The Secession of States As a Strategy for Resolving Intra- State Ethnic and Religious Conflicts in Post-Colonial Africa: the Case of South Sudan
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The Secession of States as a Strategy for Resolving Intra- State Ethnic and Religious Conflicts in Post-Colonial Africa: The Case of South Sudan CLAYTON HAZVINEI VHUMBUNU 214580483 Supervisor: Dr Rudigi Rukema Joseph 2017 A Thesis Submitted to the University of KwaZulu-Natal (UKZN), Durban; South Africa in Fulfilment of the Requirements for the Award of the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy (PhD) in International Relations PLAGIARISM DECLARATION I, Clayton Hazvinei Vhumbunu declare that: 1. The research reported in this thesis, except where otherwise indicated, is my original work and does not involve plagiarism or collusion. I know plagiarism is wrong and contravenes Rule 9 (e) (i) (ff) of the University of KwaZulu-Natal (UKZN) Student Disciplinary Rules Handbook (2004). 2. This thesis has not been submitted for any degree or examination at any other university. 3. This thesis does not contain other persons’ data, pictures, graphs or other information, unless specifically acknowledged as being sourced from other persons. 4. This thesis does not contain other persons’ writings, unless specifically acknowledged as being sourced from other researchers. Where other written sources have been quoted, then: (a) their words have been re-written but the general information attributed to them has been referenced; (b) where their exact words have been used, their writing has been placed inside quotations marks and referenced. In all instances, a recognized convention for citation and referencing has been accurately used. 5. Where I have reproduced a publication of which I am an author, co- author or editor, I have indicated in detail which part of the publication was actually written by myself alone and have fully referenced such publications. 6. This thesis does not contain text, graphics or tables copied and pasted from the internet, unless specifically acknowledged, and the sources being detailed in the dissertation and in the references sections. ____ _________ ____24 May 2017___________ Signature of Student Date As the candidate’s Supervisor, I certify the above statement/declaration and have approved this thesis for submission _______________________ _____24 May 2017_____________ Signature of Supervisor Date i DEDICATION I dedicate this study to my family, my parents and the Lord Almighty. ii ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The financial assistance of the National Institute for Humanities and Social Sciences -Council for the Development of Social Science Research in Africa (NIHSS-CODESRIA) towards this research through the African Pathways Scholarship Programme, is hereby acknowledged. Opinions expressed and conclusions arrived at are those of the author and are not necessarily to be attributed to the NIHSS-CODESRIA. I am also grateful for the NIHSS-CODESRIA academic mentorship services extended to me through several capacity building workshops and regional doctoral workshops mostly at UKZN Howard College Campus in Durban, together with multitudinous doctoral writing-up retreats and national doctoral conferences held in Johannesburg and Pretoria, South Africa. The institute’s support towards “ensuring excellence, integrity and dynamism of the Humanities and Social Sciences” in Africa is very encouraging and highly commendable. The continuous engagements and interactions with fellow PhD candidates and highly distinguished scholars from across Africa through the various African Pathways Scholarship Programme platforms facilitated by NIHSS - CODESRIA assisted me reflect on the past, present and future of Africa, and the enriched my pursuit of African- centred and oriented solutions and interventions to continental challenges within the realm of socio -economic and political development. I acknowledge the moral support of my family, my parents, and all my brothers. My wife Charity Mawire was supportive from the beginning to the end. I further acknowledge, with so much appreciation and gratitude, the unwavering support and guidance of my supervisor, Dr Rudigi Rukema Joseph. The inspiration and motivation kept me working hard and on course. I am very grateful. I am also indebted to Dr Alison Jones from the University of KwaZulu-Natal (UKZN) Pietermaritzburg Campus, who worked with me during the nascent stages of my PhD proposal development. Your input and advice is very much appreciated. To my friend, Dr Blessing Simura, I value and cherish your encouragement, inspiration and motivation. You played a very influential role, I am indebted to you. Be blessed. I am also grateful to friends and brothers Tigere Muringa and James Ndlovu for their supportive role. Kudzaishe Marecha and mukoma Felix Makonye, and many other friends and colleagues, I thank you for the encouragement and motivation. The Discipline of Public Governance at Westville Campus within the University of KwaZulu-Natal (UKZN), where I Lectured and provided Post-Graduate Assistance/Consultancy & supervision services during my studies, assisted in building my capacity in the process and broadening the scope of my research focus . I thank the Academic Leader - Dr Fayth Ruffin – and all the academics in the Discipline for their support, encouragement and inspiration. iii ABSTRACT The secession of South Sudan from Sudan in 2011, after a protracted and seemingly intractable conflict which started in 1955 on the eve of the county’s independence from colonial rule; presents a pertinent question on whether secession should be considered as a viable and sustainable strategy for resolving conflicts with ethnic and religious dimensions. This comes against a background of several secessionists movements in Africa, as in Algeria (State of Kabyle), Angola (Republic of Cabinda), Cameroon (Democratic Republic of Bakassi), Comoros (Anjouan), Ethiopia (State of Oromia and Ogaden), Mali (Azawad), Nigeria (State of Biafra), Senegal (Casamance Republic), Somalia (Republic of Somalia-Somaliland), Tanzania (Zanzibar), and Zambia (Barotseland), among others. These are by grievances such as marginalization, discrimination, oppression and different forms of injustices. Five years after secession, the conflicts in South Sudan and Sudan are still raging on and even intensifying, despite commendable regional and international mediation efforts through the Inter- Governmental Authority on Development (IGAD) and the African Union (AU). Using the 2011 secession of South Sudan as case study, this study sought to examine the extent to which secession can be considered as a strategy to sustainably resolve intra-ethnic and religious conflicts in post-colonial African states. Methodologically, the study adopted a mixed methods research design which combines both qualitative and quantitative research methods, relying on interviews with experts, academics and researchers based in Zimbabwe as well as questionnaires administered to officials working in peacebuilding, humanitarian, media and development agencies in South Sudan. It used the Protracted Social Conflict Theory, Realist Conflict Theory and Conflict Transformation Theory as theoretical framework of analysis. The findings of the study revealed that whilst South Sudanese secession was a legal success as evidenced by the legitimate recognition and acceptance of the state as a member of the AU and the UN, there was no evidence of success of secession in South Sudan in as far as the securing of lasting peace and stability is concerned as there is continued inter-communal violence, inter- ethnic fights, unresolved border demarcation issues with the Republic of Sudan, and border disputes in Abyei, Blue Nile and South Kordofan states in post-secession South Sudan. The study concludes that secession cannot be regarded as a sustainable and viable strategy to resolve intra-state ethnic and religious conflicts as it usually over-simplify a conflict along ethnic, religious and regional identity lines thereby failing to address the underlying substantive causes of secessionist conflicts. The study further argues that at regional and continental level, the secession of states may threaten African unity and integration. However, in extreme cases where secession maybe unavoidable due to self-determination pressures, the study suggests that secession should be supported by effective transitional mechanisms accompanied by conflict transformation interventions aimed at transforming the power structures, institutions, systems, triggers of violence, attitudes of conflict actors, and transforming mindset of the elite/leadership so as to secure sustainable peace and stability. In order to sustainably resolve seemingly intractable protracted intra-state ethnic and religious conflicts in post-colonial African states, the study highly recommends that multi-ethnic and multi-religious societies should consider ‘non-secession’ alternatives such as Federalism, Consociational Democracy, Devolution, and Confederation which embrace and uphold the sacrosanct values and principles of democracy, diversity, plurality, tolerance, equal access to opportunities and fair distribution of national resources so as to promote national integration and social cohesion. The nature, form, substance and structure of these national governance frameworks should be defined and determined by national contexts and circumstances. Key Words: secession, ethnic conflicts, religious conflicts, South Sudan iv CONTENTS PLAGIARISM DECLARATION........................................................................................................................................... i DEDICATION .........................................................................................................................................................................