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CODEL Slides Multi-National Force-Iraq Charts to accompany the testimony of GEN David H. Petraeus 10-11 September 2007 TURKEY PKK Major Threats to Iraq Tal Afar Tal Afar Mosul w lo AQI F r te h ig SYRIA F Kirkuk n g i A re I o n Q Tikrit s I L F ur / e S t IRAN u h ge a n Samarra l A nt n A n i i Tr ti- s AQI/Insurgent & d ib AQ , al S I Shi’a Militias T ucc ra ess Baqubah in in g Ramadi , Fallujah Baghdad F u n AQI/Insurgent & d in Shi’a Militias g Karbala Al Kut An Najaf nce Viole Shi’a Intra- An Nasiriyah Basrah 0 100 mi Shi’a Infighting Over Power/Resources SAUDI ARABIA 1 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 200 400 600 800 0 1-Oct-04 22-Oct-04 Mortar andRocketAttacks Mortar Attacks Arms Small andOther Grenade, Ambush, Sniper, bothFoundandExploded (IEDs), Bombs IraqiInfrastr Against Attacks 12-Nov-04 03-Dec-04 elections Iraqi 24-Dec-04 30 Jan05 14-Jan-05 04-Feb-05 25-Feb-05 18-Mar-05 08-Apr-05 29-Apr-05 20-May-05 referendum Iraqi 10-Jun-05 15 Oct 05 15 Oct 01-Jul-05 22-Jul-05 Facilities ucture & Government Overall WeeklyIraq AttackTrends 12-Aug-05 Overall WeeklyIraq AttackTrends 02-Sep-05 23-Sep-05 Parliamentary Parliamentary 15 Dec05 14-Oct-05 elections, 04-Nov-05 25-Nov-05 16-Dec-05 06-Jan-06 27-Jan-06 17-Feb-06 22 Feb06 bombing Samarra 10-Mar-06 mosque 31-Mar-06 21-Apr-06 12-May-06 02-Jun-06 1 October 2004 1 October 23-Jun-06 2004 1 October 14-Jul-06 04-Aug-06 25-Aug-06 15-Sep-06 06-Oct-06 27-Oct-06 Plan Security 15 Feb07 Baghdad 17-Nov-06 08-Dec-06 – 29-Dec-06 – 7 September2007 19-Jan-07 7 September2007 09-Feb-07 02-Mar-07 23-Mar-07 13-Apr-07 04-May-07 25-May-07 offensives 16 Jun07 15-Jun-07 Surge of 06-Jul-07 27-Jul-07 17-Aug-07 2 07-Sep-07 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 Source: Coalition and Ho 500 0 Jan-06 Feb-06 Mar-06 Baghdad Iraq st National Reporting Apr-06 May-06 Jun-06 Jul-06 Aug-06 Sep-06 Oct-06 Iraq CivilianDeaths Iraq CivilianDeaths Nov-06 Dec-06 Jan-07 Feb-07 Mar-07 Apr-07 As of 31 Aug 07 As of 31 Aug May-07 Jun-07 Jul-07 3 Aug-07 EthnoEthno--SectarianSectarian ViolenceViolence Majority Shia Majority Sunni Mixed Majority Shia Majority Sunni Mixed DEC 06 Majority Shia Majority Sunni Mixed FEB 07 MAY 07 2500 Majority Shia Majority Sunni Mixed Iraq AUG 07 Ethno-Sectarian Deaths 2000 10 Baghdad Security Districts 1500 1000 500 Density Least Most 0 Density plots are of incidents where deaths occurred from any means that were clearly ethno-sectarian in motivation, to include car bombs Jul-06 Jul-07 Oct-06 Apr-07 Mar-07 Jan-07 Feb-07 Jun-06 Jun-07 Dec-06 Sep-06 Nov-06 Aug-06 May-06 Aug-07 May-07 As of 31 Aug 07 4 Caches Found & Cleared Year Anbar Iraq 1 JAN 07- 7 SEP 07 2111•MND••-B 4409Cache 2006 1222 2726 2005 1483 3091 2004 692 2691 & •- 5 ImprovisedImprovised ExplosiveExplosive DevicesDevices ((IEDsIEDs)) 3500 3000 2500 Total IED Iraq Total IED Baghdad 2000 Total IED Anbar 1500 1000 500 0 Jul-07 Jul-06 Oct-06 Jan-07 Jun-07 Apr-07 Feb-07 Dec-06 Nov-06 Mar-07 Sep-06 Aug-07 May-07 Aug-06 Total IEDs = IED explosions + IEDs found + IED hoaxes 6 AnbarAnbar AttacksAttacks OCT 06 JAN 07 MAR 07 1600 Anbar AUG 07 1400 Attacks Tre nd 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 Density 0 Least Most Density plots are of locations Jul-07 Jul-06 where attacks occurred Apr-07 Oct-06 Jan-07 Jun-07 Jun-06 Aug-07 Mar-07 Feb-07 Dec-06 Sep-06 Aug-06 May-07 Nov-06 As of 31 Aug 07 7 100 150 200 250 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 50 50 0 0 Level of Violence = 4-Aug-06 04-Aug-06 25-Aug-06 25-Aug-06 15-Sep-06 15-Sep-06 6-Oct-06 06-Oct-06 27-Oct-06 27-Oct-06 17-Nov-06 17-Nov-06 08-Dec-06 8-Dec-06 Salah ad DinProvince 29-Dec-06 29-Dec-06 Attacks + Murders Events 19-Jan-07 19-Jan-07 9-Feb-07 09-Feb-07 Anbar Province 2-Mar-07 02-Mar-07 23-Mar-07 23-Mar-07 13-Apr-07 13-Apr-07 4-May-07 04-May-07 25-May-07 25-May-07 15-Jun-07 15-Jun-07 6-Jul-07 06-Jul-07 27-Jul-07 27-Jul-07 17-Aug-07 17-Aug-07 7-Sep-07 100 120 140 160 180 07-Sep-07 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 20 40 60 80 50 0 0 Iraq ViolenceTrends 04-Aug-06 4-Aug-06 Iraq ViolenceTrends Ninewah Province Baghdad 25-Aug-06 25-Aug-06 15-Sep-06 15-Sep-06 06-Oct-06 6-Oct-06 27-Oct-06 27-Oct-06 17-Nov-06 17-Nov-06 08-Dec-06 8-Dec-06 29-Dec-06 29-Dec-06 19-Jan-07 19-Jan-07 09-Feb-07 9-Feb-07 02-Mar-07 2-Mar-07 23-Mar-07 23-Mar-07 13-Apr-07 13-Apr-07 As of 7 Sep 07 04-May-07 4-May-07 25-May-07 25-May-07 15-Jun-07 15-Jun-07 06-Jul-07 6-Jul-07 27-Jul-07 27-Jul-07 17-Aug-07 17-Aug-07 8 07-Sep-07 7-Sep-07 HighHigh ProfileProfile AttacksAttacks 200 Total High Profile Attacks 180 Car Bomb 160 Suicide Car Bomb Suicide Vest 140 120 100 80 ` 60 40 20 0 Jul-06 Jul-07 Apr-07 Feb-07 Oct-06 Nov-06 Jan-07 Jun-06 Jun-07 Mar-07 Dec-06 Aug-06 Sep-06 Aug-07 May-06 May-07 As of 31 AUG 07; High Profile = Car bombs + suicide car bombs + suicide vests 9 JAN 07 StateState ofof AlAl QaedaQaeda IraqIraq Senior Iraqi AQI Leader AQI East Side Military Emir in Mosul Sniper Cell Leader AQI Mosul AQI Emir for Mosul AQI Cell Leader AQI External Facilitator Military Emir AQI Emir fo r Salah ad Din City Emir AQI Samarra AQI Weapons Facilitator Facilitator Financier Emir of Sinjar Emir of Hay al Jama’ah Media Network Special Group Security Emir Second in Command AQI for Executions AQI in Karmah Facilitator Financial Kidnapping Emir in Jazirah Cell Leader North Karkh Media Network AUG 07 MOSULMOSUL Facilitator VBIED Cell Logistics Emir Strategic Detention/EKIA AQI Emir of Amiriyah ASAS SULAYMANIYAHSULAYMANIYAH 15 June to 5 September 07 KIRKUKKIRKUK Emirs of: Media Cells: Emir of Arab Jabour Yusafiyah Ramadi Admin Emir TIKRITTIKRIT N. Iraq Ghazaliyah ALAL QA’IMQA’IM Samarra Baghdad July to September SAMARRASAMARRA 2007 MUQDADIYAHMUQDADIYAH Mosul Baqubah Military Advisor Diyala Samarra BA’QUBAHBA’QUBAH North Karkh Tarmiyah Killed HITHIT RAMADIRAMADI Arab Jabour BAGHDADBAGHDAD Hay alAndullah Captured Sinjar 10 Tribal Engagement Tal Afar Mosul Local Security Forces 29.8K Vetted 28.4K In hiring process for Tikrit Iraqi Security Forces Samarra Baqubah Ramadi Falluja Baghdad Karbala Al Kut An Najaf Security Volunteers An Nasiriyah Basra Sunni Mixed Shi’a 11 Iraqi Security Forces Capabilities 180 Level IV - Unit Forming 170 Level III - Fighting Side by Side 160 Level II - Iraqi Lead with Coalition Support 150 Level I - Fully Independent 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Jul-07 Jul-06 Oct-06 Jan-07 Jan-06 Jun-07 Apr-07 Feb-07 Nov-06 Dec-06 Jun-06 Apr-06 Feb-06 Nov-05 Dec-05 Sep-07 Mar-07 Sep-06 Mar-06 Aug-07 May-07 Aug-06 May-06 Iraqi Army Battalions, National Police Battalions, and Special Operating Force Battalions 12 Recommended Force Reductions/Mission Shift 20-15 Dec 07 Sep 07 Decision Point Primary Brigade Mission 20 15-12 NLT Mar 08 Strategic Overwatch Date Determined Operational Overwatch Jul 08 NLT Mar 08 Tactical Overwatch ? Partnering 15 12-10 Leading ? 12 10-7 10 ? 7-5 7 5 Leading to Partnering to Overwatch (Tactical to Operational to Strategic) 13 Time.
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