Community Meeting #3 Boards
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Welcome to the VRE Gainesville-Haymarket Extension (GHX) Study Community Meeting 6:00 - 6:30 Sign In and Review Display Boards 6:30 - 7:30 Presentation, Q&A 7:30 - 8:00 Review Display Boards, Complete Survey Study Area See Enlarged Map Source: GIS Data Prince William County 2015. Project Goals 1. Add capacity to the I-66 corridor 2. Accommodate current and future freight operations 3. Provide cost-effective and reliable mobility options 4. Enhance service on existing line for current and future riders 5. Support local and regional economic development plans Project ScheduleProject Overview We are here 2015 2016 2017JUL AUG 2018 SEP OCT2019 NOV 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Planning Environmental Preliminary Design Final Design Current Study Construction Project Activities Project Start Up Contingent upon Norfolk Southern approval and funding availability. REVENUE PROJECT DEVELOPMENT PROJECT IMPLEMENTATION SERVICE Phase Project Project ScheduleSchedule as of Novemberas of April 2016 20 Selecting a Preferred Alternative Environmental Preliminary Alternatives Analysis Review (NEPA)** Engineering Initial Evaluate Publish FONSI** Alternatives Refined Initial NEPA Analysis Alternatives Recommend Final LPA JUL JUL OCT DEC JAN Mid- Fall Fall 2015 2016 2016 2016 2017 2017 2017 2017 Evaluate Wide VRE Publish Draft VRE Range Initial Operations Board Environmental Operations Alternatives Recommends NEPA Assessment Board Adopts Alternatives(s) for Recommend LPA Additional Study Draft Locally Preferred We are here Alternative (LPA) * The National Environmental Policy Act of 1969 (NEPA) and its implementing regulations establish a process to assess and disclose the anticipated impacts of proposed federal actions on the human environment. ** A Finding of No Significant Impact (FONSI) is issued when environmental analysis and interagency review during the Environmental Assessment process find a project to have no significant impacts on the quality of the environment. VRE Manassas Line Benefits Economic Development Ridership and Mobility Growth Focused Around VRE Lorton Station I-66 Corridor Person Throughput (2040) 250% 25,000 Tract Adjacent to Station 229% General Purpose Lanes Metrorail Station Study Area Express/HOV VRE Gainesville-Haymarket Extension Broader Area Bus 200% 20,000 150% 15,000 Percent Growth Percent 113% Persons per Hour Persons 100% 10,000 50% 43% 41% 5,000 17% 0% 0 -5% Population 1990 - 2014 Employment 1990 - 2014 US 15 US 29 US 50 I-495 234 Bypass Route 234/ Source: AECOM Analysis, 2016. Source: Adapted from Transform 66 (Centreville) Outside the Beltway, Tier 2 EA, June 2016. Nutley Street • Support greater tax revenues • VRE Manassas Line complements I-66 and US 50/29 for east-west • Minimize sprawl and conserves open space regional travel • Additional travel choice is needed in I-66 corridor to provide long- term congestion relief Reduced Traffic and Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) Change from Existing Conditions Broad Run Innovation Gainesville Terminus Haymarket (Relocated) Terminus 2 Stations 3 Stations Terminus Reduction due to having 214 1,159 4,566 7,083 8,460 a closer VRE station Reduction by Source: The Cosmopolitan at Lorton Station attracting new 51,834 72,334 79,791 88,702 93,886 VRE riders Total VMT 52,048 73,493 84,357 95,785 102,346 reduction Source: AECOM Analysis, 2016. Note: VMT figures corrected since December 7 community meeting. Alternatives Analysis Process Equipment Service Plan Station Location Alignment/Route Storage Facility Screening of Initial Alternatives Refined Refined Alternative Alternative Evaluation of Refined Alternatives We are here Recommended Alternatives for Environmental Review Initial Alternative Screening Criteria and Key Findings Project Element Key Screening Considerations Findings and Recommendations • Norfolk Southern Railway (NS) impacts • Advance “Local” service option (serve all stations). • Ability to attract new riders • Increase frequency of VRE service to 20 Service Plans • Operating costs minutes. • Operate within existing freight railroad • For extension alternatives discontinue service operating agreements to Broad Run station. • Physical suitability and access • Recommended sites vary by refined Station Locations • Land use and economic development alternative. • Environmental considerations • Capital costs Alignment/Route • Minimal disruption to NS operations • Analyze different terminus options. • Ability to attract new riders • Physical suitability Equipment Maintenance • End-of-line site identified for each refined • Minimal disruption to NS operations and Storage Facility alternative. • Environmental considerations Initial Alternatives Annual 2040 Daily Capital Cost Alternative O&M Cost Diagram Ridership1 (2016$)2 (2016$) Existing Service 9,140 --3 $29 M (16 trains per day) Enhanced Service Options: 6 additional daily trains (22 trains per day) Broad Run Terminus 14,010 $300 M $36 M Extension & Broad 13,680 $550 - 650 M $48 M Run (Split Service) Extension 14,720 $550 - 650 M $45 M Extension + Off- 15,920 $570 - 680 M $72 M Peak Shuttle The best performing alternatives advanced for detailed analysis. Refined Alternatives Annual Alternative 2040 Daily Capital Cost O&M Cost Diagram (Trains per Day) Ridership1 (2016$)2 (2016$) Existing Service 10,220 --3 $29 M (16) Broad Run Terminus (Relocated) 15,350 $345 M $36 M (22) Innovation Terminus 15,820 $580 - $633 M $37 M (22) Gainesville Terminus 16,100 $572 - $616 M $40 M (2 stations) (22) Gainesville Terminus 16,340 $592 - 631 M $40 M (3 stations) (22) Haymarket Terminus 16,460 $612 - 660 M $45 M (22) 1. VRE/MWCOG Travel Demand Model: Initial Alternatives as of April 2016 and Refined Alternatives as of September 2016. 2. Initial alternatives capital cost includes rolling stock and train maintenance and storage facility (MSF). Low range assumes construction of 1 additional track (2 tracks total) and full 100 foot right- of-way (ROW); high range assumes construction of 2 additional tracks (3 tracks total) and full 100 foot ROW. 3. Capital costs associated with existing service TBD. Note: ALX: Alexandria Station; BRU: Broad Run/Airport Station; GVL: Gainesville Station; HAY: Haymarket Station; INV: Innovation/Sudley Station; MSS: Manassas Station; PWS: Prince William Station; WAS: Union Station. 2015 Manassas Line 2040 GHX Stations Ridership Potential 2040 2040 Manassas Line Refined Alternatives 18,000 16,100 16,340 16,460 15,350 15,820 15,000 Existing Service Span 5:00 AM - 8:00 PM 12,000 Existing Service 10,220 (16 trains per day) Trains every 30 minutes during peak period 9,000 Daily Ridership Daily 6,000 Enhanced Service Options: 3,000 6 additional daily trains (22 trains per day) 0 Broad Run Innovation Gainesville Gainesville Haymarket Existing Service Terminus Terminus (2 Stations) (3 Stations) Terminus (16) Relocates Broad Run (Relocated) (22) (22) (22) (22) Source: VRE/MWCOG (22) Broad Run Terminus station Travel Demand Model 2016 (Relocated) (22) Expands existing yard Capital Cost $612 to Realigns Manassas Line $700 $592 to $580 to $572 to $660 M to Innovation terminus $633 M $612 M $631 M $600 Innovation Terminus Eliminates Broad Run station $500 New end-of-line yard $400 $345 Realigns Manassas Line Millions to Gainesville - Prince $300 Gainesville Terminus William Station terminus Eliminates Broad Run $200 (2 stations) station $100 New end-of-line yard Total Estimated Capital Cost (2016$) Estimated Capital Total $0 Realigns Manassas Line Broad Run Innovation Gainesville Gainesville Haymarket Existing Service Terminus Terminus (2 Stations) (3 Stations) Terminus to Gainesville - US 29 (16) (Relocated) (22) (22) (22) (22) Gainesville Terminus terminus (22) Eliminates Broad Run Source: VRE cost estimates 2016 (3 stations) station New end-of-line yard Operations and Maintenance Cost $50 Realigns Manassas Line $45 to Haymarket terminus $40 $40 $40 Haymarket Terminus Eliminates Broad Run $36 $37 station New end-of-line yard $30 $29 Note: ALX: Alexandria Station; BRU: Broad Run/Airport Station; GVL: Gainesville Station; HAY: Haymarket Station; INV: Innovation/Sudley Station; MSS: Manassas Station; PWS: Prince William Station; WAS: Union Station Millions $20 $10 Annual O&M Cost (2016$) Annual $0 Broad Run Innovation Gainesville Gainesville Haymarket Existing Service Terminus Terminus (2 Stations) (3 Stations) Terminus (16) (Relocated) (22) (22) (22) (22) (22) Note: Operating costs based on VRE FY15 average cost per train mile Source: VRE cost estimates 2016 Refined Station and Yard Sites Source: GIS Data Prince William County 2015. Broad Run Station Constraints Existing Conditions Broad Run Yard Expansion • Expansion of existing storage tracks and additional storage tracks needed to accommodate longer and more trains. • Floodplain and airport limit expansion of the yard to the west and east. • Extension of existing storage tracks for longer trains encroaches on platform. • Expansion storage tracks for more tracks eliminates platform altogether. • Current Broad Run station and parking closed. • New relocated Broad Run station near Godwin Drive and Prince William Parkway. • Expansion would accommodate 12 ten-car trainsets plus spares. Source: Google Earth Refined Station and Yard Sites Broad Run Terminus (Relocated) Innovation Terminus Gainesville Terminus (Two Options) Haymarket Terminus Refined Alternatives Broad Run Terminus (Relocated) Innovation Terminus • Expand existing • Opportunity for Broad Run yard to mixed-use accommodate 12 station area ten-car trainsets development plus spares • Requires track • Relocated