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Home , Bob Shrum, Joe Lieberman, John Edwards, John Kerry, Lauch Faircloth

Sunday, Aug. 6, 2000 ! Volume 7, Number 2 Page 1 of 3 Bayh still in the mix The as pundits weigh in Howey !"#$%"&'()*%%+'(,-*.*%/$0(1$2*(3-1& By BRIAN A. HOWEY The Howey Political Report - After monitoring scores of Political Sunday newspapers and the morning political talk shows, HPR believes U.S. Sen. is still under serious con- sideration by for the vice presidential nomination. Report , Globe, Tribune, Times and ABC News all identified Bayh as on the latest weekend short list. The Howey Political Report is published by NewsLink Top Gore aides insisted a decision has not been made, Inc. Founded in 1994, The Howey Political Report is an independent, non-partisan newsletter analyzing the as the vice president’s braintrust did the same thing we were political process in Indiana. doing - watching the papers and TV shows for reactions to trial balloons. “A decision hasn’t been made yet,” said strate- Brian A. Howey, publisher gist on CBS’s Face the Nation. “The people who Mark Schoeff Jr., Washington writer know something aren’t talking. The people who are talking Jack E. Howey, editor don’t know anything about it.” The Howey Political Report Office: 317-254-1533 Gore campaign manager William Daley, speaking on PO Box 40265 Fax: 317-466-0993 ABC’s This Week with Sam & Cokie, also said a decision Indianapolis, IN 46240-0265 Mobile: 317-506-0883 hadn’t been made and said that Gore was looking for a veep [email protected] “who would be credible.” Daley added, “We’re not going to www.howeypolitics.com talk about any of the candidates. Every one of these candi- dates the vice president is considering.” Washington office: 202-775-3242; Business Office: 317-254-0535. reported that “gender, religion and length of time in office will not determine his choice of run- Subscriptions: $250 annually via e-mail or ning mate.” The Globe said that a “sense of frenzied tension fax. Call 317-254-1533. has set in” and said that the television networks “have dis- © 2000, The Howey Political Report. All rights patched producers to trail four of the likely candidates” - reserved. Photocopying, Internet forwarding, faxing or Bayh, Edwards, Kerry and Lieberman. The Globe reported reproducing in any form, in whole or in part, is a viola- that “each of the potential running mates has provided Gore tion of federal law and is strictly prohibited without consent of the publisher. with telephone numbers where he can be reached. And each has been told to expect a resolution by tonight or early tomorrow.”

Gore speaks On the ABC News website, Gore said, “I don’t think “"The people who know something aren’t Washington experience is the only experience that’s relevant talking. The people who are talking don’t to leadership and to this country.” Asked about a potential Jewish candidate, Gore said, know anything about it...." “I don’t think those old distinctions and categories matter - Bob Shrum, Gore strategist, on Continued on page 2 CBS’s Face the Nation on Sunday. Beginning Our 7th Year of Covering the Golden Age of Hoosier Sunday, Aug. 6, 2000 Page 2 of 4 these days, the way they did in the past. I in Midwestern media markets such as think we’ve grown as a nation. I think Chicago, Cincinnati and Louisville, plus we’ve grown beyond that kind of attitude. most of Indiana’s non-Indianapolis TV I think that the day is coming when that’ll markets that beam widely into Illinois, be completely irrelevant in all of our poli- Kentucky, Michigan and - that HPR tics.” has been forecasting as a Bayh strength to NBC POLL: An NBC Poll Daley said that the decision would the Democratic ticket. released during Sunday’s be announced at noon Tuesday in Following the Republican conven- edition of Nashville. Cokie Roberts asked, “Will we tion, both Gore and Bush bee-lined to the revealed Republican George know who it is before that?” Daley Midwest. Gore spoke in Chicago on Bush leading Democrat Al responded, “I hope not.” Friday and once his veep decision is Gore, 47 to 36 percent. It Speaking on ABC, analyst George made, is expected to tour the Midwest reported that Green Party Stephanopolous was asked by Sam with several governors, actor Rob Reiner, nominee was Donaldson, “Any idea who it is?” and President Clinton. the Washington getting 7 percent of the Post reported on Sunday. Democratic vote. Stephanopolous responded that Gore has “a penchant for surprises.” The reported RUSSERT ID’s THREE: Tim that Gore has campaign stops scheduled in Russert, host of NBC’s Meet Evan Bayh next Sunday, an Aug. 14 rally the Press, identified Sens. The primary rap against Bayh is in Independence, Mo., and an Aug. 15 , about a month old - that he would alarm rally in Michigan. and “appar- Bush commenced his “Change the ently the three finalists.” rights groups. ABC’s Cokie Roberts mentioned Bayh “had dropped Tone Tour” in Ohio, Michigan and Illinois. FILLING SENATE SEATS: down on some lists” and said that “some Senate Majority Leader Tom critics” in the pro-choice movement have Daschle was asked if he protested his stance against partial birth Joe Lieberman was concerned that Kerry . Daley said that wouldn’t elimi- Bayh’s primary rivals (in order) and Lieberman’s Senate nate Bayh from consideration and noted Sen. John Edwards and seat could be filled by that he had been elected governor and Sen. John Kerry have been Republican governors if senator “from a Republican state.” taken major broadsides by TV pundits and Gore won. Daschle told newspaper columnists. Sen. NBC’s Meet the Press, “It Other than Cokie Roberts com- Joe Lieberman was hailed as the “coura- concerns me, but what con- ments - including one that both Kerry and cerns me more is having Bayh, like Gore, attended St. Albans geous” choice, but , chairman someone who can assume school - there were virtually no com- of the Democratic National Committee, the presidency.” When ments, pro or con, on Bayh. was quoted by the Daily News Russert showed comments The Indianapolis Star reported in saying, “Joe Lieberman would be a bold, Daschle made to Roll Call in its Sunday edition that Bayh’s legal work courageous choice. I don’t think anyone saying that he didn’t want a for Eli Lilly Co. could hurt him as Gore can calculate the effect of having a Jew senator chosen from a state intends to thematically take on big oil and on the ticket. If Joe Lieberman was with a Republican governor, big drug companies. But Bayh supporters Episcopalian, I think he’d almost be a he said, “Well, obviously it’s slam dunk.” a concern.” When Russert said that his knowledge of the industry asked Daschle if he was would actually give him more credibility Some Democrats have worried that concerned by Edwards’ on the issue. They also like his ability to Lieberman would not be able to campaign mere 17 months of service attract moderates and independents. from sunset Fridays to sunset Saturdays in public office, the senator Cokie Roberts noted that George due to his religious convictions. responded, “George Bush W. Bush had only an 11-point lead com- has absolutely no ing out of the Republican convention and John Kerry Washington experience.” observed, “That is not a big bounce in the Last Thursday, the inside talk was Obviously, Daschle was not including Bush’s service to polls. We could be looking to Cook that Kerry was all set to be named veep. County on election night.” USA Today’s Susan Page was still identi- Continued on page 3 It is that factor - Bayh’s familiarity fying him as “the likely choice” on CNN’s Page 3 of 4 Sunday, Aug. 6, 2000

Late Edition. Late Edition, said, “He looks like a TV Steve Roberts of U.S. News and weatherman. It would be weird.” World Report, talking on CNN’s Late USA Today’s Susan Page said that Edition, said of Kerry and Lieberman, “To Edwards’ choice “would give away pick another Massachusetts Democrat.... Gore’s best issue - is he ready to be presi- Lieberman is a better choice, but is the dent.” his father in the White country really ready for a Jewish vice New York Daily News columnist House. president?” Michael Kramer reported that Edwards is Roberts continued that Kerry had a at the top of Gore’s list. “They’re working ABC NEWS said that Bush Capitol Hill reputation of being a “show very hard - in their own minds - to over- had a 12 point lead over horse, not a work horse.” come the hurdles they see in choosing Gore in its first post-con- Kerry would satisfy Gore’s need to Edwards. The first is Edwards’ relative vention poll. demagogue big oil and big drug compa- inexperience. He’s been in the Senate for nies. In Chicago on Friday, Gore said, just 17 months, and that makes it harder to McCAIN COMING TO INDY: U.S. Sen. John McCain will “Behind the flashing video wall is an say that he’d be ready to be president if make a campaign appear- agenda of rising gas prices and smog- something happens to Gore. On that score, ance on behalf of Indiana filled skies that is of Big Oil, by Big Oil, would be quite striking, The gubernatorial candidate and for Big Oil.” other stumbling block to Gore’s selecting David McIntosh at 1 p.m. Chicago Sun-Times columnist Edwards is his career as a millionaire trial Monday at the City Market Michael Sneed said that “Al Gore’s veep lawyer.” in downtown Indianapolis. vetters, who are circling around John Kramer quoted an unnamed Gore Kerry, are very concerned about news that aide as saying, “That can hurt, too. Many " Kerry has cosmetic surgery on his chin ... people hate trial lawyers, since they see and that may work against him.” Fellow them doing things like suing doctors and Sun-Times columnist winning big verdicts, which then drive up reported that “GOP leaders said they are health care costs - and Edwards has been rooting for Kerry, contending he would incredibly successful one of that breed.” pull the ticket to the left.” Edwards, who got his start as a Kerry was quoted in the Boston lawyer defending record companies Globe while loading up his SUV from a accused to pirating Elvis Presley records, vacation as saying, “I don’t know more defeated Sen. in the 1998 than you do.” and spent $10 million of his own money Many pundits have read into the ($14 million raised) to win by 4 percent. fact that Gore will make his announce- ment at a War Memorial in Nashville as a HPR Analysis tip towards Kerry’s selection. We’ve seen three different so-called “front runners” vetted in successive days John Edwards by secretive Gore campaign sources. All Several newspapers and TV shows have taken some substantial punches by identified Edwards as at the top of Gore’s the media and various constituencies. list. But that notion brought much scorn We’re struck that Bayh’s chief liability from in much the same way was vetted more than a month ago. that ’s selection did in 1988. We are also intrigued by both the Said Steve Roberts on CNN’s Late Bush and Gore campaigns heading Edition, “If he walked into this studio I straight to the Midwest and Cokie Roberts wouldn’t recognized him. I don’t see how comments about Cook County on election this guy is plausible to serve as presi- night. At this writing, we still believe that dent.” of the National Sen. Bayh is still under serious considera- Standard, also commenting on CNN’s tion. " Sunday, Aug. 6, 2000 Page 4 of 4

What do the Bulen Symposium, The Indiana Democratic Editorial Association, The Fort Wayne Business Forum, The Lugar Series, The Bowen Institute, The Economic Club of Michiana, Evansville Chamber of Commerce, Indiana Bankers Association, Indiana Libertarian Party, Fort Wayne Rotary Club, Allen County Republicans, Marion County Democratic Chairman’s Club, and Elkhart County League of Women Voters have in common?

(They’ve all had HPR’s Brian Howey appear before their members to give his unique insights and perspectives on the Indiana political process).

The Call 317-254-1533 or Howey e-mail [email protected] Political for availability and fee schedule. Report

Beginning Our 7th Year of Covering the Golden Age of Hoosier Politics