ongoing planning and data analysis activities. We study development trends at county and municipal levels through annual reports on housing construction, housing sales, and nonresidential construction. We review all development proposals submitted in the county. Our staff is highly experienced with detailed demographic analysis and the use of geographic information systems (GIS) to better understand and illustrate the changes occurring in our communities.

Preserving our high quality of life Montgomery County Board of Commissioners Valerie A. Arkoosh, MD, MPH, Chair Kenneth E. Lawrence, Jr., Vice Chair Joseph C. Gale, Commissioner

Montgomery County Planning Commission Board Members Steven Kline, Chair Dulcie F. Flaharty, Vice Chair Obed Arango Robert E. Blue, Jr., P.E., P.L.S. Jill Blumhardt John J. Ernst, AIA Nicole R. Kline-Elsier, P.E., PTOE Jonathan E. Rinde, Esq. Charles J. Tornetta

Montgomery County Planning Commission Management Scott France, AICP, Executive Director Matthew Edmond, AICP, Section Chief: Transportation Planning Anne Leavitt-Gruberger, AICP, Section Chief: County Planning & GIS Pattie E. B. Guttenplan, RLA, AICP, Section Chief: Design Planning & Graphic Design Bill Hartman, PLA, Section Chief: Trails & Open Space Planning R. Eric Jarrell, Section Chief: Community Planning Drew Shaw, AICP, Section Chief: Environmental Planning

www.montcopa.org/planning PO Box 311 • Norristown, PA 19404-0311

From Vision to Reality