Weekly Market Monitor June 7, 2021
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Reforms in Ukraine After Revolution of Dignity
REFORMS IN UKRAINE AFTER REVOLUTION OF DIGNITY What was done, why not more and what to do next This publicaon was produced with financial Responsibility for the informaon and views set out assistance from the EBRD-Ukraine Stabilisaon and in this publicaon lies enrely with the authors. The Sustainable Growth Mul-Donor Account, the EBRD makes no representaon or warranty, express donors of which are Denmark, Finland, France, or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the Germany, Italy, Japan, the Netherlands, Norway, informaon set forth in the publicaon. The EBRD Poland, Sweden, Switzerland, the United Kingdom, has not independently verified any of the informaon the United States of America and the European contained in the publicaon and the EBRD accepts Union, the largest donor. The views expressed herein no liability whatsoever for any of the informaon can in no way be taken to reflect the official opinion contained in the publicaon or for any misstatement of the EBRD or any donor of the account. or omission therein. The publicaon remains the property of the EBRD. REFORMS IN UKRAINE AFTER REVOLUTION OF DIGNITY What was done, why not more and what to do next Editors Ivan Miklos Pavlo Kukhta Contents Foreword 4 Introducon What was done, why not more and what to do next: Ukrainian reforms aer the Revoluon of Dignity 7 Chapter 1 Polical economy of reforms: polical system, governance and corrupon 10 Chapter 2 Macroeconomic policies 35 Chapter 3 Rule of law 48 Chapter 4 Energy policy 75 Chapter 5 Business environment 87 Chapter 6 Land reform 101 Chapter 7 Privasaon and SOE reform 112 Chapter 8 Healthcare reform 132 Chapter 9 Ukraine and the European Union 144 Annex 1 Report on reforms in 2016-17 162 Annex 2 The role of the government and MPs in reform implementaon in Ukraine 167 About SAGSUR (Strategic Advisory Group for Support of Ukrainian Reforms) 173 Glossary of terms 174 Foreword Foreword | 4 Foreword Maeo Patrone and Peter M. -
Impact of Political Course Shift in Ukraine on Stock Returns
IMPACT OF POLITICAL COURSE SHIFT IN UKRAINE ON STOCK RETURNS by Oleksii Marchenko A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of MA in Economic Analysis Kyiv School of Economics 2014 Thesis Supervisor: Professor Tom Coupé Approved by ___________________________________________________ Head of the KSE Defense Committee, Professor Irwin Collier __________________________________________________ __________________________________________________ __________________________________________________ Date ___________________________________ Kyiv School of Economics Abstract IMPACT OF POLITICAL COURSE SHIFT IN UKRAINE ON STOCK RETURNS by Oleksii Marchenko Thesis Supervisor: Professor Tom Coupé Since achieving its independence from the Soviet Union, Ukraine has faced the problem which regional block to integrate in. In this paper an event study is used to investigate investors` expectations about winners and losers from two possible integration options: the Free Trade Agreement as a part of the Association Agreement with the European Union and the Custom Union of Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan. The impact of these two sudden shifts in the political course on stock returns is analyzed to determine the companies which benefit from each integration decisions. No statistically significant impact on stock returns could be detected. However, our findings suggest a large positive reaction of companies` stock prices to the dismissal of Yanukovych regime regardless of company`s trade orientation and political affiliation. -
EAVEX Daily ENG Oct 13.Indd
Market Monitor October 13, 2011 Market Update STOCK MARKET PERFORMANCE Equity UX Index RTS Index* WIG 20 Index* 2,500 Local stocks again lagged strong gains seen on European bourses on 2,250 Wednesday (Oct 12), as Ukraine continued to receive a dressingdown from EU leaders over the conviction of former PM Yulia Tymoshenko. 2,000 The approval by Slovakia’s parliament of an increase in the EU’s bank 1,750 bailout fund fueled a rise of more than 2% in Frankfurt and Paris, 1,500 while the UX index managed a gain of only 0.5% to 1,327 points. The 1,250 11-Jul 25-Jul 8-Aug 22-Aug 5-Sep 19-Sep 3-Oct day’s best performer was volume leader Motor Sich, which added * rebased 1.5% on turnover of UAH 13mn. Other top liquid names, including CentrEnergo, Alchevsk Steel, Azovstal, and Ukrsotsbank, were up MARKET INDEXES by between 0.5% and 1%. In London, Ferrexpo continued its strong Last 1D ch 1M ch YTD rebound on fading global recession fears, picking up another 7.9% to UX 1326.4 0.7% 12.7% 45.7% RTS 1407.8 3.9% 13.4% 20.5% USD 3.30. WIG20 2316.7 2.4% 3.0% 15.6% MSCI EM 923.2 1.5% 7.0% 19.8% Fixed Income S&P 500 1207.3 1.0% 4.6% 4.0% Ukrainian sovereign Eurobonds saw a broad rebound on Wednesday. Ukrainian midterm Eurobonds added 2.0p.p. 84.0/88.0 UX INTRADAY OCTOBER 12, 2011 (10.70%/9.58%), while longterms rose by 4.0p.p. -
Weeklyoverview
UKRAINIAN EQUITY MARKET:: WEEKLY OVERVIEW Parex Asset Management 5–6 JANUARY 2010 Republikas laukums 2a, Riga, Latvia, LV-1522 Lidiya Mudra, Financial Analyst Tel. 371 67010810 Fax. 371 67778622 http://www.parexgroup.com Email: [email protected] Equity Market The Ukrainian major exchanges started the year on a PFTS Index positive note, with PFTS index gaining 3.82% and UX 700 adding 5.09% during holiday-shortened trading week. PFTS In the metallurgical sector, the Financial Times has last week: informed that an unnamed Russian group is close to 650 buying control of the Ukrainian metallurgical +3.82% corporation Industrial Union of Donbas (IUD). According to FT, the “50%+2 shares” stake in the IUD 600 might be sold by the end of January for up to $2b. 06-Jan-10: Later in the week, Oleksandr Pilipenko, a vice 594.80 550 president within the IUD group, revealed in a Oct Nov Dec Jan statement that one of its new owners is Swiss-based steel trader Carbofer, itself co-owned by Russian below.) businessman Alexander Katunin. At the same time, In the agricultural sector, Ukraine's leading sugar PFTS index gained he did not name the others Mr. Katunin’s partners, producer Astarta Holding released 2009 operational 3.82% and UX revealing only that “none of the new owners would results. In 2009, Astarta produced more than 225ths added 5.09% during have more than a 20% stake”. There were given no tonnes of sugar (-4.5% y/y) that allowed the company the week figures for the value of the deal in the statement. -
UKRAINE's GAS SECTOR June 2007
UKRAINE’S GAS SECTOR Simon Pirani June 2007 [email protected] The contents of this paper are the author’s sole responsibility. They do not necessarily represent the views of the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies or any of its Members. Copyright © 2007 Oxford Institute for Energy Studies (Registered Charity, No. 286084) This publication may be reproduced in part for educational or non-profit purposes without special permission from the copyright holder, provided acknowledgement of the source is made. No use of this publication may be made for resale or for any other commercial purpose whatsoever without prior permission in writing from the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies. ISBN 1-901795-63-2 978-1-901795-63-9 ii CONTENTS Foreword vii Acknowledgements viii 1. Introduction......................................................................................................................................1 2. The wider context.............................................................................................................................3 2.1 Independence and slump (1991–1994) 4 2.2 Early attempts at reform (1994–1999) 6 2.3 The economic recovery under Kuchma (1999–2004) 7 2.4 The Orange revolution and its results (2004–2006) 8 2.5 Ukraine’s energy balance and energy strategy 11 2.6 Energy saving issues 15 3. Gas in Ukraine ...............................................................................................................................17 3.1 Gas in Soviet Ukraine 17 3.2 Cheap gas, expensive debts (1991–1994) -
THE INSTITUTIONAL FRAMEWORK: PFTS and UKRSE Finance
Ya. V. Khomenko, K. A. Nesterenko, A. V. Bodnar Finance UDC 336.76(477)„1995/2011”-047.37 Ya. V. Khomenko, Dr. Hab (Economics) K. A. Nesterenko, A. V. Bodnar, Students majoring, Donetsk National Technical University THE INSTITUTIONAL FRAMEWORK: PFTS AND UKRSE In Ukraine today the stock market is a major source the average performance of a national market” [5]. Taking of funding for corporations. By its very nature it is a into account all these views it gets relevant to make asset mechanism to accumulate temporarily free funds from allocation decisions and stock market performance the population and business structures, allocate them to measurements on the bases of the stock indexes analysis. productive purposes and to ensure, therefore, the flexible In view of the abovementioned this paper is to flow of the capital among the sectors of the economy. answer the questions: how has the institutional framework The more reliable, sustainable and effective this of PFTS and UKRSE changed during the last ten years, mechanism is, the more likely it is to attract the necessary what problems does it have, and what has to be done to capital. solve these problems? This issue is approached by With the globalization the stock market becomes analyzing the evolution of institutional framework of PFTS more far-reaching. Prospective investors are more and UKRSE, the Ukrainian stock market’s 10-year interested in new areas for capital investment outside their development, by viewing and comparing with changes country. As Templeton maintains, „In London and New in the institutional framework. The database for research York share prices get out of line in value, but in other comprises the Law of Ukraine „On Securities and Stock places they get even further out of line. -
The Future of Ukrainian Oligarchsdownload
Ukrainian Institute for the Future is an independent analytical center that: • forecasts changes and models possible scenarios for events in Ukraine; • makes a competent assessment of the Ukrainian events; • makes specific recommendations for actions; • offers effective solutions; • offers a platform for discussions on current topics. It is a project of representatives of Ukrainian business, politics and the public sector. Founded in summer 2016. AUTHORS Victor Andrusiv Executive Director of the Ukrainian Institute for the Future, PhD in Political Science, analyst and opinion journalist, author of the book “Change the future” Oleg Ustenko Executive Director of the Bleyzer Foundation, President of Harvard Club of Ukraine alumni association Yurii Romanenko Co-founder of the Ukrainian Institute for the Future, head of the International and Domestic Policy programme, editor-in-chief of the portal Hvylya Ihar Tyshkevich Expert of International and Domestic Politics programme of the Ukrainian Institute for the Future (UIF) © Art-direction D!VANDESIGN © Idea and design INCOGNITA INTRODUCTION. THE BRITISH DISEASE IN UKRAINE Content 05 THEORY AND STRUCTURE OF THE UKRAINIAN OLIGARCHY 06 INFLUENCE OVER ENERGY INDUSTRY 14 INFLUENCE OVER METALLURGY 26 INFLUENCE OVER TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE 38 INFLUENCE OVER MEDIA 50 INFLUENCE OVER POLITICS 62 THREE SCENARIOS FOR THE FUTURE OF THE OLIGARCHS 72 Victor Andrusiv Executive Director of the Ukrainian Institute for the Future, PhD in Political Science, analyst and opinion journalist, author of the book “Change the future” Introduction: the British disease in Ukraine After the fall of the Soviet Union, the starting conditions for economic development in Ukraine were advanta- geous. However, after 27 years of independence, we continue to be the most backward country of the post-Sovi- et bloc. -
Snapshot of Ukraine's Energy
SNAPSHOT OF UKRAINE’S ENERGY SECTOR: ENERGY UKRAINE’S OF SNAPSHOT SNAPSHOT OF UKRAINE’S ENERGY SECTOR INSTITUTIONS, GOVERNANCE AND POLICY FRAMEWORK This report provides an overview of Ukraine’s energy sector. It presents the structure of the sector, Snapshot of Ukraine’s identifying the main state and corporate actors, and clarifying roles and responsibilities, as well as reporting mechanisms. It also elucidates the relationships among actors, including government bodies, regulators, state-owned enterprises and other stakeholders. It looks at the mechanisms in Energy Sector: place for licencing and for monitoring the energy strategy. Institutions, Governance The report describes how the reforms now underway are changing the architecture of the electricity sector, in particular, and presents the architecture in place since the launch of the and Policy Framework wholesale electricity market and the corporatisation of Ukrenergo in July 2019. It encompasses both quantitative and qualitative elements, looking at Ukraine’s energy mix, sector governance, and policy and regulatory frameworks. It also provides a case study of Ukraine’s electricity market. INSTITUTIONS, GOVERNANCE AND POLICY AND GOVERNANCE INSTITUTIONS, The report establishes the basis for upcoming OECD analytical work in the context of the project Supporting Energy Sector Reform in Ukraine, funded by the Government of Norway. oe.cd/energy-sector-reform-ukraine FRAMEWORK TLE Snapshot of Ukraine’s Energy Sector Institutions, Governance and Policy Framework 2 Foreword Since 1991, the OECD and Ukraine have been working hand in hand to improve governance and economic development. A Memorandum of Understanding for Strengthening Co-operation (MoU) was signed between the OECD and the Government of Ukraine in 2014. -
Annual Report
AnnuAl report 2019 We are glad to present you this image publication of Donbasenergo Public Joint Stock Company, its 2019 Annual Report. The goal of this document is to describe in detail the Company’s performance results and prospects for its further development. The Annual Report pays particular attention to significant production-related, financial and economic information, as well as the questions of social responsibility. CONTENTS Address to shareholders 2 5. Sustainable development 56 5.1 Structure and number of personnel 57 Key figures and events of 2019 4 5.2 Motivation and social projects 59 5.3 Personnel training and development 60 1. Company on the energy market of Ukraine 8 5.4 Health and safety responsibility 63 1.1 Electricity consumption structure 9 5.5 Environmental responsibility 65 1.2 Operation of the united energy system 10 5.6 Quality management system 70 1.3 Electricity output by thermal electricity 11 generating companies 6. Annexes 72 1.4 Tariff for the supplied electricity of thermal 13 6.1 Cost structure of commercial output for 2019 73 electricity generating companies 6.2 Fulfilment of key technical and economic 75 indicators 2. Overview of operating results 14 6.3 Fuel for energy production 76 2.1 Cost structure of commercial output 15 6.4 Fuel 76 2.2 Fulfilment of key technical and economic 16 6.5 Fuel flow at Slovyanska TPP in 2019 77 indicators 6.6 Fulfilment of 2019 Financial Plan indicators 78 2.3 Fuel supplies 17 6.7 Structure of accounts receivable as at 86 2.4 Repair campaign 20 31 December 2019 2.5 Capital investments 23 6.8 Structure of accounts payable as at 87 2.6 Material and technical support 26 31 December 2019 6.9 Financial standing 88 1 3. -
Weekly Market Monitor August 25, 2020
Weekly Market Monitor August 25, 2020 Stock Market Update STOCK MARKET PERFORMANCE Equity UX Index MSCI Emerging Markets Index* 1,700 Local Ukrainian stocks were higher last week, with the UX index 1,600 gaining 1.0% to close at 1291 points on the back of a technical 1,500 rebound in the beaten-down CentrEnergo and UkrNafta names. 1,400 CentrEnergo (CEEN) edged up by 2.2% to UAH 4.60, barely putting 1,300 a dent in the issue’s 50% plunge seen since the start of the year. 1,200 1,100 Information that the company sold its fourth-quarter electricity output 1,000 in advance at a cut-rate price has not affected the stock yet. On the Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 May-20 Jun-20 Aug-20 positive side, the forward sale of electricity will give CentrEnergo * rebased much-needed funds for coal purchases. UkrNafta (UNAF) rose 0.8% MARKET INDEXES to UAH 123 per share after the company somewhat improved its oil Last 1W ch YTD auction procedures. The latest auction on Aug 18 was conducted at UX 1291 1.0% -15.0% USD 37 per barrel, which was 8.3% higher than the starting price. RTS 1281 -3.2% -17.3% UkrNafta sold 1.71mn bbl last week. In other blue-chip names, WIG20 1838 -1.0% -14.5% MSCI EM 1092 -0.1% -2.0% Raiffeisen Bank Aval (BAVL) picked up 2.4% to 42.00 kopecks and S&P 500 3425 1.6% 6.0% TurboAtom (TATM) edged up 1.2% to UAH 8.30 per share. -
Weekly Review of Financial Markets Week # 15
Ukraine: Weekly review of financial markets Week # 15: 11th – 17th April 2005 Ukrainian economy meets the spring with accelerating growth of GDP – real Macroeconomics GDP in March grew 5.2% Y/Y after growth of 4.5%Y/Y in February Ukraine GDP index, % Denominated in US$ Ukraine GDP in March posted a new record gain – it 15 GDP Index (1990 = 100), right scale 100 increased by 32.7% Y/Y thanks to hryvnia appreciation versus US$ against a background of double-digit inflation GDP growth, % Y/Y 10 90 Unemployment rate was unchanged in March at the highest level in 2005 – 3.6% 5 80 01/04/05 01/03/05 Change In 2005 0 NBU reserves, $ mln 11952.6 10 944.3 1008.3 2427.7 70 M3, bn. UAH 140.123 130.942 9.181 14.322 -5 M0, bn. UAH 43.063 41.779 1.284 0.718 60 Balances at banks' -10 correspondent 50 accounts, bn UAH 13.969 9.674 4.295 5.951 -15 -20 40 -25 30 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 eb-05 Jan-05 F Mar-05 Hryvnia official exchange rate versus US$ heading to specified in budget Financial markets average annual rate – US Dollar lost almost 2 kop against hryvnia last week. Hryvnia official exchange rate Even more impressive was its Monday (18 April) slump (-2.1 kop) USDUAH 5.33 EURUAH, right scale Interbank overnight credits became a bit more expensive last week. We do 7.2 not see any room for further decline of rates as well as prerequisites for their 5.32 noticeable increase… Ukrainian stock market outperformed the Russian one again as quotations of 5.31 7 all stocks included in PFTS index basket rose -
Conducting Business in Ukraine
CONDUCTING BUSINESS IN UKRAINE 2018 All of the information included in this document is for informational purposes only, and may not reflect the most current legal developments, judgments, or settlements. This information is not offered as legal or any other advice on any particular matter. The Firm and the contributing authors expressly disclaim all liability to any person in respect of anything, and in respect of the consequences of anything, done or omitted to be done wholly or partly in reliance upon the whole or any part of the contents of Baker McKenzie’s Conducting Business in Ukraine brochure. No client or other reader should act or refrain from acting on the basis of any matter contained in this document without first seeking the appropriate legal or other professional advice on the particular facts and circumstances. CONDUCTING BUSINESS IN UKRAINE 2018 Baker McKenzie Renaissance Business Center 24 Bulvarno-Kudriavska St. Kyiv 01601, Ukraine Tel.: +380 44 590 0101 Fax: +380 44 590 0110 [email protected] www.bakermckenzie.com\ukraine CONDUCTING BUSINESS IN UKRAINE Table of Content 1. Ukraine — An Overview ...................................................... 11 1.1 Geography, Topography and Population ........................................ 11 1.2 Government and Political and Legal Systems .............................. 12 1.3 Regional Structure ............................................................................... 15 1.4 Economy ...............................................................................................