Grupo Aval Acciones Y Valores S.A. (Incorporated in the Republic of Colombia)

Total Page:16

File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb

Grupo Aval Acciones Y Valores S.A. (Incorporated in the Republic of Colombia) Prospectus 81,481,481 American Depository Shares 14SEP201217080991 Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores S.A. (incorporated in the Republic of Colombia) This is the initial public offering of our American Depositary Shares, or ‘‘ADSs.’’ Each ADS represents 20 preferred shares, par value Ps 1.00 per share. We are offering 81,481,481 ADSs at an initial public offering price of U.S.$13.50 per ADS. Prior to the offering, no public market existed for our ADSs. Our ADSs have been authorized for listing, subject to official notice of issuance, on the New York Stock Exchange, or ‘‘NYSE,’’ under the symbol ‘‘AVAL.’’ Our preferred shares are listed on the Colombian Stock Exchange (Bolsa de Valores de Colombia) under the symbol ‘‘PFAVAL.’’ The closing price of our preferred shares on the Colombian Stock Exchange on September 22, 2014 was Ps 1,430.0 per preferred share, which is equivalent to approximately U.S.$0.73 per preferred share or U.S.$14.54 per ADS, based on the representative market rate of Ps 1,966.89 per U.S.$1.00 as computed and certified by the Superintendency of Finance (Superintendencia Financiera de Colombia) on September 22, 2014. Holders of our non-voting preferred shares and ADSs are entitled to receive dividends equal to that paid to the holders of our common shares, subject, in the case of holders of ADSs, to the deduction of the fees of the depositary and the costs of foreign exchange conversion. Although we have not adopted a dividend policy, since we first issued preferred shares in 2011, we have declared and paid cash dividends per preferred share of Ps 49.20 (U.S.$0.026) with respect to our 2012 net income and of Ps 53.10 (U.S.$0.028) with respect to our 2013 net income. The decision whether to pay any future dividend, as well as the amount of any such dividend, will depend on many factors, such as our and our subsidiaries’ results of operations, financial condition, cash requirements, prospects and other factors deemed relevant by our board of directors and shareholders. See ‘‘Dividends and dividend policy’’ and ‘‘Description of share capital—Dividends—Preferred shares.’’ Per ADS Total Offering price ................................... U.S.$13.50000 U.S.$1,099,999,993.50 Underwriting discounts and commissions(1) ............... U.S.$ 0.30375 U.S.$ 24,749,999.85 Proceeds to us (before expenses) ...................... U.S.$ 13.19625 U.S.$ 1,075,249,993.65 (1) We have agreed to reimburse the underwriters for certain expenses in connection with this offering. See ‘‘Underwriting.’’ We have granted the underwriters an option for a period of 30 days after the date of this prospectus to purchase from us up to 12,222,222 additional ADSs to cover over-allotments, if any. Neither the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission nor any state securities commission has approved or disapproved of these securities or passed on the adequacy or accuracy of this prospectus. Any representation to the contrary is a criminal offense. Investing in the ADSs involves a high degree of risk. See ‘‘Risk factors’’ beginning on page 26 of this prospectus for certain factors you should consider before investing in the ADSs. Delivery of the ADSs will be made on or about September 26, 2014. Global Coordinators and Joint Bookrunners J.P. Morgan Goldman, Sachs & Co. Joint Bookrunners Citigroup Morgan Stanley September 22, 2014 Table of contents Page Presentation of financial and other information ...................................... iv Summary ................................................................ 1 The offering .............................................................. 18 Summary financial and operating data ............................................ 21 Risk factors .............................................................. 26 Forward-looking statements ................................................... 56 Use of proceeds ........................................................... 58 Market information ......................................................... 59 Capitalization ............................................................. 63 Dilution ................................................................. 64 Exchange rates ............................................................ 65 Selected financial and operating data ............................................. 66 Selected statistical data ...................................................... 76 Operating and financial review and prospects ....................................... 137 Industry ................................................................. 355 Business ................................................................. 365 Supervision and regulation .................................................... 449 Management .............................................................. 478 Principal shareholder ........................................................ 491 Related party transactions .................................................... 492 Dividends and dividend policy .................................................. 497 Description of share capital ................................................... 501 Description of American depositary shares ......................................... 511 Taxation ................................................................. 525 Underwriting .............................................................. 532 Expenses of the offering ...................................................... 543 Legal matters ............................................................. 543 Experts ................................................................. 543 Service of process and enforcement of judgments .................................... 544 Where you can find more information ............................................ 546 Index to financial statements .................................................. F-1 The ADSs may not be offered or sold, directly or indirectly, in Colombia or any other jurisdiction or to any resident of Colombia or any such jurisdiction, except as permitted by applicable Colombian law or the laws of any such jurisdiction. The preferred shares have been registered with the Colombian National Registry of Securities and Issuers (Registro Nacional de Valores y Emisores) and listed on the Colombian Stock Exchange. Neither the registration of the preferred shares with the Colombian National Registry of Securities and Issuers nor the listing of the preferred shares on the Colombian Stock Exchange should be understood as a rating or assumption of liability by the Superintendency of Finance or the Colombian Stock Exchange with respect to the issuer, price, quality or tradability of the securities or of the issuance, or of our solvency. i In this prospectus, unless the context otherwise requires, the terms: • ‘‘Grupo Aval,’’ ‘‘we,’’ ‘‘us,’’ ‘‘our’’ and ‘‘our company’’ mean Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores S.A. and its consolidated subsidiaries; • ‘‘banks’’ and ‘‘our banking subsidiaries’’ mean Banco de Bogota´ S.A., Banco de Occidente S.A., Banco Popular S.A. and Banco Comercial AV Villas S.A., and their respective consolidated subsidiaries; • ‘‘Banco de Bogota’’´ means Banco de Bogota´ S.A. and its consolidated subsidiaries; • ‘‘Banco de Occidente’’ means Banco de Occidente S.A. and its consolidated subsidiaries; • ‘‘Banco Popular’’ means Banco Popular S.A. and its consolidated subsidiaries; • ‘‘Banco AV Villas’’ means Banco Comercial AV Villas S.A. and its consolidated subsidiary; • ‘‘BAC Credomatic’’ or ‘‘BAC’’ means BAC Credomatic Inc. and its consolidated subsidiaries; • ‘‘Banco BAC de Panama’’ means Banco BAC de Panama, S.A., and its consolidated subsidiaries, formerly known as Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria (Panama) or ‘‘BBVA Panama’’; • ‘‘Corficolombiana’’ means Corporacion´ Financiera Colombiana S.A. and its consolidated subsidiaries; • ‘‘Grupo Financiero Reformador’’ or ‘‘Grupo Reformador’’ means Grupo Financiero Reformador de Guatemala and its consolidated subsidiaries; • ‘‘Horizonte’’ means AFP Horizonte Sociedad Administradora de Fondos de Pensiones y de Cesant´ıas S.A., formerly known as BBVA Horizonte Sociedad Administradora de Fondos de Pensiones y de Cesant´ıas S.A.; • ‘‘LB Panama’’ means Leasing Bogota´ S.A., Panama and its consolidated subsidiaries; and • ‘‘Porvenir’’ means Sociedad Administradora de Fondos de Pensiones y Cesant´ıas Porvenir S.A. and its consolidated subsidiary. The term ‘‘Superintendency of Finance’’ means the Colombian Superintendency of Finance (Superintendencia Financiera de Colombia), a supervisory authority ascribed to the Colombian Ministry of Finance and Public Credit (Ministerio de Hacienda y Cr´edito Publico´ ), or the ‘‘Ministry of Finance,’’ holding the inspection, supervision and control authority over the persons involved in financial activities, securities markets, insurance and any other operations related to the management, use or investment of resources collected from the public. Unless noted otherwise, references in this prospectus to ‘‘beneficial ownership’’ are calculated pursuant to the definition ascribed by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, or the ‘‘SEC,’’ in Form 20-F for foreign private issuers. In Form 20-F, the term ‘‘beneficial owner’’ of securities refers to any person who, even if not the record owner of the securities, has or shares the underlying benefits of ownership. These benefits include the power to direct the voting or the disposition of the securities or to receive the economic benefit of ownership of the securities.
Recommended publications
  • Corporate Presentation 2020 Disclaimer
    Corporate Presentation 2020 Disclaimer Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores S.A. (“Grupo Aval”) is an issuer of securities in Colombia and in the United States.. As such, it is subject to compliance with securities regulation in Colombia and applicable U.S. securities regulation. Grupo Aval is also subject to the inspection and supervision of the Superintendency of Finance as holding company of the Aval financial conglomerate. The consolidated financial information included in this document is presented in accordance with IFRS as currently issued by the IASB. Details of the calculations of non-GAAP measures such as ROAA and ROAE, among others, are explained when required in this report. This report includes forward-looking statements. In some cases, you can identify these forward-looking statements by words such as “may,” “will,” “should,” “expects,” “plans,” “anticipates,” “believes,” “estimates,” “predicts,” “potential,” or “continue,” or the negative of these and other comparable words. Actual results and events may differ materially from those anticipated herein as a consequence of changes in general, economic and business conditions, changes in interest and currency rates and other risk described from time to time in our filings with the Registro Nacional de Valores y Emisores and the SEC. Recipients of this document are responsible for the assessment and use of the information provided herein. Matters described in this presentation and our knowledge of them may change extensively and materially over time but we expressly disclaim any obligation to review, update or correct the information provided in this report, including any forward looking statements, and do not intend to provide any update for such material developments prior to our next earnings report.
    [Show full text]
  • Presentación De Powerpoint
    Banco de Bogotá Corporate Presentation The Issuers Recognition-IR granted by the Colombian Securities Exchange is not a certification about the quality of the securities listed at BVC nor the solvency of the issuer. 1 Business Overview – 4Q2020 ✓ Founded in 1870, Banco de Bogotá is Colombia’s oldest financial institution and Banco de Bogotá’s Structure the principal subsidiary of Grupo Aval, the leading financial group in Colombia. Main Subsidiaries ✓ Universal bank with a strong presence in the commercial and consumer lending Associated segments. (5) (5) (6) ✓ Listed on the Colombian Stock Exchange (BVC), Banco de Bogotá’s market capitalization as of December 31, 2020 was USD $7.3Bn. Central American Panamenian Pension Merchant Banking Group Bank Fund Bank Regional Franchise Grupo Aval 20.0% 8.4% Banco de Bogotá 100.0% 99.6% 46.4% 34.1% Colombia(1) Banco de Occidente 24.2% 4.1% #1 Net Income Banco Popular 5.1% Otros 0.4% 9.4% 48.3% Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% Breakdown by Geography (7) | Costa Rica Assets Net Income USD$60.7 billion USD$192.4 million Central America(2) #1 Assets, Loans and Deposits 32.3% #2 Net Income Total Distribution 46.1% Network Ownership 53.9% Grupo AvaI 68.7% ATMs 67.7% Other Companies 3,928(3) Consolidated Ratios(8) owned by Mr. 8.3% ROAA: 1.2% Branches ROAE: 10.5% Sarmiento Angulo Others 23.0% 1,405(4) Colombian operation Central American operation Total 100.0% Sources: Company information. (1) Rankings as of December 31, 2020.
    [Show full text]
  • Corporate Presentation September 2019 Disclaimer
    Corporate Presentation September 2019 Disclaimer Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores S.A. (“Grupo Aval”) is an issuer of securities in Colombia and in the United States, registered with Colombia’s National Registry of Shares and Issuers (Registro Nacional de Valores y Emisores) and the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”). As such, it is subject to compliance with securities regulation in Colombia and applicable U.S. securities regulation. All of our banking subsidiaries (Banco de Bogotá, Banco de Occidente, Banco Popular and Banco AV Villas), Porvenir and Corficolombiana, are subject to inspection and supervision as financial institutions by the Superintendency of Finance. Grupo Aval is now also subject to the inspection and supervision of the Superintendency of Finance as a result of Law 1870 of 2017, also known as Law of Financial Conglomerates, which came in effect on February 6, 2019. Grupo Aval, as the holding company of its financial conglomerate is responsible for the compliance with capital adequacy requirements, corporate governance standards, risk management and internal control and criteria for identifying, managing and revealing conflicts of interest, applicable to its financial conglomerate. The consolidated financial information included in this document is presented in accordance with IFRS as currently issued by the IASB. Details of the calculations of non-GAAP measures such as ROAA and ROAE, among others, are explained when required in this report. Grupo Aval has adopted IFRS 16 retrospectively from January 1, 2019 but has not restated comparatives for the 2018 reporting period, as permitted under the specific transitional provisions in the standard. The reclassifications and the adjustments arising from the new leasing rules are therefore recognized in the opening Condensed Consolidated Statement of Financial Position on January 1, 2019.
    [Show full text]
  • Presentación Corporativa 2020 Aviso Legal
    Presentación Corporativa 2020 Aviso Legal Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores S.A. (“Grupo Aval”) es un emisor de valores en Colombia y en Estados Unidos. En tal calidad, está sujeto al cumplimiento de las normas sobre valores aplicables en Colombia y en Estados Unidos. Grupo Aval también está sujeto a la inspección y vigilancia de la Superintendencia Financiera de Colombia en calidad de holding del Conglomerado Financiero Aval. La información financiera consolidada incluida en este documento se presenta de acuerdo a las NIIF expedidas por IASB. La metodología para el cálculo de los indicadores tales como ROAA y ROAE, entre otras, están explicadas en la medida en que sea requerido a lo largo de este reporte. Este reporte puede incluir declaraciones a futuro. En algunos casos, podrá identificar estas declaraciones a futuro con palabras como "puede", "hará", "debería", "espera", "planea", "anticipa", "cree", "estima", "predice", "potencial" o "continuar" o el opuesto de estas y otras palabras comparables. Los resultados pueden variar materialmente de aquellos incluidos en este reporte como consecuencia de la modificación de las circunstancias actuales en general, condiciones económicas y de negocio, cambios en la tasa de interés y en la tasa de cambio y otros riesgos descritos de vez en cuando en nuestras radicaciones en el Registro Nacional de Valores y Emisores y en la SEC. Los destinatarios de este documento son responsables de la evaluación y del uso de la información suministrada por este medio. Los asuntos descritos en esta presentación y nuestro conocimiento de ellos pueden cambiar de manera extensa y material a lo largo del tiempo, sin embargo, declaramos expresamente que no estaremos obligados a revisar, actualizar o corregir la información proporcionada en este informe, incluidas las declaraciones prospectivas, y que no tenemos la intención de proporcionar ninguna actualización para tales eventos materiales antes de nuestro próximo reporte de resultados.
    [Show full text]
  • (Mediano Plazo) Principales Cifras Técnicas Acciones Del Colcap
    Renta Variable—Estrategia semanal Diciembre 05 - 2016 Resumen de perspectiva Acciones (Mediano plazo) Colcap. Índice con debilidad por panorama internacional de incertidumbre. Mantenemos soporte en 1.297 Pts. Resistencia en 1.326 Pts. Ver Pagina 3 PFAval. Acción ha encontrado zona de soporte. Objetivo mediando plazo en $1.220 y soporte de referencia en $1.140 y. $1.115 . Ver Pagina 4 PFBancolombia. Cotización con debilidad ante perspectiva internacional para emergentes. Objetivo mediano plazo $28.840, soporte $26.400. Ver Pagina 4 PFDavivienda. Cotización corrigiendo con objetivo mediano plazo $30.880 y soporte $27.760 y $26.680. .. Ver Pagina 5 Grupo Sura. Cotización continua corrigiendo. Soporte sobre $35.100 y $33.480. Objetivo mediano plazo de $39.560 . .. .. .. .Ver Pagina 5 Éxito. Cotización en zona de lateralidad. Mantenemos soporte clave sobre $13.500 y objetivo mediano plazo en $15.940 . Ver Pagina 6 Nutresa. Cotización con nuevos retrocesos, soporte en $23.560 y $22.500 y con objetivo mediano plazo en $26.100 . .. .Ver Pagina 6 Ecopetrol. Volatilidad del petróleo genera reacción alcista en la acción, objetivo de mediano plazo en $1.400 y soporte sobre $1.260 y $1.220 ..Ver Pagina 7 Cemex. Cotización con alta volatilidad. Objetivo mediano plazo en $12.780 y soporte en $10.400 y $9.470 . .. .. … . .. Ver Pagina 7 Cemargos Cotización ha encontrado zona de soporte. Objetivo en $11.760, soporte en $11.000 y $10.600. ... .. … . Ver Pagina 8 Grupo Argos: Cotización generando correcciones. Mantenemos objetivo mediano plazo en $19.720 y soportes $17.860 y $17.000... .Ver Pagina 8 Avianca.
    [Show full text]
  • Grupo Aval Investor Presentation 105– -105 105– 105- 105
    786383-001.pptx 024 - 049 - 082 055 - 093 - 129 000 - 133 - 164 171 - 200 - 226 209 - 216 - 247 G 178– -178 178 - - 178 178 GRUPO AVAL INVESTOR PRESENTATION 105– -105 105– 105- 105 192 - 080 - 077 JP Morgan Southern Cone & Andean Opportunities Conference 2015 147 - 018 - 018 Bogotá, April 2015 1 786383-001.pptx Disclaimer 024 - 049 - 082 This is a presentation of general background information about Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores S.A. and its subsidiaries (“Grupo Aval”), as of the date of the presentation. It is information in summary form and does not purport to be complete. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made concerning, and no reliance should be placed on, the accuracy, fairness or completeness of this 055 - 093 - 129 information. This presentation may contain certain forward-looking statements and information relating to Grupo Aval that reflects the current views and/or expectations of Grupo Aval and its management with respect to its performance, business and future events. Forward looking statements include, without limitation, any statement that may predict, forecast, indicate or imply future results, performance or achievements, and may contain words like “believe,” “may,” “will,” “estimate,” “continue,” “anticipate,” “intend,” “expect” or any other words or phrases of similar meaning. Such statements are subject to a number of risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Estimates and forward-looking statements are mainly based on our current expectations and estimates on projections of future events and 000 -
    [Show full text]
  • Presentation September 2015
    Investor Presentation September 2015 18th Annual Latin American Conference Disclaimer Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores S.A. (“Grupo Aval”) is an issuer of securities in Colombia and the United States, registered with Colombia’s National Registry of Shares and Issuers (Registro Nacional de Valores y Emisores) and the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”). As such, it is subject to the control of the Superintendency of Finance and compliance with applicable U.S. securities regulation as a “foreign private issuer” under Rule 405 of the U.S. Securities Act of 1933. Grupo Aval is a not a financial institution and is not supervised or regulated as a financial institution in Colombia. The consolidated financial statements at December 31, 2014, 2013, 2012, 2011 and 2010 included in this report have been audited by KPMG for the purpose of its submission to the SEC filed by Grupo Aval in the Form 20-F on a yearly basis. As issuer of securities in Colombia, Grupo Aval is required to comply with periodic reporting requirements and corporate governance, however, it is not regulated as a financial institution or as a holding company of banking subsidiaries and, thus, is not required to comply with capital adequacy regulations applicable to banks and other financial institutions. Although we are not a financial institution, until December 31, 2014 we prepared the financial information included in our quarterly reports in accordance with the regulations of the Superintendency of Finance for financial institutions and generally accepted accounting principles for banks to operate in Colombia, also known as Colombian Banking GAAP.
    [Show full text]
  • Informe De Flujos
    Las personas naturales regresan con fuerza durante el mes Nota de mercado Flujos del Mercado Local Octubre 2020 Dirección de Estructuración en Mercados de Las personas naturales regresan Capitales Gerencia Soluciones de Inversión con fuerza durante el mes [email protected] En septiembre los Fondos de Pensiones mantuvieron su posición compradora neta, representada por un monto de COP356.835mn. En este mes, la acción más comprada por las AFPs fue Ecopetrol con un flujo de CO117.244mn, Evolución COLCAP últimos 12 meses seguido por Bancolombia Preferencial con un monto por COP71.933mn, mientras que el activo más vendido fue Promigas, con un flujo de Volumen Colcap COP16.246mn. 1800 500 1700 Los extranjeros registraron las mayores salidas del mes con un flujo neto por 1600 400 COP621.478mn. Entre las acciones que más compraron se destacan: Grupo 1500 1400 Energía Bogotá (COP6.542mn), Cementos Argos ordinaria (COP5.324mn) y 300 1300 BVC (COP1.661mn). En contraste, los flujos de venta se dieron en activos 1200 Puntos 200 como Ecopetrol (COP212.605mn), Bancolombia Preferencial (COP163.068mn) 1100 y Grupo Aval Preferencial (COP94.405mn). 100 1000 Miles de Miles Millones 900 Por otro lado, las Personas Naturales regresan con una posición compradora 0 800 sep-19 nov-19 ene-20 mar-20 may-20 jul-20 sep-20 neta relevante por un monto de COP118.889mn. Las mayores compras se observaron en Ecopetrol (COP66.641mn) y Bancolombia Preferencial Fuente: Bloomberg, BVC, Grupo Bancolombia. (COP55.603mn). De igual manera, el Sector Real presentó un flujo neto de entrada por COP62.914mn. Por último, los extranjeros registraron la mayor participación en las ruedas de negociación, con un 33% del total de flujos de mercado, seguido por las Sociedades Comisionistas de Bolsa y los Fondos de Pensiones, con un 19% y 17%, respectivamente.
    [Show full text]
  • Corporate Presentation September 2020
    Corporate Presentation September 2020 1 Disclaimer Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores S.A. (“Grupo Aval”) is an issuer of securities in Colombia and in the United States.. As such, it is subject to compliance with securities regulation in Colombia and applicable U.S. securities regulation. Grupo Aval is also subject to the inspection and supervision of the Superintendency of Finance as holding company of the Aval financial conglomerate. The consolidated financial information included in this document is presented in accordance with IFRS as currently issued by the IASB. Details of the calculations of non-GAAP measures such as ROAA and ROAE, among others, are explained when required in this report. This report includes forward-looking statements. In some cases, you can identify these forward-looking statements by words such as “may,” “will,” “should,” “expects,” “plans,” “anticipates,” “believes,” “estimates,” “predicts,” “potential,” or “continue,” or the negative of these and other comparable words. Actual results and events may differ materially from those anticipated herein as a consequence of changes in general, economic and business conditions, changes in interest and currency rates and other risk described from time to time in our filings with the Registro Nacional de Valores y Emisores and the SEC. Recipients of this document are responsible for the assessment and use of the information provided herein. Matters described in this presentation and our knowledge of them may change extensively and materially over time but we expressly disclaim any obligation to review, update or correct the information provided in this report, including any forward looking statements, and do not intend to provide any update for such material developments prior to our next earnings report.
    [Show full text]
  • Grupo Aval Acciones Y Valores S.A
    Banks Bank Holding Companies Colombia Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores Ratings S.A. Foreign Currency Long-Term IDR BBB– Short-Term IDR F3 Local Currency Long-Term IDR BBB– Short-Term IDR F3 Key Rating Drivers Support Rating 5 Strong Competitive Position: Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores S.A.'s (Grupo Aval) ratings are Support Rating Floor NF driven by the business and financial profile of its main operating subsidiary, Banco de Bogota Sovereign Risk (Bogota). Low double leverage, good cash flow metrics and a sound competitive position in Long-Term Foreign-Currency multiple markets also support Grupo Aval's ratings. IDR BBB– Long-Term Local-Currency IDR BBB Long-Term Consistent Strategy: Grupo Aval has a consistent, multibrand strategy. Each of its Country Ceiling four banks in Colombia, and their subsidiaries in Colombia and Central America including the recently acquired MFG, caters to specific segments and carries out its own commercial strategy that involves, at times, competing with sibling banks. Some synergies exist and are exploited Outlooks whenever possible, such as the direction of the bank’s digital transformation and Long-Term Foreign-Currency IDR Negative IT investments, but the challenges of operating four largely independent banks are, according Long-Term Local-Currency to management, offset by the group’s ability to capture business that would otherwise be left to IDR Negative competitors. Sovereign Long-Term Foreign- Currency IDR Negative Sustained Asset Quality: On a consolidated basis, asset quality remains stable despite the Sovereign Long-Term Local- impact from the coronavirus, reflecting diversification. In September 2020, 15.5% of the Currency IDR Negative consolidated gross loans remain under relief program.
    [Show full text]
  • Banco De Bogotá
    Informe Especial ¿Son razonables los descuentos en RV Colombia? Dirección de Investigaciones Económicas, Sectoriales y de Mercados Abril de 2020 ¿Son razonables los descuentos en RV Colombia? Lo que hemos vivido en el mercado accionario desde principios del mes de marzo es algo no antes visto en la época reciente. La pandemia denominada Covid-19 ha generado una aversión al riesgo y un sentimiento de pánico en los inversionistas, liderado por la incertidumbre, que ha hecho que el mercado de acciones colombiano presente una corrección del 28,4% desde su valor máximo de este año, tocando un mínimo de 880,7 puntos el pasado (18 de marzo). Desde ese momento hasta hoy, el mercado a rebotado un 37%, sin embargo, vale la pena preguntarse, ¿están las compañías en precios atractivos desde un punto de vista fundamental? La respuesta es compleja, pues dada la actual coyuntura y las volatilidades del mercado, nos encontramos en revisión de todas las variables de valoración, principalmente lo referente a tasas de descuento, proyecciones económicas, curva de precios de commodities, entre otros, lo que no nos permite dar una visión fundamental con la cual nos sintamos tranquilos bajo la actual coyuntura. A pesar de esto, quisimos publicar un informe diferente, que busque entregar visión de activo desde otro punto de vista y no de proyecciones financieras. Es así como buscamos comparar los precios de los activos actuales vs. otras fechas en las cuales el activo se ha negociado en el mismo precio, y buscar cifras que nos permitan dar señales del crecimiento de la compañía, mayor diversificación, cifras relevantes que nos entreguen, de un modo diferente a un precio objetivo, entender si el activo se encuentra en niveles atractivos de entrada desde un punto de vista estructural y fundamental.
    [Show full text]
  • MSCI Provisional COLCAP Index (COP)
    MSCI Provisional COLCAP Index (COP) The MSCI Provisional COLCAP Index is designed to represent the performance of the local Colombian equity market and includes a minimum of 25 securities and 20 issuers selected based on free float-adjusted market capitalization, liquidity, and international investability criteria. The provisional index has been launched in preparation for the upcoming transition of the bvc COLCAP Index to the MSCI COLCAP Index to provide transparency to market participants. As a reminder, coinciding with the MSCI May 2021 Semi-Annual Index Review, the MSCI COLCAP Index will replace the existing bvc COLCAP Index, in a one-step transition effective May 28, 2021. Cumulative index performance Annual performance (%) COP PRICE RETURNS NOV 2009 – MAR 2021* YEAR MSCI Provisional COLCAP MSCI All Colombia 2020 -13.51 -15.02 2019 25.38 25.49 2018 -12.40 -12.36 2017 11.98 12.16 2016 17.16 16.04 2015 -23.75 -23.53 2014 -5.81 -9.50 2013 -12.35 -12.68 2012 16.62 15.87 2011 -13.83 -18.69 2010 33.42 42.82 Index performance COP PRICE RETURNS (%) MARCH 31, 2021 ANNUALIZED RETURN INDEX 1 Month 3 Months 1 Year Year to Date 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years Since Feb 27, 2009 MSCI Provisional COLCAP -3.23 -8.50 17.06 -8.50 -3.31 -0.31 -2.64 -0.02 MSCI All Colombia -2.28 -7.23 18.48 -7.23 -3.32 -0.40 -3.72 -0.41 Index risk and return characteristics FEBRUARY 26, 2021 ANNUALIZED STANDARD DEVIATION (%) INDEX 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years Since Feb 27, 2009 MSCI Provisional COLCAP 23.35 19.31 17.21 16.92 MSCI All Colombia 23.62 19.48 17.58 17.45 *MSCI Provisional COLCAP Index level starts March 1st, 2021.
    [Show full text]