Data Source: Agromet Network, AMA,FAO, USGS Page 1

Summary In the South Western region most of the Comparison of January 2006 NDVI to the same month of wheatfields are in emerging stage (crop has germi- 2005 shows large increase of NDVI in Southeast region, nated and seedling have emerged with average some parts of Central mountainous areas (Urazgan and height dose not exceed 10cm/4’) in the Greshk, Ghor) and small increase of NDVI occurred in some Nawa, Nadali districts and Lashkargah center of parts of mentioned areas than the month of January Hilmand province and Farah and Kandahar prov- 2005. inces. Temperature was below zero across the coun- In the East Central region adverse factor is try during the month of January 2006 such as late planting such as in . Bamyan which had experienced the lowest temperature during this month. Crop Phenological Stages

In the East Central region the crop stage In the Western region most of the wheat fields range (depending of the respective planting dates) are in emerging stage (crop has germinated and is at the emerging stage (crop has germinated and seedling have emerged with average height dose seedling have emerged with average height dose not exceed 10cm/4’) for Qalai-new center of Badghis not exceed 10cm/4’) as in Yakawlang district and province, but also for Maqur and Mughab districts surrounding Bamyan areas for the winter wheat. of the crop stages are in the emerging stage (crop has germinated and seedling In the Eastern region most of the wheat fields have emerged but average height dose not exceed are in vegetative stage (Plants are more than 10cm/4’). 10cm/4 “) as in . In the South Western region most of the In the North Eastern region most of the wheat fields are in emerging stage (crop has germi- wheat fields are in emerging stage (crop has ger- nated and seedling have emerged with average minated and seedling have emerged but average height dose not exceed 10cm/4’) for the Greshk, height dose not exceed 10cm/4’) in Faizabad center Nawa, Nadali districts and Lashkargah center of of and surrounding wheat Hilmand province, Farah and Kandahar provinces. fields.

In the North region the crop is in emerging stage (crop has germi- nated and seedling have emerged but average height dose not exceed 10cm/4’) as Jawzjan , Maimana cen- ter of , Takhtapul areas and surrounding Mazar shrif center of province.

In the Central region In Sya Gerd area of the Map 1 wheat crop is in vegetative stage (plants are more than 10cm/4 “).

Data Source: Agromet Network, AMA,FAO, USGS Page 2

Crop Conditions

For the South Western region including For the northeastern region the crop condi- Farah , Hilmand , Zabul and Kandahar provinces tion is normal same as Badakhshan province. the crop condition is normal . For the north region the crop condition is nor- In the Western region the crop condition is mal same as Faryab, Balkh and Jawzjan provinces. normal for the center of and Qalai new center of Badghis province but poor crop con- dition is observed in Maqur areas of Ghor province.

For the Central region the crop condition is normal in Sya Gerd dis- trict of Parwan province.

For the east Central region the crop condition is normal in Bamyan province.

Map 2 For the eastern region the crop condition is normal in Laghman prov- ince.

Adverse Factors

Since we are in early stage of our Agri- During the month of January 2006 the observed cultural season and most parts of the ag- temperature was above normal which might in- ricultural lands all over the country is crease the number of adverse factors in the Agri- covered by snow so, there is cultural lands quickly during the coming season. no crop plants on the ground and we can not measure and determine adverse factors in the agricultural lands.

In the east central region adverse factor is late planting same as in Bamyan Province.

Map 3 In the Western region adverse factor is lack of rain or less rain as Maqur district of Badghis province.

This year we are having unexpected and abnormal high temperature

Data Source: Agromet Network, AMA,FAO, USGS Page 3

Rainfall situation Comparison of January 2006 rainfall data to the In Kabul + 160 %, Darulaman + 1 %, Paghman +77 same month of 2005 shows increase of rainfall in %, Kariz Mir +60 %, Jabulseraj +4 %, Faizabad most parts of the country in 2006, except Jalalabad, +335 %, Kunduz +19 %, Mazar + 353 %, Ghaziabad, Sarobi in the east and Maimana in the Sheberghan + 76 %, Murghab + 18 %, Jalalabad Northeast .The percentage of rainfall increase re- +64 %, Ghaziabad +102 %, Gardiz + 49 %, Ghazni corded at the in the most of our stations is as fol- +30 %, Kandahar + 32 %, Farah + 6 %, Herat + 34 lows: %. In the remaining, stations the rainfall has de- creased during the month of January 2006 and felt In Kabul +96 %, Darulaman + 37 %, Paghman +113 below average as follows: %, Kariz Mir +14 %, Jabulseraj +258 %,Faizabad +220 %, Taluqan + 12 %, Kunduz +163 %, Mazar + In Taluqan -46 %, Sarobi – 8 %, Maimana -53 % 14 %, Sheberghan + 233 %, Sri Pul + 49 %, and Logar -8 %. Murghab + 715 %, Logar + 54 %, Gardiz + 111 %, Ghazni +442 %, Kanda- har + 68 %, Farah + 1075 %, and Herat + Map 4 259 %.

The stations which had experienced decrease in rainfall during the month of January 2006 in comariosn to the same month of 2005 are as follows:

Jalalabad – 59 %, Ghaziabad -65 %, Sarobi – 65 % and Maimana -59 % which Maimana had dramatically decrease Map 4 than neighboring sta- tions.

Comparison of January 2006 rainfall data to the same month of long term average shows that the rainfall is above the long term average in January 2006 in most parts of the Map 5 country. Which the rain fall increase in percent- age is as fallows:

Map 5

Data Source: Agromet Network, AMA,FAO, USGS Page 4

Rainfall Graphs

Comparison of Actual and Last year Rainfall (January 2006) Chart 1 240 -88% 210 213 220% 197 180 -65% 715% 163 163 14 150 m 131 133% 233% 120 115 110 259% 96% 12% Rainfall in m in Rainfall 442% -59% 85.9 14% 49% 90 258% 68% 82 75 1075%111% 66.5 65 68 68.4 -59% 71.9 65 37% 61.5 60 60 72 163 54% 43.9 52.5 54.8 58 41.1 47.2 57 55.2 28.5 26 30 30 38.8 32 11.8 23.5 22.5 23.3 28.3 20 21.6 2 18.5 19 20 20.8 4.3 0 d i d j d an an ul l zn at uz ar P Sera az i Am Farah ha Her laba Kabul uqan l Gardiz G a Logar M Sar obi Bagh u ul Kund Sar Tal Faiz Aba ab Jal KandaharKariz Mir Maimana MurghabPaghman Ghaziaba J Dar Sheberghan Actual rainfall Rainfall Last Year

Comparison of Actual and long term average Rainfall (January 2006) Chart 2 250

220 335% 19 7. 5

190

160 353% 13 1 77% 130 18% 110 10 3 160% -8% -46% 100 85.9 60% 89 1% 49% 30% 4% 32% 87 76% 28% 77.8 75 72.6 34 68 19% -53% 6 66.5 64% 65 71.9 70 60 60 82 65 102% 65.3 52.5 -8% 62.1 57 45.4 49.1 46.9 47.9 41.1 41.1 40.4 28.3 34.8 26 49.6 33.1 44.4 40 44.2 46.1 40.8 40.5 28.9 32 22.5 22.2 23.5 12 . 9 17. 3 10 n i d j r l n a ad h iz n a t a d ul a ir z r a r b n n i u n la a d z b ra r ba h M u m a n a a a a b P a h m b r r a a e e a ab a d e g a z h m h ro i q g A A a a h i H S l d iz n h o m a g h rg a r lu a l iz F G z l la K n r u s L i M r g e S a a B u a G a u a a a K e a u a b S T r F h b J K K K M M P e a G a h D J S Actual rainfall Long term average

Data Source: Agromet Network, AMA,FAO, USGS Page 5

Temperature for the month of January 2006

Comparison Average Temperature(C° ) of January 2006 to same Month of 2005 Chart 3 20.0

15.0

10.6 10.0 8.3 7.9 6.9 7.2 5.5 5.8 5.1 5.3 4.9 5.0 5.0 2.7 3.7 2.2 2.0 1.5 1.0

0.0 -0.8-0.5 -0.3 -0.5-0.1 -1.1 -0.8 -1.3 -1.4 -1.9 -1.9 -1 Hirat -1.5 -1.8 Aibak Kabul -2.2 Farah Logar -2.4 Khost -2.4 Cheep Gardiz -3 Ghazni -3.0 Qargha Kapisa Sari Pul Kunduz Taluqan

-2.9 Baghlan Bamyan -2.9 Uruzgan Jawzjan Jawzjan Faizabad -4 Laghman

-3.9 Paghman Jalalabad

-4.0 -3.9 Kandahar Jabulsaraj

-5.0 Asad Abad Darulaman -3.3 Ghazi Abad -4.3 -4.3

Badam Bagh Badam -4.9 -5.3 -5.4 -5.4-4.9 -4.6 -5.8 -5.9 -7.9 -8.8 -10.0

-11.8

-15.0

-20.0 Jan Avg 2006 Jan avg 2005

Comparison of monthly average temperature of January 2006 to the

same month of 2005 clearly shows the lower temperature during the month of January 2006 than that of 2005

During the month of January 2006 Northeast re- the same month of 2005 (chart 3 ) clearly shows gions, North, Northwest, Central Highlands and lower temperature during the month of January Hindokosh areas experienced cold air mass which 2006 than that of 2005. The temperature average is still continuing in some part of the Northeast of Bamyan is – 11 ˚ C during the month of January regions. As well as comparison of monthly average 2006 while the temperature average of the same temperature of January 2006 to month 2005 was + 3.7 which the difference is -7.3 ˚ C .

Data Source: Agromet Network, AMA,FAO, USGS Page 6

Temperature for the month of January 2006

Chart 4 Monthly Minimum & Maximum Temperature (°C) of January 2006 30.0

25.0

20.0

15.0

11.2 10.3 9.4 9.1 10.1 9.9 9.5 9.5 10.2 10.0 9.5 8.1 7.5 8.2 8.2 7.3 7.1 7.0 7.3 5.6 6.4 5.8 6.0 6.0 2.8 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.0 4.2 4.5 3.2 0.6 0.0 -1.8 -0.5 -2.7 Farah Aibak Logar Moqur Kapisa -5.0 Qargha Bamyan Taluqan -3.9 Kunduz Jawzjan Kamdesh Gul Khana Jabulsaraj Darulaman Ghazi Abad Badam Bagh Badam -10.0 -9.6 -10.5 -10.9

-15.0 -14.2 -14.5 -14.2 -14.0 -14.9 -14.5 -16.0 -16.1 -17.0 -17.6 -17.6 -20.0 -18.8 -19.7 -20.5 -20.3 -20.5 -22.0 -21.5 -21.7 -22.8 -22.1 -22.3 -25.0 -24.6 -24.4 -24.5 -26.4 -30.0 Jan Maximum Jan Minimum

The minimum temperature was below zero across the country during the month of January 2006 .

Observed Minimum and Maximum Tempera- Maximum temperature was above zero across tures data of January 2006 (chart 4 ) shows the country except Bamyan with a Maximum that the Minimum Temperature was below temperature was below zero ˚ . zero across the country during the month of January 2006 whith Bamyan experienced the lowest temperature of –26 ˚ C.

Data Source: Agromet Network, AMA,FAO, USGS Page 7

Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI)/January 2006

Map 6 : Vegetation Index (NDVI) 1st Dekad of January 2006—

Map 7 : Vegetation Index (NDVI) 2nd Dekad of January 2006—Afghanistan

Map 8 : Vegetation Index (NDVI) 3rd Dekad of January 2006—Afghanistan

Data Source: Agromet Network, AMA,FAO, USGS Page 8

Comparison of NDVI January 2006

Map 9

Vegetation Index:Map Comparison 8 to Last Year

Map 10 Map 9 Vegetation Index: Comparison to Long Term Average

NDVI: January 2006

January 2006 NDVI showed large increase com- In other regions there is no change in NDVI during pared to the same period in 205 in Southeast re- the month of January 2006 in comparison to the same gion, some parts of Central mountainous areas month of January 2005. Comparison of January 2006 (Urazgan and Ghor). The increase has observed in NDVI to the same month of Long term average shows East and some parts of Northeast, small increase large decrease of NDVI in the month of January 2006 observed in most parts of flat areas in Northeast, than the long term average in East region, South Easet, Northeast, North and Northwest comprehen- Large decrease in NDVI value observed in North sive flat areas. In other regions there is no change of and Northwest. NDVI in the month of January 2006 and long term average.

Data Source: Agromet Network, AMA,FAO, USGS Page 9

Snow Depth 13 January 2006

Map 11

Map 12

For more information please contact: Mohammad Fahim Zaheer [email protected] 070-156738 / 0799793334

Data Source: Agromet Network, AMA,FAO, USGS Page 10