POST-ACQUISITION SUCCESS - the CASE of ROYAL UNIBREW in ITALY a Strategic Analysis of Royal Unibrew in the Italian Soft- and Alcoholic Drink Market
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POST-ACQUISITION SUCCESS - THE CASE OF ROYAL UNIBREW IN ITALY A strategic analysis of Royal Unibrew in the Italian soft- and alcoholic drink market 15-05-2019 Master’s Thesis MSc in Economics and Business Administration (IBS) Copenhagen Business School Characters: 149.500 Author: Nicklas Skovbæk Berg Petersen (93172) Supervisor: Anne Sluhan Nicklas Petersen Master’s Thesis 15-05-2019 Abstract This paper studies the strategic considerations required to achieve success in a post-acquisition setting in the case of Royal Unibrew A/S in Italy. The Italian consumption pattern is changing. Consumers demand more premium products that can be enjoyed in moderation and in the presence of others. These trends, premiumization, social drinking and ‘the good life’, along with a reduction in consumption of unhealthy beverages, are the primary trends driving the beverage industries. Understanding and exploiting these trends is vital to staying ahead and avoid stagnation with the traditional market. Despite high brand recognitions and preferences, little to no switching costs are present in the industry, making it very attractive for firms to compete for market shares through heavy marketing. Interindustry substitutions remains the biggest threat to soft drink manufacturers, while alcoholic drink consumption declines across the whole industry. Without a clear sustainable competitive advantage, Royal Unibrew’s ability to stay ahead of the competition and maintain attractive margins is challenged by their ability to adapt to the changing industry and control costs. Royal Unibrew’s success with Terme di Crodo in the Italian market is highly dependent on their strategic decision making and how they elect to go forward with their newly acquired brands. This paper suggests that Royal Unibrew exploit the premiumization trends by delivering high quality beverage to consumers that are seekers of ‘the good life’. A combination of repositioning of Terme di Crodo’s carbonates brands and a greater focus placed on the bottled water brand, Crodo Lisiel, should benefit Royal Unibrew’s margins as well as long-term shareholder value by becoming a noticeable player in the premium soft drink category in Italy. Ceres’ strong distribution network as well as the organizations experience in operational efficiency and marketing should greatly benefit the Terme di Crodo brands. Page 1 of 86 Nicklas Petersen Master’s Thesis 15-05-2019 Table of Contents 1. Introduction ...................................................................................................................................... 5 1.1 Research question ....................................................................................................................... 6 1.2 Delimitation ................................................................................................................................ 7 1.3 Literature review ........................................................................................................................ 8 1.3.1 How is a successful acquisition assessed? ........................................................................... 8 1.3.2 Market analysis .................................................................................................................... 9 1.3.3 Industry analysis ................................................................................................................ 10 1.3.4 Business environment analysis .......................................................................................... 10 1.3.5 Financial analysis ............................................................................................................... 11 1.3.6 Value chain analysis .......................................................................................................... 11 1.3.7 Strategy development ........................................................................................................ 12 1.4 Methodology ............................................................................................................................ 12 1.4.1 Structure ............................................................................................................................. 13 1.5 Frameworks and models ........................................................................................................... 14 1.5.1 External analysis of the soft drinks- and alcoholic drinks industries ................................ 14 1.5.2 Internal analysis of Royal Unibrew ................................................................................... 15 1.6 Philosophy of science ............................................................................................................... 17 1.7 Data .......................................................................................................................................... 17 1.7.1 Reliability and validity ...................................................................................................... 17 1.7.2 Euromonitor ....................................................................................................................... 18 1.7.3 Marketline .......................................................................................................................... 18 1.7.4 Articles and reports ............................................................................................................ 19 1.8 Introducing Royal Unibrew A/S............................................................................................... 19 2. Market analysis .............................................................................................................................. 21 2.1 Alcoholic beverages in Italy ..................................................................................................... 22 2.1.1 Premiumization .................................................................................................................. 23 2.1.2 Beer in Italy ....................................................................................................................... 24 2.1.3 The consolidation of the beer industry .............................................................................. 24 2.1.4 Non-alcoholic beer ............................................................................................................. 25 2.1.5 Wine in Italy ...................................................................................................................... 26 2.2 Soft drinks in Italy .................................................................................................................... 27 2.2.1 Carbonates in Italy ............................................................................................................. 28 2.2.2 Healthy options prevail ...................................................................................................... 28 Page 2 of 86 Nicklas Petersen Master’s Thesis 15-05-2019 2.3 Summary of the market analysis .............................................................................................. 29 3. Industry analysis ............................................................................................................................ 30 3.1 Analysis of soft drinks industry................................................................................................ 30 3.1.1 Bargaining power of buyers ............................................................................................... 30 3.1.2 Bargaining power of suppliers ........................................................................................... 31 3.1.3 Threat from new entrants ................................................................................................... 31 3.1.4 Threats from substitutes ..................................................................................................... 32 3.1.5 Rivalry in the industry ....................................................................................................... 33 3.1.6 Identifying the critical success factors in the soft drink industry ...................................... 34 3.2 Analysis of alcoholic drinks ..................................................................................................... 34 3.2.1 Bargaining power of buyers ............................................................................................... 34 3.2.2 Bargaining power of suppliers ........................................................................................... 35 3.2.3 Threats from new entrants ................................................................................................. 35 3.2.4 Threat from substitutes ...................................................................................................... 36 3.2.5 Rivalry in the industry ....................................................................................................... 37 3.2.6 Identifying the critical success factors of the alcoholic drinks industry ............................ 37 3.3 Summary of the soft drink and alcoholic drinks industries ...................................................... 38 4. External analysis ............................................................................................................................ 39 4.1 PESTEL analysis .....................................................................................................................