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Sturm „Sabine“ – Wahrnehmung Der Warnungen Und Reaktionen Sturm „Sabine“ – Wahrnehmung der Warnungen und Reaktionen Ergebnisse einer deutschlandweiten Bevölkerungs- befragung KFS Working Paper Nr. 18 Katja Schulze, Dr. Martin Voss, Prof. Dr. © 2020 KFS Für den Inhalt des Dokuments sind allein die Autor*innen verantwortlich. Jede kommerzielle Nutzung der Dokumente, auch von Teilen und Auszügen, ist ohne vorherige Zustimmung und Absprache mit den Autor*innen ausdrücklich verboten. Zitierweise: Schulze, K.; Voss, M. (2020): Sturm „Sabine“ – Wahrnehmung der Warnungen und Reakti- onen. Ergebnisse einer deutschlandweiten Bevölkerungsbefragung. KFS Working Paper Nr. 18. Berlin: KFS. Online verfügbar unter: http://www.polsoz.fu-berlin.de/ethnologie/forschung/arbeitsstellen/ka- tastrophenforschung/publikationen/index.html. DOI: 10.17169/refubium-28808 Katastrophenforschungsstelle (KFS) Freie Universität Berlin FB Politik- und Sozialwissenschaften Carl-Heinrich-Becker-Weg 6-10 12165 Berlin Katastrophenforschungsstelle| Working Paper Series| Vol.40|July 2016| pp. 1-20 Katastrophenforschungsstelle | KFS Working Paper | Nr. 18 | 2020 I Inhaltsverzeichnis Abbildungsverzeichnis ................................................................................................................. IV Tabellenverzeichnis ...................................................................................................................... V Zusammenfassung ...................................................................................................................... VII 1. Einleitung ............................................................................................................................. 9 2. Theoretisches Rahmenkonzept ........................................................................................... 11 2.1. Theoretischer Hintergrund .................................................................................................... 11 2.2. Kulturelle Rahmenbedingungen .......................................................................................... 14 2.3. Alltagspraktiken ......................................................................................................................... 16 2.4. Investitionsbereitschaft .......................................................................................................... 16 2.5. Hinweisreize ................................................................................................................................ 17 2.6. Wahrnehmen und Verstehen der Hinweisreize ............................................................. 19 2.7. Glauben der Hinweisreize ...................................................................................................... 21 2.8. Personalisieren der Hinweisreize ....................................................................................... 22 2.9. Bedrohungswahrnehmung ..................................................................................................... 22 2.10. Handlungsoptionen wahrnehmen und bewerten .......................................................... 23 2.11. Handlungsentscheidung und Handlung ............................................................................ 24 2.12. Situative Gegebenheiten .......................................................................................................... 25 2.13. Rückmeldung ............................................................................................................................... 25 3. Forschungsfrage und Methode ........................................................................................... 26 3.1 Erhebungsinstrument und Befragungsdurchführung .................................................. 27 3.2 Stichprobenbeschreibung....................................................................................................... 28 4. Ergebnisse .......................................................................................................................... 30 4.1 Wahrnehmung der Warnung ................................................................................................. 31 4.1.1 Bemerken der Warnung..................................................................................................................... 31 4.1.2 Zeitpunkt der ersten Warnung........................................................................................................ 32 II Schulze, K. und Voss, M. | Sturm „Sabine“ – Wahrnehmung der Warnungen und Reaktionen 4.1.3 Ursprung der ersten Warnung ........................................................................................................ 32 4.1.4 Zusammenhang zwischen Zeitpunkt und Ursprung der ersten Warnung .................... 34 4.1.5 Weitere Informationsquellen .......................................................................................................... 35 4.2 Bewertung der Warnung ......................................................................................................... 40 4.2.1 Ernsthaftigkeit der Warnung ........................................................................................................... 41 4.2.2 Persönliche Relevanz der Warnung .............................................................................................. 42 4.2.3 Beunruhigung durch die Warnung ................................................................................................ 44 4.2.4 Wahrnehmung der Warnung als übertrieben .......................................................................... 46 4.2.5 Ergänzungen und Kommentare ...................................................................................................... 49 4.3 Reaktion auf Warnung ............................................................................................................. 56 4.3.1 Einfluss der Warnungen auf das Verhalten ............................................................................... 57 4.3.2 Vorbereitende Maßnahmen: Wie sich vorbereitet wurde und warum .......................... 59 4.3.3 Vorbereitende Maßnahmen: Warum sich nicht vorbereitet wurde ................................ 67 4.3.4 Planänderungen: Welche Pläne geändert wurden und warum ........................................ 74 4.3.5 Planänderungen: Warum keine Pläne geändert wurden ..................................................... 85 4.3.6 Änderungen in der Art und Weise der Fortbewegung .......................................................... 91 4.3.7 Informationssuche beziehungsweise -weiterleitung ............................................................. 94 4.3.8 Sonstige Aktivitäten ............................................................................................................................. 98 4.4 Wahrgenommene Betroffenheit und Reaktion ............................................................. 100 4.4.1 Art der Betroffenheit beziehungsweise erlebten Auswirkungen .................................. 102 4.4.2 Reaktion auf den Sturm ................................................................................................................... 108 4.5 Angaben „Während des Sturms davon erfahren” ........................................................ 111 4.6 Angaben „Gar nichts vom Sturm erfahren“ .................................................................... 112 4.7 Einstellungen zu Wettervorhersagen und -warnungen allgemein ........................ 113 4.7.1 Vertrauen in Wettervorhersagen ................................................................................................ 113 4.7.2 Allgemeine Einstellung zu Wetterwarnungen ....................................................................... 114 Katastrophenforschungsstelle| Working Paper Series| Vol.40|July 2016| pp. 1-20 Katastrophenforschungsstelle | KFS Working Paper | Nr. 18 | 2020 III 4.7.3 Gewünschte Inhalte von Wetterwarnungen .......................................................................... 117 5. Zusammenfassung und Diskussion ..................................................................................... 119 Literaturverzeichnis ................................................................................................................... 127 Impressum ................................................................................................................................ 136 IV Schulze, K. und Voss, M. | Sturm „Sabine“ – Wahrnehmung der Warnungen und Reaktionen Abbildungsverzeichnis Abbildung 1: Rahmenkonzept "Warn-Act"............................................................................................ 15 Abbildung 2: Geografische Verteilung der Studienteilnehmenden ...................................................... 28 Abbildung 3: Ausgewählte Stichprobenkenngrößen im Vergleich zum gesamtdeutschen Durchschnitt 2018 ....................................................................................................................................................... 30 Abbildung 4: Angaben zum Bemerken der Vorabinformationen.......................................................... 31 Abbildung 5: Genannter Zeitpunkt der ersten erhaltenen Informationen (n=1.089)........................... 32 Abbildung 6: Genannte Quellen der ersten Informationen .................................................................. 33 Abbildung 7: Genannte Sender*innen der ersten Informationen ........................................................ 33 Abbildung 8: Zusammenhang zwischen dem Zeitpunkt und der Quelle der ersten Informationen
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