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Advanced Undersea Warfare Systems NPS-SE-11-004 Naval Postgraduate School ADVANCED UNDERSEA WARFARE SYSTEMS by Systems Engineering Analysis Cohort 17, Team B June 2011 Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited Prepared for: Naval Postgraduate School Monterey, CA 93943 THIS PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK ii Form Approved REPORT DOCUMENTATION PAGE OMB No. 0704-0188 Public reporting burden for this collection of information is estimated to average 1 hour per response, including the time for reviewing instructions, searching existing data sources, gathering and maintaining the data needed, and completing and reviewing this collection of information. Send comments regarding this burden estimate or any other aspect of this collection of information, including suggestions for reducing this burden to Department of Defense, Washington Headquarters Services, Directorate for Information Operations and Reports (0704-0188), 1215 Jefferson Davis Highway, Suite 1204, Arlington, VA 22202-4302. Respondents should be aware that notwithstanding any other provision of law, no person shall be subject to any penalty for failing to comply with a collection of information if it does not display a currently valid OMB control number. PLEASE DO NOT RETURN YOUR FORM TO THE ABOVE ADDRESS. 1. REPORT DATE (DD-MM-YYYY) 2. REPORT TYPE 3. DATES COVERED (From - To) 01-06-2011 Technical Report 05-08-2010 – 01-06-2011 4. TITLE AND SUBTITLE 5a. CONTRACT NUMBER ADVANCED UNDERSEA WARFARE SYSTEMS 5b. GRANT NUMBER 5c. PROGRAM ELEMENT NUMBER 6. AUTHOR(S) 5d. PROJECT NUMBER Systems Engineering Analysis Cohort 17, Team B 5e. TASK NUMBER 5f. WORK UNIT NUMBER 7. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME(S) AND ADDRESS(ES) 8. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION REPORT NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL NUMBER MONTEREY, CA 93943-5000 NPS-SE-11-004 9. SPONSORING / MONITORING AGENCY NAME(S) AND ADDRESS(ES) 10. SPONSOR/MONITOR’S ACRONYM(S) N/A 11. SPONSOR/MONITOR’S REPORT NUMBER(S) 12. DISTRIBUTION / AVAILABILITY STATEMENT Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited 13. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES The views expressed in this thesis are those of the authors and do not reflect the official policy or position of the Department of Defense or the United States Government. 14. ABSTRACT Over the next twenty years, the proliferation of threats in the undersea environment will likely challenge the platform-centric model that the United States Navy uses to maintain dominance in Undersea Warfare (USW). Meanwhile, rapidly maturing technologies offer greater capabilities to potential adversaries around the world. Such a paradigm creates an imperative for the Navy to harness emerging technologies to maintain USW dominance amid a dynamic threat environment, while balancing cost, risk, and required performance. This systems engineering analysis develops Advanced Undersea Warfare Systems (AUWS) that provide a technological and tactical advantage based on the needs of the warfighter. Following critical analysis of the numerous possible alternatives for performing the necessary Command, Control, Communications, Computers, Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance (C4ISR) and prosecution and an objective screening process, four system architectures, and associated operational concepts, are selected for detailed analysis. From cost, risk, and performance analyses, superior AUWS concepts are shown to be flexible, scalable, and tailorable systems that balance critical need areas. This analysis highlights the need for new warfare systems that can meet future challenges to the traditional platform-centric model for USW dominance. Using the results and recommendations in this analysis will allow the Navy to deploy capabilities that effectively and efficiently meet future operational needs. 15. SUBJECT TERMS Advanced Undersea Warfare Systems, AUWS, USW, UUV, Littoral, Chokepoint, Network-Centric, MIW, Underwater Networks, Unmanned, Autonomous 16. SECURITY CLASSIFICATION OF: 17. LIMITATION 18. 19a. NAME OF RESPONSIBLE PERSON OF ABSTRACT NUMBER JAMES DRENNAN OF PAGES a. REPORT b. ABSTRACT c. THIS PAGE UU 338 19b. TELEPHONE NUMBER (include area code) UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED 404-964-1003 Standard Form 298 (Rev. 8-98) Prescribed by ANSI Std. Z39.18 iii THIS PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK iv Naval Postgraduate School Monterey, CA Daniel Oliver Leonard Ferrari President Executive Vice President and Provost This report, Advanced Undersea Warfare Systems, was prepared by the students of Systems Engineering Analysis Cohort 17, Team B of the Systems Engineering Analysis program as an integral part of their educational process and is a degree requirement for them. Systems Engineering Analysis Cohort 17, Team B: LCDR Tracy Emmersen CPT Ng Kiang Chuan Mr. David Chiam MAJ Ong Zi Xuan CPT Perh Hong Yih Daniel Mr. Koh Wee Yung LCDR Wes Wessner LT Jon Saburn Mr. Lim Choon Wee MAJ Wong Chee Heng LT Christian Silvestrini Mr. Lu Zheng Liang LT Phil Castaneda CPT Sor Wei Lun Mr. Pek Wee Kok LT Jim Drennan CPT Teo Yong Kiong Mr. Tan Yick Fung LT Scott Harvey LT William Walker Mr. Wee Hong Chuan LT Matt Malinowski CPT Kelvin Zhu LT Thomas Mills ME5 Chan Chung Wei Reviewed by: _____________________________ _____________________________ John Osmundson James Eagle SEA-17B Capstone Project Advisor OPNAV SEA Chair Accepted by: _____________________________ _____________________________ Cliff Whitcomb Robert Dell Systems Engineering Department Operations Research Department Released by: _____________________________ Karl Van Bibber Vice President & Dean of Research v THIS PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK vi Abstract Over the next twenty years, the proliferation of threats in the undersea environment will likely challenge the platform-centric model that the United States Navy uses to maintain dominance in Undersea Warfare (USW). Meanwhile, rapidly maturing technologies offer greater capabilities to potential adversaries around the world. Such a paradigm creates an imperative for the Navy to harness emerging technologies to maintain USW dominance amid a dynamic threat environment, while balancing cost, risk, and required performance. This systems engineering analysis develops Advanced Undersea Warfare Systems (AUWS) that provide a technological and tactical advantage based on the needs of the warfighter. Following critical analysis of the numerous possible alternatives for performing the necessary Command, Control, Communications, Computers, Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance (C4ISR) and prosecution and an objective screening process, four system architectures, and associated operational concepts, are selected for detailed analysis. From cost, risk, and performance analyses, superior AUWS concepts are shown to be flexible, scalable, and tailorable systems that balance critical need areas. This analysis highlights the need for new warfare systems that can meet future challenges to the traditional platform-centric model for USW dominance. Using the results and recommendations in this analysis will allow the Navy to deploy capabilities that effectively and efficiently meet future operational needs. vii THIS PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK viii Table of Contents List of Acronyms and Abbreviations............................................................................................xix Executive Summary.....................................................................................................................xxii Acknowledgements......................................................................................................................xxv 1. Introduction..................................................................................................................................1 1.1 Project Team..........................................................................................................................1 1.2 Project Background and Literature Review..........................................................................4 1.3 Critical Assumptions.............................................................................................................6 1.4 Systems Engineering Process................................................................................................8 2. Needs Analysis...........................................................................................................................11 2.1 Stakeholder Analysis...........................................................................................................11 2.1.1 Methodology................................................................................................................11 2.1.2 Classification...............................................................................................................11 2.1.2.1 Internal Stakeholders...........................................................................................12 2.1.2.2 External Stakeholders..........................................................................................14 2.1.3 Stakeholder Interview Results.....................................................................................16 2.1.3.1 Decision Makers..................................................................................................16 2.1.3.2 Integrators............................................................................................................18 2.1.3.3 Implementers.......................................................................................................20 2.1.3.4 External Stakeholders..........................................................................................22
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