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The Land Warfare Papers THE LAND WARFARE PAPERS No. 22 OCTOBER 1995 Scud Alert! The History, Development and Military Significance of Ballistic Missiles on Tactical Operations Bryon E. Greenwald A National Security Affairs Paper Published on Occasion by THE INSTITUTE OF LAND WARFARE ASSOCIATION OF THE UNITED STATES ARMY Arlington. Virginia SCUD ALERT! THE HI STORY, DEVELOPMENT AND MILITARY SIGNIFICANCE OF BALLISTIC MISSILES ON TACTICAL OPERATIONS by Bryon E. Greenwald The Institute of Land Warfare ASSOCIATION OF THE UNITED STATES ARMY AN AUSA INSTITUTE OF LAND WARFARE PAPER The purpose of the Institute of Land Warfare is to extend the educational work of AUSA by sponsoring scholarly publications, to include books, monographs and essays on key defense issues, as well as workshops and symposia. A work selected for publica­ tion as a Land Warfare Paper represents research by the author which, in the opinion of the editorial board, will contribute to a better understanding of a particular defense or national security issue. Publication as an Institute of Land Warfare Paper does not indi­ cate that the Association of the United States Army agrees with everything in the paper, but does suggest that the Association believes the paper will stimulate the thinking of AUSA members and others concerned aboutimportant defense issues. LAND WARFARE PAPER NO. 22, OCTOBER 1995 Scud Alert! The History, Development and Military Significance of Ballistic Missiles on Tactical Operations by Bryon E. Greenwald Major Bryon E. Greenwald is currently assigned to the 1st Cavalry Division as a G3 war planner. He is a 1981 graduate of the U.S. Military Academy and later served there teaching military history. He holds a Master's degree in History from The Ohio State University and a Master of Military Arts and Sciences degree from the Command and General Staff College. Major Greenwald has written several articles on military affairs and reviewed books for numerous journals including MilitaryReview and Army. This paper is based on an original work prepared by the author as required by the School of Advanced Military Studies, Fort Leavenworth, Kansas. The paper represents the opinion of the author and should not be taken to represent the views of the Department of the Army, the Department of Defense, the Institute of Land Warfare, or the Association of the United States Army or its members. Inquiries regarding this and futureLand WarfarePapers should be directed to: Asso­ ciation of the United States Army, Institute ofLand Warfare, telephone: 1-800-336-4570 or 703-841-4300, extension 320. ii CONTENTS Foreword ................................................................................................................v Introduction.................... ....................................................................................... 1 Critical Concepts......................... ...........................................................................3 The History, Development and Current Status of Ballistic Missiles ....................... .4 Ballistic and Cruise Missiles .............................................................................4 Early Ballistic Missile History.................... ....................................................... 5 Recent Ballistic Missile Development.. .............................................................. 6 Third World Missile Status ............................................................................. 10 The Effectof Ballistic Missiles on Tactical Battle Space ........................................ 12 Deployment and Early Entry.......... ................................................................. 12 Buildup and Expansion..................................................................... .............. 14 Decisive Operations..... ................................................................................... 15 Redeployment and Postconflict................... ......... ........................................... 17 Conclusion........................................................................................................... 17 Endnotes.................. ............................................................................................ 19 iii FOREWORD While the Persian Gulf War confirmed the political and strategic utility of using bal­ listic missiles as a terror weapon, the effectof ballistic missiles on tactical operations has received much less attention. Despite growing evidence of technological advances in guidance and warhead systems that warrant concern, much of the current literature ig­ nores the operational and tactical impact of ballistic missiles on the battlefield. Even the U.S. Army's most forward looking document, U.S. Army Training and Doctrine Com­ mand (TRADOC) Pamphlet 525-5, Force XXIOperations (1 August 1994), disregards the impact of these weapons on tactical operations. Thus, this study breaks new ground and demonstrates why military leaders and planners should pay more attention to the emerging tactical threat from ballistic missiles, unconventional warheads, and weapons of mass destruction. This essay argues that changes in the nation's military strategy, the continued global proliferation of ballistic missiles and weapons of mass destruction, and the pace of tech­ nological improvements to those systems mandate that commanders and planners under­ stand the military significance of ballistic missiles to their tactical battle space. This study traces the early history and recent development of ballistic missiles, concluding with an examination of the impact of ballistic missiles on tactical forces during force projection operations. _j__�n � JACK N. MERRITT General, U.S. Army Retired President October 1995 v The spread of ever more sophisticated weaponry- including chemical, biological, and nuclear weapons- and of the missiles capable of carrying them represents a growing danger to internationalsecurity. This proliferation exacerbates and fuels regional tensions and complicates U.S. defense planning. It poses ever greater dangers to U.S. forces and facilities abroad, and possibly even to the United States itself/ George Bush, National SecurityStrategy of the United States, March 1990 We are threatened by the continued proliferation of advanced conventional arms, ballistic missiles of increasing range, and weapons of mass destruction. .. .2 Inevitably, an increasing number of supplier nations will become able to contribute to the proliferation of ballistic missiles and weapons of mass destruction.3 As the Patriot demonstrated during the Gulf War, ballistic missile defenses are crucial to protect our troops and allies against madmen or rogue nations.4 George Bush, National SecurityStrategy of the United States, January 1993 The proliferationof weapons of mass destruction represents a major challenge to our security.5 Weapons of mass destruction- nuclear, biological, and chemical- along with the missiles that deliver them, pose a major threat to our security. ...6 William Clinton, National SecurityStrategy of the United States, July 1994 VI SCUD ALERT! THE HISTORY, DEVELOPMENT AND MILITARY SIGNIFICANCE OF BALLISTIC MISSILES ON TACTICAL OPERATIONS INTRODUCTION The Persian Gulf War confirmed the utility of using tactical ballistic missiles as a political terror weapon. Iraq's launching of Scud missiles against Tel Aviv on 18 January 1991 threatened to draw Israel into the war and forced the United States to respond by rushing Patriot air defense systems to the region to protect key Israeli population centers. While the political and strategic significance of the 88 tactical ballistic missiles7 Iraq launched at Israel and Saudi Arabia during the war appears obvious, the tactical effectof these missiles on the battlefield is less apparent.8 Despite growing evidence of technological advances in guidance and warhead sys­ tems that warrant concern, much of the current literature ignores the operational and tactical impact of ballistic missiles on the battlefield. Even the U.S.Army's most for­ ward-looking document, U.S.Army Training and Doctrine Command (TRADOC) Pam­ phlet 525-5, Force XXI Operations:A Concept for the Evolution of Full-Dimensional Operations for the Strategic Army of the Early Twenty-First Century (1 August 1994), does not address the impact of these weapons on tactical operations. Emphasizing the strategic and political impact of weapons of mass destruction, the pamphlet contends that the security challenge having the most serious ramifications for U.S.interests will come from the proliferation of WMD [weapons of mass destruction]. The strategic-political effectsofWMD overshadow their military utility.WMD and theater ballistic missiles (TBMs) allow an adversary to extend its operational and strategic reach.9 While the extreme physical devastation and psychological dislocation resulting from the use of ballistic missiles and weapons of mass destruction will have far-reaching politi­ cal and strategic effects, their impact on tactical military operations will also be signifi­ cant. Thus, this monograph breaks new ground and demonstrates why military leaders and planners should pay more attention to the emerging tactical threat from ballistic mis­ siles, unconventional warheads, and weapons of mass destruction. Changes in the nation's military strategy, the continued global proliferation of ballis­ tic missiles and weapons of mass destruction, and the pace of technological improve­ ments to these systems mandate that commanders and planners understand
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