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NASA Cost and Schedule Symposium

Christopher J. Scolese Presentation to Director NASA Cost and Schedule Symposium NASA Goddard Space Flight Center August 14, 2018 Ø Goddard Overview Ø Goddard Performance Ø Explanation of Change

2 Goddard Installations across the Country

IV&V

Wallops Island

Greenbelt Campus

GISS

Columbia Scientific White Sands Test Facility Balloon Facility (CSBF) 3 Our Lines of Business

Earth Science Astrophysics Planetary & Lunar Science Heliophysics

Human Exploration & Cross Cutting Technology Operations And Capabilities Communications & Suborbital Platforms Navigation

4 Who We Are THE GODDARD COMMUNITY More than 10,000 People

Technicians and Clerical 5% Others 6% GSFC Workforce

3,000+ Civil Servants 6,000+ Contractors 1,000s of Others*

Professional & Administrative 28% Scientists & Engineers 61%

A diverse community of scientists, engineers, technologists, and administrative personnel dedicated to the exploration of space

*Including off-site contractors, interns, and Emeritus 5 Goddard Space Flight Center Employees Receive Worldwide Accolades for Their Work Dr. Piers Sellers Dr. John Mather Dr. Compton Tucker Most Excellent Order of the Nobel Prize in Physics – 2006 Galathea Medal – Denmark 2004 British Empire Rumford Prize – 1996 Vega Medal – Sweden 2014 2011 Franklin Medal – 1999 In Physical Geography

6 National Aeronautics and Space Administration

INSPIRING THE NEXT GENERATION 7 GSFC: A Diverse Mission Portfolio

QuikSCAT Voyager EO-1 ERBS Stereo ACRIMSAT RHESSI TOMS TRMM Aqua ICESat-2 SOHO THEMIS

TIMED Landsat 7 TOPEX TRACE CALIPSO

Terra ACE GRACE

SORCE Cluster POES SDO IMAGE Aura AIM FAST GOES GPM

MMS Solar-B

IBEX NPP Aquarius CloudSat TDRSS LDCM OSIRIS-REx (Sample Return) RBSP WMAP TWINS Cassini (Instrument)

NuSTAR JWST HST GALEX New Horizons WISE

Messenger Spitzer SWAS

Astro-H RXTE Galileo IUE Juno MAVEN Integral

Pioneer EUVE

FUSE Swift COBE Mars Science Laboratory Fermi Compton GRO LADEE LRO 8 What We’re Looking Forward to in 2018

Parker SPP OSIRIS-REx TESS Rendezvous with the asteroid Bennu will reach Bennu in 2018 TESS will search for planets will repeatedly sample and return a sample to Earth in outside of our system while the near- 2023 monitoring the brightness of environment more than 200,000 stars

2018

GOES-S GOLD ICESat-2

will significantly improve GOLD will give unprecedented ICESat-2 will provide the detection and insight into the temperature unprecedented observation of and composition of neutral measurement of sea environmental gases in the the thermosphere ice thickness and phenomena global vegetation biomass

9 What We’re Looking Forward to in 2018 - 2019

SOC JWST RRM-3

This premier infrared observatory will use Collaboration RRM-3 Will show how future innovative technology to study every phase will make in-situ robots could service and in the history of our Universe and serve measurements of the solar refuel in space wind plasma, fields, waves, thousands of astronomers worldwide and energetic particles

2018 2019 2020

MetOp-C GEDI LCRD

will provide reliable global environmental measurements of Earth Will be the first instrument to systematically probe the depths of the forests from space will support the next generation of NASA's space communications network

10 Looking to the Future

“Building what we’ve never built before, to discover what we’ve never known before.” 11 2009 Explanation of Change Study and 2018 Update Introduction to the next topic

• Study purpose – Understand the primary reasons for cost and schedule growth – Determine percentage of growth outside of the project’s control • Approach – Examined project documentation, including CADRe, milestone presentations, monthly project reports, etc., to develop a case history of each project – Conducted interviews with key project personnel to provide the insight required to understand all reasons for growth – Allocated growth events to “Explanation of Change” EoC “tree” to quantify reasons for growth • Result – Examined 25 NASA missions launched in the last decade and conducted interviews to assess project’s position on cause of growth – Identified common themes and developed recommendations based on data analysis and observations – GSFC implemented many of these recommendations and continued analysis of project behaviors – In 2018, GSFC began work on an updated study, capturing more recent missions

12 Mission Cost and Schedule Performance

Programmatic Performance Mission Cost Performance Schedule Performance LDCM -$84.4M Early MAVEN -$51.2M On Time GPM -$55.6M Delayed due to Furlough MMS +$34.6M Delayed due to Furlough TDRS K-M -$24.8M On Time OSIRIS-Rex -$42.5M On Time TSIS-1 -$4.2M Early GOLD On plan Early TESS -$15M Early PSP -$5.2M On Time 13 It is difficult to say what is impossible… for the dream of yesterday is the hope of today And the reality of Tomorrow. - Robert H. Goddard (1882 - 1945)

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