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118392 BMI Algeria Oil and Gas Report Q4 2010.Pdf Q4 2010 www.businessmonitor.com ALGERIA OIL & GAS REPORT INCLUDES 10-YEAR FORECASTS TO 2019 ISSN 1748-3786 Published by Business Monitor International Ltd. ALGERIA OIL & GAS REPORT Q4 2010 INCLUDES 10-YEAR FORECASTS TO 2019 Part of BMI’s Industry Survey & Forecasts Series Published by: Business Monitor International Copy deadline: August 2010 Business Monitor International © 2010 Business Monitor International. Mermaid House, All rights reserved. 2 Puddle Dock, London, EC4V 3DS, All information contained in this publication is UK copyrighted in the name of Business Monitor Tel: +44 (0) 20 7248 0468 International, and as such no part of this publication Fax: +44 (0) 20 7248 0467 may be reproduced, repackaged, redistributed, resold in Email: [email protected] whole or in any part, or used in any form or by any Web: http://www.businessmonitor.com means graphic, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording, taping, or by information storage or retrieval, or by any other means, without the express written consent of the publisher. DISCLAIMER All information contained in this publication has been researched and compiled from sources believed to be accurate and reliable at the time of publishing. However, in view of the natural scope for human and/or mechanical error, either at source or during production, Business Monitor International accepts no liability whatsoever for any loss or damage resulting from errors, inaccuracies or omissions affecting any part of the publication. All information is provided without warranty, and Business Monitor International makes no representation of warranty of any kind as to the accuracy or completeness of any information hereto contained. Algeria Oil & Gas Report Q4 2010 © Business Monitor International Ltd Page 2 Algeria Oil & Gas Report Q4 2010 CONTENTS Executive Summary ......................................................................................................................................... 7 Algeria Energy Market Overview .................................................................................................................... 9 Global Oil Market Review .............................................................................................................................. 12 Drifting With The Tide .............................................................................................................................................................................................. 12 Quarterly Trends ...................................................................................................................................................................................................... 13 Deepwater Turbulence .............................................................................................................................................................................................. 13 Global Oil Market Outlook ............................................................................................................................. 15 Waiting For The Wind To Change ............................................................................................................................................................................ 15 Oil Price Forecasts ................................................................................................................................................................................................... 15 Oil Supply, Demand And Price Outlook ....................................................................................................... 17 Short-Term Demand Outlook .................................................................................................................................................................................... 17 Table: Global Oil Consumption (000b/d) ............................................................................................................................................................ 18 Short-Term Supply Outlook ...................................................................................................................................................................................... 18 Table: Global Oil Production (000b/d)................................................................................................................................................................ 19 Longer-Term Supply And Demand ....................................................................................................................................................................... 20 Oil Price Assumptions ......................................................................................................................................................................................... 21 Table: Crude Price Assumptions 2010 ................................................................................................................................................................. 21 Table: Oil Price Forecasts ................................................................................................................................................................................... 21 Regional Market Overview ............................................................................................................................ 22 Oil Supply And Demand....................................................................................................................................................................................... 22 Table: Africa’s Oil Consumption, 2007-2014 (000b/d) ........................................................................................................................................ 23 Table: Africa’s Oil Production, 2007-2014 (000b/d) ........................................................................................................................................... 24 Oil: Downstream ................................................................................................................................................................................................. 25 Table: Africa’s Oil Refining Capacity, 2007-2014 (000b/d) ................................................................................................................................ 25 Gas Supply And Demand ..................................................................................................................................................................................... 26 Table: Africa’s Gas Consumption, 2007-2014 (bcm) ........................................................................................................................................... 26 Table: Africa’s Gas Production, 2007-2014 (bcm) .............................................................................................................................................. 27 Liquefied Natural Gas ......................................................................................................................................................................................... 28 Table: Africa’s LNG Exports, 2007-2014 (bcm) .................................................................................................................................................. 28 Business Environment Ratings .................................................................................................................... 29 Composite Scores................................................................................................................................................................................................. 29 Table: Regional Composite Business Environment Rating .................................................................................................................................. 29 Upstream Scores .................................................................................................................................................................................................. 30 Table: Regional Upstream Business Environment Ratings .................................................................................................................................. 30 Algeria Upstream Rating – Overview .................................................................................................................................................................. 31 Algeria Upstream Rating – Rewards ................................................................................................................................................................... 31 Algeria Upstream Rating – Risks ......................................................................................................................................................................... 31 Downstream Scores ............................................................................................................................................................................................. 32 Table: Regional Downstream Business Environment Ratings ............................................................................................................................. 32 Algeria Downstream Rating – Overview .............................................................................................................................................................
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