How Does Globalization Affect Educational Attainment? Evidence from China∗
How does globalization affect educational attainment? Evidence from China∗ Maggie Y. Liu† December 2017 Abstract This paper investigates how changes in trade policy, both by China and its trading partners, affect rates of high school completion in Chinese prefectures between 1990and 2004. I separate the effects of trade policy changes into: (1) reductions in tariffs and trade policy uncertainty abroad; and (2) reductions in Chinese tariffs on intermediate, final, and capital goods. Exploiting spatial variation across 324 Chinese prefectures and temporal variation across 15 age cohorts, I employ a difference-in-difference empirical specification and verify the results with semi-parametric methods. Robust empirical findings suggest that increases in high school completion were more pronounced inpre- fectures with larger reductions in Chinese tariffs on unskilled-labor-intensive inputs, Chinese tariffs on foreign capital goods, and tariffs abroad on skilled-labor-intensive goods. At the same time, increases in high school completion were attenuated in pre- fectures facing larger reductions in trade policy uncertainty abroad regarding unskilled- labor-intensive goods. JEL classification: F16, F61, J24, J61. Keywords: Human Capital; Globalization; Technology Adoption; Skill Premium; WTO. ∗I am grateful to Anna Maria Mayda for her continuous guidance and encouragement. I am also thankful for the insightful feedbacks from Giovanni Facchini, Rodney Ludema, and Caglar Ozden at various stages of this project. I also thank Jim Albrecht, Mary Ann Bronson, Caitlin Brown, Claire Brunel, Garance Genicot, Roger Lagunoff, Arik Levinson, Aaditya Mattoo, Ferdinando Monte, Martin Ravallion, Susan Vroman, and Mathis Wagner for their helpful discussions and comments. All errors are mine. †Department of Economics, Smith College.
[Show full text]