Xinyi Glass Initiate at Buy: Vertically integrated float glass play; Growth with low valuation Initiating Coverage: BUY | PO: 10.00 HKD | Price: 7.68 HKD Equity | 03 November 2017 Initiate at Buy with HK$10 PO; Attractive Valuation We initiate coverage on Xinyi Glass (XYG) with a Buy rating and PO of HK$10, based on David Ching, CFA >> Research Analyst SOTP with 10x FY18E P/E on its core business and its stake in Xinyi Solar using Merrill Lynch (Hong Kong) +852 3508 3905 BofAML’s valuation. XYG is China’s No.1 float glass producer with 10% market share and
[email protected] No.2 in low-emissivity (low-e) construction glass and the world’s largest supplier of Ming Hsun Lee, CFA >> automobile aftermarket glass (ARG) with 25% market share. We have XYG as our top Research Analyst Merrill Lynch (Taiwan) pick in the China glass sector given our positive view on float glass industry, its focus on
[email protected] higher value-add products (>30%), healthy b/s (33% net gearing), and 18-20% 2017-20E Matty Zhao >> earnings growth. XYG trades at just 6.7x our 18E P/E with 27% ROE and 7.4% div yield. Research Analyst Merrill Lynch (Hong Kong)
[email protected] Key beneficiary of float glass supply-demand improvement We are positive on the supply/demand dynamics of the float glass industry given the upcoming cold-repair cycle in 2018-19E (c.13% of capacity to go offline for 9-12 months), which will likely reduce the effective capacity by c.5%.