DOCSLIB.ORG

African Union Terrorism Situation Analysis Report ((AU–TSAR)) 2014

Total Page：16

File Type：pdf, Size：1020Kb

Download full-text PDF Read full-text
African Union Terrorism Situation Analysis Report ((AU–TSAR)) 2014 African Centre for the Study and Research on Terrorism (ACSRT) THE AFRICAN UNION TERRORISM SITUATION ANALYSIS REPORT (AU-TSAR) 2014 January-December 2014 Table of Contents Abbreviations ..........................................................................................................................10 Political Map of Africa ..............................................................................................................14 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: ............................................................................................................15 CONTINENTAL SITUATION REPORTS METHODOLOGY .............................................................19 Challenges in Compiling the Situation Reports (Sit-Reps).......................................................................... 21 Conclusion: ............................................................................................................................................... 25 Disclaimer:................................................................................................................................................ 26 CONTINENTAL TERRORISM THREAT ANALYSIS .........................................................................27 I. Introduction ......................................................................................................................27 II. Overview of Incidents and Developments Relating to Terrorism and Violent Extremism in Africa.................................................................................................................................27 (i) 2014 Major Terrorist Events and Developments ......................................................................... 32 (ii) Hostage taking ......................................................................................................................... 35 (iii) Outlook for 2015 ...................................................................................................................... 36 A. General ACSRT observations related to terrorist incidents in 2014 .................................................... 38 (i) Type of attacks ............................................................................................................................. 40 (ii) Victims and targets of terrorist acts ......................................................................................... 41 (iii) Statistical Presentation of the Continental Terrorist Incidents in 2014 ................................... 45 B. North Africa observations related to terrorist incidents in 2014......................................................... 61 i. Etat de la menace terroriste ........................................................................................................ 61 ii. Caractéristiques générales de la menace terroriste en Afrique du Nord ..................................... 62 iii. Tendances générales de la menace dans la région ...................................................................... 64 iv. Représentations statistiques relatives aux incidents terroristes en Afrique du Nord .................. 65 C. The Sahelo‐Saharan region and West Africa observations related to terrorist incidents in 2014 ........ 71 i. Etat de la menace terroriste ........................................................................................................ 72 ii. Caractéristiques générales de la menace terroriste en Afrique de l’Ouest.................................. 72 iii. Tendances générales de la menace dans la région ...................................................................... 74 iv. Représentations statistiques relatives aux incidents terroristes en Afrique de l’Ouest ............... 80 D. The Central Africa observations related to terrorist incidents in 2014 ................................................ 85 i. Etat de la menace terroriste ........................................................................................................ 85 Page 2 sur 372 ii. Caractéristiques générales de la menace terroriste .................................................................... 85 iii. Représentations statistiques relatives aux incidents terroristes en Afrique Central ................. 101 E. Eastern Africa: Observations related to terrorist incidents in 2014 .................................................. 106 i. Status of the Threat of Terrorism .............................................................................................. 106 ii. General Characteristics of the Threat of Terrorism ................................................................... 106 iii. Anticipated outlook for the region ............................................................................................ 112 iv. Statistical Representations related to the Terrorist Incidents in Eastern Africa ........................ 117 F. Southern Africa observations related to terrorist incidents in 2014 ................................................. 122 i. Status of the Threat of Terrorism .............................................................................................. 122 i. General Characteristics of the Threat of Terrorism ................................................................... 122 v. Anticipated outlook for the region ............................................................................................ 124 ii. Statistical Representations related to the Terrorist Incidents in Southern Africa ...................... 125 Rapport Mensuel de la Situation sur le Terrorisme en Afrique du Nord ................................131 Janvier2014 ............................................................................................................................................ 131 Synthesis table ................................................................................................................................... 135 Hostages and Kidnap-for-Ransom ...................................................................................................... 136 Preliminary remarks ........................................................................................................................... 136 Février 2014 ........................................................................................................................................... 137 Synthesis table ................................................................................................................................... 141 Hostages and Kidnap-for-Ransom ...................................................................................................... 142 Preliminary remarks ........................................................................................................................... 142 Mars 2014 .............................................................................................................................................. 143 Synthesis table ................................................................................................................................... 144 Hostages and Kidnap-for-Ransom ...................................................................................................... 145 Preliminaryremarks ............................................................................................................................ 145 Avril 2014 ............................................................................................................................................... 146 Synthesis table ................................................................................................................................... 147 Hostages and Kidnap-for-Ransom ...................................................................................................... 148 Preliminary remarks ........................................................................................................................... 148 Mai 2014 ................................................................................................................................................ 150 Synthesis table ................................................................................................................................... 152 Hostages and Kidnap-for-Ransom ...................................................................................................... 153 Page 3 sur 372 Preliminary remarks ........................................................................................................................... 153 Juin2014 ................................................................................................................................................. 154 Synthesis table ................................................................................................................................... 157 Hostages and Kidnap-for-Ransom ...................................................................................................... 158 Preliminary remarks ........................................................................................................................... 158 Juillet 2014 ............................................................................................................................................. 160 Synthesis table ................................................................................................................................... 162 Hostages and Kidnap-for-Ransom
Load more

Recommended publications
  • Cie Française De L'ouhamé Et De La Nana (Oubangui-Tchad)
    Mise en ligne : 21 février 2014. Dernière modification : 25 mai 2021. www.entreprises-coloniales.fr CIE FRANÇAISE DE L'OUHAMÉ ET DE LA NANA (COMOUNA) Coll. Serge Volper www.entreprises-coloniales.fr/empire/Coll._Serge_Volper.pdf COMPAGNIE FRANÇAISE DE L'OUHAMÉ ET DE LA NANA Société anonyme ———— Statuts déposés en l’étude de Me Victor Moyne, notaire à Paris, le 13 mars 1900 ——————— Capital social : deux millions de francs divisé en 4.000 actions de 500 francs chacune ACTION ABONNEMENT SEINE 2/10 EN SUS 5 c. POUR 100 fr. Siège social à Paris ——————— PART BÉNÉFICIAIRE AU PORTEUR Le président du conseil d’administration : Victor Flachon Un administrateur : Arthur Guinard Charles Skipper & East —————— Compagnie française de l’Ouhamé et de la Nana Constitution (La Cote de la Bourse et de la banque, 16 juin 1900) D’un acte reçu par Me Moyne, notaire à Paris, le 22 février 1900. M. Victor Flachon, publiciste, demeurant à Bois-Colombes (Seine), villa du Château, 9 ; M. Arthur Guinard, négociant, demeurant à Paris, avenue de l’Opéra, 8 ; M. Louis Mainard, publiciste, demeurant à Paris, boulevard Pereire, 55 bis , et M. François Renchet, administrateur de la Compagnie des Chemins de fer de Bayonne-Biarritz, demeurant à Paris, rue de Mathurins, 5, ont établi les statuts d’une société anonyme, conformément aux lois des 24 juillet 1867 et 1er août 1893. La société a pour objet : L’exploitation de la concession des terres domaniales au Congo français, accordée à M. Flachon (Victor), agissant au nom de M. de Behagle (Ferdinand), de M. Guinard (Arthur), Renchet (François) par décret de M.
    [Show full text]
  • Early Warning Bulletin
    MARCH 2017 EARLY WARNING ISSUE NO.2 BULLETIN Adamawa & Borno States, Nigeria March 2017 Introduction: Attacks by members of Boko At least thirteen Local identified in the month were: Haram and its splinter Government Areas (LGAs) sexual and gender basedviolence group-Islamic State West Africa namely Damboa, Chibok, targeted at both male and female Province (ISWAP) were the Magumeri, Gubio, Marte, minors; humanitarian risks highest threat to peace and Askira-Uba, Ngazai, Mafa, Bama, including fire incidents and security in Adamawa and Borno Kounduga, Monguno, Maiduguri protest by internally displaced states in the month. Twenty and Jere recorded an incident. persons among others. insurgent attacks were recorded Damboa LGA recorded at least in the early warning hub in four attacks, Magumeri and Adamawa State recorded month; these included attacks Konduga LGAs recorded two on local communities, attacks on each while Jere, Mafa and an attack in Madagali highways in the state, suicide Maiduguri recorded several local government area bomb explosions, attacks with suicide bomb explosions. (LGA) while the remaining improvised explosive devices, Several military offensives nineteen attacks were in alleged abduction among others. against insurgents led to arrest, The number of attacks recorded destruction of logistical bases, Borno state; no insurgent in the month increased in release of captives and attack was recorded in comparison with the sixteen surrender of some Adamawa in February recorded in February 2017. insurgents.Other risk factors Map of Borno State (left) and Adamawa (right) showing incident spots 1 Risk I: Insurgent attacks on communities: Chart: Target/ victims of incident attacks Boko Haram and ISWAP members’ attacks on local communities accounted for about 30% of insurgent attacks recorded in the month The attack on Kumburu village in Madagali LGA of Adamawa state was the first attack recorded in the state since January 14 2017 At Kumburu, Boko Haram were dropped on a bush path by humanitarian crisis in the state members reportedly looted the the village.
    [Show full text]
  • Demandespharmaciensarretau2
    REPUBLIQUE ALGERIENNE DEMOCRATIQUE ET POPULAIRE WILAYA DE TIZI-OUZOU DIRECTION DE LA SANTE ET DE LA POPULATION LISTE DES DEMANDES DES PHARMACIENS DE LA WILAYA DE TIZI OUZOU ARRETEE AU 28/02/2019 Commune N° Nom Prénom Lieu exact Date demandée la commune d'Ain El Hammam 1 NAIT BELKACEM Dehbia A.E.H arret abi youcef cote CEM amar ait chikh 12/16/2012 2 KACED Belkacem A.E.H Taourirt Menguelet 11/4/2015 3 AIT SI SLIMANE sofiane A.E.H Ain El hammam 8/21/2016 4 IKEROUIENE Dihia A.E.H à coté de l'arrêt des fourgons d'Iferhounene 9/22/2016 5 AHMED ALI Houria A.E.H Ain El hammam 9/27/2016 6 NAIT BELAID Dihia A.E.H Ain El hammam centre 12/6/2016 7 BEN ZERROUK Meriem A.E.H Route d'ait yahia 12/12/2017 8 ALILOUCHE Saida A.E.H taourirt amrane a coté polyclinique 12/18/2017 9 TAMAZIRT Boussad A.E.H ville AEH, à proximité de l'arret d'ait Yahia 1/11/2018 10 OUKACI Lynda A.E.H Village taourirte Amrane 8/14/2018 11 MESSAOUR Mustapha A.E.H Vge agouni nteslent en face du nouveau hopital 2/12/2019 la commune d'Aghribs 1 CHAREF KHODJA Djamila Aghribs Agouni Oucharki 11/11/2014 2 OURZIK Ouarda Aghribs Agouni Oucharki 4/28/2015 3 OUIDIR Nouara Aghribs Agouni Oucharki 8/30/2015 4 GUIZEF Mohammed Aghribs Agouni Oucharki 11/12/2015 5 DJEBRA Louiza Aghribs Agouni Oucharki 2/22/2017 la commune d'Ain Zaouia 1 MAZARI Sofiane Ain Zaouia Ain Zaouia 2/4/2016 2 TAKILT Hassina Ain Zaouia Ain Zaouia 5/2/2018 la commune d'Ait Aissa Mimoun 1 DEIFOUS BENASSIL Yamina Ait Aissa Mimoun Lekhali (daloute) 12/13/2016 2 SELLAM Yamna Ait Aissa Mimoun village akaoudj 3/2/2017 3 GHAROUT
    [Show full text]
  • Teaching Interfaith Relations at Universities in the Arab Middle East: Challenges and Strategies
    religions Article Teaching Interfaith Relations at Universities in the Arab Middle East: Challenges and Strategies Josef Meri College of Islamic Studies, Hamad bin Khalifa University, Education City, 34110 Doha, Qatar; [email protected] Abstract: This study explores the present state of teaching Interfaith/Interreligious Relations at universities in the Arab Middle East. First, it considers the definition and various approaches to teaching Interfaith Relations by leading proponents of Interreligious Studies in the West such as Oddbjørn Leirvik and Marianne Moyaert within a theoretical framework that is sensitive to the Arab Middle Eastern context. It explores several key factors in Arab society that have prevented the teaching of Interfaith Relations in universities. The discussion then turns to the unique Dar Al-Kalima University (Palestine) Interreligious Dialogue Inter-Regional Curriculum initiative and its significance for teaching Interfaith Relations in the university. Finally, the study examines the case study method of teaching developed by Diana Eck at Harvard University, which can be adapted to a Middle Eastern context and offers two unique case studies for university teachers. Keywords: interfaith studies; interreligious studies; interfaith dialogue; disruptive education; teach- ing interfaith studies; interfaith relations 1. Introduction Citation: Meri, Josef. 2021. Teaching This study explores a number of fundamental issues in teaching Interfaith Relations Interfaith Relations at Universities in (IR) at universities in the
    [Show full text]
  • Spatiotemporal Patterns of Saharan Dust Outbreaks in the Mediterranean Basin
    View metadata, citation and similar papers at core.ac.uk brought to you by CORE provided by Repository of the Academy's Library 1 Spatiotemporal patterns of Saharan dust outbreaks in the Mediterranean Basin 2 3 György Vargaa*, Gábor Újvárib & János Kovácsc,d 4 5 aGeographical Institute, Research Centre for Astronomy and Earth Sciences, Hungarian 6 Academy of Sciences, Budaörsi út 45, H-1112 Budapest, Hungary (E-mail: 7 [email protected]) 8 bGeodetic and Geophysical Institute, Research Centre for Astronomy and Earth Sciences, 9 Hungarian Academy of Sciences, Csatkai E. u. 6-8, H-9400 Sopron, Hungary (E-mail: 10 [email protected]) 11 cDepartment of Geology & Meteorology, University of Pécs, Ifjúság u. 6, H-7624 Pécs, 12 Hungary (E-mail: [email protected]) 13 dEnvironmental Analytical & Geoanalytical Research Group, Szentágothai Research 14 Centre, University of Pécs, Ifjúság u. 20, H-7624 Pécs, , Hungary 15 16 *Corresponding author – E-mail: [email protected] 17 18 Abstract 19 20 Saharan dust outbreaks transport appreciable amounts of mineral particles into the atmosphere 21 of the Mediterranean Basin. Atmospheric particulates have significant impacts on numerous 22 atmospheric, climatic and biogeochemical processes. The recognition of background drivers, 23 spatial and temporal variations of the amount of Saharan dust particles in the Mediterranean 24 can lead to a better understanding of possible past and future environmental effects of 25 atmospheric dust in the region. 26 For this study the daily NASA Total Ozone Mapping Spectrometer's and Ozone Monitoring 27 Instrument’s aerosol data (1979– 2012) were employed to estimate atmospheric dust amount.
    [Show full text]
  • Breaking Boko Haram and Ramping up Recovery: US-Lake Chad Region 2013-2016
    From Pariah to Partner: The US Integrated Reform Mission in Burma, 2009 to 2015 Breaking Boko Haram and Ramping Up Recovery Making Peace Possible US Engagement in the Lake Chad Region 2301 Constitution Avenue NW 2013 to 2016 Washington, DC 20037 202.457.1700 Beth Ellen Cole, Alexa Courtney, www.USIP.org Making Peace Possible Erica Kaster, and Noah Sheinbaum @usip 2 Looking for Justice ACKNOWLEDGMENTS This case study is the product of an extensive nine- month study that included a detailed literature review, stakeholder consultations in and outside of government, workshops, and a senior validation session. The project team is humbled by the commitment and sacrifices made by the men and women who serve the United States and its interests at home and abroad in some of the most challenging environments imaginable, furthering the national security objectives discussed herein. This project owes a significant debt of gratitude to all those who contributed to the case study process by recommending literature, participating in workshops, sharing reflections in interviews, and offering feedback on drafts of this docu- ment. The stories and lessons described in this document are dedicated to them. Thank you to the leadership of the United States Institute of Peace (USIP) and its Center for Applied Conflict Transformation for supporting this study. Special thanks also to the US Agency for International Development (USAID) Office of Transition Initiatives (USAID/OTI) for assisting with the production of various maps and graphics within this report. Any errors or omis- sions are the responsibility of the authors alone. ABOUT THE AUTHORS This case study was produced by a team led by Beth ABOUT THE INSTITUTE Ellen Cole, special adviser for violent extremism, conflict, and fragility at USIP, with Alexa Courtney, Erica Kaster, The United States Institute of Peace is an independent, nonpartisan and Noah Sheinbaum of Frontier Design Group.
    [Show full text]
  • Rapport Sur Les Priorités Et La Planification Année 2021
    République Algérienne Démocratique et Populaire Ministère des Ressources en Eau Rapport sur les priorités et la planification Année 2021 Volume 2 Octobre/ 2020 Table des matières Contenu Section 1. Message du ministre .......................................................................................4 1.1 Message du ministre ...................................................................................................4 1.2 Déclaration du Secrétaire Général ..............................................................................5 Section 2. Au sujet du portefeuille...................................................................................6 2.1 La mission ...................................................................................................................6 - Production de l’eau domestique, industrielle et agricole, y compris la production et l’utilisation de l’eau de mer dessalée, de l’eau saumâtre et des eaux usées Épurées ;6 2.2 Le ministère ................................................................................................................7 2.3 Fiche Portefeuille ........................................................................................................9 Gestionnaire responsable : Ministre des Ressources en Eau ...............................................9 2.4 Planification des activités pour l’année 2021 ...........................................................11 Section 3. Planification détaillée du programme 01 ......................................................12
    [Show full text]
  • Representing the Algerian Civil War: Literature, History, and the State
    Representing the Algerian Civil War: Literature, History, and the State By Neil Grant Landers A dissertation submitted in partial satisfaction of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in French in the GRADUATE DIVISION of the UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, BERKELEY Committee in charge: Professor Debarati Sanyal, Co-Chair Professor Soraya Tlatli, Co-Chair Professor Karl Britto Professor Stefania Pandolfo Fall 2013 1 Abstract of the Dissertation Representing the Algerian Civil War: Literature, History, and the State by Neil Grant Landers Doctor of Philosophy in French Literature University of California, Berkeley Professor Debarati Sanyal, Co-Chair Professor Soraya Tlatli, Co-Chair Representing the Algerian Civil War: Literature, History, and the State addresses the way the Algerian civil war has been portrayed in 1990s novelistic literature. In the words of one literary critic, "The Algerian war has been, in a sense, one big murder mystery."1 This may be true, but literary accounts portray the "mystery" of the civil war—and propose to solve it—in sharply divergent ways. The primary aim of this study is to examine how three of the most celebrated 1990s novels depict—organize, analyze, interpret, and "solve"—the civil war. I analyze and interpret these novels—by Assia Djebar, Yasmina Khadra, and Boualem Sansal—through a deep contextualization, both in terms of Algerian history and in the novels' contemporary setting. This is particularly important in this case, since the civil war is so contested, and is poorly understood. Using the novels' thematic content as a cue for deeper understanding, I engage through them and with them a number of elements crucial to understanding the civil war: Algeria's troubled nationalist legacy; its stagnant one-party regime; a fear, distrust, and poor understanding of the Islamist movement and the insurgency that erupted in 1992; and the unending, horrifically bloody violence that piled on throughout the 1990s.
    [Show full text]
  • Keesing's World News Archives
    Keesing's World News Archives http://www.keesings.com/print/search?SQ_DESIGN_NAME=print&kssp_search_... Keesing's Record of World Events (formerly Keesing's Contemporary Archives), Volume 32, February, 1986 Libya, Page 34199 © 1931-2006 Keesing's Worldwide, LLC - All Rights Reserved. Internal and foreign affairs Summary and key dates General People's Congress session (Feb. 26-March 5, 1985). Passage of budget (March). Formation of ‘Pan-Arab Command’ by Col. Kadhafi (March). Proposal for creation of ‘Arab Union’ (June 11). Economic situation (to February 1986). Expulsions of foreign workers (August 1985). Relations with Arab countries (to January 1986). Military agreement with Iran (June 23, 1985). Severance of diplomatic relations by Iraq (June 26). Col. Kadhafi's visit to Soviet Union (Oct. 10–14). Relations with USA–alleged CIA destabilization plan (to January 1986). Contacts with France and Norway (April-October 1985). Convictions of Libyans in United Kingdom (February-May). Deportation of assassination team from Egypt (April). Attacks on Libyans abroad (February-November). Appeal by Col. Kadhafi to exiles to return home (Sept. 3). Internal politics–criticisms of government (1985). Government appointments (May 7). Conflict between Army and revolutionary committees (1985). Assassination attempts on Col. Kadhafi (March- September). Death of Col. Ishkal (November). The 10th ordinary session of the General People's Congress (the Libyan equivalent of a national assembly) took place in Tripoli, the capital, on Feb. 26-March 2, 1985. The Congress debated the various decisions made during the year by the basic people's congresses (BPCs–Libya's local decision-making bodies) and passed a number of resolutions on internal and foreign policy, of which the most important are detailed below.
    [Show full text]
  • Changing Security:Theoretical and Practical Discussions
    Durham E-Theses Changing Security:Theoretical and Practical Discussions. The Case of Lebanon. SMAIRA, DIMA How to cite: SMAIRA, DIMA (2014) Changing Security:Theoretical and Practical Discussions. The Case of Lebanon. , Durham theses, Durham University. Available at Durham E-Theses Online: http://etheses.dur.ac.uk/10810/ Use policy The full-text may be used and/or reproduced, and given to third parties in any format or medium, without prior permission or charge, for personal research or study, educational, or not-for-prot purposes provided that: • a full bibliographic reference is made to the original source • a link is made to the metadata record in Durham E-Theses • the full-text is not changed in any way The full-text must not be sold in any format or medium without the formal permission of the copyright holders. Please consult the full Durham E-Theses policy for further details. Academic Support Oce, Durham University, University Oce, Old Elvet, Durham DH1 3HP e-mail: [email protected] Tel: +44 0191 334 6107 http://etheses.dur.ac.uk 2 Changing Security: Theoretical and Practical Discussions. The Case of Lebanon. Dima Smaira Thesis submitted in fulfilment of the requirement for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in International Relations. School of Government and International Affairs Durham University 2014 i Abstract This study is concerned with security; particularly security in Lebanon. It is also equally concerned with various means to improve security. Building on debates at the heart of world politics and Security Studies, this study first discusses trends in global governance, in the study of security, and in security assistance to post-conflict or developing countries.
    [Show full text]
  • Centre Des Hautes Études Sur L'afrique Et L'asie Moderne (1929-1968)
    Premier ministre ; Organismes rattachés directement ; Centre des hautes études sur l'Afrique et l'Asie moderne (1929-1968) Répertoire (20000002/1-20000002/234) Archives nationales (France) Pierrefitte-sur-Seine 2000 1 https://www.siv.archives-nationales.culture.gouv.fr/siv/IR/FRAN_IR_022876 Cet instrument de recherche a été encodé en 2012 par l'entreprise Numen dans le cadre du chantier de dématérialisation des instruments de recherche des Archives Nationales sur la base d'une DTD conforme à la DTD EAD (encoded archival description) et créée par le service de dématérialisation des instruments de recherche des Archives Nationales 2 Archives nationales (France) INTRODUCTION Référence 20000002/1-20000002/234 Niveau de description fonds Intitulé Premier ministre ; Organismes rattachés directement ; Centre des hautes études sur l'Afrique et l'Asie moderne Date(s) extrême(s) 1929-1968 Nom du producteur • Centre des hautes études sur l'Afrique et l'Asie modernes Localisation physique Pierrefitte DESCRIPTION Présentation du contenu Sommaire Art 1-234 : Mémoires des auditeurs du Centre des Hautes Etudes sur l’Afrique et l’Asie Modernes (CHEAM), mémoires verts librement communicables, 1929-1968 TERMES D'INDEXATION scolarité; asie; afrique 3 Archives nationales (France) Répertoire (20000002/1-20000002/234) 20000002/1 1 (Ancel, Roger), Oued Marsas, terre de transition entre le pays kabyle et le pays berbero - arabe, 20 pages. 1 bis (Erard), Observations sur les populations de la région de Maillot, 12 pages. 2 bis (Bouscary, L), L'attitude et les réactions des kabyles en présence de notre action économique dans la commune mixte de Mizrana, (1939), 19 pages. 3 bis (Clément, Jean-Henri), L'ouvrier indigène et l'ouvrier européen au Maroc : la question syndicale, (1938), 23 pages.
    [Show full text]
  • Ngo Insecurity in High-Risk Conflict Zones: the Politicization of Aid and Its Impact on “Humanitarian Space”
    NGO INSECURITY IN HIGH-RISK CONFLICT ZONES: THE POLITICIZATION OF AID AND ITS IMPACT ON “HUMANITARIAN SPACE” by JOHN “DAVID” F. MITCHELL B.A., George Mason University, 2008 M.S., George Mason University, 2010 AN ABSTRACT OF A DISSERTATION submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY Security Studies College of Arts and Sciences KANSAS STATE UNIVERSITY Manhattan, Kansas 2016 Abstract Attacks against nongovernmental organizations (NGOs) in high-risk conflict zones have increased exponentially over the last two decades. However, the few existing empirical studies on NGO insecurity have tended to focus on external factors influencing attacks, with little attention paid to the actions of aid workers themselves. To fill this gap, this dissertation theorizes that aid workers may have contributed to their own insecurity by engaging in greater political action. Both quantitative and qualitative methods are used to assess the impact of political activity by NGOs on the insecurity of aid workers. The quantitative analyses test the theory at two levels. The first is a large-N country-level analysis of 117 nations from 1999 to 2015 using panel corrected standard errors. The second is a subnational-level statistical analysis of four case studies: Afghanistan, Iraq, Somalia, and Colombia from 2000 to 2014. Both the country- and provincial- level analyses show that the magnitude of aid tends to be a significant determinant of aid worker security. The qualitative methods of “structured-focused comparison” and “process tracing” are used to analyze the four cases. Results show that aid workers are most likely to be victims of politically-motivated attacks while in-transit.
    [Show full text]