Deal Drivers: EMEA HY 2021
A spotlight on mergers and acquisitions trends in 2021 Contents
Foreword: Dealmaking recovery forges ahead in H1 03
Outlook: EMEA heat chart 04
All sectors 05
Consumer 14
Energy, mining & utilities 19
Financial services 24
Industrials & chemicals 29
Pharma, medical & biotech 34
Telecoms, media & technology 39
About this report 44 Foreword: Dealmaking recovery forges ahead in H1
Merger and acquisition activity in Europe, the Middle East, Indeed, the COVID-19 pandemic has acted as an accelerant and Africa (EMEA) is very much back. As the data in this report here. The huge monetary and fiscal stimulus packages reveals, M&A volumes and values increased significantly during introduced by governments in response to the crisis mean the first six months of 2021, with every industry sector posting there are now even larger pools of capital available for higher numbers. deployment in M&A. The imperative for transformation has never felt so pressing—many corporates had no choice but In truth, M&A never really went away. Certainly, activity slowed to begin that journey during the pandemic. markedly as the COVID-19 pandemic rocked the region in the first half of last year—deals slowed to a crawl during the Moreover, there is good reason to hope that COVID-19 is now second quarter of 2020 in particular. But prior to the pandemic, in retreat. The rapid roll-out of vaccines across much of the M&A activity hit record-breaking levels during 2018 and 2019 EMEA region paves the way for society to begin to normalize— —and as the world adjusted to the crisis last year, dealmaking and for more conventional business and economic conditions picked up again during the second half. to return.
Plenty of uncertainty and downside risk remains—not least In 2021, that pick-up has accelerated, over the course of the pandemic itself. But after a very strong courtesy of many of the drivers that have first half of 2021, dealmaking in the EMEA region is well on been propelling M&A for some time— course to match, or even exceed, the levels of activity seen in particular, the plentiful supply of cash, in 2018 and 2019. both for corporates and PE investors, and the need to embrace transformational deals in the context of digital technology.
3 Heat chart based on potential companies for sale
Outlook:
EMEA heat chart UK & Ireland DACH France Nordics Italy & Iberia Benelux Middle Turkey, East & Africa CEE & SEE TOTAL
Three sectors stand out as likely hotbeds of M&A activity in TMT 77 72 30 69 57 22 104 139 570 the second half of 2021, based on Mergermarket’s analysis of
‘companies for sale’ stories. Technology, media and telecoms Consumer 68 54 19 35 136 34 35 83 464 (TMT), consumer, and industrials and chemicals (I&C) all look set for significant dealmaking. Industrials & chemicals 31 73 25 42 100 32 41 85 429
The TMT sector, in particular, continues to attract significant Pharma, medical & biotech 38 47 23 28 39 24 33 28 260 interest, with Mergermarket recording 570 stories about potential deals in the industry. The UK, home to one of Financial services 56 16 12 21 34 16 44 50 249 Europe’s most important technology sector hubs, accounted for 77 of those stories, but Turkey, the Middle East, and Energy, mining & utilities 36 15 13 17 64 7 48 41 241 Africa surpassed that total, with 104 pieces of coverage; these include stories related to Israel, where TMT businesses Business services 38 31 15 24 42 17 31 37 235 continue to attract worldwide attention.
The consumer sector, meanwhile, generated 464 companies Construction 7 11 7 12 17 6 22 29 111 for sale stories during the first half of the year, with Italy and the Iberian peninsula accounting for more than a quarter Leisure 18 5 8 3 21 9 6 14 84 of this coverage. Consumer businesses across the region continue to consolidate and transform to capitalize on trends Transportation 6 7 5 6 14 5 17 23 83 such as the rise of ecommerce, which in many cases have been accelerated by the pandemic. Real estate 6 6 5 3 11 3 13 11 58 Cold Warm Hot
Italy and Iberia also look set to be hotspots for dealmaking in Agriculture 4 4 4 1 12 24 49 Note: The Intelligence Heat Charts are based on the I&C sector, with companies in those countries accounting ‘companies for sale’ tracked by Mergermarket in for 100 of 429 companies for sale stories recorded by Defense 2 1 1 2 6 the respective regions between January 01, 2021 and June 30, 2021. Opportunities are captured Mergermarket in the first half. according to the dominant geography and sector TOTAL 387 338 163 264 539 176 406 566 2,839 of the potential target company. 4 All sectors Vaccine drive signals return to robust growth
M&A activity in the EMEA region gathered pace during the first Macro tailwinds All sectors M&A activity, half of 2021, following a strong rebound from the COVID-19 The International Monetary Fund (IMF) believes this will 2018 - HY 2021 crisis in the second six months of last year. result in a period of strong economic growth. It expects GDP in Europe to grow by 4.3% during 2021 and by 4% in Overall, the region recorded €578bn worth of deals during the 2022, following a 5.8% decline last year. Africa’s economy is 3,000 350 first half, a 15% rise on the second half of 2020—and a 79% forecast to bounce back even more strongly, with growth of increase on the same period of last year, when activity slowed 4.9% and 4.1% this year and next following a contraction of 300 markedly at the height of the COVID-19 crisis. 1.9% in 2020. And while the IMF anticipates a more sluggish 2,500 recovery in the Middle East, with growth of 2.5% and 3.4% in 2021 and 2022, those rates would still be a significant 250 Deal volumes have also continued to grow: 2,000
turnaround compared to last year’s decline of 4% in this part Deal value €(bn) the first half of 2021 saw 4,691 deals across of the EMEA region. 200
the EMEA region, an increase of 9% on the 1,500 With growth returning, dealmakers are positioning themselves second half of 2020 and a 42% rise on the volume Deal 150 accordingly after a period of relative inactivity. That includes same period of last year. trade buyers, as businesses across the region reposition 1,000 themselves for a shifting marketplace, as well as the private 100 The strength of M&A activity so far in 2021 reflects growing equity (PE) sector, which still has record amounts of dry 500 confidence that many countries are now in a strong position powder to deploy. 50 to recover from the devastating impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic. With vaccine deployment stepping up across 0 0 much of the EMEA region, governments have begun to pull Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 back from lockdown restrictions and other COVID-19 counter 2018 2019 2020 2021 measures, opening their economies once again. Deal volume Deal value €(bn)
Source: Mergermarket
6 Private equity power All sectors top sectors by value I HY 2021 Indeed, PE activity during the first half of the year was EUR (m) particularly strong. PE firms invested €193.2bn in buyouts TMT 170,447 during the first six months of 2021—almost matching the Industrials & chemicals 71,154 €194.5bn of buyout activity recorded during the whole of Financial services 64,646 last year, and was well ahead of the full-year totals for 2019 Energy, mining & utilities 61,943 (€168.8bn) and 2018 (€174.7bn). Real estate 50,473
This stepping up of buyout activity was accompanied by All sectors top sectors by volume I HY 2021 a marked increase in exits, as PE firms overhauled their portfolios. The sector saw 614 exits worth €101.4bn during Deal count the first half, an increase of 77% in volume and 120% in value TMT 1,105 compared to the same period of 2020. Exit activity has now Industrials & chemicals 890 surpassed pre-pandemic levels. Business services 704 Consumer 452 Pharma, medical & biotech 340
All sectors top bidders by value I HY 2021
EUR (m) USA 206,190 United Kingdom 51,552 Netherlands 44,087 France 39,995 Italy 39,970
All sectors top bidders by volume I HY 2021
Deal count United Kingdom 761 USA 591 France 448 Sweden 392 Germany 371
7 Big deals All sectors top 10 announced deals, HY 2021 One notable trend in the PE sector was the strong activity at the top end of the market. The strong increase in deal Announced Bidder company Target company Target Vendor company Deal value values during the first half of the year was achieved on a more date dominant (€m) modest rise in deal volumes, with 1,035 transactions in 2021 sector so far compared to 931 in the second half of last year. 1 12-May-21 Prosus N.V. Naspers Limited TMT 38,112 (45.4% Stake) More broadly, the return of larger deals was a theme across 2 24-May-21 Vonovia SE Deutsche Wohnen SE Real estate 28,896 the whole of the M&A market during the first half of 2021. 3 12-Jun-21 Consortium of investors led by Autostrade per l'Italia S.p.A Construction Atlantia SpA 17,975 There were 16 deals worth €5bn or more during the first six Cassa Depositi e Prestiti S.p.A. (88.06% Stake) months of the year. 4 18-Mar-21 National Grid Plc Western Power Distribution plc Energy, mining PPL Corporation 16,591 & utilities Those deals were led by the giant share swap deal between 5 09-Apr-21 A consortium led by EIG Global Aramco Oil Pipelines Company Energy, mining Saudi Arabian Oil Co. 10,423 the South African conglomerate Naspers and its Dutch-listed Energy Partners (49% Stake) & utilities investment unit Prosus, a transaction worth €38.1bn. One aim 6 21-Mar-21 Thoma Bravo Advantage ironSource Ltd. TMT CVC Capital Partners Limited; Viola 8,403 of the deal was to reduce the outsized impact of Naspers’s Group; CBC Capital; Redline Capital Management S.A.; Disruptive; valuation on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange. Naspers owns Saban Ventures a significant stake in the Chinese technology giant Tencent, the 7 16-Mar-21 FinTech Acquisition Corp. V eToro Group Ltd. TMT 8,194 value of which had at one point last year meant that Naspers accounted for a quarter of the total capitalization of the bourse. 8 13-Jan-21 American Tower Corporation Telxius Telecom S.A. TMT Telxius Telecom S.A. 7,700 (telecommunications towers division in Spain, Brazil, Peru, Other notable deals during the first half of the year included the Chile, and Argentina) €28.9bn merger between Vonovia and Deutsche Wohnen, a deal 9 23-Feb-21 Gores Holdings V, Inc. Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. Industrials & Ardagh Group S.A. 7,286 that will create a powerhouse in the German real estate market, chemicals and the €18bn buyout of the Italian infrastructure group 10 29-Mar-21 Ajax I Cazoo Limited TMT Compagnie Nationale a Portefeuille 5,932 Autostrade per l’Italia by a consortium of private equity buyers. S.A; BlackRock, Inc.; L Catterton Management Limited; General Catalyst Partners; Draper Esprit Plc; Sapphire Ventures, LLC; Novator Partners LLP; Octopus Ventures Limited; Eight Roads Ventures; Entree Capital; Mubadala Capital; dmg ventures; D1 Capital Partners L.P.; Stride.VC; Delin Ventures
Source: Mergermarket 8 xxxAll sectors M&A value split by deal size All sectors M&A volume split by deal size xxx
1,000 10,000