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Hardin Valley Mobility Plan

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Hardin Valley Mobility Plan hardin valley MOBILITY PLAN OCTOBER 2019 acknowledgments STEERING COMMITTEE Knox County: Engineering and Public Works | Mayor’s Office | Human Resources Knoxville - Knox County Planning Knoxville Regional Transportation Planning Organization Tennessee Department of Transportation West Knox Utility District STAKEHOLDERS Hardin Valley Planning Advocates Hardin Valley Business Group Pellissippi State Community College Town of Farragut Rural Metro Fire Knox County Development Corporation Ball Homes Goodall Homes Knox County Schools Faith Promise Church Vulcan Materials Safe Harbor Development King University United Parcel Service Greystone Apartments Knox County Parks and Recreation Southwest Bank project overview Bounded by Pellissippi Parkway on the east, the county This Hardin Valley Mobility Plan serves as an articulation boundary on the west, I-40/I-75 to the south, and Melton of the community’s vision for the future development of and Hill Lake to the north, the Hardin Valley study area is improvements to one of Knox County’s fastest growing one whose landscape possesses the rural charm and areas. This study was not completed in isolation as numerous character that many seek out, complemented by proximity planning efforts having been accomplished and projects to professional jobs near Oak Ridge as well as all the designed leading up to this point. These planning efforts, urban activities that Knoxville has to offer. The desirability conducted by the Knoxville-Knox County Planning, TDOT, of this area has led to rapid growth in recent years, with a and other entities, have resulted in both plans and projects host of new residential developments that have led to at- for the Hardin Valley study area shown on the following capacity schools and increased levels of traffic congestion. page. The Knoxville-Knox Tennessee Hillside and Northwest Mobility County General Technology Corridor Ridgetop County Plan Plan 2033 Comprehensive Protection Sector Plan 2040 Plan Update Plan 2000 2010 2018 Knoxville-Knox County Knox to Major Park, Recreation, and Oak Ridge Road Greenways Plan Greenway Plan Master Plan 1 KNOX COUNTY OAK RIDGE HIGHWAY OAK RIDGE ANDERSON COUNTY ROANE COUNTY KNOXVILLE PELLISSIPPI PARKWAY LOUDON COUNTY FARRAGUT 40 Study Area 2 project timeline Following on the heels of the most recent planning effort, the 2016 Northwest County Sector Plan, the Hardin Valley Mobility Plan was undertaken in order to take a closer look at FALL 2018 Review of existing data the transportation implications PUBLIC ENGAGEMENT of land use decisions in the area. This plan is a result of a 12-month process that included an analysis of historic development patterns, WINTER 2018 Analysis of future system deficiencies projection of future growth in population as well as employment. This analysis helped determine existing transportation deficiencies, SPRING 2019 Development of project recommendations projection of future needs, and identify investments and projected costs needed to address those needs. All of these elements were driven by an extensive stakeholder and SUMMER 2019 Prioritization and costing of projects public involvement process. 3 analysis DEMOGRAPHIC CHARACTERISTICS that an additional 19,500 residents will call the Hardin Valley The Hardin Valley study area is very much appealing, and the study area home by 2030. According to data distributed availability of undeveloped/underutilized land, particularly by the U.S. Census Bureau, the household and population west of Pellissippi Parkway, has led to a significant surge in characteristics in the study area are relatively homogenous. development. This recent intensity in residential development The distribution of resident age reflects an increased has resulted in a corresponding increase in population. presence of families that have school-aged children, are Since 2014, the study area has seen approximately 1,800 highly educated, and have a median household income of new people in the community per year for a total population approximately $80,000, which is well above the county growth of 7,200 residents. That puts the 2018 population average (~$55,000). at just over 37,000 people, and based on historic trends as well as anticipated development constraints, it’s forecasted 37,000 29,800 POPULATION BEFORE 2014 GROWTH THROUGH 2030 RESIDENTS 2018 2014 4 HISTORIC POPULATION 2014 POPULATION 29,796 GROWTH BY COUNTY SECTOR 2018 POPULATION 37,030 EXPANDED STUDY AREA Northwest Sector Southwest Sector North Sector 1990 Northeast Sector 2000 South Sector 2010 East Sector 5 MARKET CHARACTERISTICS this employment is based in the service sector, which includes Nestled between Oak Ridge National Laboratory to the those working in industries related to education, healthcare, north and the Turkey Creek commercial area to the south, finance, information technology, entertainment, and the Hardin Valley study area residents have prime access to government. In addition, industrial and retail employment a variety of established employment centers. While this is sectors each comprise approximately 14% of the overall likely a contributing factor for the residential growth in the employment in the area. The remaining jobs are categorized study area, the Hardin Valley study area is not lacking for as basic employment, which includes construction, utilities, employment opportunities of its own. In 2018, there were mining, and forestry jobs. approximately 28,000 jobs in the study area. Two-thirds of HEALTHCARE SERVICE OTHER PROFESSIONAL SERVICES RELATED MANAGEMENT AND ADMINISTRATIVE EMPLOYMENT RETAIL TRADE AND FOOD SERVICES EDUCATION INFORMATION 3% FINANCIAL ACTIVITIES 11% 9% 13% 26% 14% GOODS 5% PRODUCING CONSTRUCTION, UTILITIES, MINING AND AGRICULTURE EMPLOYMENT MANUFACTURING, WHOLESALE TRADE, AND WAREHOUSING 6 The proximity to employment opportunities external to the primarily traveling east to downtown Knoxville and north study area as well as employment within contributes to a to Oak Ridge. Notably, only 7% of the employees who significant amount of commuting traffic in, near, and through work in the Hardin Valley study area also live there with the the Hardin Valley study area. According to the U.S. Census remaining 93% traveling into the study area from all areas Bureau, residents who live in the study area and commute of Knox County, as well as from surrounding areas in Blount, externally, which represents nearly 90% of workers, are Loudon and Anderson Counties. 89% 93% of people who of people who live in Hardin work in Hardin Valley work Valley don’t outside the live there area 7 The employment growth in the Hardin Valley study area is expected to mirror the population growth slated for the community over the next 12 years, with nearly 10,000 additional jobs being added to the study area by 2030. Similar to current trends in employment type, it’s expected that the majority of this growth will come in the service sector. DEVELOPMENT CHARACTERISTICS acreage, Public Right-of-Way, Rural Residential, and Single- Land use and development patterns are crucial to Family Residential are the other dominant uses in the Hardin understanding travel habits and the overall needs for different Valley study area. Most non-residential land uses are clustered users of the transportation system. Existing land uses within the around the I-40/I-75 and Pellissippi Parkway interchanges, as Hardin Valley study area are dominated primarily by those shown in the figures above and on the following page, which lands classified as Agricultural, with nearly half of all acreage provide a high degree of accessibility for the movement of in the study area classified as such. As a percentage of total both people and goods. 8 OAK RIDGE HIGHWAY HARDIN VALLEY ROAD LOVELL ROAD N. CAMPBELLSTATION ROAD PELLISSIPPI PARKWAY HICKORY CREEK ROAD YARNELL ROAD 40 40 Data Source: KGIS 9 Availability of land in the Northwest County sector as well as its desirability has NORTHWEST driven a fast pace of COUNTY development in recent years. From 2014 SECTOR to 2018, there were RESIDENTIAL MULTI FAMILY UNITS FAMILY MULTI nearly 4,000 new PERMIT residential permits 52% DATA UNITS FAMILY MULTI issued in the sector with UNITS FAMILY MULTI 36% 60% and 40% issued 44% for single-family units and multifamily units, respectively. Of these, approximately 1,500 RESIDENTIAL BUILDING PERMITS MULTI 13% of the new residential MULTI FAMILY FAMILY MULTI permits were issued 1153 40% in the Hardin Valley RESIDENTIAL BUILDING PERMITS RESIDENTIAL BUILDING PERMITS study area. While only 891 7% of permits were 872 SINGLE FAMILY UNITS SINGLE FAMILY SINGLE FAMILY UNITS SINGLE FAMILY allocated for new UNITS SINGLE FAMILY 56% 64% multifamily housing 48% SINGLE FAMILY UNITS SINGLE FAMILY developments,those RESIDENTIAL BUILDING PERMITS SINGLE FAMILY UNITS SINGLE FAMILY 87% RESIDENTIAL BUILDING PERMITS permits represent nearly 596 60% 463 50% of all new dwelling units in the study area. 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 10 The Northwest County Sector Plan that was completed in created, all of which assigned future population and 2016 set forth a land use vision that includes policies to employment growth spatially to different areas within the guide future physical and economic development for a larger Hardin Valley community based on the implementation of area of the county that incorporates the Hardin Valley study different land use policies. Performance metrics listed below area. Although the acreage of agricultural and rural lands related to transportation and development were used to is
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