DRAFT 14-19 Employment, Education and Training Plan 2018-2019 Contents Introduction 3 Priorities 2018-19 4 The Evidence and Data Which Informs Our Priorities 7 Theme 1: Local Context 7 Understanding Bournemouth and Poole 7 Understanding Our Young People 10 Theme 2: Provision 13 Quantity of Provision 13 Quality of Provision and how well Young People 14 Achieve Theme 3: Participation 21 Tracking – What our Young People are doing 21 Partnerships 29 The Industrial Strategy 30 1. T levels 31 2. Careers, Education and Information Advice and Guidance 34 3. SUN NCOP 35 4.DFE Unlocking Talent Fulfilling Potential (December 2017) 36 Contribution to Council Plans 36 37 Appendix 1: Legislation under this Plan Appendix 2: Post 16 SEND Strategic Partnership 2017-2020 39 Glossary 40 2 2015-2016 Introduction It is just over 10 years since the Bournemouth and Poole 14-19 Team was created to provide strategic leadership on post 16 matters. During that time we have seen five different Secretaries of State for Education, each with radically different opinions on what constitutes good education and nowhere has that change been more evident than in post 16. We have witnessed funding agencies and qualifications come and go and major legislation such as RPA come into being. The main priorities in this 14-19 Plan include the implementation of the Careers Strategy, which will address key issues in our recent Youth Survey delivery, a funded project which aims to support the most disadvantaged young people to progress into HE, increasing the post 16 choices for our SEND young people and improving our value added results for academic and applied general qualifications. These issues have been at the forefront of the work of the 14-19 Team over the last ten years but they have never been more relevant. As we enter the “Fourth Industrial Revolution” and face the challenges and opportunities that will bring, addressing these issues will produce the active citizens of the future who will power our economic growth. It is noteworthy that our priorities align very clearly to those contained in the DfE’s “Unlocking Talent, Fulfilling Potential” namely: - Close the attainment gap in schools while continuing to raise standards for all - High quality post 16 education choices for all young people - Everyone achieving their full potential in rewarding careers “Unlocking Talent, Fulfilling Potential” identifies 2 ways of working. The first is putting evidence at the heart of their approach and spreading best practice, which is something we have always included in this 14-19 Plan. The second encourages building lasting success through partnerships. Working in partnership has been a major factor in any achievements we’ve had in the last 10 years. Whilst there is still so much to do we can be proud that together we have had many sucessess including reducing NEETs and Not Knowns to record lows, improving retention, increasing apprenticeships and establishing supported internships. As this is the last 14-19 Plan I will oversee I would like to thank everyone who has worked in partnership with the 14-19 Team over the last 10 years and urge you to continue to “Unlock Talent and Fulfil Potential” of our young people. Caroline Foster 14-19 Strategic Leader Our ambitions 1. To ensure there is a sufficient high quality post-16 provision, including apprenticeships, to meet the needs of the local economy and all young people. 2. To work in partnership with all our post-16 providers to ensure no young person is left behind. 3. To support all vulnerable young people by ensuring there are pathways for progression which lead to sustainable employment. 4. To support schools and other partners to deliver comprehensive impartial advice and guidance and careers education so that young people can make informed choices. 5. To work with CEC and SUN NCOP across the region and our neighbouring LA’s and the LEP to ensure young people achieve their maximum potential and thrive in the community. 3 Priorities 2018-19 In December last year an ambitious plan was unveiled by the Education Secretary Justine Greening, namely “Unlocking Talent, Fulfilling Potential”. It is surprising that such an ambitious agenda from the Department for Education has received relatively little attention. It calls on all of us involved in education to ensure future generations of young people have the skills, opportunity and support they deserve and to stamp out the social immobility that currently stops too many young people reaching their full potential. There are four ambitions in the Government’s Plan and although the first relates to Early Years the other three are a perfect summary for this year’s 14-19 plan, namely: 1. Close the attainment gap in schools While continuing to raise standards for all - SUN NCOP Project (supports disadvantaged students into HE) o Improve KS4 and KS5 results – especially Value Added for academic and applied general qualifications o Continue to monitor and challenge retention 2. High quality post 16 choices for all young people - Provide Updates on development of T Levels - Encourage collaboration to maintain student choice - SUN NCOP project o Increase knowledge of HE o Increase knowledge of Level 4 Apprenticeships - Continue roll out of the Post 16 SEND Plan o Use pre 16 data o Improve choice of provision locally o Ensure real progression o Improve routes into sustainable employment including more Supported Internships 3. Everyone achieving their full potential in reWarding careers - CEC Partnership o Embed Careers Strategy in every school and College o Develop EA Network o Encourage use of Compass and Tracker tools and Gatsby Benchmarks o Produce LMI for young people and parents to address skills gap and shortage o Ensure all the above address concerns in youth survey - SUN NCOP o Increase staff and student knowledge of career opportunities 4 Key Performance Indicators Where we are / where we want to be Direction National Key of Travel 14-19 Team Data Actual Current data Performance Aim LA RAG (15/16 Objective Source compared (Target for Indicator Status to 16/17) 2018) 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 September Increase 16 and 17 Guarantee - At or Bournemouth 92.9% 92.3% 91.9% 91.3% 94.7% year olds with an above Learners to education or training national LAIT (September receive at least offer average 2017) 1 suitable offer Poole 90.6% 90.2% 93.7% 95.4% Increase At or Bournemouth 93.5% 93.9% 93.7% 94.4% 95.3% above Total participation of 16 national (January Participation year olds Poole 93.6% 95.1% 96.3% 95.9% 2017) in education average LA (inc part-time) Increase At or Tables Bournemouth 83.2% 83.0% 88.3% 87.3% 89.2% and work above participation of 17 (January based learning national year olds average Poole 81.4% 85.9% 88.3% 90.2% 2017) Participation Increase percentage At or Participation Bournemouth n/a n/a n/a 84.2% n/a 86.7% of 16-17 year of young people with above of young olds with SEND in education national (December people by SEND or training average Poole n/a n/a n/a 96.8% n/a 2017) age 19 Reduce number of At or Bournemouth September 2016 – 3.4% 3.6% 2.8% NEETs for 16-17 below changes to (January Participation LA cohort target Poole tracking 2.3% 2.0% 2017) of young Tables introduced, people aged (Nov-Jan Reduce number of At or Bournemouth therefore Year 14’s 2.2% 2.2% 2.9% 16-17 avg) Not Knowns for 16- below are no longer (January target 17 cohort Poole tracked. 1.2% 0.7% 2017) 16-17 year olds in Bournemouth n/a n/a 6.7% 6.9% education & Monitor proportion At or 5.3% above LA training of learners (January national Tables participating in participating average 2017) an Poole n/a n/a 6.8% 7.3% apprenticeship 5 Direction National Key Actual Current of Travel 14-19 Team Data data Performance Aim LA RAG (14/15 Source compared (Target for Indicator Objective Status to 15/16) 2018) 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 Increase the number At or Bournemouth 83.8% 84.3% 83.3% 85.4% Level 2 above of learners achieving a national (March qualification 85.5% 89.1% 88.3% qualification average Poole 2017) Attainment Level 2 Increase the number At or Bournemouth 64.2% 66.8% 67.1% 68.6% of all young qualification above of learners achieving a (March people by with English national qualification Poole 68.1% 70.8% 70.9% 2017) age 19 & Maths average Increase the number At or Bournemouth 57.0% 57.4% 55.8% 57.1% Level 3 above of learners achieving a national (March qualification 62.1% 62.0% 58.7% qualification average Poole 2017) At or Bournemouth 24.6% 19.7% 18.2% 17.5% Reduce inequality gap below (March in Level 2 attainment national Poole 20.7% 16.3% 20.4% average Available 2017) May Reduce inequality gap At or Bournemouth 30.9% 33.4% 33.0% 26.9% Level 2 below 2018 Level 3 Attainment Data Attainment 3 Level Attainment / in Level 2 attainment national (March 27.8% 22.3% 27.2% Qualification (with English & Maths) average Poole 2017) Increase Level 2 At or Bournemouth 61.3% 67.1% 67.4% 70.4% above attainment levels of national Poole (March Vulnerable FSM pupils average 66.0% 73.3% 69.6% 2017) young Reduce inequality gap At or Bournemouth 31.6% 37.2% 27.6% 24.5% people below Level 3 attainment national (March Level 3 gap Poole 32.2% 28.3% 33.3% 2017) average DFE: Level 2 and Attainment / At or Qualification Increase Level 3 Bournemouth 27.8% 24.3% 31.7% 36.2% attainment levels of above national (March FSM pupils average Poole 30.3% 33.3% 28.1% 2017) Care Leavers Increase participation At or Bournemouth 45.0% 50.0% 38.0% 32.0% in education above 49.0% in education and and training national LAIT training Poole 68.0% 58.0% 69.0% 69.0% (Dec 2016) (aged 19-21) average 6 The Evidence and Data Which Informs Our Priorities Theme 1: Local Context Understanding Bournemouth and Poole Population Bournemouth Poole 15-19year 11,256 8,320 olds 15-24year 30,044 15,900 olds Data Source: 2016 All ages 197,657 151,500 Mid- Year Estimates, ONS Population Forecasts The graph below illustrates the population forecast for 15-19 year olds in Bournemouth and Poole over the period 2017-2038.