Calhoun: The NPS Institutional Archive
- Theses and Dissertations
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2014-03
Cost-effectiveness analysis of aerial platforms and suitable communication payloads
Everly, Randall E.
Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School http://hdl.handle.net/10945/41375
NAVAL
POSTGRADUATE
SCHOOL
MONTEREY, CALIFORNIA
THESIS
COST-EFFECTIVENESS ANALYSIS OF AERIAL PLATFORMS AND SUITABLE COMMUNICATION
PAYLOADS
by
Randall E. Everly David C. Limmer
March 2014
Thesis Advisor: Co-Advisor:
Cameron MacKenzie
Glenn Cook
- Second Reader
- John Gibson
Approved for public release;distribution is unlimited
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- Master’s Thesis
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COST-EFFECTIVENESS ANALYSIS OF AERIAL PLATFORMS AND SUITABLE COMMUNICATION PAYLOADS
6. AUTHOR(S) Randall E. Everly and David C. Limmer 7. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME(S) AND ADDRESS(ES)
Naval Postgraduate School
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Monterey, CA 93943–5000
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11. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES The views expressed in this thesis are those of the author and do not reflect the official policy or position of the Department of Defense or the U.S. Government. IRB Protocol number ____N/A____.
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Approved for public release;distribution is unlimited
13. ABSTRACT (maximum 200 words)
The goal of this research is to perform a cost-effectiveness analysis of selected aerial platforms and suitable communication payloads for use as communication relays in support of distributed military operations. Aerial platforms, for the purpose of this study, include UAVs, towers and aerostats. A multi-objective analysis is utilized to compare dissimilar attributes together among the alternatives. Cost data for each system considered is presented. To analyze the cost-effectiveness of alternatives for different mission sets, three hypothetical scenarios are used including disaster relief, long-range relay, and the tactical user. This research identifies the most cost-effective aerial platforms and communication payloads for each scenario based on the authors’ preferences. Future decision makers can utilize this study as a decision tool to match their own preferences.
14. SUBJECT TERMS Unmanned Aerial Vehicle, UAV, Unmanned Aerial System, UAS, communication, payload, cost-effectiveness, cost-benefit analysis, CBA, business case, tower, aerostat, airship, satellite, relay, beyond line of sight, over the horizon, UHF, VHF, data, voice
15. NUMBER OF PAGES
203
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- Unclassified
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Approved for public release;distribution is unlimited
COST-EFFECTIVENESS ANALYSIS OF AERIAL PLATFORMS AND
SUITABLE COMMUNICATION PAYLOADS
Randall E. Everly
Lieutenant Commander, United States Navy B.S., United States Naval Academy, 1998
David C. Limmer
Lieutenant, United States Navy B.S., Gordon College, 2001
Submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degrees of
MASTER OF SCIENCE IN INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY MANAGEMENT and
MASTER OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION
from the
NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL
March 2014
- Authors:
- Randall E. Everly
David C. Limmer
- Approved by:
- Cameron MacKenzie
Thesis Advisor
Glenn Cook Co-Advisor
John Gibson Second Reader
Dan Boger Chair, Department of Information Systems
Bill Gates Dean, Graduate School of Business
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ABSTRACT
The goal of this research is to perform a cost-effectiveness analysis of selected aerial platforms and suitable communication payloads for use as communication relays in support of distributed military operations. Aerial platforms, for the purpose of this study, include UAVs, towers and aerostats. A multi-objective analysis is utilized to compare dissimilar attributes together among the alternatives. Cost data for each system considered is presented. To analyze the cost-effectiveness of alternatives for different mission sets, three hypothetical scenarios are used including disaster relief, long-range relay, and the tactical user. This research identifies the most cost-effective aerial platforms and communication payloads for each scenario based on the authors’ preferences. Future decision makers can utilize this study as a decision tool to match their own preferences.
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
- I.
- INTRODUCTION........................................................................................................1
A. B. C.
U.S. MILITARY’S GROWING NEED FOR CONNECTIVITY ...............1 SATELLITES CANNOT BE THE SINGULAR SOLUTION ....................1 UAV COMMUNICATION RELAYS PROVIDE A POSSIBLE SOLUTION ......................................................................................................2 ANY SOLUTION MUST BE COST-EFFECTIVE......................................4 RESEARCH HIGHLIGHTS..........................................................................4
D. E.
1. 2. 3. 4. 5.
Problem Statement...............................................................................4 Purpose Statement ...............................................................................4 Methodology.........................................................................................4 Scope......................................................................................................5 Limitations............................................................................................5
- F.
- ORGANIZATION ...........................................................................................5
- II.
- BACKGROUND ..........................................................................................................7
A. B.
RELATED STUDIES......................................................................................7 AERIAL PLATFORMS................................................................................14
- 1.
- UAVs ...................................................................................................16
a. b. c. d. e.
Small........................................................................................16 Medium....................................................................................18 Large........................................................................................21 HALE.......................................................................................24 Vertical Takeoff and Landing (VTOL) ..................................26
- 2.
- Alternative Aerial Platforms.............................................................28
a. b. c. d. e.
Rapidly Erected Towers ..........................................................28 Tethered Multi-rotors..............................................................30 Tethered Balloons/Aerostats...................................................30 Untethered Balloons – Google................................................32 Unmanned Airships ................................................................33
- C.
- COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY AND PAYLOADS......................33
- 1.
- Networking and Communications....................................................34
a. b. c. d. e.
Direct Link...............................................................................34 Satellite ....................................................................................35 Cellular....................................................................................35 Mesh ........................................................................................35 MANET ...................................................................................36
2. 3.
Technical Background.......................................................................36
a. b. c. d.
Link Budget.............................................................................36 Shannon Limit ........................................................................37 Radio Horizon .........................................................................37 Size, Weight, Power and Cooling ...........................................38
Communication Payloads..................................................................39
- a.
- Persistent Systems Wave Relay...............................................39
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b. c. d. e.
TrellisWare WildCat II and Ocelot ........................................40 Oceus Networks Xiphos ..........................................................41 Harris Falcon III AN/PRC-117G and RF-7800W OU440 ...42 AeroVironment Digital Data Link (DDL)..............................44
D. METHODOLOGY ....................................................................................................47 A. MODELING APPROACH FOR CEA ........................................................47
SUMMARY ....................................................................................................44
III.
1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6.
Introduction to CEA..........................................................................47 Objectives Hierarchy.........................................................................49 Value Functions..................................................................................51 Importance Weights...........................................................................54 MOE....................................................................................................57 Determining a Cost-Effective Solution.............................................57
a. b. c. d.
Superior Solution....................................................................57 Efficient Solution....................................................................58 Satisficing Solutions ...............................................................59 MOE and Cost Tradeoffs........................................................60
- B.
- HEIRARCHIES.............................................................................................61
- 1.
- Aerial Platform Hierarchy................................................................62
a. b. c. d.
Flexibility.................................................................................62 Performance............................................................................64 Readiness.................................................................................66 Survivability.............................................................................68
- 2.
- Communication Payload Hierarchy.................................................70
a. b. c.
Performance............................................................................71 Flexibility.................................................................................73 Readiness.................................................................................74
C. D.
COSTS ............................................................................................................75 1. 2.
Aerial Platform Costs ........................................................................75 Communication Payload Costs.........................................................77
SUMMARY ....................................................................................................78
- IV.
- ANALYSIS .................................................................................................................79
A. HUMANITARIAN AID/DISASTER RELIEF (HADR) SCENARIO......79
1. 2. 3.
HADR Scenario: Mission and Environmental Conditions ............79 HADR Scenario: Aerial Platform Importance Weights.................80 HADR Scenario: Aerial Platform Value Functions........................82
a. b. c. d.
Flexibility.................................................................................82 Performance............................................................................83 Readiness.................................................................................88 Survivability.............................................................................89
4. 5.
HADR Scenario: Aerial Platform Cost-Effective Solutions...........89 HADR Scenario: Communication Payload Importance Weights................................................................................................96
- HADR Scenario: Communication Payload Value Functions ........97
- 6.
- a.
- Performance............................................................................97
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b. c.
Flexibility...............................................................................100 Readiness...............................................................................100
7. 8.
HADR Scenario: Communication Payload Cost-Effective Solutions............................................................................................101 HADR Scenario: Solution Compatibility ......................................104
- B.
- LONG-RANGE SCENARIO......................................................................105
1. 2. 3.
Long-Range Scenario: Mission and Environmental Conditions.105 Long-Range Scenario: Aerial Platform Importance Weights .....105 Long-Range Scenario: Aerial Platform Value Functions ............107
a. b. c. d.
Flexibility...............................................................................107 Performance..........................................................................108 Readiness...............................................................................112 Survivability...........................................................................112
4. 5. 6.
Long-Range Scenario: Aerial Platform Cost-Effective Solutions............................................................................................113 Long-Range Scenario: Communication Payload Importance Weights..............................................................................................117 Long-Range Scenario: Communication Payload Value Functions...........................................................................................118
a. b. c.
Performance..........................................................................118 Flexibility...............................................................................119 Readiness...............................................................................121