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Table 4b. U.S. Hydrocarbon Gas Liquids (HGL) and Refinery Balances (million barrels per day, except inventories and utilization factor) U.S. Energy Information Administration | Short-Term Energy Outlook - September 2021 2020 2021 2022 Year Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2020 2021 2022 HGL Production Natural Gas Processing Plants ...... 1.95 1.92 2.14 2.05 1.87 2.19 2.10 2.23 2.36 2.49 2.54 2.61 2.02 2.10 2.50 ...... 1.74 1.61 1.68 1.70 1.62 1.74 1.74 1.75 1.76 1.77 1.81 1.83 1.68 1.71 1.79 ...... 0.92 0.86 0.90 0.89 0.85 0.92 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.94 0.96 0.97 0.89 0.91 0.95 Natural (Pentanes Plus) ...... 0.57 0.57 0.62 0.58 0.53 0.61 0.63 0.59 0.58 0.61 0.64 0.62 0.58 0.59 0.61 Refinery and Blender Net Production Ethane/Ethylene ...... 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.01 Propane ...... 0.29 0.24 0.27 0.27 0.25 0.29 0.29 0.32 0.31 0.31 0.32 0.32 0.26 0.29 0.32 Propylene (refinery-grade) ...... 0.25 0.26 0.26 0.29 0.27 0.31 0.27 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.26 0.28 0.28 Butanes/Butylenes ...... -0.08 0.18 0.13 -0.19 -0.09 0.24 0.20 -0.19 -0.08 0.26 0.19 -0.19 0.01 0.04 0.05 Renewable Fuels and Oxygenate Plant Net Production Natural Gasoline (Pentanes Plus) ...... -0.02 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02

HGL Net Imports Ethane ...... -0.30 -0.24 -0.26 -0.27 -0.35 -0.39 -0.39 -0.38 -0.43 -0.45 -0.45 -0.46 -0.27 -0.38 -0.45 Propane/Propylene ...... -1.08 -1.09 -1.06 -1.31 -1.11 -1.23 -1.21 -1.23 -1.13 -1.19 -1.23 -1.23 -1.14 -1.19 -1.20 Butanes/Butylenes ...... -0.30 -0.31 -0.34 -0.34 -0.35 -0.40 -0.44 -0.36 -0.39 -0.43 -0.44 -0.40 -0.32 -0.39 -0.41 Natural Gasoline (Pentanes Plus) ...... -0.27 -0.19 -0.16 -0.14 -0.22 -0.21 -0.21 -0.18 -0.20 -0.18 -0.20 -0.18 -0.19 -0.20 -0.19

HGL Refinery and Blender Net Inputs Butanes/Butylenes ...... 0.46 0.25 0.32 0.47 0.39 0.29 0.32 0.49 0.39 0.28 0.32 0.50 0.38 0.37 0.37 Natural Gasoline (Pentanes Plus) ...... 0.15 0.10 0.15 0.13 0.14 0.14 0.17 0.16 0.17 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.13 0.15 0.18

HGL Consumption Ethane/Ethylene ...... 1.71 1.68 1.67 1.81 1.54 1.83 1.73 1.88 2.01 2.04 2.09 2.13 1.72 1.75 2.07 Propane ...... 1.14 0.58 0.61 0.97 1.09 0.65 0.63 1.00 1.13 0.57 0.58 1.02 0.82 0.84 0.82 Propylene (refinery-grade) ...... 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.30 0.29 0.32 0.29 0.29 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.28 0.30 0.30 Butanes/Butylenes ...... 0.17 0.20 0.19 0.23 0.22 0.29 0.21 0.20 0.18 0.22 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.23 0.20 Natural Gasoline (Pentanes Plus) ...... 0.09 0.13 0.26 0.36 0.26 0.24 0.23 0.25 0.22 0.22 0.23 0.24 0.21 0.24 0.23

HGL Inventories (million barrels) Ethane ...... 53.2 50.6 62.5 74.8 65.8 67.4 63.4 63.4 55.7 55.2 54.7 57.7 60.3 65.0 55.9 Propane ...... 60.8 75.8 100.3 69.9 39.3 53.2 69.7 52.5 33.3 61.1 89.1 78.9 69.9 52.5 78.9 Propylene (at refineries only) ...... 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.1 1.2 1.6 1.7 1.6 1.8 2.0 1.9 1.5 1.7 1.9 Butanes/Butylenes ...... 44.1 69.9 86.0 54.6 37.2 53.9 68.4 39.6 29.6 54.0 71.8 42.7 54.6 39.6 42.7 Natural Gasoline (Pentanes Plus) ...... 24.4 36.0 38.7 32.6 22.8 22.3 22.1 20.9 18.4 19.6 20.4 19.7 32.6 20.9 19.7

Refinery and Blender Net Inputs Crude OIl ...... 15.77 13.16 14.02 13.90 13.81 15.65 15.39 15.06 15.09 16.48 17.12 16.14 14.21 14.98 16.21 Hydrocarbon Gas Liquids ...... 0.61 0.35 0.47 0.60 0.53 0.43 0.49 0.65 0.55 0.47 0.51 0.69 0.51 0.52 0.55 Other Hydrocarbons/Oxygenates ...... 1.12 0.95 1.11 1.08 1.05 1.19 1.18 1.15 1.13 1.20 1.21 1.18 1.06 1.14 1.18 Unfinished Oils ...... 0.06 0.22 0.45 0.19 -0.08 0.22 0.43 0.36 0.09 0.28 0.31 0.27 0.23 0.24 0.24 Motor Gasoline Blend Components ...... 0.41 0.49 0.85 0.46 0.71 0.92 0.75 0.26 0.56 0.81 0.65 0.30 0.55 0.66 0.58 Aviation Gasoline Blend Components ...... 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Refinery and Blender Net Inputs ...... 17.98 15.16 16.90 16.22 16.01 18.41 18.24 17.49 17.44 19.24 19.80 18.58 16.57 17.54 18.77

Refinery Processing Gain ...... 1.02 0.82 0.93 0.92 0.84 0.97 1.00 1.04 1.05 1.09 1.14 1.13 0.92 0.96 1.10

Refinery and Blender Net Production Hydrocarbon Gas Liquids ...... 0.47 0.69 0.67 0.36 0.44 0.85 0.77 0.41 0.51 0.87 0.80 0.41 0.55 0.62 0.65 Finished Motor Gasoline ...... 9.31 7.53 9.14 8.98 8.74 9.82 9.67 9.55 9.32 9.87 10.03 9.79 8.74 9.45 9.75 Jet Fuel ...... 1.63 0.62 0.83 1.00 1.10 1.32 1.38 1.36 1.50 1.61 1.70 1.57 1.02 1.29 1.60 Distillate Fuel ...... 4.95 4.83 4.72 4.45 4.29 4.77 4.61 4.56 4.57 5.11 5.41 5.22 4.74 4.56 5.08 Residual Fuel ...... 0.24 0.17 0.19 0.15 0.19 0.20 0.24 0.20 0.25 0.29 0.29 0.23 0.19 0.21 0.27 Other Oils (a) ...... 2.41 2.14 2.28 2.19 2.09 2.42 2.57 2.44 2.33 2.57 2.71 2.49 2.26 2.38 2.53 Total Refinery and Blender Net Production ...... 19.00 15.98 17.84 17.14 16.86 19.38 19.24 18.53 18.49 20.33 20.94 19.71 17.49 18.51 19.87

Refinery Distillation Inputs ...... 16.37 13.65 14.56 14.32 14.25 16.17 15.95 15.48 15.45 16.69 17.33 16.42 14.72 15.47 16.48 Refinery Operable Distillation Capacity ...... 18.98 18.75 18.55 18.39 18.11 18.13 18.13 18.13 18.13 18.13 18.13 18.13 18.66 18.12 18.13 Refinery Distillation Utilization Factor ...... 0.86 0.73 0.78 0.78 0.79 0.89 0.88 0.85 0.85 0.92 0.96 0.91 0.79 0.85 0.91 (a) "Other Oils" includes aviation gasoline blend components, finished aviation gasoline, , petrochemical feedstocks, special naphthas, lubricants, waxes, , and road oil, still gas, and miscellaneous products. - = no data available Notes: EIA completed modeling and analysis for this report on September 2, 2021. The approximate break between historical and forecast values is shown with historical data printed in bold; estimates and forecasts in italics. Historical data: Latest data available from Energy Information Administration databases supporting the following reports: Petroleum Supply Monthly , DOE/EIA-0109; Petroleum Supply Annual , DOE/EIA-0340/2; Weekly Petroleum Status Report , DOE/EIA-0208. Minor discrepancies with published historical data are due to independent rounding. Forecasts: EIA Short-Term Integrated Forecasting System.