COVER STORY • Exploring for the Best Models of an Aging Society – Lessons from Japanese Experience • 7
Photo: Stephanie Kleinman he Field of Gerontology: Views from the Past, Present & Future TBy Pinchas Cohen Author Pinchas Cohen
Introduction Due to declining fertility rates, the report also predicts that adults aged 60 and over will soon outnumber children younger than age Russian microbiologist Elie Metchnikoff is believed to have first five. coined the term “gerontology” – the comprehensive multidisciplinary A 2017 United Nations report, “World Population Ageing”, projects study of aging and older adults – in 1903. that the number of people aged 80 or over will increase more than “Scientists have been neglecting aging, which nonetheless threefold between 2017 and 2050, rising from 137 million to 425 presents a problem of great interest,” he wrote around that time, million. The same report states that Japan was the world’s most according to author Luba Vikhanski in Immunity: How Elie aged population in 2017, with a third of the population at age 60 or Metchnikoff Changed the Course of Modern Medicine (Chicago older, and projects that it will remain so through 2050. Another UN Review Press, 2016). Metchnikoff went on to win the Nobel Prize for report notes that the highest proportion of young people today – his still-relevant discoveries related to the immune system. But his nearly nine out of 10 – live in less developed countries, where life is call for a discipline devoted to exploring how we live and age has harder due to poverty, instability and a lack of access to education proved equally, if not more, prescient. and health care (The State of the World Population, 2014). Taken together, these global demographic trends make the field of A Field Necessitated by Global Change gerontology more relevant than ever (Chart 1).
When Metchnikoff was alive in the early 1900s, life expectancy Longevity, Healthspan & Lifespan was limited in large part by the fact that many infants and children never made it to adulthood, due to early deaths from infections and While the number of centenarians is going up, maximal life parasites, according to “Global Health and Aging”, a 2015 report expectancy looks unlikely to change, according to a study led by Jan from the World Health Organization (WHO) and the United States’ Vijg (Nature, 2016). While individuals will be less likely to die at 60, National Institute on Aging (NIA). Life
expectancy increased with improvements in CHART 1 sanitation and hygiene, the discovery of World population map antibiotics and the start of vaccination programs, according to “Achievements in PERCENT OF POPULATION AGES 65 AND OLDER (2050) Public Health, 1900-1999: Control of 3%-8% 9%-14% 15%-20% 21%-27% 28%-36% Infectious Diseases” (Centers for Disease Control, 1999). “In a century the world changed markedly from having almost no countries with life expectancy more than 50 years to having many countries with a life expectancy of 80 years as life expectancy almost doubled in the long-lived part of the world,” wrote Prof. Eileen Crimmins of the University of Southern California Leonard Davis School of Gerontology (The Gerontologist, Vol. 55, Issue 6, December 2015). The “Global Health and Aging” report calls this dramatic increase in life expectancy during the 20th century, “one of society’s greatest achievements”. Source: Population Reference Bureau, “2018 World Population Data Sheet” https://www.jef.or.jp/journal/ Japan SPOTLIGHT • July / August 2019 29 COVER STORY 7
CHART 2 and 2017, while deaths from Alzheimer’s disease increased by 145%, Estimate of lifespan, healthspan & according to the Alzheimer’s Association (Facts and Figures, 2019), disability span which also notes that by the year 2050, 13.8 million people in the US
Ag alone are projected to have Alzheimer’s, barring the development of 90 new treatments or prevention methods. an l span Among the most important interventions to work toward are those 0 an alt span against Alzheimer’s and related dementias. Understanding, 0 preventing and conquering these devasting illnesses is crucial, as is 0 the development of new policies in health care, housing and more to 0 address the challenges of an older population facing dementia risks.