Reforms in Ukraine After Revolution of Dignity
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REQUIEM for DONBAS Three Essays on the Costs of War in Ukraine
JOHANNES KEPLER UNIVERSITY LINZ Altenberger Str. 69 4040 Linz, Austria www.jku.at, DVR 0093696 REQUIEM FOR DONBAS Three Essays on the Costs of War in Ukraine By Artem Kochnev A Doctoral Thesis submitted at Department of Economics to obtain the academic degree of Doctor of Philosophy in the Doctoral Program “PhD Program in Economics” Supervisor and First Examiner Second Examiner em. Univ-Prof. Dr. Michael Landesmann Dr. habil. rer. soc. oec. Robert Stehrer May 2020 Abstract The thesis investigates short- and long-term effects of war on the economy of Ukraine. Specifically, it discusses the impact of separatists’ control and subsequent adverse trade policies on the real economy, responses of stock market investors to battle events, and the effect of conflict intensity on reform progress and institutional change in Ukraine. The thesis finds that the impact of war on the economy is most pronounced on the real economy of the war-torn regions. Whereas separatists’ control caused a decline in economic activity by at least 38%, the thesis does not find evidence supporting that the impact of conflict intensity on asset prices and institutional change in Ukraine was linear in parameters. The thesis explains the lack of the linear relationship between asset price move- ments and conflict intensity by investors’ inattention caused by information overload during the early stages of the conflict. Regarding the possible relationship between con- flict and institutional change, the thesis argues that it was electoral competition, not the conflict dynamics, that had an impact on the decision-making process of the policymak- ers in Ukraine. -
Naftogaz of Ukraine 2014 Annual Report
NAFTOGAZ OF UKRAINE 2014 ANNUAL REPORT New Ukraine Europe New rules Market Transparency Naftogaz Reform Europe New Ukraine Europe New rules Naftogaz Market Europe New UkraineNew Transparency Reform Ukraine Naftogaz New rules Europe Naftogaz New Ukraine Market Naftogaz Europe New Ukraine Reform Transparency Naftogaz EuropeReform Europe Naftogaz New Ukraine New rules Transparency New rules Transparency New rules Europe Transparency New Ukraine Naftogaz New rules Europe Market Reform Reform Naftogaz Market Reform TransparencyNew rules Reform Europe New rules Market Reform Transparency New Ukraine Transparency Transparency Naftogaz New Ukraine Naftogaz New rules Reform NaftogazTransparency Market New rules Reform Europe Reform Naftogaz New rules Europe Naftogaz New Ukraine Transparency Market Transparency New rules Naftogaz Transparency Reform Europe New rules Market New Ukraine New Ukraine Transparency New rules New rules Market Market New Ukraine Europe Transparency Reform Europe New Ukraine New Ukraine Naftogaz Transparency New rules Reform New rules Naftogaz New rules New Ukraine Reform Market Europe New rules ReformNaftogaz Transparency Europe Reform Naftogaz Transparency Reform MarketNaftogaz Reform Naftogaz New rules Naftogaz New Ukraine Market Market Naftogaz Transparency Transparency Reform Europe Transparency New rules New rules New rules Reform New Ukraine Market Transparency New rules Naftogaz Market Europe Changing for the future Ukraine’s gas transmission Entry capacity: EUROPE’S LARGEST GAS MARKETS, 2014, bcm NAFTOGAZ AT A -
Ukraine at the Crossroad in Post-Communist Europe: Policymaking and the Role of Foreign Actors Ryan Barrett [email protected]
University of Missouri, St. Louis IRL @ UMSL Dissertations UMSL Graduate Works 1-20-2018 Ukraine at the Crossroad in Post-Communist Europe: Policymaking and the Role of Foreign Actors Ryan Barrett [email protected] Follow this and additional works at: https://irl.umsl.edu/dissertation Part of the Comparative Politics Commons, and the International Relations Commons Recommended Citation Barrett, Ryan, "Ukraine at the Crossroad in Post-Communist Europe: Policymaking and the Role of Foreign Actors" (2018). Dissertations. 725. https://irl.umsl.edu/dissertation/725 This Dissertation is brought to you for free and open access by the UMSL Graduate Works at IRL @ UMSL. It has been accepted for inclusion in Dissertations by an authorized administrator of IRL @ UMSL. For more information, please contact [email protected]. Ukraine at the Crossroad in Post-Communist Europe: Policymaking and the Role of Foreign Actors Ryan Barrett M.A. Political Science, The University of Missouri - Saint Louis, 2015 M.A. International Relations, Webster University, 2010 B.A. International Studies, 2006 A Dissertation Submitted to the Graduate School at the The University of Missouri - Saint Louis in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree Doctor Philosophy in Political Science May 2018 Advisory Committee: Joyce Mushaben, Ph.D. Jeanne Wilson, PhD. Kenny Thomas, Ph.D. David Kimball, Ph.D. Contents Introduction 1 Chapter I. Policy Formulation 30 Chapter II. Reform Initiatives 84 Chapter III. Economic Policy 122 Chapter IV. Energy Policy 169 Chapter V. Security and Defense Policy 199 Conclusion 237 Appendix 246 Bibliography 248 To the Pat Tillman Foundation for graciously sponsoring this important research Introduction: Ukraine at a Crossroads Ukraine, like many European countries, has experienced a complex history and occupies a unique geographic position that places it in a peculiar situation be- tween its liberal future and communist past; it also finds itself tugged in two opposing directions by the gravitational forces of Russia and the West. -
The Ukrainian Weekly 1994, No.45
www.ukrweekly.com 1NS1DE: e Washingtonians demonstrate outside CBS offices - page 3. e Reaction to "The Ugly Face of Freedom - pages 6-7. - President Leonid Kuchma concludes visit to Canada - pages 10-13. Published by the Ukrainian National Association inc., a fraternal non-profit association vol. LXII No. 45 THE UKRAINIAN WEEKLY SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 6,1994 75 cents Ukraine wins pledge of Si .2 billion in assistance from G-7 by Christopher Guly Spec tat to The Ukrauva;uan Weekly W?NNiPFC -– A-'though Russia at?empied to lay 'J!';MTI U 'X-1 c! C 7 ач! going Ukraine's way 'ind insist- on 1 :MS a -ч)!е n Ukraine's economic reform, President І.чгжі Kuchma was able to leave Canada with Si.2 bil– i'O'i in nev assistance Ггот the world's largest industri– a'hzed states Highly senior oH'icials representing 14 delegations, including those from Canada, the United States (President Clinton's adviser on the former Soviet Union, Deputy Secretary of State Strobe Talbott, was with the delegation), France, Germany, Great Britain, ltaly, Japan, Russia, Turkmenistan, Ukraine (led by Economy Minister Roman Shpek), as well as the three world financial institutions — the international Monetary Fund, the World Bank and the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development — agreed to the boost for Ukraine. Another S2.2 billion could be forthcoming in the next f"v months as the world's leading economic powers help move Ukraine from a centrally planned economy to a market-driven capitalist system. For G-7 countries, however, the aid package promised Ukraine also appeared to be aimed not at handing Ukraine "charity," as described by Russian Foreign Minister Andiei Kozyrev (a surprise visitor to the confcience), but at entering a partnership with the Kyyiv government on the principle of "help for self- help," as suggested by Canada's Foreign Affairs Minister Andre Oucllcl. -
Cleaning up the Energy Sector
10 Cleaning Up the Energy Sector Victory is when we won’t buy any Russian gas. —Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk1 Ukraine’s energy sector is well endowed but extremely mismanaged. Since Ukraine’s independence, it has been the main source of top-level corruption, and its prime beneficiaries have bought the state. This long-lasting policy has undermined national security, caused unsustainable public costs, jeopardized the country’s balance of payments, led to massive waste of energy, and capped domestic production of energy. It is difficult to imagine a worse policy. In- stead, conditions should be created so that Ukraine can develop its substantial energy potential and become self-sufficient in coal and natural gas.2 The solution to these problems is no mystery and it has been elaborated in a large literature for the last two decades. To check corruption energy prices need to be unified. That means raising key prices four to five times, which will eliminate the large energy subsidies and stimulate energy saving, while also stimulating domestic production of all kinds of energy. To make this politi- cally possible, social compensation should be offered to the poorest half of the population. The energy sector suffers from many shortcomings, and most of these need to be dealt with swiftly. Otherwise, new rent-seeking interests will evolve, and soon they will become entrenched and once again impossible to defeat. The new government has a brief window of opportunity to address the most important issues. 1. “Ukraina osvoboditsya ot ‘gazovoi zavisimosti’ ot RF cherez 5 let—Yatsenyuk” [“Yatsenyuk: Ukraine Will Free Itself from Gas Dependence on Russia in 5 Years”], Ekonomichna pravda, Sep- tember 8, 2014. -
Impact of Political Course Shift in Ukraine on Stock Returns
IMPACT OF POLITICAL COURSE SHIFT IN UKRAINE ON STOCK RETURNS by Oleksii Marchenko A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of MA in Economic Analysis Kyiv School of Economics 2014 Thesis Supervisor: Professor Tom Coupé Approved by ___________________________________________________ Head of the KSE Defense Committee, Professor Irwin Collier __________________________________________________ __________________________________________________ __________________________________________________ Date ___________________________________ Kyiv School of Economics Abstract IMPACT OF POLITICAL COURSE SHIFT IN UKRAINE ON STOCK RETURNS by Oleksii Marchenko Thesis Supervisor: Professor Tom Coupé Since achieving its independence from the Soviet Union, Ukraine has faced the problem which regional block to integrate in. In this paper an event study is used to investigate investors` expectations about winners and losers from two possible integration options: the Free Trade Agreement as a part of the Association Agreement with the European Union and the Custom Union of Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan. The impact of these two sudden shifts in the political course on stock returns is analyzed to determine the companies which benefit from each integration decisions. No statistically significant impact on stock returns could be detected. However, our findings suggest a large positive reaction of companies` stock prices to the dismissal of Yanukovych regime regardless of company`s trade orientation and political affiliation. -
Weekly Market Monitor June 7, 2021
Weekly Market Monitor June 7, 2021 Stock Market Update STOCK MARKET PERFORMANCE Equity UX Index MSCI Emerging Markets Index* 2,000 Kyiv-listed equities ended mixed last week amid a generally dry news flow, as business activity began to slow down in the country due to 1,800 the approach of the summer season. The UX index shed 1.2% to close 1,600 at 1944 points. Lightweight index component DonbasEnergo (DOEN) 1,400 plunged by 27% to UAH 17.10 as market players saw a significant 1,200 delay in the company’s announced modernization of its power unit 1,000 #6 at Slavyansk Thermal Power Plant. CentrEnergo (CEEN) corrected Jan-20 Mar-20 May-20 Jul-20 Oct-20 Dec-20 Feb-21 May-21 by 6.3% to UAH 9.00. Raiffeisen Bank Aval (BAVL) declined by 1.6% * rebased to 44.10 kopecks ahead of the ex-rights date on Jun 8 for a dividend MARKET INDEXES payout of 3.31 kopecks per share. On the upside, UkrNafta (UNAF) Last 1W ch YTD gained 1.9% to UAH 314 and TurboAtom (TATM) added by 1.6% to UX 1944 -1.2% 20.2% UAH 8.20. As we reported earlier, the ex-rights date for UkrNafta’s RTS 1647 2.7% 18.7% UAH 35.62 dividend per share was set on Jun 11. WIG20 2254 0.8% 13.0% MSCI EM 1381 1.5% 7.0% In political developments, Parliament approved a bill that restored S&P 500 4229 0.4% 12.6% criminal responsibility for officials who provide false information on their income declarations. -
The Ukrainian Weekly 1995, No.28
www.ukrweekly.com INSIDE: • Oleksander Morozs mixed message in Toronto — page 3. • Soyuzivka seasons thunderous opening — page 9. • Ukraine's rowers at pre-Olympic trials — page 10. £ THE UKRAINIAN WEEKLY Published by the Ukrainian National Association Inc., a fraternal non-profit association Vol. LXIII No. 28 THE UKRAINIAN WEEKLY SUNDAY, JULY 9, 1995 $1.25/$2 in Ukraine Crimean Parliament elects new chairman Kuchma names new government by Marta Kolomayets blocked constructive work in the Kyyiv Press Bureau Parliament since early spring. Thirty-one to propel economic reform policy lawmakers voted against him. KYYIV - The Crimean Parliament Mr. Supruniuk is a member of the by Marta Kolomayets merly the minister of economy, who was elected a new chairman on July 6 in a Agrarian-Crimea faction in the 98-mem- Kyyiv Press Bureau appointed deputy prime minister in move that is expected to smooth rela ber Parliament, but does not belong to charge of economic issues. Mr. Shpek is tions between the Ukrainian capital and KYYIV - Ukrainian President Leonid considered a less radical reformer than any political party. He told journalists in Kuchma on July 3, appointed a new gov the restive autonomous republic. Mr. Pynzenyk. The election of Yevhen Supruniuk as Symferopil on July 6 that the Crimean ernment which is expected to continue a Parliament would work only within the, policy of economic reforms. Some key Speaking with Interfax-Ukraine in the Crimean Parliament's chairman came Bonn on July 4, President Kuchma said just one day after the legislature in framework of Ukrainian legislation. positions remain vacant. -
Ministry of Energy and Coal Industry of Ukraine Is the Main Executive Au- ‣‣Thority Overseeing and Regulating the Power Sector
Contents FOREWORD 2 SOE PORTFOLIO: SNAPSHOT 4 OBJECTIVES AND STRUCTURE 5 OVERVIEW OF SOE REFORM IN UKRAINE 6 EFFECTIVE REGULATORY FRAMEWORK OF SOEs IN UKRAINE 20 UKRAINIAN ECONOMY 33 OVERVIEW OF PORTFOLIO RESULTS 38 ELECTRICITY 46 OIL & GAS 61 TRANSPORTATION 71 RAILWAYS 73 ROADS 78 AIRPORTS 82 SEA PORTS 88 POSTAL SERVICES 94 MACHINE BUILDING 98 FOOD & AGRICULTURE 113 CHEMICALS 129 COAL MINING 137 BANKING 143 COMPANY PROFILES 153 Agrarian Fund 154 Antonov 155 Centrenergo 156 Coal of Ukraine 157 Electrovazhmash 158 Energoatom 159 Illichivsk Sea Commercial Port 160 Kharkiv State Aviation Enterprise 161 Kharkivoblenergo 162 Khmelnytskoblenergo 163 Kyiv Boryspil 164 Lviv Danylo Halytskyi International Airport 165 Mariupol Sea Commercial Port 166 Mykolayivoblenergo 167 Naftogaz of Ukraine 168 Odesa Commercial Sea Port 169 Odesa Portside Plant 170 Roads of Ukraine 171 State Food and Grain Corporation of Ukraine 172 Sumykhimprom 173 Turboatom 174 Ukrainian Sea Ports Administration 175 Ukrainian State Air Traffic Enterprise 176 Ukrenergo 177 Ukrhydroenergo 178 Ukrposhta 179 Ukrspyrt 180 Ukrzaliznytsia 181 Yuzhny Sea Trade Port 182 Zaporizhyaoblenergo 183 METHODOLOGY NOTE 184 SOE PORTFOLIO 186 ABBREVIATIONS AND DEFINITIONS 191 002 UKRAINE’S TOP-100 STATE-OWNED ENTERPRISES › FULL YEAR 2014 Foreword This is the second report on Ukraine’s 100 largest state-owned enterprises (SOEs) dis- closing their results for the full 2014. Public disclosure of such information is part of the Ukrainian government’s commitment to bring transparency to the SOE sector and communicate the change to the Ukrainian people, local and international investors, and various other stakeholders who want to see Ukraine succeed on the reform path. -
OLEKSANDR POLONYK (SASHA), Associate
OLEKSANDR POLONYK (SASHA), Associate Oleksandr Polonyk is an associate in the Corporate Department. He focuses on public and private M&A deals, securities offerings and other corporate transactions. Before joining Jenner & Block, Mr. Polonyk practiced law at a top-tier law firm in Ukraine. He represented clients in M&A transactions, IPOs, Eurobond issuances, as well as debt restructurings. He has substantial experience advising clients in the banking, IT, energy, and agriculture sectors. IFLR (Energy and Infrastructure 2016) commended him for his “invaluable can-do attitude.” Mr. Polonyk is fluent in Russian and Ukrainian. Mr. Polonyk’s representative experience in M&A includes the following: OLEKSANDR POLONYK Advised General Dynamics Corporation on its $9.7 billion acquisition of (SASHA) CSRA Inc. Associate Advised Snyder’s-Lance, Inc. on its $6.1 billion sale to Campbell Soup NEW YORK Company Office: 212 891-1684 Email: [email protected] Advised a lead investor on its investment in a developer and operator of greenhouse farms located near major metropolitan areas PRACTICE GROUPS Corporate Advised Altran Technologies SA, an engineering and technology consulting Corporate Finance Mergers & Acquisitions company, on the acquisition of Lohika Systems Inc, a software engineering Securities services firm EDUCATION Advised a Fortune Global 500 company on the acquisition of renewable New York University School of Law, LLM in Corporate Law, 2017 assets in Ukraine Utrecht University School of Law, LLM in Advised on the EUR122 million acquisition -
EAVEX Daily ENG Oct 13.Indd
Market Monitor October 13, 2011 Market Update STOCK MARKET PERFORMANCE Equity UX Index RTS Index* WIG 20 Index* 2,500 Local stocks again lagged strong gains seen on European bourses on 2,250 Wednesday (Oct 12), as Ukraine continued to receive a dressingdown from EU leaders over the conviction of former PM Yulia Tymoshenko. 2,000 The approval by Slovakia’s parliament of an increase in the EU’s bank 1,750 bailout fund fueled a rise of more than 2% in Frankfurt and Paris, 1,500 while the UX index managed a gain of only 0.5% to 1,327 points. The 1,250 11-Jul 25-Jul 8-Aug 22-Aug 5-Sep 19-Sep 3-Oct day’s best performer was volume leader Motor Sich, which added * rebased 1.5% on turnover of UAH 13mn. Other top liquid names, including CentrEnergo, Alchevsk Steel, Azovstal, and Ukrsotsbank, were up MARKET INDEXES by between 0.5% and 1%. In London, Ferrexpo continued its strong Last 1D ch 1M ch YTD rebound on fading global recession fears, picking up another 7.9% to UX 1326.4 0.7% 12.7% 45.7% RTS 1407.8 3.9% 13.4% 20.5% USD 3.30. WIG20 2316.7 2.4% 3.0% 15.6% MSCI EM 923.2 1.5% 7.0% 19.8% Fixed Income S&P 500 1207.3 1.0% 4.6% 4.0% Ukrainian sovereign Eurobonds saw a broad rebound on Wednesday. Ukrainian midterm Eurobonds added 2.0p.p. 84.0/88.0 UX INTRADAY OCTOBER 12, 2011 (10.70%/9.58%), while longterms rose by 4.0p.p. -
Current Issues and US Policy
Ukraine: Current Issues and U.S. Policy Vincent L. Morelli Section Research Manager April 27, 2016 Congressional Research Service 7-5700 www.crs.gov RL33460 Ukraine: Current Issues and U.S. Policy Summary In February 2014, the Kremlin-supported government of Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych collapsed. The demise of the regime was brought about by bitter protests that had erupted in Kyiv’s Maidan Square in late 2013 over a decision by the government to reject closer relations with the European Union. What followed the turmoil of early 2014 was the emergence of a pro- Western, pro-reform government and an energized public generally anxious to lessen Moscow’s influence, committed to addressing the need for serious reform, and determined to draw closer to Europe and the United States. Despite the current Kyiv government’s commitment to reform, the pro-Western political and economic orientation, and the presence of a vibrant, yet frustrated, civil society dedicated to the implementation of change, Ukraine remains far from achieving the political and economic stability and internal security sought by the supporters of the Maidan. In fact, 2016 has already proven to be a very unsettling time for the government as frustrations have mounted over the slow pace of political reform and economic progress by pro-reformers and the West. These shortcomings initially resulted in the resignations of a popular, reform-minded economy minister and a deputy prosecutor and in warnings from the head of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and several European nations that Ukraine risked losing continued international financial support if progress was not made.