Bolivia Public Finances, 1882-2007

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Bolivia Public Finances, 1882-2007 Bolivia Public Finances, 1882-2007 Challenges and restrictions of State intervention in a small, multiethnic and revolutíonary economy José Alejandro Peres Cajías ADVERTIMENT. La consulta d’aquesta tesi queda condicionada a l’acceptació de les següents condicions d'ús: La difusió d’aquesta tesi per mitjà del servei TDX (www.tdx.cat) i a través del Dipòsit Digital de la UB (diposit.ub.edu) ha estat autoritzada pels titulars dels drets de propietat intel·lectual únicament per a usos privats emmarcats en activitats d’investigació i docència. No s’autoritza la seva reproducció amb finalitats de lucre ni la seva difusió i posada a disposició des d’un lloc aliè al servei TDX ni al Dipòsit Digital de la UB. No s’autoritza la presentació del seu contingut en una finestra o marc aliè a TDX o al Dipòsit Digital de la UB (framing). Aquesta reserva de drets afecta tant al resum de presentació de la tesi com als seus continguts. En la utilització o cita de parts de la tesi és obligat indicar el nom de la persona autora. ADVERTENCIA. La consulta de esta tesis queda condicionada a la aceptación de las siguientes condiciones de uso: La difusión de esta tesis por medio del servicio TDR (www.tdx.cat) y a través del Repositorio Digital de la UB (diposit.ub.edu) ha sido autorizada por los titulares de los derechos de propiedad intelectual únicamente para usos privados enmarcados en actividades de investigación y docencia. No se autoriza su reproducción con finalidades de lucro ni su difusión y puesta a disposición desde un sitio ajeno al servicio TDR o al Repositorio Digital de la UB. No se autoriza la presentación de su contenido en una ventana o marco ajeno a TDR o al Repositorio Digital de la UB (framing). Esta reserva de derechos afecta tanto al resumen de presentación de la tesis como a sus contenidos. En la utilización o cita de partes de la tesis es obligado indicar el nombre de la persona autora. WARNING. On having consulted this thesis you’re accepting the following use conditions: Spreading this thesis by the TDX (www.tdx.cat) service and by the UB Digital Repository (diposit.ub.edu) has been authorized by the titular of the intellectual property rights only for private uses placed in investigation and teaching activities. Reproduction with lucrative aims is not authorized nor its spreading and availability from a site foreign to the TDX service or to the UB Digital Repository. Introducing its content in a window or frame foreign to the TDX service or to the UB Digital Repository is not authorized (framing). Those rights affect to the presentation summary of the thesis as well as to its contents. In the using or citation of parts of the thesis it’s obliged to indicate the name of the author. ii AGRADECIMIENTOS A lo largo de la elaboración de esta tesis conté con el apoyo, tiempo y recursos necesarios para afrontar un proyecto investigativo que, difícilmente, podría haber sido realizado bajo las condiciones en las cuales opera la investigación académica en Bolivia. Por un lado, fue fundamental el apoyo decidido, continuo e inquebrantable de mi director de tesis, Alfonso Herranz-Loncán. Trabajar con él representó un desafío y un aprendizaje continuo y su figura constituye sin duda un modelo a seguir tanto desde el punto de vista profesional como personal. Por otro lado, fue también crucial el financiamiento otorgado por la Universitat de Barcelona, la Agència de Gestió d'Ajuts Universitaris i de Recerca (AGAUR) de la Generalitat de Catalunya y el Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación de España. Igualmente, la posibilidad de poder trabajar y discutir mis ideas con Luis Bértola, Gonzalo Chávez, Ewout Frankema, Herbert Klein y Fernanda Wanderley, fue un privilegio y una actividad sumamente enriquecedora. La ilusión y el desafío es poder lograr al menos una mínima parte de lo conseguido por estos investigadores. Fue también fundamental el apoyo, la guía y la amistad de Anna Carreras Marín y Marc Badia Miró. Otro elemento que valoro enormemente y que me permitió crecer profesionalmente fue el apoyo de César Yáñez. El apoyo institucional por parte del Departamento de Historia e Instituciones Económicas de la Universidad de Barcelona es otro de los elementos que me permitió afrontar este proyecto investigativo. En particular el apoyo de Lluis Castañeda Jordi Planas, Ramon Ramon, Alex Sánchez, Enric Tello y Francesc Valls, me brindó la flexibilidad necesaria para poder compaginar mis obligaciones con la universidad y mis objetivos de investigación. Fue también muy importante la ayuda brindada por parte de los investigadores más jóvenes del Departamento, en particular, Sergio Espuelas, Jordi Guilera, Julio Martínez, Marc Prat y Javier San Julián iii La tesis doctoral se nutrió directa e indirectamente de los diversos debates generados tanto en el “Grupo de Historia Económica de América Latina” en Barcelona, como en los de la “Coordinadora de Historia” en La Paz. En particular quiero subrayar el apoyo y las sugerencias de Rossana Barragán, Yolanda Blasco, Magdalena Cajías, Albert Carreras, Mar Rubio y Xavier Tafunell. Fue también sumamente enriquecedor tanto desde el punto de vista académico como personal afrontar este proyecto investigativo con otras personas que lidiaban con problemas y desafíos similares. En Barcelona siempre pude contar con la ayuda y amistad de Santiago Colmenares, Kaloyan Stanev, Vicente Neira y Cristian Ducoing. En Utrecht, a pesar del corto tiempo, fue muy importante contar con Miguel Laborda, Sarah Guilland y Lotte van der Vleutten. Quiero destacar también la importancia de la Summer School de Historia Económica de América Latina celebrada en Montevideo, el evento académico que sin lugar a dudas fue el que más me motivó a lo largo de estos años. En él pude conocer a personas de las cuales aprendí y seguramente seguiré aprendiendo. En particular quiero destacar a Lavih Abraham, Paola Azar, Sebastián Fleitas y Sabrina Siniscalchi. Finalmente, está claro que todo este trabajo hubiera sido mucho más complicado, menos divertido y menos intenso, sin la presencia y ayuda de mis amigos en Barcelona y La Paz, de los Peres Cajías y de Elba. A todos ellos mi mayor agradecimiento. iv LIST OF CONTENTS Introduction……………………………………………………………….xi Administrative Map of Bolivia………………………………………….. 1 Chapter 1. Tracing the reversal of fortune in the Americas. Bolivian GDP per capita since the mid-nineteenth century ...................................3 Bolivian pc GDP between 1890 and 1950: sources and estimation methods..........................................................................................................7 Bolivian income per capita ca. 1846: a guesstimate....................................22 The Bolivian economy since the mid-nineteenth century...........................24 The Bolivian economy and the “reversal of fortune” in the Americas…....32 Conclusions………………………………………………………………..37 Appendix 1. Estimation of the Bolivian agrarian production in 1846.........39 Appendix 2. Estimation of the Bolivian GDP, 1890-1950..........................42 Chapter 2. Bolivian Public Finances, 1882-2007. The challenge to make State intervention sustainable…………………………………………..47 The Bolivian public finance database: definition, sources and estimation methods…………………………………………………………………...49 Bolivian Public Revenues and Expenditures, 1882-2007: some stylized facts……………………………………………………………………….60 Bolivian public spending: Where was it allocated and how was it financed? …………………………………………………………………………….65 A first assessment of Bolivian public finances: a macroeconomic perspective………………………………………………………………...74 Conclusions………………………………………………………………..81 Appendix 1. Sources for the estimation of Bolivian public revenues and expenditures……………………………………………………………….83 Appendix 2. Bolivian public revenues and expenditures, 1882-2007.........88 v Chapter 3. The debate on Bolivian tariffs, 1850s-1930s. Always protectionist, never protected?.................................................................95 Bolivian foreign trade statistics during the First Globalization…………...98 The evolution of the Bolivian average tariff ratio......................................103 Bolivian tariffs from the 1850s to the 1900s: the role of institutional fragility and geography..............................................................................109 Tariffs from the 1900s to the mid 1930s: the role of geographical diversity and railways……………………………………………………………...119 Conclusions………………………………………………………………128 Chapter 4. The expansion of mass education in Bolivia: did the Revolution overcome the colonial legacy?.............................................129 The puzzle: the Bolivian paradoxical equilibrium between low taxation and human capital investment………………………………………………..132 The evolution of public spending in education: was Bolivia a special case in the Latin American context?......................................................................139 Was the distribution of education spending revolutionary?.......................146 Were the educational achievements revolutionary?...................................152 Conclusions………………………………………………………………156 Conclusions……………………………………………………………...159 Bibliography…………………………………………………………….163 vi LIST OF TABLES Chapter 1. T. 1. Sectoral composition of the Bolivian GDP, 1950.................................8 T. 2. Available estimates of the Bolivian population, 1825-1950.................9 T. 3. Sectoral composition of the Bolivian GDP (%), 1846-2008...............26 T. 4. Annual average growth rates of Bolivian GDP and GDP per capita
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