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International Republican Institute Wilfried I RI Martens Centre 0 !or* l::urOPe~n S1cd,es The International Republican Institute and the Wilfried Martens Centre fo~ European Studies Host The Beacon Project's Political Leaders Round Table
05-06 December; Washington, D.C.
BAC h(,l{Ol ND N(HF: . __ --·-·-··----- ______
Thanks to the support provided by the National Endowment for Democracy, the lRl's Beacon Project supports a stronger and broader transatlantic dialogue on how to counter hostile influence and disinformation, namely from the Kremlin, and how to strengthen the societal resilience in order to eliminate their destructive consequences for our democracies. In order to support this dialogue and counter strategy, the Beacon Project has created two standing round tables; one, comprised of representatives from political parties, party foundations and institutes; and a second, of independent think tanks, NGOs, media outlets, and other civil society actors from the EU and its immediate neighborhood. This network is supported by two main features of the projed:
The Beacon Project's ICT tool is being Through the discussions of the two developed to aid local media monitors standing round tables and the data and researchers to obtain qualitative provided by the ICT tool, the project and quantitative data from a wider will work toward drafting specific range of sources. This database will be policy suggestions to close the built by developing a collaborative democracy gaps present in our standardized methodology to·provide societies, that can be exploited by quality data on t_he scale and hostile influence- and disinformation. effectiveness of disinformation for the It is only through reducing the first time. In addition, this data will be democracy deficit on local, national, further supported by new national and European levels that the gains of • polling initiatives. anti-liberal political movements can be reversed.
Since the beginning of this project !RI hosted four of these round tables for political leaders and civil society representatives and numerous expert meetings. This year a series of Round Tables is taking place with the cooperation of the Wilfried Martens Centre for European Studies. On top of this, !RI has commissioned a development of the Beacon Project's !CT tool. With the tool being deployed, initially in Czech Republic and Slovakia, we now hope to gain valuable experience in order to optimize the functions for the planned future launches in Hungary and Poland. Furthermore, the Beacon Project is continuing its round table series and will be conducting a tour to highlight the issue of disinformation in other European capitals. To continue our understanding and analysis of the disinformation environment, the Beacon Project will also be launching its national polling initiative by the beginning of the new year.
*This event receives financial support from the European Parliament. Sole liability rests with the organisers, the European Parliament is not responsible for the activity.
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The DC based round table will bring together MEPs, MPs, think tanks, and other experts from Central and Eastern Europe to have an exchange with US based experts and Members of Congress on the future of the · transatlantic relationship amidst the background of a controversial US Presidential campaign that saw the United States' relationship with Russia, and the transatlantic partnership thrust in to the spotlight. At the same time, we are finding growing evidence of the Kremlin's attempts to meddle in European politics, while an online culture that seems to encourage false infonnation to go viral, at the expense of facts, often plays i.n to the hands of actors who wish to influence the European and US public. It is now more important than any time since the fall of the Iron Curtain to reengage with the topic of strengthening our partnerships across the Atlantic. It is only through this partnership that we can provide the strongest possible defense of our shared values in the face of a growing threat from the Kremlin and internal extremist political movements. This round table will help put the challenges we face in the geopolitical context and provide the space for a more focused discussion on the various legislative and political solutions from both sides of the Atlantic.
c\Jl_QJ'_I_TIIr OR(;.\NISERS· ------______
Wilfried Martens Centre 'c,* European Stuo,es
In his historic speech I 982 Westminster The Wilfried Martens Centre for European Speech, President Reagan set America on a Studies (WMCES) is the official think tank of course of assisting people around the world the European People's Party. Through our who want freedom and democracy. Congress work, we inspire ideas for action and shape responded in 1983, creating the National responses to European challenges. Endowment for Democracy to support aspiring democrats worldwide. The International During testing times for Europe, we believe Republican Institute was set up as one of the these challenges deserve the best of our nonprofit, nonpartisan democracy institutes to intellectual efforts and that is why we aim to carry out this work. be a leading and innovative catalyst of centre right ideas and thinking.
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Draft Agenda
MONDAY WAU< ro I Rt (approx. 700m) 09:00 ------OS From: Kimpton Donavon Hotel" 11.55 14th Street NW, Washington DC 20005 DEC 2016 To: International Republican Institute - 1225 I Street NW, Suite 800, Washington DC 20005
WELCOMING TO THE POUT!( Al LEADERS' ROW11D TABU: 4 brr'/ ,nrtocl 1ct1on le ~he Beccc-n °1 OJ::ct c,nd the ,rnns of rf,1s I ound rab1t', co C'rQonm:rl bv tne \;\ i!J~ ed J\iw te11~ Ce1,trt' ro, Ecl!O(FU/1 Stt'd 1e~
09.30-10.00-~ - International Republican Institute - 1225 I Street NW, Suite 800, Washin(!ton DC 20005 Remarks by: Mark Green, President, International Republican Institute Vit Novotny, Wi/fried Martens Centre for European Studies
· HOSTILE INFLUENCE iN THE US AND EUROPE Wf_ththe in.creased releva_nc_t of (1.fsinformation and.other 'active measures: in the _,)oliiicCJi f1rOuis;.eS of tfle US cnct"Eil(ope \.vhc:t con be don1: to counter rhi5 thr1:-;[,,;_ on a n.orionoi ond :nrerriot10nol/€:vcl? 10:0():-:_ll:15 international Republican Institute Moderated by: David Kramer, McCain Institute Remarks by: Daniel Mitav, Foreign Minister of Bulgaria
-6JFFE£ BREAK - · 1115-1145
FUTURE OF TRAi~SATlANIIC RtLAl!ONS & DE! ENSE A d1s'u:,::,10 11 on ho•N to st1cngthe 1 .:Jope1at1on t't'::-1•,1:en the U\ EU EoP, onc1 N4.TO ~ir·n~ 1 Uk nt.'l, oo'rn1n,;,tf11/10r' -1!"1~-1300 ------_ International Republican Institute Moderated by: Gary Schmitt, Ameri~on Enterprise Institute Remarks By: Fmr. Rep. Mike Rogers (R-MI), former advisor to the President-eleet's Transition Team and former Choir of the House Intelligence Committee Heather Conley, Center for Strategic and International Studies
LUNCh-AT IRI 13.00-14·00 ______,-1c. 1,e 1 to NEC r•_ttf:!r wnc~1
OVERV 1EVJ OF NED ACTIVITIES -
1 A11 '.JVt 1~ 18\" t ,- NCO '.:11 1•p. ,, L,;_d p101ecrs tc CCU/FE.· hos r1 'e 111t/u,,,1ce 01 Euro~1ean d1::rnouoc1es 14:30-15.00 National Endowm_ent For Democracy Introduction: Barbara Haig, National Endowment for (Jemocrocy Comments by: Carl Gershman, President, National Endowment fat Democracy
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1NTR6DUCt10N TO THE-61:.w.coN PRo-jEcT,-STA.nis Quo, & WHERE WE CA1\J lrv1PROVE To COUNTER HOSTILE INFLUENCE After o short 1nuodLic'tion to the'J;3eacon Pro)ecto·nd NE O's other efforts, wh~re con tve .'mpro_ve OU.' prOQ(Ctm:ntn9 frorn vour pe(,;pec,rive? WhM i:; the situo(:i:Jn in you1 counr1y ond where is more suDp,J1·t· needr;'d ?_ 15;30,,-_16:30 National Endowment For Democracy
Moderated by: Nadia Diuk, National Endowment for Democracy Input by: Christopher Walker, National Endowment for Democracy Rodger Potocki, National Endowment forDemocracy Joann.a Rohozinska, National Endowment for Democracy Miriam Lexmann, International Republican Institute Discussion
OtNNrn· "PouTJCAL PR10Rmts 1N T11,,11:s OF GLOBAL lr-,~1ASlurv"- -- - 4 C!innt..'T 011_;tu\':i!On :,osted ty t!1,; Ho,1s-Se,c,e1-Fo i,1doU011 ,n oar ·,1e1 • o H 1;,'1 th'c:
Do~s'-1 ,, n Founuo r1L1n 13:00 ------_ _ . The Army & Novy Club - 90117'• Street, NW, Wqshington DC
Moderated by: Milos Saric, Chief Correspondent of Deutsche Welle in DC remarks by: Johannes Singhammer, Vice President of the German Bundestag Pavid Schweikert (R-AZ), Memberaf US House af Representatives Key Participants: Alexander Radwan, Member of German Bundestag Mar~ Sauber, CEO Bayernkurier Markus Blume, Member of Bavarian State Parliament
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----~--- - TUESDAY TRAVEL TO (C..PITOI HILL J. /Jv:, w,!! tronspo1 t oli rhe pcJ1 t1C1par1.s ,o 0~11 r;101 •1,:ii;,, )d)fOn or ~'lt:' US Conu 1 e::,_ 06 09·00 ------DEC 2016 Kimpton Donavon Hotel. 1155 14th Street NW, Washington DC 20005
REVOLVING QOOR DISCUSSIONS WITH cor-iGRESS 4s COn,gre,;,s 1S ,n se:Ss1on·_.w·2 will hol:J discussions in o c-onfere_n:Ce rc:.,on1 or the Cop!rol Bwiding, 1?hete ,~/iembe(s of C¢ngress_ and s.enior staff vi/1/I cqine i.-; to provide their 1/'lput on .ou,. discussion:: of Tror1sotfant1,c-.Cooperotioo. Relations with F?ussia on,;! Europe, 1VAfO. h'ostile lnfiuence,·ond the Curi'ent POliticaf En~'ironn1et1t. 0_9:!5-12:45 il11yburn Office Building - room 2261 Moderated by: Veiko Spofftis, Member of the Latvian Parliament
------LUNCH 1300-14·00 _ ------_ Capitol Hill Club
CONT1Nur·rv OR u~tuRN: THE lNcor,'liNG A·DMlf'J{~iTRATION~-NEW___ ENVIR6Nr~1ENT, .AND : INTERACTIONS WITH EUROPE ~ND THE \.t\,'i'D~RW6RLD
!nf~:·ma! d1scuss1qns v.:,th advisers C!nc 1;:<.pert::- on how the1, 1 pf-rc21•,;e the Presfclc-r1r Elect's 'vision:o{U.5.Joreif]n policy and relations
· 14:30"' 16:00 International Republican Institute Moderated by: Jan Surotchak, International Republican Institute Key Participants: Clark S. Judge, Founder and managing Karlyn Bowman, American Enterprise director of the White House Writers Group Institute
Ro-uNo TABLE CONCLUDES CLOSING REMAR1,s & F°EEDBACK ------4 qwc/1 rc::up un tne two doy" on.-/ some tt1...-i~1ghts on next ~te;•:::, _
Moderation & Jan Surotchak, International Republican Institute Remarks by: Miriam Lexmann, International republican Institute
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Transatlantic Guests
------European Part1c1pants ___ ~ ______Name Title Organization Alexander Radwan Member of Parliament German Parliament Andis Kudors Executive Director The Centre for East European Policy Studies Bogdan Klich Senator, Minority Leader Polish Senate Daniel Mitov Minister of Foreign Affairs Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Bulgaria lrakli Porchkhidze Vice-president/ Founder the Georgian Institute for Strategic Studies Istvan Hollik Member of Parliament Hungarian Parli_ament Ivan Gabal Member of Parliament Czech Parliament Johannes Singhammer Vice President and Member of German Parliament Parliament K.amU Maj Assistant Office of MEP Bogdan Andrzej Zdrojewski Mantas Adomenas Member·of Parliament L_ithuanian P;:1_rliament Marc Siiiu.ber CEO Bayernkurier Marko Mihkelson Member of Parliament Eston.ian Parliament Ma.rkus Blu.me Member of Parliament Bavarian State Parliament Martin Fedor Member of Parliament Slovaki~n Parliament Mi.roslav Beblavy Member of Parliament Slovakian Parliament Moriu Duetemeyer Assistant Office of MEP David McAllister Nathan Shepura Officer European Peop_le's Party 0stap Kryvdyk Foreign Policy Advisor to the Ukrainian Parliament Speaker Panagiotis Tasiopoulos S.enior Program Ma_nager Wilfried Martens Centre for European Studies Petr Kolar Former Czech Ambassador to Beacon Project Steering Committee the l,Jnited States and Russia Sergi Kapanadze _Me_n'lber of Parliament, Vice Georgian Parliament Speaker V'eiko SpoHtls Member of Parliament Latvian Parliament Viktoriya Voytsitska Member of Parliament Ukrainian Parliament Vit Novotny Senior Resean;:her Wilfried Martens Centre for European,Studies Vladyslav Golub Member of Parliament Ukrainian Parliament Miriam Lexmann. Director of EU Office International Republican Institute Brady Hills Program Officer International Republican lnstitu~e Hana Horvatova Program As"SiStant International Republican Institute
-~~-- ______ln~1ted US Participants Name Title Organization David Schweikert Representative (R-AZ) . United States House of Represent_at_ives Joe Wilson Representative (R,SC) United. States House of Representatives Ma.ri.ci Diaz Balart Representative (R-FL) United States House of ReprestI!ntat_ives Charlie Dent Representative (R-PA) United States House of Representatives Mike Rogers Former Representative (R-MI) United States House of Representatives Gary Schmitt Resident Scholar American E_nterpris¢ lnst_itUte Karlyn Bowman Senior f~llow and Research American Enterprise Institute Coordinator
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Lorenzo Montanari Director of International Americans for Tax Reform Programs and Affairs Simona Kordosova Lightfoot Deputy Director, Business Atlantic Council Development, Europe Programs Erwin Chaloupka Economic Policy Associate for Atlas Network Central and Eastern Europe · Gregg Willhauck Director for Congressional and Center for International Private Enterprise {CIPE) Government Relations Martina Hrvolova Program Officer Center for International Private Enterprise (CIPE) Heather Conley Senior Vice President for Center for Strategic a_nd International Studies (CSIS) Europe, Eurasia, and the Arctic; and Director, Europe Program Milos SoriC Chief Correspondent in DC Deutsche Welle Zdenek Beranek Deputy Chief of th_e Mi_ssion Embassy of the Czech Republic Zsolt Hetesy Deputy Chief of Mission Embassy of Hungary Sofya M. Orlosky Program Manager, Eu.rasia Freedom House Nicolas Bouchet Research Fellow German Marshall Fund of the United States Max Primorac President - Institute for Stabilisation and Transition Mark Green President International Republican Institute Jan Surotchak Regional Director, ~urope lnterhatiOnal Republican 1n·st'itute Elma-, Sulk Program Manger Konrad Adenauer Stiftung David Kramer Senior Director for Human McCain lnstitu~e for International Lea·dership R_ights_ and Democracy Carl Gershman President Nat_ional Endowment f(,-r Democracy (NED) Barbara Haig Deputy to the President for National Endowment for Democracy (NED) Policy & Strategy Nadia Diuk Vite President, Programs - National Endowment for Democracy (NED) Africa, Central Europe and Eurasi_a, L_ati_n America and Caribbean Christopher Walker Vice President for Studies and National Endowment for Democracy (NED) Analysis Jodi Herm·an Vice President for Government National Endowment for Democracy (NED) Relations and Public Affairs Rodger Potocki Senior Director, Europe National Endowment for Democracy (NED) Tyler Brace Legislative Assistant Office of Sen. Rob Portman (R-OH) Zach Sllberri'lill'I Legislative Assistant Office of Rep. Adam Ki_nzi_nge_r (R•IL) Marion Sm_ith Executive Director Victims of Communism Memorial Foundation Clark S. Judge founder and managi_ng director White House Writers Group Walid Phares Terrorism and Middle East President:•Elect's· Transition Team Policy Advisor
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>~
19-20 October; Budapest, Hungary
Thanks to the. support provided by the National Endowment for Democracy, the Beacon Project supports a stronger and broader transatlantic dialogue on how to· close the democracy gaps in our societies and counter the disinformation that exploits them. In order to support this dialogue and counter . strategy, the Beacon Project has created two standing round tables; one, comprised of representatives from political parties, party foundations, governments and institutes; and a second, of independent thin.k tanks, NGOs, media outlets, and other civil society actors from the EU and its immediate neighborhood. This network is supported by two main features of the project:
The Beacon Project's >versus< Through the discussions of the two monitor is an ICT tool developed to aid standing round tables including local media monitors and researchers political leaders, civil society to obtain qualitative and quantitative representatives and academia, and data data from a wider range of sources. provided by the >versus< monitor, the This database is being built by a project works toward drafting specific collaborative standardized polity suggestions to close the methodology to provide quality data democracy gaps currently present in on the scale and effectiveness of our societies by addressing one ofthe disinformation for the first time. In main- undermining elements addition, this data is further supported disinformation. by national polling initiatives.
EVENT DETAILS: L,11::i.tinn. Hungarian ,\cademy cif Sciences, Szechenyi Istvan Sqwire 9, Budapest ~~-~-~. . Dates :H1d Times: . '. .·. 18 Oct~b~r ..· ·. 19 October ··20 October . Publii:Eveni (optional).·· . !:Josee! Se,s~jon · J.loui'ld T~ble , __ 20:00, 09:.00 .~ l}':00_
Received by NSD/F ARA Registration Unit 0 1/28/2019 9: 14: 17 AM >]; RO(INIJ'I\BUOLlLINE. ------______ One year since the European Parliament's resolution on the EV Strategic Communication tO Counteract anti-EU propaganda by third partil!_S and two years since establishment of the EEAS East StratCom Task Force,fake news, disinformation and election hacking remain at the h.eart of political debate in Brussels and in European capitals. In the context of the upcoming 2019 European Elections and broader discussions about the future ofthe European project, the International Republican Institute (!RI), in collaboration with the Antal! Jozsef Knowledge Centre (AJTK) and the Danube Institute, wiH be holding a political round table in Budapest, Hungary. Its aim is to take stock of what has been accomplished, shortcomings, and what has yet to be addressed. With the European Elections approaching, it is vital that we ensure they are conducted in a free and secure manner and, as we continue to rethink the structure and functioning of the EU, in.the spirit ofopen discourse. This Round Table is designed to bring Members of the European Parliament, national parliaments, aclvisors, and experts together to identify key threats, discuss challenges and identify ways to build institutional and societal resilience in preparation of the 2019 elections, but also upcoming national elect_iolls, The event is part of the !RI Beacon Projecrs regular series of round tables, bringing together political leaders, mem.bets of the civil society and academia to identify key vulnerabilities, and build resilience against disinformation and foreign hostile influence through national and European-level responses. Agenda ------THURSDAY PAr;:T1C10Ar\'T5 AR1>i\.!£ H01£, PFLS/'Jt ,, Huw l• 3, 1054 Bu04Pt<;T 19 October CLOSED ENERGY SECURITY BRIEFING - - ~ -~1 1~_!_~' ~in, tc ('I _Q _,!]) M11L;f,Y•W,i I (Ro-:..r). },1SZA' MAfll S,_lcl,1~£, r,ou,, 1 Welcome by: ZSolt Nl!meth, MP; Hungarian Parliament (Hungary) Moderated by: Joh_n O'Sullivan; The Dan·ube Institute (UK) Briefing by: llya Zaslavsky; Free Russia Foundation (Russia/USA} Mira Boneva; NA TO STRATCOM CoE (Lotvio) Daniel Mitov; Former Foreign Minister (BulgOria} Official Opening of Round Table. FRIDAY REGISTRATION & COFFEE ___ _ T1rne 0" 45 = ;:)1) '5 Hunge;~,o,"' Arademv oj 5Clences 5zech£>ny1 l~tvan Square 9 20 Opening Remarks Zsolt Nemeth, MP; Hungarian PariiOmeni (Hui-iijary} by: Rodger Potocki; National Endowment for Democracy {USA) October Peter Antal/; Antal/ J6zsef Knowledge Centre (Hungary) Session 1 Tile 'FOTYGA RESOLUTION': ONE YEAR ON . . Orie year oi1, What ore the sucte)Ses andshOrtfolh :of the resolution's. (EcorrnL1 E1frr'rJtioh::-'\Vh-:,;t coil !1r L;uilc ur:cn at the n0Cioi'1ci ond EUropr:cU,.ic,ve/S";J (.-Vhot ari! s'Om2 Off05 1vhich 1.vete ovu!,Jokl:'dfr:,r procticaf anct/01 politicC1/ ri-:;osons, oner tvhotrnn be dc'ne tofiil these QU/J~.,-, Moderated by: Mii"iarrl L.exmann; International Republican Institute (Slovakia) Received by NSD/F ARA Registration Unit 0 1/28/2019 9: 14: 17 AM Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9:14:17 AM >];< :--~ ~ Speakers: Anna Fotyga, MEP; European Parliament (Poland) Naja Bentzen; European Parliamen_t Research Service Adam Lelonek; Centre for Propaganda and Disinformation Analysis (Poland) Anneli Ahonen; STRA TCOM Eost Task Force, EEAS (Finland) Key Discu,ssants: Radon Kanev; Democrats for strong Bulgaria (Bulgaria) Martin Fedor, MP; National Council of the Slovak Republic (Slovaki'o) Karolina Stach; European Parliament {Slov'akio) L6r6nt Gy6ri; Politico/ Capital Institute (Hungary) Botond Feledy; Centre for Euro-Atlantic lnt_egration and Democracy (Hungary) COFFEE BREA/.' ~ T,me 12 ,Y1-11 l:) ------Session 2 ENSURING FREE, 'FAIR AND SECURE ELECTIONS IN THE FACE OF HYBRID THREATS In Ji~,(lc of tile utrn,·ks ::,n che US Elc'l:_tions, tlie Dc'podn·i21it jiJr i-ic:m2fond 5ecu(itv c orer:j(rised f ie,:.uons ns er iticoi-liijtOstn_ictur"c·· ()rber-ortuc k's Gnd :niiLCo! ieck:, ore ju5t t\i10 vvoys our e)ect!ons ure susceptible to h:11 /Jrid threots_.c f11)L·V€'ve1~ the possiblr: po.irlt$ of leven;·ge (i(e vost ond varied This cliscussic11 H/ilf ~•xG;nin,; t/1e r/"i2ons thfo'(,gh ,.,.,:1ich Our E!ccrions, e.ieuior;· (arnpoig,.Y, .. unci {.10/iUcoi discour~c.· o'Off: Qenernilv,. <'on be 5tYUi>;c/ OQainst fJ1}/enr111/ threat5, i!1ciudi,lQ the extent'tc vihich (v.i:Jf?i' /YOt'f?ction tequil'c:; either" privare pr p_ufJlic settor reseonse, c,r hon1 th,:· r,,-vo con com(:,/en)erit o'11e ,:u1c"tti:;r f.ime: 11.J(J-'-' 13J)('; Moderated by: lld_iko Vol_ler-Sze_nci;-Antall J¢z_s_ef Knowledge Centre Speakers: Mi_ros.1.avWl.ac.hovsky; STRATCOM Unit, MFA {Slovakia) Vei_ko Spo@is,-MP; Saeima (Latvia) Arjen Kamphu_ls; Technical & Security Director, PGK (Netherlands) And.rzej Grzyb, MEP; European Parliament (Poland) Key Discussan.ts: Carl Henrik Agardh-Tvetman·; Civil Contin~encies Agency (Sweden) Marton Ugr6sdy; Institute for Foreign Affairs and Tra_de (Hungary) Maurice Verheesen; Pretty Gbod Knowledge (Netherlands) Balazs Jarabik; C.a.rnegie Endowme_nt (Slol{akia) Nilthan Shepura; European People's Party (Belgium) Tu~~ - . T,m~ 1 l 00 ~ ~ ------~- Session 3 -1Es5iJi\i-L£/4RN.ING FROM RECENT NATIONAL ELECTIONS /,'1e fine/ rDuod J;'.1hle tvilf /:;=: n1;· oppo(I unit,1/ _to in!",) on -goir_iQ· rrici past fr:terf€:tenci:s in rwtionr:.i 2!eci60s, c:5.·,vdi ,:_,ays tc)clentif}, unclf'r~tc,ncf w:cl tucklt· socli threats. _This will wise plCTl~f' in the fonn of u hriefing. ( ·om relf:'van/ stare a1)(;· pri•_.-r,:tt? institutio:)5 -·mri!:,i;ts Tirne· ::'4:30=- .i6·00 Moderated by: , Daniel Mitov; Former Foreign Minister (Bulgaria) Speakers: Balazs Molnar; Ministry of Foreig·n Affairs (Hungary) Sebastian Bay; Civil Contingencies Agency (Sweden) Jeffrey Gedmin; Georgetown University (USA) Alanna Putze; Institute for Strategic Dialogue {UK) Key Discussants: Urszula Gacek; Institute of Stra_tegic ~tudies (Poland) Csaba Farag6; FlOESZ {Hungary) J81'10s Tibor Barabas; Institute for Foreign Affairs.and Triide (Hungary) Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9:14:17 AM Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9:14:17 AM >];< ErnO Schaller-Baross; SZPMA, Fidesz party foundation (Hungary) Z.Solt Szolnoki; Association of European Election Officials (Hungary) Stock-taking & Fin-<11 Renia;ks · Tt,is ,_;.,;// Ix u~·ed-to s,'_1mn:ori~ (0 tfce kev pcl,c1rs _fiom 2oc11 se~:,ion.,,j the; rounrf tobirc' l.u sur;;0est c,:;,nc,-,:,tc 5t~p5 thct con he ta ten bf' EU in,rirt1tions. µofi!iu_,f rx1rt/E5, (;cvern:•ncnts:. und c/,1i!_sor1r:Ty- ,:;r o!.i i:>vel~ in c,rdi=:r tc secure u genuine, inclus"fve. ;.1nd purt.ici,r:i!tl.1r1,.. pc,iitichi disr.:ussio1i .:.111 the ft.;/L;'i'L' bf th~• EU c:nd st. u/e c:ncl UO,'Hp0rem Eui"opeo1J Elections in 2019. Tiir,e: .16.)5 -.l'i',:00. Remarks by: Jeffrey Gedmin; Georgetown University/e,e_acon Project Steering Committee (USA) Miriam Lexmann; lnternatibrial Republican Institute GyOrgy SchOpflin, MEP; European Parliament (Hungary) - - ---~~------Participants Name Title Organisation/institution_ __ _ Country Adam Lelonek President Centre for Propaganda and Poland DisiMormation Analysis ;"_Agata Wereszayo\ska · · :ch;M,Specialist · Ch~'ncelleryof t.he Prime Minister Po.land of i>olarid · ------Alanna Putze Project Manager Institute for Strategic Dialogue UK ·-, ·~·- -- . - ,. Andras ii.icz," Dr:' .- .· Associate Professor ' '' P~,m~ny P~te~-Catholic lini.Yeliity . J\unlia.rv . Andrzej Grzyb MEP European Parliament Poland Ann,ai_F!i_tvta MEP Eurbpean Parliament · "i>oland Anna Loffler Political Adviser Fidesz, Parliamentary Group, Hungary . F Received by NSD/F ARA Registration Unit 0 1/28/20 !9 9: 14: 17 AM >]; fiead of Qffi~e;~!u.s~1s • ··Antaii foisef Knowliedge CE!ritre - .. ")Jijilio vo11i!r:si,,ffl:i.·-· ·.··•·· .....• _-____ -·-~:..::.. ,_ --·•-- ___ , _·,.. --·- ~------·-·-·· llya Zaslavskiy Research Expert Free Russia Foundation Russia/USA i:Mnos.ifbor Mf8bas ----- .$~DJ6rAn~ly$t ·• .· .•· · · ..... •1nsti1Ji., f<>ricireign:Attairs an,F .. . Hungary• ." ...., ·-- .,, : ' ·.- .. - .... ' ., ·· .. . Trade. Jeffrey Gedmin Senior l'ellow Georgetown University USA fohn'O'Sullivari · Preside~t .. . . · , · Danube fnstitute, _ ,..... -- .. --- - - ·------·-- -· ------·-- - Karolina Stach Political Advisor , European Parliament Slovakia ...... -·· .. - .. ··· 1 ·Kitti B Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9:14:17 AM ~- . -. - r,··-.:: ! ' . : . 'II. ·-- .- ., Lc~~~ -_,-- ~uropean Ideas Network Working meetings of the 'Transatlantic Group' and EIN/IRI/Hudson institute 17th - 20th July 2017 Hotel Sofitel Lafayette 806 15th Street NW Washington DC -Draft Agenda (18/07/2017) 1 Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9:14:20 AM SATURDAY 15th JULY• MONDAY 17th JULY Arrival of Participants· CONTACT PERSON: Guillermo MARTINEZ CASAN - EIN Network Director: +32 473 73 67 88 MONDAY 17th JULY 7.00pm Working Dinner at Hotel Sofitel Lafayette Madeleine room 806 15th Street NW, Washington, DC 20005 TUESDAY 18th JULY EIN/IRI/TAG meetings VENUE: Cannon House Office Building 1 & C Street, SE, Washington, DC, Room 121 08.15 - 08.30 Meeting at the Lobby of Hotel Sofitel Lafayette 08.45 -09.00 Arrival of Participants (transfer from Hotel Sofitel Lafayette to USA Congress - Capitol Hill-US House of Representatives) 09.00 - 10.00 . First session: Welcome and general discussion on the State of U.S.-European Relations European Co-chair introduces the delegation and delivers remarks - US Co Chair delivers remarks • Congressman trent Franks, AZ Represe_ntative for A.rizona's 8th congressional district, Co 0 chaitofTAG • Paulo Rangel MEP, Vice-Chairman of the EPP, EIN Chairman, Vice-Chairman of the EPP Graup in the European Parliament/ Co-chair of TAG • Mairead McGuinness MEP, Choir of the Working Group on Transatlantic Relations and Vice 0 President of the European />orlioment Subjects for discussion: EU: Elmar Brok MEP, Member of the Committee Foreign Affairs, EU USA Rapporteur -The new US Administration: Approaches to Europe, Russia: in light of the developments in 2016-2017 and the President meetings in Brussels with NATO, discussion of the state of US relations with EU and NATP -Elections in France, Brexit, German elections: impact of the results on the new US Administration's policies -Ukraine: Exploration of various scenario.s for resolution initiatives -Mending fences and Reinforcing Transatlantic relations: ideas and projects 2 Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit . 01/28/2019 9:14:20 AM 10.15 - 12.00 Second session: General discussion on Economics and demographics: Transatlantic Challenges Subjects for.discussion: EU: Daniel Caspary MEP, EPP Group Coordinator on International Trade in the European Parliament and Head of the German delegation in the EPP Group and Artis Pabriks MEP, Member of the Committ:ee on International Trade -US and European trade and economic choices and mutual impacts -Migrant's crises in Europe, th_e Mediterrane.an area and impact on North America -Refugees vetting issues in the US: if there is a transatlantic joint approach -Projects on Syrian refugees: safe zones and educational programs 12.00 - 1.00 pm Lunch: Distinguished Speaker: Sebastian Lukacs Gorka {HU), Deputy Assistant to the President Donald Trump, Executive Office of the President of the United States of America 2.00 - 3.15 pm Third Session: lnternationalSecurilJ(and,Tra_nsatl~n~ic challenges Subjects ,f~r_ discussion: EU: Arnaud Danjean MEP, Vice-Choir of the EP Delegation for relations with the NA TO Parliamentary Assembly Member of the Committee on Foreign Affairs -D_iscussion of crises: Syria, Iraq, bibya, Yemen, Post 1515 0 Briefing on the Arab Muslim Coalition of Riyadh: possible partnership between NATO and the Coalition -Iran deal: US and European positions on implementation, recall, cancelling or re negotiating t_he Iran Nuclear Deal -Home-grown terrorism in_ Europe and in the US: discussion of transatlantic new strategies regarding the domestic Jihadi threat on both sides of the Atlantic 3.15 - 4.00 pm Fourth Session: Transatlantic initiatives for 2017-2018 Subjects for discussion: In this session, participants propose ideas for initiatives coming from both sides. Note that ideas and suggestions would be prepared in advance and reviewed by both sides EU: Paulo Rangel MEP, Vice-Chairman of the EPP, Vice-Chairman of the EPP Group in the European Parliament, EIN Chairman, Co-Chair of TAG -Opening TAG to Latin American lawmakers: Brazil, Colombia, Argentina 3 Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9:14:20 AM -Possibly inviting lawmakers from the Middle East as observers to a future session -Discussion of a US TAG delegation to Brussels -Presentation of a Joint TAG Project on Syrian refugees 4.00 pm Adjourn . 5.00 - 6.00pm Meeting with Adam Lovinger, Net Assessment, Office of the Secretary af Defense, USA VENUE: Hotel Sofitel Lafayette Concorde room 6.30 - 6.45 pm Meeting at the Lobby of Hotel Sofitel Lafayette 7.00 - 10.00 pm Working Dinner with USA legislators (on personal invitation) VENUE: The Capitol Hill Club 300 First Street, SE Washington, DC 20003, P: (202) 4$4-4590 Guest Speaker: General Jack Keane WEDNESDAY. 19th JULY 08.45 - 09.00 Meeting at the Lobby of Hotel Sofitel Lafayette 09.00 - 09.30 Transfer from the hotel to Hudson Institute VENUE: Hudson Institute, 1201 Pennsylvania Avenue NW, Suite 400 09.30 Opening: greetings and introductions • Kenneth R.. Weinstein, President and CEO, Hudson Institute • Paulo Rangel, Vice-Chairman of the EPP, Vice-Chairman of the EPP Group in the European Parliament, EIN Chairman (PT)/Co-chair of TAG 09.45- n.oo FirsLSession: Has The Post-American Era Begun? Cooperation after Brussels Summit VENUE: Hudson Institute, 1201 Pennsylvania Avenue NW, Suite 400 Moderator: Adarn Garfinkle, Editor0 in-Chief, The American Interest Speakers: • Seth Cropsey, Senior Fe/lbw, Hudson Institute • Arnaud Danjean, MEP Vice-Chair of the EP Delegation for relations with the NATO Parliamentary Assembly Member of the Committee on Foreign Affairs • Antonio L6pez-lsturiz, MEP Secretory Generql of the EPP party and Secretary Treasurer of the Wi/fried Martens Centre for E11ropean Studies 4 Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9:14:20 AM 11.00 Coffee Break· 11.15 - 12.30 pm Second Session: Can TTIP be revived? Can the US-EU trade and invest.ment cooperation continue? Moderator: Rod Hunter, Partner, Backer McKen?ie Speakers: • Artis Pabriks, MEP Member of the Committee an International Trade (LV) • Thomas Duesterberg, farmer international economist at the Cornrnerce . Department, SENIOR Fellow, Hudson Institute • Daniel Caspary MEP, EPP Group Coordinator an International Trade in the European Parliament and Head of the German Delegation in the EPP Group • David Geanacopoulos, Senior Executive Vice President, Public Affairs and .Public Policy qt Volkswagen Group of America, Inc. 12:30 pm Working Lunch: How the new political landscape will disrupt transatlantic rt;!lations. Introducer: Paulo Rangel MEP,'Vice-Chairman of the EPP, Vice-Chairman of the EPP Group in the European Parliament, EIN Chairman Speakers: • Walter Russell Mead, Distinguished Fellow, Hudson Institute and Editor-at Large, The American Interest 2.00 - 3.30 pm Third Session: Populism in the United States and Europe: How new movements will reshape politics Moderator: Peter Rough, a Fellow at Hudson Institute Speakers: • Benjamin Haddad, a Fellow at Hudson Institute • Chris Caldwell, Senior Editor, the Weekly Standard • David Winston, President, The Winston Group • Heinz K. Becker MEP, Mem.be.r of the Committee an Civil Liberties, Justice and Home Affairs • Miriam Lexmann, Director of the EU Region Programs, International Republican Institute (I.R.I) 3.30 pm Coffee Break 4:0~5:15 pm Fourth Session: Geopolitical challenges: How the US and Europe should manage Russia and Turkey 5 Received by NSD/F ARA Registration ()nit 01/28/2019 9: 14:20 AM Moderator: Gyiirgy Schopflin, IIIIEP EPP Group Coof(f;nator in the Constitutional Affairs Committee of the EP Speakers: • Gary Schmitt, Resident Scholar, Co-Director, Marilyn Ware Centre for Security and [)irector of the Program on American Citizenship, AEI • Tunne Kelam MEP, Member of the Committee on Foreign Affairs • Stephen Nix, Regional Director, Eurasia, International Republican Institute (/RI} • Paul McCarthy, International Republican Institute {/RI) • Alina Polyakova, Director of Research for Europe and Eurasia, Atlantic Council 5:15 pm Conc.lusion Ken Weinstein, President and CEO, Hudson Institute 6:00 - 6.30 pm FRE.ETIME 6.30 pm Cocktail reception VENUE: The Willard Continental Hotel The Truman Bar, The Occidental Grill 1401 Pennsylvania Avenue 7.30 pm Dinner VENUE: The Presidential Roam, The Occidental Grill 8.00pm Dinner Talk Speaker. Ms Andrea Thompson, Deputy Assistant to the President and National Security Advisor ta the Vice President 10.00 pm Transfer to Sofitel Lafayette Hotel THURSDAY 20th JULY VENUE: Hudson Institute, 1201 Pennsylvania Avenue NW, Suite 400 08.30 - 08.40 Meeting at the Lobby of Hotel Sofitel Lafayette 08.40 - 09.00 Transfer from Hotel Sofitel Lafayette to Hudson Institute , 1201 Pennsylvania Avenue NW, Suite 400 (15 min walk) 09.00 - 09.15 Greetings 09.15 - 10.30 Fifth Session: American Politics and the Elections in 2018 Moderator: David Teli, Senior Fellow, Hudson Institute Speakers: • Barry Jackson, Managing Director, The Lindsey Group 6 Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9:14:20 AM • Geoff Davis, former Congressman (R.) Kentucky 4th • Will Marshall, President and Founder, Progressive Policy Institute • Gyiirgy Schopflin MEP, EPP Group Coordinator in the Constitutional Affairs Committee of the EP (HU} 10.30 Coffee Break 10,45 ° 12,QQ Sixth Session: Will Brexit change the political and strategic dynamics of US European cooperation? Moderators: Mairead McGuinness, MEP Chair of the Working Group on Transatlantic Relations ond Vice-President of the European Parliament John Hudson, Senior Reporter, Foreign Policy Speakers: • Stephen Biegun, corporate officer and Vice President . of International Governmental Affairs for Ford Motor Company • Tom Wright, Director of the Center on the United States and Europe, and Senior Fellow in the Project on International Order and Strategy, the Brookings Institution • Danuta Maria Huebner MEP, Chair of the Constitutional A/fairs Committee in · the European Parliament, Member of the Delegation far relations with the United.States in the European Parliament, former EU Commissioner • El.mar B.rok MEP, Member of the Committee Foreign Affairs, EU USA Rapporteur 12.00 - 1.30 pm Working Lunch (informal) VENUE: Hudson Institute, 1201 Pennsylvania Avenue NW, Suite 400 1:30 pm Concluding Remarks • Paulo Rangel Ml:i>, Vice-Chairman of the EPP, Vice•Choirman of the EPP Group in the European Parliament, EIN Chairman, Co-Chair of TAG • Ken Weinstein, .President and CEO, Hudson lnstityte END OF THE OFFICIAL PROGRAM FOR MEMBERS OF THE EIN DELEGATION 7 Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit O1/28/2019 9: 14:20 AM EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT DELEGATION: Paulo RANGEL MEP, Vice-Chairman afthe EPP party, Vice-Chairman afthe EPP Group in the European Parliament, EIN Chairman (PT) Antonio LOPE:USTUR.IZ WHITE MEP, Secretary General of the EPP party and Secretary Treasurer of the Wi/fried Martens Cent.re for European Studies (ES) Mairead McGUINNESS, MEP Vice-President of the European Parliament (IRL) Danuta MARIA HUEBN.E.R MEP, Chair of the Constitutional Affairs Committee in the European Parliament, Member of the Delegation for relations with the United States in the European Parliam(!nt, farmerEU Commissioner (PL) Heinz K. BECKER MEP, Member of the Committee on Civil Liberties, Justice and Home Affairs (AU) Arti~ PABRIKS MEP, Member of the Committee on International Trade (LV) Tunne KELAM MEP, Member of the Committee on Foreign Affairs (EST) Gyorgy SCHOPFLIN MEP, EPP Group Coordinator iii the Constitutional Affairs Com.mittee of the EP (HU) Arnaud DANJEAN MEP, Vice-Chair of the EP Delegation for relations with the NATO Parliamentary Assembly Member of the Committee on Foreign Affairs (F) Elmar BROK MEP, Member of the Committee Foreign Affairs, EU USA Rapporteur (DE) Daniel CASPARY MEP, EPP Group Coordinator on International Trade in the European Parliament and Head of the Geiman Delegation in the EPP Group (DE) EPP Group in the European Parliament Staff: G.11iUermo MARTINEZ CASAN - EIN Network Director: +32 473 73 67 88 Maria Rosa LLOVET DE VICENTE -EIN Events Coordinator: +32 489 390 285 Gon~alo VILLAS-BOAS - Head of office of Paulo RANGEL, MEP: +32 494 762 347 US LEGISLATORS: • REPTAG Co-Chair US Rep. Trent Franks (R-AZ), Armed Services Cmte REP. Trent Franks, Chair Strategic Ballistic Missile Caucus, senior Armed Services Member • U.S. Rep Ted Poe (R-TX), Senior Foreign Affairs Committee • U.S. REP Pete Sessions (R-TX), Rules Committee • U.S. Rep Brian Mast (R-FL), Foreign Affairs and Armed Services Cmte • U.S. Rep Thomas Suozzi (D-NY), Foreign Affairs Cmte • TAG Deputy Co-Chair U.S. Rep John Rutherford (R-FL), Hoinelcind Security and Judiciary Cmte 8 Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9:14:20 AM • U.S. Rep E.liot Engel (D-NY), Ranking Member, Foreign Affairs Cmte • U.S. Rep Martha Roby (R-AL), Armed Services Cmte • US Rep Eddie BerniceJohnson (D-TX) • US Rep Brendan Boyle (D-PA) • U.S Rep Louie Gohmert, (R-Texas), Judiciary Cmte • US Rep Matt Gaetz (R-FL) • US Rep Steve King (R-IA) • US Senator Roger Wicker (R-MI) • US Rep Drew Petersen (R•GA) • · US Rep. Paul Anthony Gosar (R-AZ)- 4th cangresianal distict • • TAG past co-Chair, Sean Duffy, T.BC • U.S. Rep Mac Thornberry (R-TX), Chairman, Armed Services Cmte tBC • U.S. Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL), Foreign Relations Cmte TBC • U.S. Rep Gerry Connolly (D-VA), Foreign Affairs Cmte TBC • U.S. Rep Ed Royce (R-CA), Chairman, Foreign Affairs Cmte TBC • U.S. Rep Theodore Deutc.h (D-FL), Foreign Affairs Cmte TBC • U.S Rep Robert Aderholt, (R-AlabamaJ, Defense and Commerce Cmtees TBC • U.S. Senator Rand Paul (R-KY), Foreign Relations Cmte TBC • US (former) Rick Santorum, Senator and Presidential candidate TBC • US (former) Senator Bob Casten, Trump Campaign Advisor TBC • US Rep Richard Hudson (R-NC) TBC • US Rep Carlos Curbelo (R-FL) TBC • . US Rep Brian Mast (R-FL) TBC • US Rep Jim Sensenbrenner (R-WI) TBC • US Rep Thomas Suozzi (D-NY) TBC 9 Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9:14:20 AM The Future of European Trade: Traditional values in t.omorrow's economy APQPTED ATrnE EPP CQNCiRESS • MAlTA. -3C, f··'iL.P·.:H 2017 u ·\tr •.·. ····•.·-1.~- ·)' .•~.·.\··•.•.-.·,·: \lt.\ ...•.1'. i:~~, .. ·bd by_NSDIFAtJRe~1ttrati~ U ~iC. Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9:14:24 AM The Future of European Trade: Trad_itl~al values in tomorrow's economy 01 Cl.rlr·-picc: .-J~ 1-,-1e FPC C.nncri·ss - M-:ilt,:1 ?': -.~r) "'1dr,·h 20! i The Future of European Trade: Traditional values 1n tomorrow's economy Europe has a orm,c cultJral heritage. a heritage worder~ully d:"ferentiatec 1n the EU's many regIor.s and Member States, yet united ultimately around corrmon core experiences and vaL;es. We h2ve cCme LOgetr:er tollow,ng Conf_!ict to rebLJ,·IC ar:d reunite. We share ;__he hard-won benefits of democratic gover'"',ance. respec: For i7urran r1g"ts and the rule of law Our socie~ies today continue to preserve what is best 1n our European heritage by valuing craftsrranship and high-quality goods, food that 1s fresh and natural, work that is respected and protected and a natural env1ronme'1t which is clean and resporsibly managed. 1 We 1 : the EPP rerrain comrrntted to f1ght1rg tc orotect m.:r si-iared ner tage We know :hat one of the best ways we can do this is in supporting trade that Is free. fair and rules-based. Indeed, it is trade which has formed the foundatiori of post-war prosperity a·nd cooperation. Trade Means Mere than just exoorts and 1rnoor'ts, i·nvesunentS and cap:tal flows, tariffs and regulations Trade means an exchange: an exchange of go0ds, of services, of best practices, of cultJre and ideas Trade means deepening long-standing partnerships and forming new ones, building bridges w1:h countries around the world We have seen before throughout history the dangers of 1solatiorism and protectionism; we will not go down that path again. We In the EPP are committed to building, together with partners from all over the world, a netw·ork of exchange, a network of ideas-sharing, which will set the sta_ndards for t.he 21st-century economy. At Stake Is global peace and prosperity itself, and with it, too, what is most worthy of preserving in our own European heritage Taking up our responsibll_itie~ as a global lea~er The world is watching: watching to see whether the EU -san speak and act as one voice as a reliable trade part:1er, whether we can follow through and deliver on the ·mandates decided on by trie Member States; watching to see if we can show the way forward towards trade that 1s open. fair and governed by the rule of law. As single Member States. we are more-or-less s.-nall compared to global markets and power structures. But as a single unit, numbering 500 million citizens, we are strong - the world's largest economy. If we act as one, we can s·peak with a powerful voice for our values and help to shape global1sat1on These European values, such as the rule of law and democracy, are being challenged now more than we have seen in a long time. Forging trade deals wit.h strong European allies like Canada and the United States will enable us not only to better wit'lstand ongoing pressures; it will also allow us to lead by showing a better way forward: a way guided by democracy and diplomacy, fair commerce, shared values ard legal protections The EU is also committed to deepening our relat1onsh1ps with other partners a·s well, countries l1~e. for example, Japan a.'ld Australia, .New Zealand, Malaysia, V1etna'Tl, Tunisia, Ukraine and the several South American me,mbers of Mercosur These c·ountrie·s ar'e also on the move, and their cit1z€"s aspire to share In, and to contr bute to, t'~,e benefits of the safe. sustainable wealth creation whicn·trade is so important in fostering: Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9:14:24 AM Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9:14:24 AM The Future of European Trade: Traditional values in to_morrow".s-economy 02 _2i,-:nde(! 2t ·:h;c r:-_r:1,.) c,,nqresc; - M,,lr~,. ;,:-:, •·:Y) "-1a1~h :o:7 Expanding the economic pie More than 30 million EU jobs, or one 1n seven. alr~ady depends 9n trade with the outside world. For every €1 billion 1n exports. Cu rope sees 14,000 new jobs created. Most imports into tr'e EU, in fact -a full 80% - are made up of raw materials, energy, parts and cornoonentS. much of whrch is re-exported in higher-value goods Our economy, our very way of life, depends on t_rade,. Most economists agree that in the" context of slow global growth, increasing trade is one of the best ways to boost prosperity and create new jobs - ibbs which tend to.be bet.ter-pa1d El1m1nat1ng tariffs c.FJn c.t coses for consumers a~d producers cl1ke, and carefLil 'l2m-1cnisation of standards a'Tlcng trade par;:ners can recuce 1neF'1c1enc1es. expand market access and ultimately ~ai"se stardards to the hig'1est possible level This jwst-r1akes sense and is good fo.r everyone. Forg1ng·a cornrron s·et of ruleS to play by alsb promotes c_:;ompetitiveness. European manu facturers, farmers and professionals are among the most productive and highly skilled 1n the world Why s:loul_d we be afraid for tnem tO compete on equal terms? Why shouldn't Europe be the place investors most want to put their capital? Achieving these goals will mean building on clear, sensible, pro-growth policies; 1t will mean c_:;ompleting the Single MarKet: it will mean attractirg the best and brightest students a"ld professionals from around tr.e world, w'r'o believe =urope offers a clirr.a:e cf 1nnovi3t,cn as well as a safe place for all par•.:1cipan:s 1n the social market economy Good trade ·ag•eements w II especially benefit small ar-id 111edium-s1zec enterprises (S'1Es), wh1cr-i make up 99% of European firms. T~ese a·re companies, for :nstance. which may have specialised goods, unique services or digital products ready to bring to new markets - 1f only tar1f~ prbtect1ons were removed or foreign regulat.ons harmonised with EU n}les These compa·n1es are -'Tlore likely to have smaller ma_rg1ns and thus fewer ways of overcoming legal or regL:latory obstacles. It 1s SMEs, therefore, whic'1 stand to gain t_he most from the eas1e'r market access next-generation trade-deals will allow Mariy European c_it_izens have vOJced the legitimate concerr that even if trade deals prove successful in boosting growth over the long term, there may b€ some pain 1n the interim They fear people will be left behind 1n a shifting economy. In order t6 addr,ess these concerns, we must build bridges so that no one fa_lls through the cracks Next-gereration trade agreements will thus include safeguard_s such as regular review pro cesses and bilateral comm1t;:ees addressing specific issues like Sustainab1l1ty. geographical prctcctions cwd procuremerit. Bu: there are also other ways to rrake sure EU producers benef,t from the same advantages of f~ir trade as those 1n other parts of the world. Modernising the EU's Trade Defence Instruments (TD ls) 1s a good place to start. The EPP, in add1t1on, calls for ~ore errployment safeguards to be cors1dered alongside che trade deals tnemselves: for example, re-training ard upskilling programs for workers. We call for policies making it easier, not harder, for Europeans to f,nd Jobs and e:omrrute to work. We are proud. ~or example. of existing in1t1a:1ves like the Eu_ropean Global1sat1on Adjustment Fund (EGF), which provides suoport for those caught between jobs as a result of shifting trade .patterns. and the European Fund for Strategic Investment (EFSI), which aims to supoort innovative companies Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9:14:24 AM Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9:14:24 AM 03 The Future of European Trade: Traditional values il'I tomorrow's economy needing only an additiorial boost of capital 1n order to flour:sh and grow Policies like these will help protect aQa1nst unfarr compet1t1on and supoort those who may struggle in re.adjus ting to expanded trade in a particular sector ShOWing pride in Eu·ropean quality The EU rr,aintains some of tne highest standards and most sought-after products 1n the wor ld. How can we. at the same time, both preserve the quality ar.d availability of local product_s as well as grant our own producers the tools they need not just to survive but to expand their own riarket share? Trade deals which are robJst and comprehe'lsive of~er Europe an opporturiity to do ~his, to both preserve and prorilote our hi9h standards and world-re -nowned quality to overseas q:msumers. The EPP will not sell out to lesser standards or lower levels of protection. and we wrll not give up the EU's right to regulate. Rather: we will push to e'lsure t_hat EU-level standards become the new norms of 2lst-centl.iry tr·ade The winners 1n tn1s effort will be both EU corsu·r1ers· and procucers Many of ou,.. c1t1zens have expressed especial concerns regarding food safety and quality The EPP calls for an ongoing commitment to protecting the precautionary principle in food Safety: namely, this means ensuring that no food product not proven safe be allm-yed into the EU. Another issue facing European agricJlture, t,owever, is the challenge to stay competitive vis-a-vis global producers; this means ensuring our farmers have access to the cutting-edge technologies and moder'l organisational structures triey need 1n order to continue bringing their high•quality goods to market To address this concern. the EPP support_s the existing Horizon 2020 programme's focus on agricultural educa_tion and R&D as a way to boost sus tainable rural development. We call for continued work on a 'smart villages' 1nit1ative to re•nforce criese ef'orts and more specifically target the concerns of local farmers, we can for new efforts to ensure clear, standardised labelling across the EU in order to let consU-'ners know, 1n clear language, exactly what they are buying. In short we are committed both to protecting !_r'e high-quality standards of food sold 1n Europe as well as European farmers· own ability to remain competitive iri an 111creas1ngly irterdependent world. Trade deals which our citizens have a say in We know many citizens are concerned to ensure all negot1at1ons remain democratically ac countable. What would this ideally look like? Should our negotiators be expected to show us their cards dL:Jring each round of talks? Should all loe;al or regional govern.ments be expected tc sign off or a deal be"ore the entire EL; can be'lef-t from 1P ~re ::PP arr1rms the Ewopean Comm1ss10-,·s efforts to provide ,:::u c1t1zens as rr.uch nformat1on as poss,ble without underm1n1ng the EU's negot1at1ng position. In fact, never before has so much .infor'mat1on been made available. And trade negot1at1ons continue to beCorre more democratic. not less The European Parliament 1s 1nvblved 1n drafting each negotiation's mandate and rema_ins fully informed at all stages of talks. Add1t1onally, non-governmental organisations and other stakeholders provide 1r.pu: lhrm,ghout the process. And once i3ry deal is ~inailsed. rre Council of Ministers. reflecting_ Cemocrat1cally elected national governme'l:s. must sign on. This 1s followed by debate and ar ·Jp-or-down vote by the European Parliament. whose Members are directly accountable to their EU constituents. The EPP·continues to believe 1t is the European Commission which has the authority to negotiate trade deals ·on behalf of EU Member States: we acknowledge :he many, deep-"ooted democratic processes already 1n place to keep the C':'epp Received byNSD/FARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9:14:24 AM Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9:14:24 AM The Future of European Trade: Traditiona_l valu~ in tomorrow's economy 04 L\,-;0r,rpc: cl~ ·:h"· ;,;pD Congres::; - ;..-1;:: Commission accountable to its mandates If national or EU-level leaders don':: do their Jobs, we should vote them oUt, 1n the meantime, we must let our r_eoresentatives do the jobs they were elected for Being fair to EU investors and protecting EU pu_~llc policy An.other concern expressed by many citizens has to do w1tri investment protection. On the one hand. some are afraid fo~e1g1: companies may acz:t as a TroJan Horse to undermirie EU regulation: on the other, it is 1r1portant to protect our own EU investors from being caught in the potentially shifting s_ands of foreign goverrments· policies. Next-gene"ation trade deals take into acco\jnt the concerns of both EU investors and private citizens. The EU Is building on the judicial systems already In place, in response to input and dialogue fror1 all parties concerned, In order to create a more predictable. mo-re accountable ie·gal frame·wor>< -.yith fewer loopholes The Investment Court System (!CS) for example, represents a real step forward· decisions are made by publicly paid ano well-trained independent Judges following fully transparent proce dures. The EPP will continue to support in-novat1ve solutions such as this in designing ever-fairer. more democratically resporsIve med"',anisms for resolving disputes between states ard in-. vescors. We must create a system Ir which our investors feel confident they will be orotected against unforeseen po)icy changes, while also ensuring that. Me1:1ber States can always set policies in the best interest of their c1t1zens· safety and well-being. This Is another issue on which the EU, and the EPP. is show1.ng itself a leader in setting new rules for 21st~century trade. A long· traditipn of movi_ng fo_rw~rd European peace and prosperity - 1r.deed, the oeace cind prosperity of the world - have been built on trade of one kind or another. Chocolate. oil, water, wheat: we have come to take resources like these for granted The same goes ior technologies like arithmetic, dynamite, printing. and Wi-Fi Trade means not only developing products and ideas but also sharing them to every partner's mutual advantage If we are to continue ~o enjoy the fruits of the European proJect. 1f we are to continue to rraintarn the high sta.'ldards we have put in place 1;1 our socIetres with regard to safety. fairness and quality, we must take advantage of the opportur,ItIes presented to us now to lead the way forward, not retreat into the.past History has taught us this lesson Free and ~air. rules-based trade 1s good for European citizens, workers and consumers alike. It Is good for European companies, especially SM Es Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9:14:24 AM If yg9 h~ve, any qu$stion 'you would,liketo ask please•contact us. Rue, du C,::ommerce 10 "000 Brussels· T +32s2s285A140 ~- (orinect_@epp eu Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9:14:27 AM Russian disinformation unde_rmin_i.ng Western democracy 01 Adopted at the EPP Congress - Ma!ta, 29'' and 30"" March 2017 Russian disinformation undermining Western democracy EU Member States are facing an unprecedented threat to tr.eir de_mocratic soc1et11=:s Russian propaganda, d1sinformatior campaigns and continuous support for anti-European polit1cal forces are undermining the European proji?ct. transatlantic cooperation and Western der-,ocracies in general: 1n terms of liberal values, pol1tic_al independence and sovereignty This crisis has 1n fact reached an al;:1rr11ng level. Rus_s1a·s constant, rneticulcus cf'"o.cts to d1slor: facts, :-nanipulate reality, foster distrust 1n the democratic proe3ess and even interfere in Weste(n elections are absolutely unacceptable. Information ~arfare is an integral part of Putin's assault on Europe. This strategy ·uses military, criminal, 1ntell1gence. b~siness, d1olomat1c, mE!d1a, cyber and political techniques to ac-h1ev:e t'le Kreml1r's goals. While the EP;:i aims at maintaining good rela:1onsh1ps with all its neighbours, including Russia, the EU cannot perr.11t Russian interference to erode its derr:ocratic soc;1et1es and to incite hatred and fear The annexation of Crimea. hybrid warfare against Ukraine, the invasion of Georgia, Russian campaigns against the Baltic States, Belarus, Moldova or even Poland· all these pose challenges for Russia's neighbours and undermine the peace and stab1l1ty which Europe has enjoyed for decades The EU Must cut 1'1 olace an effective and detailed strategy to 1mmed1ately_ robustly counteract Russian informatio11·warfare We need to design .an appropriate 1nst1tutional framework, to allocate necessary resources. rn find :re nght messages and rressengers The soo'ner the ::u reconciles itself to the reality that the Kremlin has been engaged 1n an undeclared war against the liberal values underp,nn1ng t'le peace and orosperity of Europe, the soor'er 1t can F·nd the right policy responses Given the gravity of this threat and the urgency of countering it, the EPP Expresses deep concern over the highly dangerous nature of Russian propaganda, which has grown even more soph1st1cated since the fall of the Soviet regime: Highlights a special concern regarding the cyber tnreat emanating from Russia, which ~ar exceeds that from C."11na, and recognises that the cyber realrn 1s viewed by Russia pnmanly as a battles·pace for waging 1nformat1on warfare; Recognise_s the Kremlin's threat to Western democracies, as has been proven 1n cases of US and European elections; U_nderUnes the importance of NATO's involvement 1n strategic messaging, using a r1ore coherent narrative and set of arguments in refuting myths cultivated b"y Moscow: Stands frrr1ly w th Merr.ber S-cates and with pro-European forces ir. Easterr Pa~tnershio (EaP)and Wester11 Balkan countries. 1n the United States and around the world 1n de nouncing -Putin's attemp_ts to undermine liberal democratic governance and values, in general. and the European project itself, in particular: Calls for unity among EU Member States and w1th1n NATO 1n standing proudly and une quivocally for liberal democratic values: for basic human rights and personal freedorns, the rule of law, an independent jud1c1af system and trarsparent, democratic govern,ance: Welcomes recent EU initiatives - part1C";.Jlarly with regard to the European External Ac tion Service's (EEAS) East Strat Com Task Force, created in September 2015 to conimu nicate and promote EU policies in EaP countries, support free and independent media \--~ epp Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9:14:27 AM Received by NSD/F ARA Registration Unit 0 1/28/2019 9: 14:27 AM Russian disinformation undermining Western democracy 02 Adopted a: the EPP Congress - Malta, 29"'' und 30"~ Merer 2017 and cou<1ter disinformation; and the November 2016 Eu,rope_an Parliament re,solutior""' on counter1rg anti-EU propaganda - to galvant/e an effec:t1ve EU response to the t'1reat posed by tre Kremlin's multifaceted disinfo~r1at1on ca-npaign: Urges,-however, that the EEAS =:ast Strat Com Task Force be great_ly enhanced 1n terms of 1rcreased ~unding and perscnnel; urges, ul::ma:ely, ;:he estatl·s·"1mert ot an effec: ve. well-targeted and ta_ilor-made strategy of com~unication and .promotion of EU pol1c1es and va_lJes in the Eastern Neighbourhood, in orde;r to increase public awareness of disin formation activ1t1es oy external actors: Cal_ls for a_ greater, more coordinated European response on the part of Member States and EU institutions: for the creation of a coordir.atio11 unit within EU institutions to fac1- l1ta;::e this response. a'ld for 1nc·reased capacity-sharing ar:d cou",terirtelligerce efforts; Calls for the establishment of agencies 1n <111 Member States - as r,as recently been done in the Czech Republic - to identify and counter disinformation and propaganda: Highlights t'"le need to forcefully condemn Kremlin disinformation w1tr factual evidence: Stresses the importance of the 1c:!ent1f1cati6n and ~rac><'rig of Krernl1n-supp0rted SGOkes perso'ls. off1c1als, NG Os, 1ntellectL,als, ac.. v1sts and businessoersc'ls involved ircorrL,pt1on: Recognises the extensive, ongoing ·work being done bV think tanks and civil society or ganisations in h1ghlight1rg t'le fl.II natu~e and ex<:ent of this t'1reat to liberal de_mocracy: welcomes innovative solutions by both the pnva:e and cubl1c sectors ,n ·find_ing ways to expose 'fake news· ard disinformation and to helpfully distingu_is_h be:ween credible and non-credible- sources: Calls on the EU a'ld its Member States to ensure greater t_ransparency for NGOs, lob byists and political parties, especially with regard to funding: Encourages the e_stablishment of media monit_oring systems, based on credible metho aolo~1es, to enable media regulators to identify breaches of· law, 1nclud1ng hate speech and state propi;!ganda, as well as warn companies against advertising on propagan da-like web pages: Re~affirms the essential need for professional, independent. ethical and facts-based journalism - 1n particular. via Russ1an-!anguage media - in order tb counter lies i:lno m1- s1nformation: a·nd highlights the need to train and educate journalists in this area: Underlines the importance of providirg alternative sources of 1rfcirmation to .outlets such as Russia's state-futided television channel RT (Russia Today): underlines the irT', portante of creating an EU- and EaP-w1de quss1an-language TV channel: and encov rages the cooperation-and exchange of high-quality content between independent me dia professionals in the Eastern Neighbourhood and _in Russ_ia: Underl_ines the importance of awarene-ss-ra1sing, education and online media ior c1t1zens· of both the EU and the EaP and Western Balkans regiOns in 0rder to enable them criti cally to analyse media content and to identify propagarda: Calls for the creation of an annual forum bringing together high-level polrt1cians, think tanker"s and other experts to counter Kremlin prooa~anda: Calls for increased exchanges between EU experts and experts from Eastern Neighbou rhood and Western Balkan coun:ries who 'lave _a broad specialization on Russia and for mer USSR countries; calls for the organisation of study visits for 1ournalists and experts to EaP countries ,,-""-- \ epp Received byNSD/FARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9:14:27 AM l_f you ha_ve,any_question y_o_u li/_01.l_lCf fi_ke t9 ~~k j:)le;fs~ c9ntad tJs. Jue C:u C_Qrf1_ri\~rcE? l.Q :bQO -~r~is.s.els T+32°2'2854140 E conr;e(t,.Q)epp.eu Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 0 1/28/2019 9: 14: 11 AM TRANSATLANTIC PARTNERSHIP: PERSPECTIVES AND REALITIES 17 -19 July, 2017 WASHINGTON, DC Org.:inized by TRANSATLANTIC POLICY NETWORK (TPN) In partnership with Allianz@) ~~AT&T ~ -DAIMLER worldwide" 'Si?- Burson •Marsteller ■ {i}'i,j?;... '?t;/· l:-f!· I ;,1\' European Internet Forum CH9·i+ii SIEMENS • United States Mission syngenta ~lll'to the Eur-opean·Union '-r--"r fo,-lif< Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9:14:11 AM Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9:14:11 AM -- Transat-antic ' ·-; '-, ··:.·2011 t • - ., ➔ ------~ CONTENTS - 2017 Tran.sa.tlantic Week Program ...... 3 Executive Summary of the Four Think Pieces by John Wyles ...... , .. , ...... :. 8 ;'Stay the Course» by Simon Serfaty ...... , .... : ...... ,.... 10 Zbigniew Brzezinski Professor in Global Security and Geostrategy at the Center for Strategic · and.International Studies, Washington DC "A Transatlantic Strategy for 2020 - Political Dimension» by Robin Niblett ...... _...... 12 Director, Chatnam House (Royal Institute of International Affairs) "Tran.satlantic Partnership for 2020 - Digital Dimension» by Peter Linton ...... 14 Senior Advisor, European Internet Forum "Deepening the Transatlantic Economic Partnership» by the TPN Team presented by Brute Stokes ..... , ...... 16 Director of Global Economic Attitudes at the Pew Research Center, Washington Follow-up Ideas/ Key Themes ...... , ...... 19 Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9:14:11 AM Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 0 1/28/2019 9: 14: 11 AM 3 ·· Transat1a.ntic ·· .-:,i:t.... _.:/:;;-~_\ .,,, '·:--;:~·. ,_',,·..·•·2· : .. _, o.··17···.·. '_- .. · TRANSATLANTIC PARTNERSHIP: PERSPECTIVES AND REALITIES PROGRAM Monday 17 - Wednesday 19 July, 2017 WASHINGTON, DC Organized by TRANSATLANTIC POLICY NETWORK (TPN) In partnership wiih Allianz@) ~AT&T- ~ DAIMLER ,vorldw1de· Burson,Marsteller • FINSBURY ■ ~\fl~-~ -~~~..... ~/{Atf +;.;;;.;+;; 11111111 ~e~~~ENER European Internet Forum iab. {~-£urop~~n P;Jrhoment GPG SIEMENS svn....,enta ~ ... ,rfo33¥ ,.,,...,,, .....(< J 5• Received by NSD/F ARA Registration Unit 0 1/28/2019 9: 14: 11 AM Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9: 14: 11 AM 4 PROGRAM MONDAY JULY 17. 2017 5:30 pm Rt?ception for all-participants Location:: UPS Tow·nhouse, 421 New Jersey Avenue SE Hosted by: oo·ntai Smalls, Vice President, Corporate Government Affairs, UPS Speakers: oa·nuta Hiibner MEP, Chair, Coriimittee on Constitutional Affai_rs, Europe_an Parlia_ment TUESDAY JULY 18, 2017 9:00am Registration Opens 9:30 am - 9:45 am Welcome Location: Aud.itOrium, Capitol Visitors Center (CVC), First Street NE Speakers: The Honorable Jim Costa, Member of the US House of Repres_entatives ahd Chairman, TPN US Steering Corifmittee Ji_m Kol_be; Senior Transatlantic Fellciw~ the German Marshall Fund of the United Sta_tes and B0ard Member, Transatlantic Policy Network 9:45 am -11:00 am Session 1: Security Issues Location: Auditorium, Capitol Visitors Center (CVC), Fi_rst Street N.E Chairman: John Wyles, Senior Adviser, Transatlantic Policy Network Introduction: Simon Serfaty, Professor of US Foreign Policy and Eminent Schol.ar, Old Dominion un·i·versity in Norfolk, VA Speakers: The Honorable Stephanie Murphy, Member of the US Hou.se of Representatives K_nut Flecke_n.$tein MEP, Eurdpean Parliament Jason Wis.eman, Secretary General, Atlantic-Treaty Associ_ation 11:15 am -12:30 pm Session 2: Political Issues Location: Auditorium, Capitol Visitors Center (CVC), First Street NE Chairman: John Wyles, Senior Adviser, Transatlantic Policy Network lntroductioh: Robin Niblett, Director, Chatham House Speakers: Andrea Thompson, National Security Advisor, Office ofthe Vice President C3roline Vicini, Deputy Chief of Missidn, EU Delegation to the United States Antonio LOpez-lstu·nz White M~P, EPP Secretary-General, European Parua·ment 12:45 pm - 2:.00 pm L.u.nch: Financial Market Regulation Location: Atrium, Capitol Visitors Center (CVC), First Street NE Chairman: K~y Swinbu,:ne ME.P, European Parliament Comme.nts: The Honorable Blaine Luetkemeyer, Member of the US House of Representat.ives The Honorable Trey Hollingsworth, Member of the US House of Representatives TUESDAY JULY 18, 2017-.Continued 2:15 pm - 3:45 pm Session 3: Digital Issues Location: Auditoriun:i! Capitol Visitors Center (_CVC), Fi_rst Street NE Chairman: John Wyles, Senior Adviser, Transatlantic Policy Network Introduction: Peter Linton, Advisor, European Internet Forum Received by NSD/F ARA Registration Unit 0 1/28/2019 9: 14: 11 AM Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9:14:11 AM 5 Keynote: B.ob QLlinn, Sen_ior Executive Vice President of External and Legislative Affa}rs, AT&T Speakers: Pilar del Castil_lo Vera MEP, Eu_rope_an Parliament a_nd Ch~ir, European l_nternet Forum Matt.hew Berry, Chi~f of Staff, Feder!!~ Communications Commission Dave Grimaldi, E_xecutive Vice President of Public Pol,icy, Interactive Advertising Bureau Steven tas, Chairman, European Te.lecommunications Network Operators' Association 4:00 pm - 5:30 prn Session 4: Economic Issues Location-: Auditorium, Capitol Visitor's"Center (CVC), First Street NE C_hairman: John Wyles, Senior Adviser, Transatlantic Policy Network t_ntroduction: Bruce Stokes, Non~re_siQe_nt Fellow, German Marshall Fund of the United States Spea_kers: The Honorable Erik Paulsen, Member of the US House of Representatives Daniel Caspary MEP, European Pa_rliament Ambassador David O'Sullivan, EU Ambassador to the US John Frank, Vice President, EU Government Affairs, Microsoft 5:30 pm - 6:00 pm Wrap-up Setting the Priorities Location: Auditorium, Capitol Visitors Cente·r (CVC), First Street NE Chairman: Joh_n Wyles, Senior Adviser, Transatlantic Policy Network Speakers: Si_mo_n Serfaty, Profe~_sor of us Foreign Policy and Eminent Scholar, Old Dominion University in Norfolk, VA Robin Niblett, Director, Chatham House Peter Linton, Advisor, European Internet Foru_m Bruce Stokes, Non-resident Fellow, German Marshall Fund of the United States &:15 pm Reception for All Participants Location: Oracle Towllhou·se, 27 D Street SE, Washington, DC 20003 -- Host_~d by: Karl Cox, Vice President Public Policy and Corporate Affairs EMEA, Oracle Cqmment_s: The Horiorable Ed Royce, Chairman, HOuSe Foreign Affairs Committee, and M~_mber of the US House of Representatives WEDNESDAY.JULY 19, 2017 8:00 am Registration Opens 8:30 am - 9:30 arn Session 5: Sustainability- the End of Business as Usual? Location: Thomas Jefferson Building, Library of Congress, 10 First Street SE Chairman:. Mark Titterington, Global Head of Corporate Affairs, Syngenta Speakers: The Honorable Bill Keating, Member of the US House of Representatives Kathleen Van Brernpt MEP, European Parliament Sam Baker, Pa_rtne_r, Monitor De_loitte Thierry de l'Escaille, Secretary General, European Landowners' 0-rganization Received by NSD/FARARegistration Unit 01/28/2019 9:14:11 AM Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9:14:11 AM 6 9:45 am -11:00 am Session 6: The Future of Work Location: Thomas Jefferson Building, Lib·rary of Congress, 10 Ffrst Street SE, Chair·man: David Martin MEP, European Parliament Speakers: The Honorable Bob Goodlatte, Chairman, House Committee on the Judiciary and Member of the ~S House of Representatives Liz Reicherts, Head of US Government Affairs, Siemens i:iga Turk, Professor, University of Ljubljana, Slovenia Franc_es Bu_rwell, Distinguished Fellow, Atlantic-Council 11:15 am -12:30 pm Session 7: Modernizing the Digital Regulatory Framework: A Common Transatlantic Opportunity Location: Thomas Jefferson Building, Library of Congress, 10 First Street SE Chairman: James Fontanella~Khan, Correspondent, Financial Times Speakers: Pilar del Castillo Vera MEP, European Parliament and Chair, European Internet Forum· Donald Stockdale, Chief, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, Federal Commu·nicatio"ns Comrnis.sion Andria_il'los Giannoli, President, Youth of the European People's Party -Juan Manuel Witches Du_ran, Commissioner, Communications Regulation Commission (CRC) Columbia 12:30 pm - 2:00 pm Session 8: US, EU, and NATO: The Strategic Dimension A light lunch will be served Location: Thomas Jefferson Building, Library of Congress, 10 First Street SE Chairman: Elmar Brok MEP, European Parliament Keynote: Robert Zoellick, Non-Executive Chairman, AllianceBernstein, a·nd Seni6r Fellow, Belfer Centedor Scie"fice and International Affairs, Kennedy Sthool of Gover'nment, Harvard Univer~ity Comments: Victor BoJtinan~ ME_P, European Parliament 2:00 pm - 3:00 pm Session 9: Future of Global Trade Is- From Multilateral to Bilateral? Location: Thomas Jefferson Building, Library of Congress, 10 First Street SE Chairman: Miriam Sapiro, Partner and Head of the DC Office, Finsbury Speakers: The Honorable Richard Neal, Member of the US House of Representatives Godelieve Quisthoudt·RDwohl MEP, European Parliament Chi'istial1 Burgsmiifler; Member of the Cabinet, Commissioner Cecilia Malmstr6ri1, Europe_an Commission Dan Glickman, Senior Counselor, Global Solutions, APCO Worldwide 3:00 pm - 4:00 pm Session 10: Future of Global Trade II -The Americas and the EU LocatiOri: Thomas Jefferson Building; Library of Congres_s, 10 Fi_rst Street SE Chairman: Karim Lesina, Vice Preside_nt, lnt_e_rnationa_l Ex_ternal Affair_s, AT&T speakers: The Honorable Ron Kind, Mem_ber of the US Hou_se of Repr"esentat_ives Emma McC_lark_i_n ME_P, European Parliament H_a_ns Van Baalen MEP, European Parliament Gabriela Cuevas Barron, Chairwoman, Foreign Affairs Committee, Senate of the Republic of Mexico Christia'r1 Burgsmiiller, Member of the Cabinet, Commissioner Cecilia MalrilStrOm, European Comrni.s.sion A_ndrl!s Ro;z:_en_ti;!_I, Em_inent Ambassador of Mexico and Board M~mber, C_enter for International Governan.ce Innovation Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9: 14:11 AM Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9:14:11 AM 7 wti>NESDAY. JULY 19, 2017 -Continued 4:.00 pm - 5:00 pm Session 11: Data - Can Security and Privacy Be R_eco_nci,led? Location: Thomas Jefferson Building, Library of Congres_s, io FirSt Stre~t SE Chairman: Susan Ness, Sen_ior Fellow, Center for Tran?atlantic Rel~tioris, Paul H. Nitze School of Advanced International Studies, Johns Hopkins University Speaker·s:- The Honorable Darrell Issa, Member of the US House of Representatives Claude Moraes MEP, Chairman, Committee on Civil liberties, Ju?tice and Home Affairs, European Parliament Edi_t Hertzog, Board Member, Ttansatlantit Policy Network and Member of t_h_e Worldwide Council, Research Dat_a Alliance' Steve Satterfield, Privac_y and Public Policy Manager, Faceb06k 6:30 pm TPN Reception Hosted by AT&T Location: AT&T Forum for Technology, Entertainment an_d Policy 601 New Jersey Avenue NW, 5th Floor, Washington, .DC20001 Hoste·d by: Bob Quinn, se·nior Executive Vice President of External and Legislative Affairs, AT&T Speakers: The Honorable Jim Costa, Member of the US House of Representatives and Chairman, TPN US Steering Committee Antonio L6pe:z-l_st\!riz White MEP, EPP Secretary-General, Europea_n Parliam~nt Elmar Brok MEP, Europe_an Parliament a_nd Chairman, TPN EU Steering Committee Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9: 14:11 AM Received by NSD/F ARA Registration Unit 0 1/28/2019 9: 14: 11 AM 8 Executive Summary of the Four Think Pieces by John Wyles Framing the discussion for TPN's Tra.nsat.lant.ic Week 2018 In the spring of 2017, TPN asked four highly qualified experts to help us consolidate and bring fresh ideas to setting.a transatlantic cooperation agenda for the period up to 2020. Their foCIJS ~as to be oh the irilmediate future for the security, political and economic aspects of the relationship, as well as the need to create and set goa.1.~ for ~ transatlantic d_igital transformation agenda. Their analysis and cbnclusions were presented in four reports that were the .basis of m.uc.h of the discussion at the 2017 Transatlantic Week. They can be accessed via the TPN website: "Staying the Course" by Simon Serfaty, Zbigniew Brzezinski Professor in Global Security and Geostrategy at the Center for Strategic a.nd lnte.rnational Studies, Washington DC. "A Transatlantic Strategy far 2020: The Political Dimension" by Robin Niblett, Director Chatham House (Royal Institute of International Affairs). "D~epe_nlilg the Trtinsatlahtic Economic Partnership". by the TPN Team. Presented by Bruce Stokes, Director of Global Economic Attitudes at the Pew Research Center, Wcishington. 0 Priorities for a Transatlantic Digital Transformation Agenda 2020" by Peter Linton, Advisor to the Board of GOvf:r'r1cirs, European Internet Forum. OveNieW of ConclUsioi;ls All four reports fully agree ·that the transatlantic relationship is in need of repair and renewal. The authors fear nt;!glect will h_eigh:t_en global insecurity, allowing China a clear path to pre-eminence and Russia more scape for dangerous opportunism. Overlaying al_l aspects of power, economic growth and political stability is the digital transformation of societies. The transatlantic partnership. has been eroding since the end of the Cold War. For Niblett the causes are:. strains provoked by globalization, cuts in European defence spending, European skepticism about lJS Middle East policies, disagreement over the boundaries of NATO and the EU, a revanchist Russia and a swttch in American strategic focus to the Asia-Pacific-. "For now no less than before, the broad questions raised over the past 60 years apply: If no.t America with Europe, with wham; if not Europe as a Union, how; if not the Union and NATO, what; and if not now, when?" Simon Serfaty . Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9:14:11 AM Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 0 1/28/2019 · 9: 14: 11 AM 9 "America First" has been in the making during previous presidencies but it may re.ach it_s apogee under Donald Trump, say both Serfaty and Stokes. For its part, the European Union.has put itself in harm's way through i.nterna.1 dissensions (Brexit being the most critically important) and failing to underpin the political and institutional foundations of the single currency. More lran.si;]t_l_ant_ic- consensus and a 1:om·mon agenda for politic'al action is urgently needed, says Niblett, despite obstacles created by domestic distractions. Rekindling the relat.ionship is a necessity and depends, argues Linton, on the need for "decisive progress on a common or at least inter9perable digital transforn,-atioli framework." "Seen from this vantage point, the tumultuous political events of 2016 - which included the British decision to leave the EU, the rise of populist politics across Europe, the election of Donald Trump as the next President of the United States ...... and the force/I!/ rea.ssertion of Russian power around its neighbourhood and into the Middle East - denote a brutal rupture from the dominant global position of the transatlantic partnership. These events also threaten to undermine the partnership itself." Robin Niblett . The two sides of the Atlantic face similar challenges. Many items on Stokes' list of problems are ccimmon to· an the essays:- economic inequalities that are fuelling populism, slow economic growth, geopolitical divisions, technological changes.and t.he future of work in the digital age. Recommendations for repair and renewal amount to a heavy agenda. Gloomy about the prospects for immediate improvement, S_erfaty urges an enhanced tra_nsatla_nti_c dialogue which ''might prevent everything from getting worse" for both NATO and the EU. North Korea most urgently tops his list of 5 stress tests for the relationship. Trump will want full allied support for ending that country's nuclear programme otherwise he will doubt. Europe's relevance, warns Serfaty. "But doing nothing is scarcely an option given the shared challenges facing both the European Union and the United States. The window of opportunity for a transatlantic effort to confront common p~ob/ems ond to maximize the benefits of Europe and Arrierica's sha_red economic leadership will not remain open indefinitely." Bruce Stokes Niblett identifies four main political goals for a transatlantic strategy for 2020 beginning with priJtecting liberal democratic values followed by hol_ding tra_nsat_l_ant,ic di_alogues a_nd .i,nstitut_ions to@"ether, managing a polyceritric world and dealing with interdependence. In the wake of the evaporation of the TTIP negotiations, Stokes wants a Transatlant.ic Economic Partnership 2020 prepared by a bilateral working group. It needs to deal with competition from China and the implications of robotics and artificial intelligence. Representatives from the US Congress and the European Parliament must be involved .in the construction, he argues. Linton's priorities for a "Transatlantic Digital Transformation Agenda" begin with th.e future of work and include ta.k.ing the global leadership role to ensure a balance between individual freedoms and the responsibility of the state to protect its citizens. '7here can therefore be no decisive progress toward a fully functioning XX/st century partnership between the United States and Europe (of the sort first envisioned by TPN 25 years ago) without a common - or at least interoperable - "digital transformation" policy framework, " Peter Linton Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9:14:11 AM Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9:14:11 AM 10 "Stay the Course" by Simon Serfaty Professor and Eminent Scholar, Old Dominion University, Norfolk, VA Zbigniew Brzezinski Chair (emeritus) in Global Security and Geostrategy, CSIS, Washington, DC 1. Staying the cou.rse for a balanced and meaningful transatlantic partnership will be difficult. There is too much uncertainty and turbulence for reliable assumptions about future conditions and behavior. This partnership is now threatened. NATO is unhinged, the E,U. astray, and the crisis this time appears to be truly existential. Now, after half a century of total_ wars and another half of Cold War, it would be folly for either side of the Atlantic to drift away from eac_h other, not because of some nostalgic evocation of a past that was never as "great" as it is made out to be, but because neither the United States and NATO nor the states of Europe and the E.U. can recapture that greatness and manage the emerging global disorder without the other. 2. While no truly global "world disorder" has ever ·existed, not even during the murderous first half of the past century, one appears to be emerging now. The new _American vision, the Trump administration claims, is not that of "a global community" but it is a "clear eyed" understanding of 11an arena where nations, non-governmental actors and businesses engage and compete for advantage." America's leadership, once thoug~t to be indispensable, has been lacking since the end of the Cold War; and its reach t.o the world, o_nce t_hought to be grounded in its "ex~_ept_ionalism" has become soulless and unmoored. 3. When deterring Ru~_sia's annexation of Crimea or Ch_ina's provocations in the South Sea, the United States has been barely heard, if at all; when negotiating ceasefires in Ukraine and in Syria, the. United States has been conspicuously absent; when standing up for values and fighting for the environment, the U.S. voice has become all too often unheard. After 60 years, the transatlantic partnership has become less than the sum of its parts, but there are enough functioning parts to fix the whole. 4. Even before Trump and Brexit, NATO was fading and the E.U. was troubled. Arguing for an . enhanced transatlantic dialogu·e to meet the strategic seriousne_ss of this moment does not overlook current ambivalence and shared apprehensions, but aims to acknowledge and possibly limit them. Now, "pay to play" is a forceful reprise of the burden-sharing refrain, with an .added chorus of EurO-scepticisrh that originated in Europe and resonate_s_ across the Atlantic, In Eu.rope, a habit of security dependence on its senior partner did not end with the passing of the Soviet Union. S. A new transatlantic agenda for security should now involve all 35 E.U. and NATO members to share strategic foresight, policy input, and capabilities for coordinated and complementary action Such a dialogue would at least confirm that all E.U. and NATO members remain committed to a vital partnership whose shared goals a_nd compatible values rely on essential sets of relevant and complementary capabilities. Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9:14:11 AM Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9: 14: 11 AM 11 6. The idea of Europe has become a contentious issue as its citizens disagree over what the E.U. is, debate what it does, ignore what it has achieved and differ over what to do next - all with self-defeating populist anti-E.U. tones that raise concerns of an, institutional rollback. Paradoxically this moment of int~a-European and transatlantic turbulence can even prove to be the shock _needed for a reset. In other words, while the United States takes an unpaid leave of absence, there is an opportunity for the states of Europe re-organize the_mselves as the ever-closer Un.ion they need to be. 7. Brexit is arguably the E.U.'s most immediate institut_ional test, There i.s no precedent. A small Eurbpea_n Cqmriiunity was started without Britain, but its exit now makes the E.U. look geographically disfigured, historically dismembered, economically crippled, strategically neutered, and, in the United States at least, culturally alien and politically estranged. For Britain, the risk is to think of the United States as a full'service alternative to the E.U., including a bilateral trade agreement as a trade-off for the single market while the United Statesth.i.nks of Brexit as a leap away from the E.U., thereby confining its vision of the transatlantic partnership to an increasingly divided NATO. Stress tests a. Russia - the learning from the Cold War is that the best deals that can be had with Moscow will be made easier if they rest on a strong and balanced transatlantic and intra-European platform. b. Ira.ii - keep the nuclear deal afloat. There can be no unilateral withdrawal from the multilateral nuclear accord with Iran. Indeed, it is when the United States had help from Europe that it got its best results. c. Radical Islam - the war with ISIS is only beginning, and expect, more and worse, with every new and ever more_ prc;:,vocativ~ act of terror having political and societal consequences in and outside the target country. d. North Korea - Europe's failure to respond to U.S. concerns would suggest that on issues of inestimable consequences to the United States, Europe is neithe'r a willing nor a relevant ally, irrespective of capabilities. Whatever problems China raises later, North Korea is an immediate .threat that may be about to take precedence over everything else. 8. Lord Ismay famously said that t_he Atlant.i.c Alliance aimed ·at keeping Russia out, America in and Germany down. Au fond, the vision of a transatlantic partnership has not changed all that much since these early Cold War days: keep Russia away, settle America in, and (with Germany now whole and free) build the E.U. up. Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9:14:11 AM Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9:14:11 AM 12 "A Transatlantic Strategy for 2020: The Political Dimension" by Robin Niblett Director, Chatham House (Royal Institute of International Affairs) 1. There is little settled foundation upon which to build a transatlantic strategy for 2020. The tumultuous political events of 2016 - which included the British decision to leave the EU, the rise of populist politics across Europe, the election of Donald Trump as President of the United States and the. forceful reassertion of Russian power around its neighbourhood and into the Middle East - denote a brutal rupture from the dominant global position of the transatlantic partnership. These events threaten to undermine the partnership itself. 2. Ever since the New Transatlantic Agenda was framed in 1995, notable forces have been pulling apart the threads that have bound the two sides of the Atlantic together: T.he exten.s.ion of free market principles to China and other developing economies has put great strain an the socio-economic fabrics of the U.S. and Europeah ~cpno_m_ies._ Increasing disagreements about the appropriate boundaries for the EU and NATO and, therefore, for the transatlantic partnership. America's strategic focus has been s~ifting ever more clearly to the Asia-Pacific. 3. If populist insurgencies can be held at bay in Europe during the course of 2017, then prospects for re-energising the transatlantic relationship in 2018-19 will improve. But U.. S. ancJ European policy makers will be fixated for the next two to three years on strengthening their domestic econon:,i_es and domestic security, as well as healing or simply holding together their fractured polities. 4. A Transatlantic Strategy through 2020 could. involve.facing up to four common challenges that the two sides remain best placed to confront together: • Protect the liberal, democratic systems of the members of the transatlantic partnership. U.S., C_an_adian and European leader~ could hold a summit meeting, potentially tb coilicide with a future NATO summit, at which they each commit, through a formal, jointly signed declaration, to the fundamental va.lue.s th.at define the purpose of the transatlantic partnership. • Ensu_re that the European Union and NA TO continue to serve as strong and essential pillars of the transatlantic partnership. Specific ideas for doing so could include: A concerted effort to overcome obstacles to closer security cooperat_ion between NATO and the EU. Moves by the U.S. and EU governments to give. substance to some of TTIP's principal innovations, in particular strengthening the role of sector-specific regulatory dialogues, involving national and EU legislators to a far greater extent. Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9: 14: 11 AM Received by NSD/F ARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9:14: 11 AM 13 A review in 2018 of currently planned NATO and EU enlargements and related partnership/association agreements with specific timelines for the pla~ned completion of those negotiations. • Avoid the risk that managing the changing balances of power in Asia (with a rising China) and in Europe (wit.h a more assertive Russia) damages transatlantic relations in the process. -Any attempt by the transatlantiC partnership to seek to 'contain' Russia's or China's search for a more influential role in their respective neighbourhoods is likely to prove counterprodu~ive, at best. The transati_antic partners should instead base their respOnses to.Chinese and Russian policies and actions on three principles: The cpns_istent application of international law, wit~ the use of economic and diplomatic sanctions where clear breaches occur. Openness to deeper economic engagement, providing this is undertaken within applicable legal frameworks, including those to promote transparency and reciprocity. Accepting the need. to invest in the collective diplomatic and military capacities to deter efforts by either country to pursue their regional goals by coercion or force. • Increase national resilience to a more interdependent and globally connected world. International terrorism, the rapid global spread of communicable diseases, the movement of people and climate change will all be inescapable features of the world in 2020. U.S. and European governments have a better chance of managing the risks and, thereby, being open to the opportunities of globalization if they can find ways to work together. Critical areas for deeper cooperation Will include d.ata"'"sharing on te_rrorist th_reats; tracking and managing the movement of people; preventing the spread of failing or failed states. Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9:14:11 AM Received by NSD/F ARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9: 14: 11. AM 14 "Priorities for a Transatlantic Digital Transformation Agenda 2020" by Peter Linton Senibr Advisor, European Internet Forum 1. Th.ere can. be no decisive progress toward a fully functioning XXlst century partnership between the United States and Europe (of the sort first envisioned by TPN 25 years ago) without a common - or at least interoperable - "digital transformation" policy framework. 2. Our purpose is to propose and provoke the establishment of a political framework and process embodying a ~ommitment at the political level to address such common interests and issues over the coming decade, leading to eventual joint action where called for. ~- The future of ou'r' 'Western' democracies - and therefore our Transatlantic Partnership - may well depend on common strategies and policies to transform the very foundations of our economic prosperity, social cohe·sion, collective security and governance through the pervasive uptake of digital tools and technologies. 4. If we do not institutionalise our dialogue and cooperation to set the principles and standards we wish to see govern the digitally transformed world of tomorrow, Others will. Dciing so will also create the essential foundation for greater transatlantic market integration in the digital age. 5. The two central questions for transatlantic partners atthe political level are: how to create, commit to and engage on a common "digital transformation" agenda, leading to eventual joint action where called for? what should be this agenda's priority issues? 6. We do not lack for prescriptive recommendations on Transatlantic digital issues priorities and possible actions for inclusion in our 2020 partnership agenda. But we do lack a coherent, compr~_hensive, over-arching political commitment a_nd framework, first set_ting ollt the Shared values and policy principles we intend to defend and promote in the digital age, and on this basis committing Transatlantic partners to joint engagement on a short-list of major issue priorities, within which any specific lSsue of agreed common interest and concern can find its place and process. To this end, at the political level we endorse: • The broader TPN recommendation to re-launch our efforts to create a Transatlantic Economic Partnership by 2020 (see the Bruce Stokes paper) which must include a forward-looking Digital Dialogue focused on our common interests and concerns. • For the political and security dimensions, an updating of the 1995 New Transatlantic Agenda to take account of the growing impacts of digital technologies. 7. Five major priorities for a XXlst century Transatlant.ic Digital Transformation Agenda : Priority n" 1: the future of work: Failure to recognise and address the work-related consequences of digitally-driven transformation threatens to undermine public and political support for trade and market integration 9n bot.h sides of the Atlantic and globally. Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9:14:11 AM Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9:14:11 AM 15 Priority n" 2: The need to deliver in ·a timely inanl'ler cor.nmon policies i_n the i_nte_re_st of citizens and consumers: .Newer '1 soft-law11 models may offer effective alternatives to tradit_ional legislative pathways unable to keep up with the pace of digital innovation .. In this context it is important to recognize that the corisumer·interest m~y it?¢1f if'u;reasingly challenge long-established policy and regulatory frameworks - as can clearly be seen in the so-called "collaborative economy". Priority n• 3: The need to clarify and address the expanding sphere of data policy: If we do not commit to seeking policy and regulatory compatibility within this expanding . data sphere, we won't achieve it do\;tnstream Where it matters. Priority n• 4: The need for common third country trade and inve_stment policies adapted to our digitally transforming world: The European Union currently has some _50 bilateral trade agreements in force or under negotiation with third countries, the U.S. some two dozen. Both are also WTO contracting parties, OECD members, and G20 participants. The digital dimension of third country relations is becoming both important and urgent .and requires a common approach by transatlantic. partners. Priority n• 5: The need for shared global leadership to integrate individual freedoms a_nd human rights with the responsibility of the state to protect its citizens: If a primary objective of Transatlantic partnership in the digital age remains to promote and protect our shared values at home and around the world, we cannot avoid this nexus of issues. A priority focus for such common effort must continue to be the evolving multilateral, multi-stakeholder 'internet governance' architecture. This paper,is the respor:isibility of its author and does not necessarily reflect the views of any individual participant or organization. • II. Scan the QR Code with your smartphone to download the full report with links to cited document.sand organi_zations, or visit www.eifon_l1ne.~~g for more inforrnat_ion. Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9:14:11 AM Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9:14:11 AM 16 "Deepening the Transatlantic Economic Partnership" by TheTPNTeam with the assistance of Bruce Stokes Director of Global Economic Attitudes at the Pew Research Center, Washington 1. A deepe_r Transatlantic Economic Partnership has never been more needed nor faced such formidable obstacles. 2. The United States and the European Union have suspended and may have doomed their joint effort to create a Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership. Populist oppositio"n has b~en formidable, especially where focused on common standard setting as in Germany, while the United Kingdom's deciSion to leave the Europe·an Union became a serious distraction and the American choice of a mercantilist Donald Trump as president has further soured prospects for TTIP. 3. The window of opport_unity for a t_ransatlantic effort to confront common problems and to maximize the benefits of Europe and .America's shared economic leadership will not remain open indefinitely. Economies are changing·too rapidly and ~cohomic compet_i_tors are gai_ning ground on both Europe and the United States, 4. Whatever their political leanings, Americans and Europeans will have to accept that deepening the transatlantic market is not possible without compatible efforts to provide their citizens with the skills needed to compete in the marketplace, the reassurance that there will be jobs for them i_n the future economy and a safety net to cushion the disruptions attendant with a rapidly changing economy. 5, To revive the transatl~ntic economic dialogue, Americans and Europeans need to redefine the parameters of economic partnership so as to broaden its scope beyond tariffs, non-tariff barriers and regulatory convergence. It must now include dealing with the challenges of growing competition with China and other emerging economies, the digital age and the implications for the future of work of globalization and its harnessing to robotics and artific_ial intelligence. 6. Brussels and Washington should not be deterred from their ultimate goal: a barrier-free transatlantic market by a certain date. The long-term health of the transatlantic community and future of the Transatlantic Alliance rests in the balance. 7. To that end, the European Union and the United States should: a) Aim to re-launch thefr efforts to create a Transatlantic Economic Partnership by 2020. b) Establish a bilateral working group, under top-level leadership, focused on the Transatlantic Economic Partnership 2020. The group should assess the lessons learned from the TTIP negotiations, sort out the implications for transatlantic . commerce of the UK e_xit from the EU and make recommendations about how to pr'oceed with transatlantic negotiations. Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9:14:11 AM Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9: 14:11 AM 17 c) Engage members of the U.S. Congress and the EU Pa.rliament in these deliberations charged with reporting back to their respective legislative committees with public reports. Complimenting this effort as appropriate, EU and U.S. legislative committees should invite their t:oUnter·parts to testify on issues of joint interest. d) The Transatlanti.c Business, Labor, Consumer and Environmental Dialogues should conduct their own assessment of the TTIP negotiations and make recommendations to the Transatlantic Economic Partnership 2020 dialogue. e) Create a Digital Dialogue with business, labor and consumer representatives, to make recommendations on how to deal with the challenges and opportunities posed by the emerging digital economy. f) Organize a consortium of European and American think tanks to make joint recommendat.ions, based on experience on bot_h sides of _the Atlantic, on how to best prepare Americans and Europeans to cope with rapid change. They should look at educational and retraining needs and the social s·afety net, including a universal income. The Economic Context 8. While economic growth has picked up somewhat, both the EU and the U.S. are troubled by low levels of investment, in.adequate consumer demand, slow productivity growth, troubling trajectories for government debt, stubbornly high unemployment in Europe among young people and among minorities in both Europe and the United States, and an ageing population in Europe. Nor is the outlook encouraging, the lnternat_ional Monet.ary Fun.d expects t.he U.S. to be growing by no more than 1.6% in 2021, while the euro area will be expanding at 1.5% per year. 9. The effects oft.he Gre.at Recession are still being felt a decade later and current economic problems may only worsen in the medium term thanks to robotics and artificial intelligence. The OECD estimates that 12% of the German and Spanish populations, 10% of the UK public and 9% of the French and American population are at risk of losing their jobs to automation. 10. A digital revolution is occurring on both sides of the Atlantic that will transform both economies and societies. No progress toward a fully functioning 21" century partnership betwe.en the U.S. and Europe is possible without a cOl'Tlriion or at least i.nteroj:l~rc[lble digit_al policy framework requiring new and coordinated approaches to public policy to maximize the effectiveness of digital technology and to deal with its inevitable effects on society. The Political Context 11. Populist opposition to globalization is on the rise in new and impac~ul ways. A median of 56% in ten EU countries representing three-quarters of the EU population and economy believe that their nation's involvement in the global economy is· a good thing because it provides new markets and opportunities for growth. But barely half the French and Poles and only four-in-ten Italians and a third of the Greeks agree. 12. At the same time, only 44% of Americans believe that U.S. i.nvolvem.ent in the glob~I economy is a good thing. And a plurality says trade slows the economy, destroys jobs and lowers wages. While half the public thinks free trade agreements are good for the country, this proportion is down nine perc~ntage points in just the last two years. Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 0 1/28/2019 9: 14: 11 AM Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9:14:11 AM 18 13~ The looming jol;> Qislocation t.hreatenec;t b1/ greater •reliance on artificial intelligence and robots may trigger its own populist reaction among white-collar workers who have previously thrived on change. This disconnect between the public's rea.!ization that artificial intelligence and robotics are changing the nature of economic activity while they still deny that it will impact on their own life is a proscription for political backlash. the Strategic Context 14. The impetus for deeper U.S.-EU economic integration is also driven by i_ncreasi_ngly challenging geopolitical concerns. The EU's trade deficit with China grew by 35% from 2013 to 2015 while Chinese investment in the EU surged by 77% in 2016, notably targeting advanced manufacturing assets. The U.S. trade deficit with China is growing alongside very s_ignificant Chine_se investments in the U_.S. in services and advanced manUfacturing. is. The imposition of ei;:onomic ·sanctions on Russia after its intervention in Ukraine involves a much more significant loss of exports for the EU than it does for the U.S. Unless this shortfall in EU trade is replaced by growing exports and imports with ot_her parts of the world, commercial p_ressu.re in. Europe to lift or weaken the sanctions is likely to grow, potentially undermining a common transatlantic stance in strategic re"lations with Moscow. The Social Compact 16. The human costs 9f adjusting to change should not be underestimated and this challenge calls for complementary policy measures to ensure that the transatlantic ec·onomy of the future works for all. Both Europe and the United States need to commit th.emselves to stronger l)~sic edl,lc.ation to creat_e a ·firmer foundation of literacy and numeracy for all their citizens. And they need to institute lifelong learning programs, apprenticeships and other means of upgrading skills to e_nsure that their citiZens can succeed in the world of the future. 17. No Room for Failure Europe and American cannot afford to fail in creating a transatlantic economic partnership. The cost of failure would be profound and long lasting. Potenti.al economic growth and jobs would be lost, prolonging the recent slowdown. There would be no bilateral spur to revival of multilateral trade and investment liberalization. Future global technical standards and regulatory norms and practices would not reflect transatlantic values and the EU and the United States would contJnu_e to drift apart economically and strategically. 18. Transatlantic relations would be less predictable and more ad hoc-, shaped issue_ by issue. They could be complicated by a two-speed Europe enabling the United States to concentrate m_ore on relations with individual European governments and undermining a half centi.iry of Europe's effort to speak with one voice in dealing With America. Received by NSD/F ARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9:14:11 AM Received by NSD/F ARA Registration Unit 0 1/28/2019 9: 14: 11 AM 19 Follow-up Ideas/ Key Themes IMPORTANT IDEAS ARISING FROM TA WEEK FOR FOLLOW UP: With the release and examination of four think pieces at TA Week covering aspects of security, . political, digital and economic TA policies for the period 2017 - 2020, there was a central observation made by many commentators that the value of the Network at this critical juncture was to provide continuity. Keep_ contacts alive, keep coming to DC, keep talking and act wherever possible. Here below are some suggestions for key issues to be addressed over the months ahead under the four major headings of the th.ink pieces : SECUR.ITY DI.MEN.SION: Develop Russian contacts with strong TA platform; How to handle Turkey and the refugee question; Consider how to evolve a TA agenda for security sharing strategic foresight. POLITICAL DIMENSION: How to handle TA cooperation with China as economic shift to As.ia deepens; Develop greater security cooperation between EU/NATO e.g. East/South Europe; Pinpoint those issues e.g. digital, terrorism and sustainability for joint US/EU action. DIGITAL DIMENSION: Develop action programme to deal with issues around the Future of Work: Seek a basic TA structure for data policy; How to ac.hieve a sustainable framework for a TA digital dialogue. ECONOMIC DIMENSION: _Need to move beyond barriers in t.rade agenda e.g. with digital dimension and skills; Keep on track for TTIP successor: Explore how best to develop multilateral NAFTA and Latin American dimension; Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 01/28/2019 9:14: 11 AM