28/10/10 CF

PREVIEW PROGRAMME : INCREASING ITS GLOBAL ROLE?

Monday 1 – Thursday 4 November 2010

1063rd WILTON PARK CONFERENCE in co-operation with The Foreign and Commonwealth Office The Japan Foundation The Great-Britain Sasakawa Foundation

Key themes:

How are Japan’s international priorities developing after a year under the DPJ? Faced with internal difficulties linked to its economic sustainability, Japan can either try to insulate itself from external challenges and engage with the outside world only on its own terms, or it can become more outward looking but will then need to confront a series of difficult choices linked to dramatic power shifts in Asia. Does Japan want to engage or contain China? Does it want to cling to or break from the US? Does it want to open up its economy and society to foreign investment and immigration? How does Japan see its role and responsibilities in the international community? How best can Japan contribute to shared challenges such as global economic security, climate change, peacekeeping, development, and reform of international institutions? Where can Western democracies and regional actors gain value in working more closely with Japan, and what are the best strategies for achieving greater cooperation for mutual benefit?

Conference objectives: The discussion on Japan’s global role will provide an early opportunity for the new British Government, as well as policy makers from Europe and the wider world, to engage with opinion formers from Japan, itself under a relatively new administration and facing serious questions about the future focus of its international engagement. The conference aims to forge greater understanding and contacts between Japan and its allies, and also to inform and encourage the development of strategies for greater cooperation with Japan on key global challenges.

Speakers invited and themes proposed (*to be confirmed)

MONDAY 1 NOVEMBER

1715 Participants Arrive onwards Tea/Coffee available

1900 Reception Drinks

1930 Dinner

TUESDAY 2 NOVEMBER

0800-0900 Breakfast

0900-0915 Welcome to Conference and Introduction to Wilton Park

Richard BURGE Chief Executive, Wilton Park, Steyning Camilla FENNING Programme Director, Wilton Park, Steyning 0915-1045 1 JAPAN’S INTERNATIONAL OUTLOOK IN THE NEW POLITICAL ERA How are Japan’s international priorities developing after a year under the DPJ? Is Japan optimistic or pessimistic about its future and standing in the region and wider world? How does Japan (both its leadership and citizens) see its future role and responsibilities in the international community? What are Japan’s key challenges ahead, and what plans are there to overcome these, both as a nation and within the international community?

Shin EBIHARA Ambassador of Japan to the Court of St James, Embassy of Japan, London

Andrew OROS Associate Professor of Political Science and International Studies, Washington College, Chestertown

Glenn HOOK Director, National Institute of Japanese Studies and Graduate School of East Asian Studies University of Sheffield, Sheffield

1045-1130 Conference Photograph followed by Tea/Coffee

1130-1300 2 GLOBAL ECONOMIC PROSPERITY: JAPAN’S ROLE AND FUTURE INFLUENCE What challenges and opportunities face Japan in the global economy? What is the likely impact of these on Japan’s own economy and stability, on the region and internationally? What are the key issues facing Japan’s economic relationships with the US, Europe, and the Asian region? How will Japan be affected by the developing BRIC economies; globalisation and prospects for trade liberalisation? Where is there scope for international cooperation, and where are the tension points? What responsibilities does Japan hold as the world's largest creditor and second largest economy?

David WARREN British Ambassador to Japan,

Keiichiro KOMATSU Principal, Komatsu Research and Advisory, London

1300-1445 Lunch

1445-1545 3 OUTLOOK AND OPPORTUNITIES IN JAPAN’S BILATERAL RELATIONSHIPS What are the dynamics of Japan’s current relationships with key partners such as Europe, the US and China? Has the DPJ altered its priorities, and what does it see as the key challenges and opportunities in these relationships? How can the West strengthen its current relationship with Japan? Has the West courted China to the detriment of the Japan? What is China’s long term strategy for its relationship with Japan, and vice versa?

Japan/US Satoshi MORIMOTO Professor, Takushoku University, and Member, Congressional Forum for New Japan, Tokyo Michito TSURUOKA Research Fellow, National Institute for Defence Studies, Tokyo

Japan/China *Shogo SUZUKI Lecturer, Politics, School of Social Sciences, University of Manchester, Manchester

1545-1645 4 WORKING GROUPS: STRATEGIES TO DEVELOP KEY RELATIONSHIPS (each group chaired by relevant speaker) This session aims to take a forward, proactive look at ideas and strategies for building a strengthened relationship between Japan and its key relationships. Japan/Europe Japan/China Japan/US

1645-1715 Tea/Coffee 1715-1745 5 FEEDBACK FROM WORKING GROUPS

1745-1900 6 OUTLOOK AND OPPORTUNITIES IN JAPAN’S EUROPEAN RELATIONSHIPS

Keynote speech: JAPAN AND THE UK: COMMON GROUND, FUTURE PARTNERSHIPS Lord HOWELL Minister of State, Foreign and Commonwealth Office, London

Axel BERKOFSKY Professor, Gianni Mazzocchi Fellow, University of Pavia, Pavia

1900 Reception drinks

1930 Dinner

WEDNESDAY 3 NOVEMBER

0800-0900 Breakfast

0900-1045 7 JAPAN: PROSPECTS FOR A DEVELOPING REGIONAL ROLE How does Japan see its regional role? What do other countries in the region expect from it? What are the key tenets likely to emerge from the APEC meeting in Japan? How is the power balance between Japan and its neighbours going to shift in the coming years?

Masa ISHII Ambassador, Policy Planning and International Security, Ministry for Foreign Affairs, Tokyo

Michael AUSLIN Director of Japan Studies, Resident Scholar in Foreign and Defense Policy Studies, American Enterprise Institute, Washington DC

1045-1115 Tea/Coffee

1115-1230 8 JAPAN’S ROLE IN GLOBAL LOW CARBON TRANSFORMATION How is Japan using low carbon transformation as a driver for growth, both overseas and domestically? What opportunities and risks does climate change present for the Japanese economy? What can we learn from Japan’s work in this field, and where can we cooperate? How is Japan affected by uncertainty surrounding UNFCCC negotiations? How does Japan see its future role in aiding global environmental progress and mitigating climate change?

Shuzo NISHIOKA Senior Visiting Researcher, National Institute of Environmental Studies, Tsukuba

Jim SKEA Research Director, UK Energy Research Centre, and founding member of the Committee on Climate Change, London

1230-1430 Lunch

1430-1600 9 JAPAN AND INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTIONS: DEVELOPING KEY RELATIONSHIPS What is Japan’s strategy in its relationship with and membership of key international institutions? Do institutions such as the UN, IMF, World Bank, WTO sufficiently recognise Japan’s position as the world’s largest creditor and (still) second largest economy, and does Japan step up sufficiently to these responsibilities? What is Japan’s thinking on how to make global institutions more representative of the shifting global balance of power? Will the transition from G8 to a G20 weaken Japanese influence in areas such as development and environment?

Junhui WU Director, Global Partnerships and Trust Fund Operations, The World Bank, Washington DC Shotaro OSHIMA Visiting Professor, Graduate School of Public Policy, , Tokyo

Hugo DOBSON Professor, School of East Asian Studies, University of Sheffield, Sheffield

1600-1620 Tea/Coffee

1620-1800 10 COOPERATION IN THIRD COUNTRY ENVIRONMENTS: WHERE CAN JAPAN ADD VALUE? Short presentations on cooperation in third country environments (eg development; conflict prevention; peacekeeping) will be followed by working groups to consider scope for further cooperation.

Introductory remarks by speakers:

Akiko YAMANAKA Professional By-Fellow, Churchill College, University of Cambridge, Cambridge; Former Vice Minister of Foreign Affairs

Keiichi TSUNEKAWA Vice-President; Director of the JICA Research Institute, Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA), Tokyo

Kweku AMPIAH Academic Fellow, Japanese Studies, Department of East Asian Studies, University of Leeds, Leeds

At approximately 1700 plenary will divide into working groups looking at different aspects of cooperation in third country environments (exact themes to be decided)

1800-1830 11 FEEDBACK FROM WORKING GROUPS

1830-1930 12 OUTLOOK: PROSPECTS AND STRATEGIES FOR JAPAN’S GLOBAL ROLE

Tomohiko TANIGUCHI Professor, Keio University and former Deputy Director General for Press and Public Relations, MFA, Tokyo

Andrew FRASER Senior Advisor, Mitsubishi Corporation, London

Michael AUSLIN Director of Japan Studies, Resident Scholar in Foreign and Defense Policy Studies, American Enterprise Institute, Washington DC

1930 Reception Drinks

2000 Conference Dinner

THURSDAY 4 NOVEMBER

0800 Breakfast

0915 Participants Depart

This is a preview programme and as such is subject to change.

This conference is open to those with expertise to share or an interest in the theme; our aim is to have a broad spread of nationalities and institutions represented. The full cost of participation is £1,690. This covers three night’s accommodation and all meals during the conference, attendance at all sessions, and transport from and to Gatwick airport at the beginning and end of the conference. Special rates may be available for those from non-OECD countries and also academics and NGO representatives.

Enquiries about participation and local travel to: Ms Alison Jones, Wilton Park, Wiston House, Steyning, West Sussex. BN44 3DZ Telephone: +44 (0)1903 817714 Fax: +44 (0)1903 816373 Email: [email protected]

Enquiries about the programme to Camilla Fenning, Programme Director, Wilton Park. Telephone +44 (0) 1903 817760; Email: [email protected]