NORDEM Anniversary Report (English)
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COIN in Afghanistan - Winning the Battles, Losing the War?
COIN in Afghanistan - Winning the Battles, Losing the War? MAGNUS NORELL FOI, Swedish Defence Research Agency, is a mainly assignment-funded agency under the Ministry of Defence. The core activities are research, method and technology development, as well as studies conducted in the interests of Swedish defence and the safety and security of society. The organisation employs approximately 1000 personnel of whom about 800 are scientists. This makes FOI Sweden’s largest research institute. FOI gives its customers access to leading-edge expertise in a large number of fields such as security policy studies, defence and security related analyses, the assessment of various types of threat, systems for control and management of crises, protection against and management of hazardous substances, IT security and the potential offered by new sensors. FOI Swedish Defence Research Agency Phone: +46 8 555 030 00 www.foi.se FOI Memo 3123 Memo Defence Analysis Defence Analysis Fax: +46 8 555 031 00 ISSN 1650-1942 March 2010 SE-164 90 Stockholm Magnus Norell COIN in Afghanistan - Winning the Battles, Losing the War? “If you don’t know where you’re going. Any road will take you there” (From a song by George Harrison) FOI Memo 3123 Title COIN in Afghanistan – Winning the Battles, Losing the War? Rapportnr/Report no FOI Memo 3123 Rapporttyp/Report Type FOI Memo Månad/Month Mars/March Utgivningsår/Year 2010 Antal sidor/Pages 41 p ISSN ISSN 1650-1942 Kund/Customer Försvarsdepartementet Projektnr/Project no A12004 Godkänd av/Approved by Eva Mittermaier FOI, Totalförsvarets Forskningsinstitut FOI, Swedish Defence Research Agency Avdelningen för Försvarsanalys Department of Defence Analysis 164 90 Stockholm SE-164 90 Stockholm FOI Memo 3123 Programme managers remarks The Asia Security Studies programme at the Swedish Defence Research Agency’s Department of Defence Analysis conducts research and policy relevant analysis on defence and security related issues. -
Negotiating Kosovo's Final Status
NEGOTIATING KOSOVO’S FINAL STATUS Lulzim Peci, Ilir Dugolli, Leon Malazogu* 1. The current situation June 10th 1999 marks the beginning of a new stage for Kosovo. With confirmed withdrawal of the forces of the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia and the entry of KFOR, the UN Security Council adopted the Resolution 1244 (hereinafter: UNSCR 1244)1, replacing thus the existing legal order with a new one. In general, Kosovo has experienced a very wide range of constitutional solutions. Since the end of WWII and until the last constitution of the Socialist Federal Republic of Yugoslavia (SFRY) in 1974, we have seen an enhancement of powers of Kosovo (as one of the two autonomous provinces). The federal constitution of 1974 introduced significant changes to the internal organization of the SFRY, decentralizing key areas of governance. Under these arrangements, the Socialist Autonomous Province of Kosovo (SAPK) “had equal representation within the supreme commanding body of the federation, a collective presidency of eight, comprised of a member of each federal unit of Yugoslavia. All representatives enjoyed the right to veto any decision over which the collective body had authority, including those relating to security2. 1 United Nations Security Council Resolution 1244/99. Available: http://www.unmikonline.org/misc/N9917289.pdf (last visited: 20 February 2006) 2 Ilir Dugolli & Lulzim Peci, Enhancing civilian management and oversight of the security sector in Kosovo, KIPRED and SaferWorld, November 2005. p.5. Available online at: http://www.kipred.net/UserFiles/File/SecSectorManagement.pdf (last visited: 15 February 2006). This positive evolution came to an abrupt end in 1989 when the autonomy was revoked. -
Kosovo Constraints Analysis 1 KOSOVO CONSTRAINTS ANALYSIS the KOSOVO CONSTRAINTS ANALYSIS
The production of the constraints analyses posted on this website was led by the partner governments, and was used in the development of a Millennium Challenge Compact or threshold program. Although the preparation of the constraints analysis is a collaborative process, posting of the constraints analyses on this website does not constitute an endorsement by MCC of the content presented therein. 2014-001-1569-02 Kosovo Constraints Analysis 1 KOSOVO CONSTRAINTS ANALYSIS THE KOSOVO CONSTRAINTS ANALYSIS This report is published by the Millennium Challenge Kosovo Ofce, at the Ofce of the Prime Minister, Republic of Kosovo. For the publisher: Petrit Selimi, National Coordinator of the Millennium Challenge Kosovo Ofce AUTHORS: Alban Zogaj, Chief Economist | Burim Hashani, Energy Specialist | Violeta Rexha, Gender and Social Inclusion Specialist | Edona Kurtolli-Alija, Private Sector Development Specialist | Adrian Prenkaj, Rule of Law consultant | Sarah Olmstead, MCC Country Team Lead | Stefan Osborne, MCC Lead Economist | Bradley Cunningham, MCC Economist | Jozefina Cutura, MCC Gender and Social Inclusion Specialist | The research on this paper began in June 2016. We want to thank the dedicated team that runs Kosovo Core Team for helping bring the Constraints Analysis to life: Petrit Selimi, Rina Meta, Tahir Bungu and Kastriot Orana. The editorial design of this book was produced by Advertising Studio D-Line. We would like to especially acknowledge the contributions of Rina Meta. 8 Kosovo Constraints Analysis CONTENT Kosovo Constraints Analysis 9 1. Introduction 2. Methodology of Growth Diagnostics 3. Summary of Binding Constraints to Economic Growth in Kosovo 4. Overview of Kosovo’s Economy 5. Kosovo’s Innovation and Export Diversity 6. -
Hva Kjennetegner Talibans Propaganda Og Med Hvilke Kontrapropagandatiltak Kan ISAF Bekjempe Den?
Forsvarets stabsskole Våren 2009 Masteroppgave Kampen om den mest uimotståelige historien Hva kjennetegner Talibans propaganda og med hvilke kontrapropagandatiltak kan ISAF bekjempe den? Ola Bøe-Hansen 2 3 Summary This analysis is split into two where the first half is dedicated to what characterizes Taliban propaganda, and the other half to an analysis of which counterpropaganda measures ISAF can utilize in order to counter it. The Taliban’s propaganda apparatus has grown in size, skill and emphasis since it was removed from power in late 2001. It has shown ability to adapt to modern media and technology, and can now communicate with a global reach and impact. Their messages are mostly based on real incidents, but often strongly exaggerated. They use strong religious connotations to harvest authority and legitimacy. The civilian population is deliberately used as human shields, which has lead to incidents where ISAF operations cause civilian casualties, giving Taliban propaganda opportunities. They utilize their knowledge of the people’s culture, history, traditions and language. They have also learned weaknesses within their enemy and the paramount role of the news media. The Taliban is an actor that efficiently exploits the physical battle domain to support the decisive cognitive domain. Three cases of Taliban propaganda are being discussed in this thesis; Mullah Mohammad Omar’s Eid Messages, how the Taliban utilizes spectacular incidents, and exploiting incidents where ISAF causes Civilian Casualties. The main ISAF counterpropaganda -
NEGOTIATIONS and RECONCILIATION with the TALIBAN: the Key Policy Issues and Dilemmas
NEGOTIATIONS AND RECONCILIATION WITH THE TALIBAN: The Key Policy Issues and Dilemmas By Vanda Felbab-Brown Fellow, 21st Century Defense Initiative, Foreign Policy, the Brookings Institution and Author of Shooting Up: Counterinsurgency and the War on Drugs (Brookings 2009) Thursday’s London conference on Afghanistan where the Afghan government, Britain, and Japan have presented their plans for reconciliation with the Taliban has reignited a months-long debate about whether or not to negotiate with the salafi insurgents. But although passions run strong on both sides of the debate, in its abstract form– negotiate: yes or no – the discussion is of little policy usefulness. The real question about negotiating with the Taliban is what shape and content any such negotiation and reconciliation should have and what are the costs and benefits of such an approach. THE COSTS AND BENEFITS OF NEGOTIATIONS and RECONCILIATION: SOME QUICK LESSONS FROM HISTORY Negotiations and reconciliation frequently have been a critical component of ending conflict, reducing violence, and saving lives: be they the pentiti laws in Italy directed toward the Red Brigades or amnesty for the Shining Path’s soldiers in Peru or negotiations between the Provisional IRA and the Unionists in Northern Ireland. For many who advocate negotiations with the Taliban, negotiations are a way to extricate forces from what they consider unattainable and perhaps unimportant objectives in Afghanistan. But this position ignores the real and acute threat still emanating from the region in the form of terrorism and severe regional instability. It also underestimates the risk and the costs associated with negotiations, such as giving the opponent a chance to increase its forces, recuperate, and renege on its promises. -
123-Year-Old Woman Voted in Kosovo Election
Opinion: Kosovars Caught in Truman Show Now 24 pages September 17 - 30, 2010 Issue No. 47 www.prishtinainsight.com Price € 1 Dude, Looks NEWS Rugova’s Party at Like George Crossroads Clooney > page 3 Kosovo and Serbia rarely see eye to eye with each other, but the battle between the two coun- tries has now entered NEWS a new phase – whose Albania Complains, leader looks most like Kosovo Continues Hollywood’s official Power Project silver-haired fox, > page 4 George Clooney? BUSINESS See Page 5 Kosovo’s Tax Revenue Drops 123-Year-Old Woman Voted in by 10 per cent > page 6 Kosovo Election CITY Prishtina Insight has uncovered evidence that a 123-year-old woman and a 120-year-old man voted in both rounds of Architects, Artists November’s local elections in Kosovo, raising concerns about electoral abuse of the country’s outdated electoral roll Central Election Commission, tion of 11 NGOs which had more will not be used to update the list. Slam Grand Hotel By Prishtina Insight Team CEC, and Ministry of Internal than 2000 monitors in polling sta- Blerim Camaj, head of the Affairs, to update the electoral roll. tions in November, said that inac- agency for civilian status in the Makeover 123-year-old woman and a Xhemajl Pecani, head of the curacies in the electoral roll were Ministry of Internal Affairs, said 120-year-old man cast votes CEC, told Prishtina Insight that open to abuse. that the ministry was working to > page 8 Ain both rounds of Kosovo’s his organisation was aware of the He said: “The presence of those improve the accuracy of next local elections in November 2009, problem, but they would not be names is due to the non-registra- year’s planned general elections. -
CFC Afghanistan Newsletter
07 October 2009 Afghanistan Review This document is intended to provide an overview of relevant sector events in Afghanistan from 30 September -06 October 2009. More comprehensive information is available on the Civil- Military Overview (CMO) at www.cimicweb.org.1 Inside This Issue Letters to the Editor: Jonathan Hadaway, [email protected] /+1 757-683-4233: Letters to the Editor In Focus Dear Sir, if the US does not agree to General McChrystal's troop increase (Reference: Economic Stabilization 30 September 2009 CFC Afghanistan Review, „In Focus‟) it will undermine a crucial, first step in counterinsurgency: showing the population that you have the will to win. Governance & Participation Counterinsurgency operations require additional troops. The necessary focus, Humanitarian Assistance resources, strategy and troops have yet to be dedicated to Afghanistan. I think a new strategy with the required number of military forces deserves a chance to succeed. Infrastructure Justice & Reconciliation --Jesse Wilson, United States Central Command (CENTCOM) Security Social Well-Being Response to Last Week‟s Question In Focus: Eide vs. Galbraith Jonathan Hadaway, [email protected] /+1 757-683-4233: Question of the Week Is it more important for The Deputy United Nations Special Representative of the Secretary General (DSRSG) the United Nations to was removed from his post following a „private-turned-public‟ spat with his superior at fully support free, fair, the United Nations Assistance Mission in Afghanistan (UNAMA). -
Mosques,Beautifulski Resorts Andothernat- ESCO World Heritage Sites of the Serbian Orthodox Church, Kosovo Alsohasalot to Offer to Theworld
AS WE ARE AS WE ARE THE MINISTRY OF FOREIGN AFFAIRS OF THE REPUBLIC KOSOVO AFFAIRS THE MINISTRY OF FOREIGN STORIES OLD AND NEW OF A COUNTRY THRIVING AS WE ARE 3 Free to love We are building our own country, nourishing a population of 70% younger than 35, led by a female president in a place where everyone is free to love. AS WE ARE AS WE ARE Stories old and new of a country thriving - The material in this book has been collected, created and edited for the sole purpose of offering an overview and promoting Kosovo’s history, art, culture, education and science. ‘AS WE ARE / Stories old and new of a country thriving’ includes material previously published in July 2015 under the name ‘AS WE ARE / Stories old and new of a country in the making’. Both books feature the diplomatic efforts of The Ministry of Foreign Affairs in lobbying for Kosovo’s acceptance in UNESCO. The republished work in this edition reinforces these efforts and insists on the unique values that Kosovo has to offer. Photos published in this book are submitted by participants in #instakosova #instakosovo competition, selected from the archives of Kosovo photographers, and others are withdrawn from UNESCO website, Database of Cultural Heritage in Kosovo, Wikimedia Commons and other promotional websites of the same will. This book is not intended for sale. CREDITS AS WE ARE is produced and published under the guidance and for The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Republic of Kosovo in support of its efforts in joining UNESCO Title: AS WE ARE Stories old and new of a country -
Ackground Note: 30 April 2008
BACKGROUND NOTE: 30 APRIL 2008 UNITEDNATIONSPOLITICALAND PEACEBUILDINGMISSIONS NUMBER OF MISSIONS ................................................................................................... 12 PERSONNEL Unifo rmed personnel ............................................................................................................................................. 455 International civilian personnel (29 February 2008)...............................................................................................1,012 Local civilian personnel (29 February 2008)...........................................................................................................2,236 UN Volunteers ........................................................................................................................................................346 Total number of personnel serving in political and peacebuilding missions .............................................................4,049 For information on United Nations peacekeeping operations, see DPI/1634 Rev.83 or visit the United Nations website asdf at http://www.un.org/Depts/dpko/dpko/index.asp United Nations CURRENT POLITICAL AND PEACEBUILDING MISSIONS SUNPO Since 15 April 1995 UNAMA* Since 28 March 2002 United Nations Political Office for Somalia United Nations Assistance Mission in Afghanistan Special Representative of the Secretary-General and Head of UNPOS: Special Representative of the Secretary-General: Ahmedou Ould-Abdallah (Mauritania) Kai Eide (Norway) Strength: international -
Nordicom Review Journal from the Nordic Information Centre for Media and Communication Research
Nordicom Review Journal from the Nordic Information Centre for Media and Communication Research Editor NORDICOM invites media researchers to contribute scientific articles, reviews, and debates. Submission of Ulla Carlsson original articles is open to all researchers in the field Nordicom of media and communication in the Nordic countries, University of Gothenburg irrespective of discipline and institutional allocation. Box 713 All articles are refereed. SE-405 30 Göteborg Tel: +46 31 786 12 19 Aims and Scope Fax: +46 31 786 46 55 Nordicom Review provides a major forum for media e-mail: [email protected] and communication researchers in the Nordic countries – Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway and Sweden. The semiannual journal is addressed to the international Editorial Board scholarly community. It publishes the best of media Göran Bolin, Professor and communication research in the region, as well as School of Culture and Communication theoretical works in all its diversity; it seeks to reflect Södertörn University College the great variety of intellectual traditions in the field SE-141 89 Huddinge [email protected] and to facilitate a dialogue between them. As an interdisciplinary journal, Nordicom Review welcomes Lisbeth Clausen, Professor contributions from the best of the Nordic scholarship Department of Intercultural Communication in relevant areas, and encourages contributions from and Management senior researchers as well as younger scholars. Copenhagen Business School Nordicom Review offers reviews of Nordic publi- Porcelænshaven 18A cations, and publishes notes on a wide range of DK-2000 Frederiksberg literature, thus enabling scholars all over the world [email protected] to keep abreast of Nordic contributions in the field. -
Peacemaking: Success on the Danube Region of Croatia the Erdut Agreement
chapter 11 Peacemaking: Success on the Danube Region of Croatia The Erdut Agreement The Erdut Agreement for the Danube region of Croatia was one of the great successes of United Nations peacemaking in the former Yugoslavia. Thorvald Stoltenberg is the undoubted father of this agreement. icfy’s main efforts on Croatia had been to put down building blocks for peace one by one and to help work out autonomy regimes for the Croatian Serbs that would guarantee them respect for internationally respected stan- dards of human rights and the rights of minorities. Great credit for the drafting of such a regime must go to our dear departed friend Paul Szasz, who bore the brunt of the drafting of this and many other documents in his capacity as Legal Adviser to the International Conference on the Former Yugoslavia. This effort to work out a regime of autonomy for the Croatian Serbs would come to naught in the end. Tudjman clearly wanted no part of it because he wanted full integration of the Serbs inside a unitary Croatia. As for Milosevic, when the plan was first presented to him and he had studied it, he told Stoltenberg and Owen, “Gentlemen, please do not ruin today ideas that might work in five years time in the future.” He also had other ideas in mind and prob- ably wanted to negotiate with Tudjman an exchange of territory in which he would incorporate into Serbia especially the eastern enclave which was sepa- rated from Serbia merely by a river. icfy, without a doubt, made foundation contributions to the building of peace in Croatia. -
SWP Comments 2005/59, December 2005, 6 Pages
Introduction Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik German Institute for International and Security Affairs War of Resolutions Parliamentary Blockades in the Kosovo Negotiations Dušan Reljić SWP Comments The approaching start of the future status negotiations for Kosovo is marked by a hardening of positions in Pristina and Belgrade, as well as mounting violence in Kosovo itself. At the same time, differences are arising between the United States, which leans toward independence for Kosovo, and Russia and China, which oppose secession. On October 24 the UN Security Council tiations will not be the final phase of the (UNSC) gave a green light to the beginning process as a whole but rather would pave of negotiations following the recommenda- the way for the next stage of the inter- tions of the Norwegian diplomat, Kai Eide. national presence in Kosovo. Since early summer 1999 Kosovo has been a Since the report’s publication, the protectorate of the UN. The UN General security situation in Kosovo, according to Secretary requested that Eide prepare a the UN administration (UNMIK), has report for the UNSC on the situation in worsened. UNMIK members and vehicles, as Kosovo. In the report, the UN special envoy well as the Kosovo Police Service (KPS), have describes the situation in the province on been the target of a series of terrorist at- the ground as extremely grim. Eide point- tacks. A bomb injured many shoppers at a edly remarks upon the critical situation of market in a predominately Serb-inhabited the non-Albanian population there. Yet, village. On December 3 outside the city of Eide concludes that there will never really Prizren, a tour bus en route to Belgrade was be “any good moment for addressing attacked with hand-held rocket launchers.