Rethinking Marx
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China‟S Two Economies
China‟s Two Economies Contributing Analysts Uwe Parpart David Goldman Steve Wang Victor Kwan +852 2843 1474 +852 5328 3360 +852 2843 1464 +852 2843 1480 [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] CHINA‟S STORY 2 CHINA‟S STORY IS CREATIVE DESTRUCTION – THE DESTRUCTION OF ONE CHINA AND THE CONSTRUCTION OF ANOTHER • Mao leveled the old imperial culture and empowered the peasants • Deng destroyed the countryside through mass migration and the One Child Policy, in favor of an urban smokestack, export economy • Xi‟s new government is tearing down large parts of the old smokestack economy and building a tech-based, consumption-oriented economy • Any snapshot of the Chinese economy captures two different things: the destruction of the old and building of the new • Aggregate GDP data don‟t capture the transformations now in progress • We drill down into the details to assemble a portrait of the emerging China 3 CHINA‟S TRANSFORMATION CHINA‟S CURRENT ECONOMIC GROWTH REMAINS 4 ROBUST Import data are a good cross-check on China‟s GDP. Iron ore imports jumped in Q4 2013 and maintained this level during 2014. Crude oil imports in the 1Q totaled 74.72 Mt, +8.3% from 1Q 2013, in-line with the pace of economic expansion Mn Tonnes Mn Tonnes 100.00 30.00 23.52 90.00 73.96 25.00 80.00 70.00 20.00 60.00 50.00 15.00 40.00 10.00 30.00 20.00 5.00 10.00 0.00 0.00 Imports of Iron Ore Source: Customs Imports of Crude Oil Source: Customs BUT GROWTH IS SHIFTING AWAY FROM 5 PROCESSING EXPORTS BASED ON CHEAP LABOR Academics, analysts and noted short sellers have repeatedly forecast the coming collapse of the Chinese economy. -
December 1998
JANUARY - DECEMBER 1998 SOURCE OF REPORT DATE PLACE NAME ALLEGED DS EX 2y OTHER INFORMATION CRIME Hubei Daily (?) 16/02/98 04/01/98 Xiangfan C Si Liyong (34 yrs) E 1 Sentenced to death by the Xiangfan City Hubei P Intermediate People’s Court for the embezzlement of 1,700,00 Yuan (US$20,481,9). Yunnan Police news 06/01/98 Chongqing M Zhang Weijin M 1 1 Sentenced by Chongqing No. 1 Intermediate 31/03/98 People’s Court. It was reported that Zhang Sichuan Legal News Weijin murdered his wife’s lover and one of 08/05/98 the lover’s relatives. Shenzhen Legal Daily 07/01/98 Taizhou C Zhang Yu (25 yrs, teacher) M 1 Zhang Yu was convicted of the murder of his 01/01/99 Zhejiang P girlfriend by the Taizhou City Intermediate People’s Court. It was reported that he had planned to kill both himself and his girlfriend but that the police had intervened before he could kill himself. Law Periodical 19/03/98 07/01/98 Harbin C Jing Anyi (52 yrs, retired F 1 He was reported to have defrauded some 2600 Liaoshen Evening News or 08/01/98 Heilongjiang P teacher) people out of 39 million Yuan 16/03/98 (US$4,698,795), in that he loaned money at Police Weekend News high rates of interest (20%-60% per annum). 09/07/98 Southern Daily 09/01/98 08/01/98 Puning C Shen Guangyu D, G 1 1 Convicted of the murder of three children - Guangdong P Lin Leshan (f) M 1 1 reported to have put rat poison in sugar and 8 unnamed Us 8 8 oatmeal and fed it to the three children of a man with whom she had a property dispute. -
China Analysis 48
China Analysis Les Nouvelles de Chine n°48 - Avril 2014 Sommaire DOSSIER : LE DÉFI DÉMOGRAPHIQUE CHINOIS 1. La Chine après le dividende démographique (Agatha Kratz et Clare Chng) 5 2. L'assouplissement de la politique de l'enfant unique (Camille Boullenois) 10 3. Les droits des femmes à l'épreuve de la politique de l'enfant unique (Hugo Winckler) 14 4. Émigration chinoise vers l'étranger : constats et controverses (Simeng Wang) 18 5. Mettre fin à la fragmentation du système des pensions de retraite (Marie-Hélène Schwoob) 2 3 REPÈRES 6. L'intensification de la lutte anticorruption : bilan et nouvelles orientations un an après le XVIIIe Congrès du PCC (Camille Liffran) 27 7. Quel avenir pour la « trêve diplomatique » entre Taipei et Pékin ? (Tanguy Lepesant) 33 8. La main invisible du Parti à l'université (Jérôme Doyon) 37 © Asia Centre 9. La Chine et l'Asean : entre tensions et coopération 71 boulevard Raspail (Abigaël Vasselier) 41 75006 Paris, France 10. La nouvelle réforme foncière chinoise : rationaliser l'urbanisation en www.centreasia.eu libéralisant le foncier rural (David Bénazéraf et Carine Henriot) 46 [email protected] ISSN : 2101 - 0048 SOMMAIRE DOSSIER : LE DÉFI DÉMOGRAPHIQUE CHINOIS Le dossier de ce numéro 48 de China Analysis revient sur le défi démographique chinois. La question de la politique de contrôle des naissances a été remise à l’ordre du jour à l’occasion du IIIè Plenum du XVIIIème Congrès du PCC, et il semblerait que les autorités soient désormais prêtes à assouplir la célèbre « politique de l’enfant unique ». Néanmoins, cette question n’est que l’un des nombreux aspects de la question démographique en Chine, et nous nous efforçons, avec ce dossier, d’en couvrir au moins cinq composantes majeures. -
Throttling Dissent: China's New Leaders Refine Internet Control
FREEDOM HOUSE Freedom on the Net 2013 1 Throttling Dissent: China’s New Leaders Refine Internet Control Madeline Earp, Research Analyst, Freedom on the Net July 2013 Acknowledgements ....................................................................................... 2 About This Report ........................................................................................ 3 Key Developments: May 1, 2012-April 30, 2013 ................................................... 4 Key Figures ................................................................................................. 5 Introduction ................................................................................................ 6 Obstacles to Access ...................................................................................... 10 Limits on Content ........................................................................................ 17 Violations of User Rights ................................................................................ 32 Conclusion ................................................................................................. 45 About Freedom House ………………………………………………………………47 CHINA FREEDOM HOUSE Freedom on the Net 2013 2 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS Xiao Qiang, founder and chief editor of China Digital Times and an adjunct professor of the School of Information, UC Berkeley, served as an advisor for this report. A second advisor based in Hong Kong requested anonymity. At Freedom House, Sanja Tatic Kelly, project director for Freedom on the Net, guided -
He Jiahong Corruption Assessment
He Jiahong Corruption Assessment Assessment and Analysis of Corruption in China He Jiahong (Published in China Legal Science, No. 5, Vol.3, September 2015) Abstract Criminal corruption refers to instances in which employees of the government, private companies or other work units take advantage of their position to embezzle funds or accept bribes. The state of criminal corruption can be assessed both objectively and subjectively; both methods exhibit insufficient accuracy in some respects. Presently, criminal corruption is a severe problem in China,1 having become both systemic and socially ingrained. Causes of corruption can be traced back to human nature and instincts, social practices, and the general operation of the systems in question. A clear understanding of these causes can provide us with a method for developing countermeasures. Keywords: Corruption, crime, assessment, cause China’s current government has already sounded the alarm regarding the problem of corruption, and fighting it has become the ruling party’s most serious challenge. The situation is indeed as President Xi Jinping described in his 17 November 2012 address before the first collective study session of the 18th National Congress of the Communist Party of China (CPC): HE Jiahong, SJD (1993, Northwestern University, USA), Professor of Law, Director of the Centre for Common Law and Deputy Director of the Research Center for Criminal Law, the Law School of Renmin University of China. The author hereby expresses his heartfelt thanks to Mr. Jesse Field, Ms. Kelly Falconer, and Mr. Canaan Morse who helped with the writing in English. 1 Except when specifically noted, “China” in this article refers to mainland China. -
Journal of Current Chinese Affairs
China Data Supplement September 2008 J People’s Republic of China J Hong Kong SAR J Macau SAR J Taiwan ISSN 0943-7533 China aktuell Data Supplement – PRC, Hong Kong SAR, Macau SAR, Taiwan 1 Contents The Main National Leadership of the PRC ......................................................................... 2 LIU Jen-Kai The Main Provincial Leadership of the PRC ..................................................................... 30 LIU Jen-Kai Data on Changes in PRC Main Leadership ...................................................................... 37 LIU Jen-Kai PRC Agreements with Foreign Countries ......................................................................... 44 LIU Jen-Kai PRC Laws and Regulations .............................................................................................. 47 LIU Jen-Kai Hong Kong SAR................................................................................................................ 48 LIU Jen-Kai Macau SAR....................................................................................................................... 55 LIU Jen-Kai Taiwan .............................................................................................................................. 60 LIU Jen-Kai ISSN 0943-7533 All information given here is derived from generally accessible sources. Publisher/Distributor: GIGA Institute of Asian Studies Rothenbaumchaussee 32 20148 Hamburg Germany Phone: +49 (0 40) 42 88 74-0 Fax: +49 (040) 4107945 2 September 2008 The Main National Leadership -
China's Political Ecology and the Fight Against Corruption
China’s Political Ecology and the Fight against Corruption Joseph Fewsmith Since the 18th Party Congress convened in November 2012, China has undertaken a wide-ranging campaign against corruption. The campaign has gone on longer, cut deeper, and affected more people than anyone might have imagined two years ago. The course of the campaign has exposed in considerable depth many of the ills of political life in China. Although it seems intended to break up many of the “small circles” that pervade China’s political life, there is no question that the campaign has focused particular attention on the networks around Zhou Yongkang, the former head of China’s security forces, and Ling Jihua, the former head of the General Office. China’s leadership has promised the campaign will continue, so there are likely to be more surprises; perhaps one or more new “tigers” will be exposed. China’s fight against corruption really began with the conviction of Bo Xilai (薄熙来), the former party secretary of Chongqing municipality and an apparent contender for a seat on the party’s powerful Politburo Standing Committee (PBSC). But since Bo’s case was concluded prior to the 18th Party Congress, he is not mentioned in the running tab the People’s Daily website has maintained of ministerial-level cadres who have been taken in for investigation, and he is rarely mentioned in media articles discussing corruption. Perhaps the relative silence surrounding the Bo Xilai case since the 18th Party Congress is intended to minimize the political nature of the current campaign, though the recent arrest of Zhou Yongkang (周永康), the retired former head of the security apparatus, inevitably raises questions about Bo and politics in general. -
Autocrats Untying Their Hands-Political Prosecution of Corruption In
ISA Hong Kong 2017 Jia Li June 15 [email protected] Autocrats Untying Their Hands: Political Prosecution of Corruption in a Limited Autocracy Jia Li, University of Chicago Abstract Autocrats have an incentive to purge rival elites in the course of anticorruption. But can an autocrat purge his rivals by political prosecution in a limited autocracy where power-sharing arrangements tie his hands? Empirical observation from China, an institutionalized autocracy with a history of politicized anticorruption, sheds light on this question. Xi Jinping’s anticorruption campaign provides network evidence that the autocrat is untying his hands and purging rivals despite the constraints on his power. Studying the network where purged elites are nodes and their colleague relations are ties, this paper argues that the emphasis on political prosecution against an elite explains his centrality in the purged network, which suggests that political prosecution drives the campaign as much as cleansing graft does. The independent variable, emphasis on political prosecution, is estimated by the ratio of intraparty duration to procuratorial duration. Centrality, as the dependent variable, is constructed by PageRank algorithm. The finding suggests that an autocrat in a limited autocracy is capable of reneging on power sharing. Keywords: limited autocracy; network analysis; corruption; China 1 ISA Hong Kong 2017 Jia Li June 15 [email protected] Autocrats with hands tied: can they purge rivals by political prosecution? Autocrats have an incentive to purge rival elites in the course of anticorruption. As a strategy to enforce political order, they manipulate judicial processes and employ courts to monitor regime elites (Magaloni, 2008b). -
January to December 1999
CHINA Death Penalty log: January to December 1999 The table overleaf lists the following (from left to right): the sources and dates of the reports (when known); the date of the reported death sentences (DS) or executions (EX) (when known); the province or city where the sentences were imposed or carried out (when known); the names (when known) or numbers of the alleged offenders and further details (when known); the alleged criminal offences for which the death sentences were imposed (when known); the number of death sentences imposed without stay of execution; the number of executions actually carried out; the number of death sentences imposed with a two-year stay of execution (2y); other information when available, including the number of death sentences, executions and two-year reprieve cases for each month. Abbreviations used in the table: DS number of death sentences pronounced without a stay of execution EX number of executions reported to have been carried out 2y number of death sentences with a 2-year reprieve (stay of execution) (F) Female Source of Report (unless otherwise given) SWB BBC Summary of World Broadcasts (U.K. publication) SCMP South China Morning Post (Hong Kong daily newspaper) FBIS Foreign Broadcast Information Service (U.S. publication) AFP Agence France Presse AP Associated Press Xinhua New China News Agency (Chinese state news agency) VOA Voice of America CNA China News Analysis ETIC East Turkistan Information Center PBS People's Broadcasting Station (Chinese state radio service) Alleged Crime A Arson -
Journal of Current Chinese Affairs
China Data Supplement November 2008 J People’s Republic of China J Hong Kong SAR J Macau SAR J Taiwan ISSN 0943-7533 China aktuell Data Supplement – PRC, Hong Kong SAR, Macau SAR, Taiwan 1 Contents The Main National Leadership of the PRC ......................................................................... 2 LIU Jen-Kai The Main Provincial Leadership of the PRC ..................................................................... 29 LIU Jen-Kai Data on Changes in PRC Main Leadership ...................................................................... 36 LIU Jen-Kai PRC Agreements with Foreign Countries ......................................................................... 41 LIU Jen-Kai PRC Laws and Regulations .............................................................................................. 50 LIU Jen-Kai Hong Kong SAR................................................................................................................ 52 LIU Jen-Kai Macau SAR....................................................................................................................... 59 LIU Jen-Kai Taiwan .............................................................................................................................. 64 LIU Jen-Kai ISSN 0943-7533 All information given here is derived from generally accessible sources. Publisher/Distributor: GIGA Institute of Asian Studies Rothenbaumchaussee 32 20148 Hamburg Germany Phone: +49 (0 40) 42 88 74-0 Fax: +49 (040) 4107945 2 November 2008 The Main National Leadership of -
The Promotion Mechanism of Political Elites in Reforming China
The Promotion Mechanism of Political Elites in Reforming China Submitted in accordance with the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy Rongrong Lin School of East Asian Studies August, 2015 Contents ABSTRACT ........................................................................................................................ 4 LIST OF FIGURES ............................................................................................................... 6 LIST OF TABLES ................................................................................................................ 8 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS .................................................................................................. 12 LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS ................................................................................................. 15 CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................ 16 CHAPTER 2 REVIEW OF LITERATURE................................................................................ 31 2.1 HUMAN CAPITAL AFFECTING CAREER MOBILITY OUTCOMES ..................................................... 32 2.1.1 Education in Career Mobility ................................................................................. 33 2.1.2 Work Experience in Career Mobility ...................................................................... 36 2.1.3 Summary of Human Capital ................................................................................... 39 2.2 SOCIAL CAPITAL -
Journal of Current Chinese Affairs
Journal of C urrent Chinese Affairs China Data Supplement May 2009 People’s Republic of China Hong Kong SAR Macau SAR Taiwan China aktuell China Data Supplement – PRC, Hong Kong SAR, Macau SAR, Taiwan 1 Contents The Main National Leadership of the PRC ......................................................................... 2 LIU Jen-Kai The Main Provincial Leadership of the PRC ..................................................................... 30 LIU Jen-Kai Data on Changes in PRC Main Leadership ...................................................................... 37 LIU Jen-Kai PRC Agreements with Foreign Countries ......................................................................... 44 LIU Jen-Kai PRC Laws and Regulations .............................................................................................. 47 LIU Jen-Kai Hong Kong SAR................................................................................................................ 51 LIU Jen-Kai Macau SAR....................................................................................................................... 58 LIU Jen-Kai Taiwan .............................................................................................................................. 63 LIU Jen-Kai ISSN 0943-7533 All information given here is derived from generally accessible sources. Publisher/Distributor: GIGA Institute of Asian Studies Rothenbaumchaussee 32 20148 Hamburg Germany Phone: +49 (0 40) 42 88 74-0 Fax: +49 (040) 4107945 2 May 2009 The Main National